Views on immigration

Some interesting data from Sam Crawley using NZES data on immigration. The first is the proportion wanting a reduction in immigration levels at each NZ election:

  • 1996: 57%
  • 1999: 32%
  • 2002: 49%
  • 2005: 44%
  • 2008: 55%
  • 2011: 49%
  • 2014: 49%
  • 2017: 52%
  • 2020: 53%
  • 2023: 34%

So support is close to 50% from 2002 to 2023, but dipped in 2023.

The support in 2023 to reduce immigration levels by party vote is:

  1. NZ First 54%
  2. ACT 40%
  3. TPM 39%
  4. Labour 36%
  5. National 33%
  6. Greens 19%

The percentage of all voters saying it is the most important issue was:

  • 2008: 0.2%
  • 2014: 1.3%
  • 2017: 6.0%
  • 2020: 1.5%
  • 2023: 0.6%

I have no doubt it will be higher in 2026, as NZ First campaigns on it.

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