The South Island electorate races
I’ve now done all 17 South Island electorate races profiles on Patreon. The summary of my profiles are:
- Safe National: Southland, Waitaki, Rangitata, Selwyn, Ilam, Waimakariri, Kaikoura
- Leans National: Invercargill
- Too Close To Call: Banks Peninsula, Nelson
- Leans Labour: Taieri, Wigram
- Safe Labour: Dunedin, Christchurch Central, Christchurch East, West Coast-Tasman, Te Tai Tonga
So on election day the two most competitive seats should be Banks Peninsula and Nelson. Also worth keeping an eye on Invercargill, Taieri and Wigram.
Tomorrow I’m going to start doing the North Island seats, starting with Rongotai.