Seats on the Talbot Mills poll

Stuff reports:

Labour has well and truly lost its pandemic popularity, according to the latest political poll.

The Labour Party has fallen to its lowest point since 2019, on the Talbot Mills corporate poll. Talbot Mills is also the Labour Party’s pollster, but this poll was for its corporate clients.

It polled just over 1000 people at the end of June and start of July, shortly after concerns were reported about Labour minister Kiritapu Allan’s management of staff and after Michael Wood slowly and then spectacularly lost his job as a minister.

Compared to its last poll, Talbot Mills reported a major slump for Labour. It was down five points, to 31% – five points below National as well.

ACT was on 12%. The Greens, 8%.

Both Te Pāti Māori and NZ First came in at about 4%, just below the 5% mark required to enter Parliament without an electorate seat.

Based on those reported figures, the seats in Parliament would be:

  • National 47 (+14 from election)
  • Labour 41 (-24)
  • ACT 16 (+6)
  • Greens 11 (+1)
  • Maori 5 (+3)

National and ACT could govern on 63 seats out of 120.

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