Who is an MP on current public polls

Now all the party lists are out we can look at who are the likely MPs based on the average of the public . The current average has

  • National 54 seats, 40 electorate and 14 list
  • Labour 42 seats, 27 electorate and 15 list
  • NZ First 13 seats, 1 electorate and 12 list
  • Greens 9 seats, 9 list
  • Maori Party 2 seats, 2 electorate
  • ACT 1 seat, 1 electorate

The electorate seats are based on an assumption of the current party holding them except where a public poll shows otherwise. So we have Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Hauauru to Maori Party as public polls have shown them leading.

So who would be the List MPs. They are

National

  1. Bill English
  2. David Carter
  3. Steven Joyce
  4. Chris Finlayson
  5. Michael Woodhouse
  6. Paul Goldsmith
  7. Alfred Ngaro
  8. Brett Hudson
  9. Melissa Lee
  10. Kanwal JS Bakshi
  11. Jian Yang
  12. Paramjit Parmar
  13. Jo Hayes
  14. Chris Bishop

Labour

  1. Andrew Little
  2. David Parker
  3. Priyanca Radhakrishan
  4. Raymond Huo
  5. Jan Tinetti
  6. Willow-Jean Prime
  7. Kiri Allan
  8. Willie Jackson
  9. Jo Luxton
  10. Liz Craig
  11. Marja Lubeck
  12. Trevor Mallard
  13. Tamati Coffey
  14. Jamie Strange
  15. Anahila Kanongata’a-Suisuiki

Greens

  1. James Shaw
  2. Marama Davidson
  3. Julie Anne Genter
  4. Eugenie Sage
  5. Gareth Hughes
  6. Jan Logie
  7. Chloe Swarbrick
  8. Golriz Ghahraman
  9. Mojo Mathers

NZ First

  1. Ron Mark
  2. Tracey Martin
  3. Fletcher Tabuteau
  4. Darroch Ball
  5. Clayton Mitchell
  6. Mark Patterson
  7. Shane Jones
  8. Jenny Marcroft
  9. Mahesh Bindra
  10. Pita Paraone
  11. Ria Bond
  12. Denis O’Rourke

Note the public poll average includes polls taken before the Labour and Greens changes so I expect the numbers will change as the older polls fade (after five weeks they disappear) and new ones come in.

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