No Scotexit for now

The Guardian reports:

Nicola Sturgeon has abandoned her demands for a new independence referendum before the Brexit deal is signed, after her party lost a string of seats to pro-union parties in the general election.

Admitting she needed to “reset” her referendum strategy, the first minister told Holyrood she accepted there was no widespread support in Scotland for a second vote on independence before the UK leaves the EU.

Sturgeon said her priority now was to focus on getting the best Brexit deal possible, leaving the timescale for staging a new referendum deliberately vague. She implied she wanted to hold it before the next Holyrood election in 2021, adding that her party had a clear mandate to do so at some point.

This is a good thing. You need to see what happens with Brexit before can make a sensible decision on whether to stay in the UK.

If Scotland was not in the UK, then the 2017 election results would have been:

  • Conservative 318 305
  • Labour 262 255
  • SNP 35 0
  • Lib Dems 12 8
  • DUP 10
  • Sinn Fein 7
  • Plaid Cymru 4
  • Greens 1
  • Total 650 591

A majority of 591 would be 296 so the Conservatives would be able to govern alone.

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