UMR poll on National leadership candidates

UMR have asked a number of questions on the National leadership. The main results are:

Preferred Leader – all voters

  1. Unsure 34%
  2. Nikki Kaye 12%
    Judith Collins 12%
  3. Paula Bennett 11%
  4. 10%
  5. 8%
    8%
  6. Jonathan Coleman 4%
  7. 2%

Preferred Leader – National voters

  1. Unsure 19%
  2. Judith Collins 17%
  3. Steven Joyce 16%
  4. Paula Bennett 14%
  5. Nikki Kaye 11%
  6. Amy Adams 9%
    Simon Bridges 9%
  7. Jonathan Coleman 3%
  8. Todd Muller 1%

Favourability

  1. Nikki Kaye 41%
  2. Amy Adams 37%
  3. Steven Joyce 35%
    Paula Bennett 35%
  4. Judith Collins 33%
  5. Simon Bridges 31%
  6. Jonathan Coleman 25%
  7. Todd Muller 14%

Unfavourability

  1. Todd Muller 19%
  2. Nikki Kaye 26%
  3. Amy Adams 27%
  4. Jonathan Coleman 37%
  5. Simon Bridges 42%
  6. Steven Joyce 43%
  7. Judith Collins 53%
  8. Paula Bennett 56%

Net Favourability

  1. Nikki Kaye +15%
  2. Amy Adams +10%
  3. Todd Muller -5%
  4. Steven Joyce -8%
  5. Simon Bridges -11%
  6. Jonathan Coleman -12%
  7. Judith Collins -20%
  8. Paula Bennett -21%

A couple of words of caution in interpreting these numbers. Profile makes up part of these results. The higher the profile the more people are likely to know you and like or dislike you.

In terms of preferred leader no one is over 20%. This reflects it is a very competitive race.

Also the favourability and net favourability ratings are important, but what is more important is what those scores would be from potential or actual National voters. They have not given that break down.

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