The 10 Democrats in the 3rd debate

The 10 Democrats in the 3rd debate are:

  • Former Vice President Joe Biden
  • Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey
  • South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg
  • Former HUD Secretary Julián Castro
  • Sen. Kamala Harris of California
  • Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota
  • Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke of Texas
  • Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont
  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts
  • Andrew Yang, entrepreneur

The 10 or so others have not all dropped out, but failing to qualify for the debates makes it very hard for them.

The 10 in order of polling are”

  1. Biden 29%
  2. Sanders 17%
  3. Warren 17%
  4. Harris 7%
  5. Buttigieg 4.5%
  6. Yang 2.5%
  7. Booker 2.4%
  8. O’Rourke 2.4%
  9. Castro 1.1%
  10. Klobuchar 0.9%

In order of price in the predictions markets, they are:

  1. Warren 33c
  2. Biden 26c
  3. Sanders 16c
  4. Yang 12c
  5. Harris 11c
  6. Buttigieg 8c
  7. Booker 3c
  8. O’Rourke 2c
  9. Klobuchar 1c
  10. Castro 1c

I can’t see Sanders or Yang possibly becoming the nominee. To me it is a choice between Warren, Biden, Harris and Buttigieg.

My order of preference at present would be:

  1. Buttigieg
  2. Biden
  3. Harris
  4. Warren

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