What they published vs what they really thought

This is a very powerful graphic. It shows that the authors of the highly cited article that dismissed the lab leak scenario actually thought it was highly plausible.

This isn’t a case of we thought one thing at the time and changed our minds later as more evidence emerged. They published an article that directly contradicted their own internal messages.

This is why we must be wary of people who say “trust the science” because that relies on trusting all scientists to be honest. These ones were not.

Nate Silver has an excellent piece on how this should be a major scandal, widely covered by media. Sadly it has not been.