Little baby bump

Some pundits would have had you thinking that the nation was so joyful at the PM’s pregnancy (which is joyful for the couple) that Labour would have shot ahead of National in the polls and be so dominant to be unbeatable.

But the Newshub poll out last night in fact shows National remains more popular than Labour. In fact National is at the same level as their election result. Labour is up – but at the expense of NZ First who face oblivion on this poll.

Now it is MMP, so the poll still favours the centre-left, but it shows a very competitive contest.

The seats on this poll would be:

• CR – National 57+ ACT 1 = 58
• CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63

If Greens drop 1% then they are out of Parliament also. And they always do worse than they poll.