538 forecasts Democrats to take the Senate

Five Thirty Eight has forecast that the Democrats have a 59% chance of taking control of the US Senate.

They predict that:

• Democrats win Pennsylvania
• Democrats win New Hampshire
• Democrats retain Nevada
• Democrats win Indiana
• Democrats win Illinois
• Democrats win Wisconsin

This would give the Democrats a fairly comfortable 52 seats.

Trump is now seen to have a better chance of winning the presidency, than the Republicans retaining the Senate. They have him at between 44% and 48% probability (depending on model) to win the presidency. This is the highest he has been apart from the convention bounce.