On my Patreon I have done my normal monthly post analysing the key indicators that indicate if a Government is on track or not for re-election.
As you can see above the indicators are all very good for the NZ Government. They are also positive for the Australian Government.
The UK and Canadian Governments have a range of positive and negative indicators are changes of Governments are quite possible there.
In the US Trump has all negative indicators, but they have improved from June, so he does have some momentum.