Current UK polls

Electoral Calculus has the latest projection based on average of the polls:

  • Conservatives 43% (nc), 365 seats (+47)
  • Labour 30% (-11%), 202 seats (-60)
  • Lib Dems 15% (+7%), 20 seats (+8)
  • SNP 4% (+1%), 41 seats (+6)

Overall projection is a Conservative majority of 80.

In terms of possible outcomes they predict:

  • Conservative majority 75%
  • Lab minority 12%
  • Hung Parliament 10%

An interesting factoid is that the last time Labour won an election in the UK without Tony Blair as Leader was 45 years ago.

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