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May 7, 2012 6:39pm by David Farrar

Latest Roy Morgan poll

I’ve blogged the latest Roy Morgan poll at Curiablog. On that poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

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NZ Politics
Polls

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Latest poll
Record lead in Roy Morgan poll
Seven day old news

Comments (17)

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Puzzled in Ekatahuna

Dates: 16 April 2012 to 29 April 2012

Just what use is it to anyone if it is over three weeks old? Like, it shows ACT up by 0.5%
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May 7, 2012 6:47pm
Viking2

EEk 😮
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May 7, 2012 6:47pm
thor42

Not a whole lot of change in the poll.
Good to see Winston First heading down though. Hopefully they will be grovelling along around 2% or so in a few months.
I hope that when the next election arrives, voters will think of Greece and (if they are tempted to vote for a leftwing party) remember the saying of Margaret Thatcher (about borrowing, I think) –
“Eventually you run out of other people’s money.”
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May 7, 2012 6:51pm
wreck1080

Fresh round of waitangi claims anyone?

The tail would be wagging the dog huh?
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May 7, 2012 7:01pm
toad

@Puzzled in Ekatahuna 6:47 pm

Like, it shows ACT up by 0.5%

It shows a “surge” for the ACT Party. Up from 0.0% to 0.5%. Must be a sympathy vote for JohnDotBanks.
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May 7, 2012 7:30pm
big bruv

Another nasty post from Toad I see.
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May 7, 2012 7:36pm
big bruv

One day the Apartheid party, or the Mother fuckers party will hold the balance of power and then you will see the people of NZ up in arms as they form a government with the party who will give them the most in the ways of handouts.

A small part of me will find this hilarious as the very people who will moan about it the most will be the same idiots who had the chance to do away with the electoral system that results in the Apartheid party/Mother fuckers party having the balance of power.
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May 7, 2012 7:40pm
Johnboy

Do you think the 80% will then have to threaten serious violence against the 20% that have been threatening serious violence against the 80% since whenever BB? 🙂
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May 7, 2012 7:53pm
big bruv

No Johnboy. They will be their normal apathetic self and piss and moan but do nothing about it whist the tax payer is financially raped by the Apartheid or Mother fuckers party all over again.
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May 7, 2012 7:58pm
bringbackdemocracy

The “others” category is larger than 3 of the parties, why won’t they tell us who the “others” are?
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May 7, 2012 8:04pm
Johnboy

You are a very brave man BB not to feel threatened by the obese brown chaps with the eye rolling and clubs fixation.

The rest of us are very happy to subsidise them to eat all Te Takeaways they can manage in the hope they will go away! 🙂
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May 7, 2012 8:09pm
bhudson

Well the next Roy Morgan will be interesting. Will it be like the last pair – a leap in support for Greens that disappears in the subsequent poll? If so, they really need to have a think about what is distorting the results. A recurring calling pattern perhaps?
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May 7, 2012 8:10pm
Mark

ACT are gone. Banks is bereft of any credibility and is unlikely to step aside at the next election for the sake of the party. You could possibly end up in with a shambles in Epsom if the conservatives and ACT stand.
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May 8, 2012 7:30am
boredboy

I think that, rather than saying the Maori Party would hold the balance of power, it would be more accurate to say Labour would be able form a coalition government.

The Maori Party will go with whoever is most likely to form a government (and good on them) but would rather go with Labour than National.

Herald poll, now Roy Morgan. This is the beginning of the end.
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May 8, 2012 8:51am
dubya

Just hurry up and disestablish the Maori seats, it’s about bloody time. Can’t see how it’d hurt National’s popularity, either.
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May 8, 2012 9:23am
Shazzadude

The poll shows New Zealand First with the balance of power, IMO.
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May 8, 2012 12:49pm
rg

The poll analysis assumes a change in the Epsom electoral seat, yet there is no reason to assume that. In 2014 the people of Epsom will be asked to tactically vote again, they will get two votes in essence. If they are too dumb to see the merit in giving one to ACT and one to National they would probably be tooo dumb to find a polling booth. Without the ACT extra seat National is toast. even if they don’t like John Banks that much they will vote for him if it means keeping labour out and it will mean that. This poll assuming the change in Epsom vote is another mischevous act of the left
This might explain why the polsters get teh Epsom vote wrong every time. Time for some accountability bythe polsters, their methodology has proven itself to be flawed in the case of Epsom EVERY election. May be they fiddle the figures? They definately show their bias here with their prediction for Epsom.
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May 8, 2012 2:43pm

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