Roy Morgan poll September 2021

The September 2021 Roy Morgan is out.

Party Vote

  • Labour 45.5% (+6.0% from August)
  • National 23.0% (-2.0%)
  • Greens 9.5% (-2.5%)
  • ACT 16.0% (+3.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 1.5% (-1.0%)

Seats

  • Labour 57 (-8 from election)
  • National 29 (-4)
  • Greens 12 (+2)
  • ACT 20 (+10)
  • Maori 2 (nc)

Governments

  • Labour/Green 69/120
  • National/ACT 41/120

Direction

  • Right 57.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 32.0% (-5.5%)

The Roy Morgan poll is conducted over the entire month, so it includes periods where National was having problems (earlier on) and where Labour has struggled (later on).

But hard to escape it is a pretty good poll for Labour and a poor one for National. ACT in this poll is now just 7% behind National and they would gain 10 extra MPs and National lose four MPs if this was an election result.

With the Government finally admitting it has abandoned elimination strategy, it will be the October polls of more interest.

A large gender gap remains. National/ACT is 2% ahead of Labour/Greens with men but a massive 34% behind with women. Of interest is that with male voters ACT is now only 3% behind National.

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