One News Colmar Brunton Poll

Today’s poll shows only a 5% gap between Labour and National. Results are:

National 39% (+4)
Labour 44% (-3)
NZ First 5% (nc)
ACT 2% (-1)
United Future 1% (nc)
Green 4% (-1)
Maori 2% (nc)

This is the first poll both post Orewa II and the Katherine Rich affair, and indicate that the gain from Orewa II has not been negated by the disagreement afterwards.

The seats on this poll (if no elects change hand) would be:

Labour 58
National 51
NZ First 7
Maori 3
Progressive 1
United 1

Labour would need Progressive and either NZ First or the Maori Party to govern.