538 says 75% chance Democrats take the House

538 has launched their forecast for the House for the 2018 elections. Key data is:

  • 75% chance Democrats take the House
  • Average gain for Democrats is projected to be 35 seats
  • Current result projection is 230 seats for Democrats and 205 for GOP

The breakdown of seats by probability is:

  • Definite Dem 190
  • Likely Dem 11 (=201)
  • Lean Dem 14 (=215)
  • Toss Up 15 (=230)
  • Lean GOP 17
  • Likely GOP 55
  • Definite GOP 133

If the Democrats do take the House, will they try and impeach Trump?

Comments (61)

Login to comment or vote

Add a Comment

%d bloggers like this: