General Debate 02 June 2026
The NZ Initiative released:
“Our cities have been meeting their housing targets for years while house prices kept climbing,” said Dr Benno Blaschke, Research Fellow at The New Zealand Initiative. “The housing targets gave politicians and communities a number to fight over while ignoring everything underneath.”
New research from The New Zealand Initiative, Beyond Targets, proposes a better way to hold councils to account: replace housing targets with price indicators. They tell planners whether people have real and affordable choices about where to live and build, or whether rules are forcing people and businesses into bidding wars over scarce permissions, jacking up prices.
This seems sensible to me. An outcome (where practical) is the better target, than an output.
The Post reports:
Labour’s Dr Ayesha Verrall is adamant that her fees-free GP policy will not overwhelm clinics, despite featuring no commitment to fund the training of more doctors.
The policy has faced sustained criticism from Health Minister Simeon Brown, who says the free visits would increase demand on GP clinics without any plan to increase the number of doctors.
“Right now, the biggest challenge facing patients is simply being able to get an appointment in the first place,” he said.
This is correct, I’ve just checked with my GP clinic, and no appointments for two weeks for my GP.
In a sit-down with The Post, Verrall said cutting paperwork for doctors through AI and her plans to introduce a triaging system would free up 4.5 million appointments overall.
This is magical thinking. There is no actual specific plan, just a belief akin to we will build 100,000 homes.
Labour’s modelling anticipated two million more appointments a year once the scheme was fully rolled out after Budget 2028 ‒ increasing the number of appointments from 24 million to 26 million.
We have 5,600 GPs so two million more appointments would need an extra 430 GPs by Labour’s own numbers.
Instead of patients booking their appointments through a first come, first serve system, a nationwide triage system would see patients assessed over the phone to determine the level of care they need and when.
Sounds like centralised rationing. Rather than being able to decide for yourself if you see a GP, you will need to go through the Ministry of Health!!
Verrall said this system meant many patients would not need to see the doctor at all, and instead be referred to a pharmacist or online resources on the Healthify website to manage symptoms
So the phone operator will decide whether or not you can see a GP, and may just tell you to go read a website instead!!
I am a fan of agencies having both English and te reo names. I am not a fan of agencies only using their te reo name as happened under the last Government.
If an agency (or their website) uses both English and te reo, which should be the primary language? Well, let’s look at the census data:
If your job is to serve the public, you shouldn’t need a ministerial directive to work out which language you use first.
The BBC reports:
Former SNP chief executive Peter Murrell has admitted embezzling more than £400,000 from the party.
Murrell, the estranged husband of the former first minister Nicola Sturgeon, pleaded guilty at the High Court in Edinburgh and has been remanded in custody.
The 61-year-old used party funds to illicitly purchase luxury goods, jewellery, cosmetics, two cars and a motorhome.
He admitted to embezzling a total of £400,310.65 between 12 August 2010 and 19 October 2022.
Maybe SNP really stands for Sneak, Nick & Pillage!
Sturgeon has said she had no idea he stole the equivalent of NZ$900k on household items. She never noticed the following:
She must have been very distracted!
The full list is here. Titular honours are:
To be Dames Companion of the said Order:
Mrs Susan Jean Hassall, ONZM, JP, of Cambridge. For services to education.
Professor Elizabeth Mary Rata, of Auckland. For services to education.
To be Knights Companion of the said Order:
Dr Paul Andrew Baker, of Auckland. For services to health.
Mr Peter Francis Boshier, of Wellington. For services to the State and the judiciary.
Professor Emeritus James William Chapman, of Palmerston North. For services to literacy education.
Mr David Charles Ellis, CNZM, of Ngaruawahia. For services to the thoroughbred industry and philanthropy.
Nice to see so many in education get honoured.
Radio NZ reports:
New Zealand First will campaign on establishing a Special Economic Zone at Marsden Point to “provide relief” from planning regulations and the RMA in the area. …
He explained the proposed party policy, saying a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) can have varied policies, but include tax breaks, wage subsidies, reduced regulation, and investment in physical, transport or communications infrastructure. …
Industries in that economic zone would not have to deal with local/ regional councils, DOC or other agencies, he said.
Instead, Peters said, planning rules and RMA consents would be “determined quickly by a government panel”.
“This expert panel would make decisions based on whether the changes will grow the economy and achieve the aims of the zone.”
Other “relief options” the party was considering were changes to the Overseas Investment Act to “make it easier for quality foreign investment in the zone to occur while at the same time protecting our national interest and ownership.”
So an SEZ would have lower taxes, reduced regulation, no local government restrictions, and easier foreign investment.
I propose two SEZs. One for the North Island and one for the South Island!
Dr Ruth Bonita writes:
How worried should we be about reports of a growing illicit tobacco market in Aotearoa New Zealand? We don’t yet know the extent of this market but it’s estimated to be 5-10 percent of the tobacco market, and we should take it seriously enough to avoid ending up like Australia, where it’s estimated that more than half of the total tobacco market and more than 90 percent of vapes come from illicit sources.
Australia is a disaster in terms of the black market.
Recent research showed that almost two thirds of 18-24 year olds who smoke report using illicit tobacco.
Getting them into the criminal system young!
This distribution points to how illicit markets develop; illicit tobacco is driven primarily by price. When legal cigarettes become expensive, the black-market grows. The growth of illegal cigarette sales is a rational, although unwelcome, response to rising prices.
Many New Zealand smokers are switching to vaping – a smoke-free nicotine product – which are widely available, well-regulated and relatively affordable. Readers don’t need reminding, but I’ll say it anyway: it’s the smoke from burning tobacco at very high temperatures that kills people, not – as far as we know – the nicotine. These smoke-free alternatives to cigarettes provide a legal substitute for those who would otherwise continue to smoke.
The direct implications for illicit trade are obvious. Where there are affordable and safer alternatives there will be less demand for illicit tobacco.
A legal less lethal alternative is much preferable to the illegal lethal black market in tobacco.
This matters. A 2026 paper published in the Society for the Study of Addiction suggests that Australia has in effect lost control of its tobacco and nicotine market. The combination of very high tobacco taxes and highly restricted access to vaping has contributed to a large and growing illicit market.
The authors conclude: “Punitive taxes on cigarettes and restricted access to lower-risk nicotine products have diverted Australians who use nicotine into illicit markets and may also have increased cigarette smoking among young people.”
By contrast, they note that New Zealand has seen faster declines in smoking alongside a smaller illicit market under a more permissive and controlled regulatory approach to vaping.
NZ is doing it right. Australis is not.
The Free Press reports:
A new report out today accuses both the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) and the National Education Association (NEA) of spending tens of millions of dollars on electing Democratic political candidates, and prioritizing politicking over the needs and interests of their union members.
The report, conducted by the Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI), Gevura Fund, and Rutgers University, among others, found that of the NEA’s $450 million annual disbursement budget from fiscal year 2025, less than $46 million, or 10 percent, was spent on activities directly representing the union’s constituents.
Public sector unions in the US are basically a branch of the Democratic Party.
The Times of Israel reports:
An Israeli tech company has revealed the content of tiny particles it hopes will one day be used to combat global warming by scattering millions of tons of them into the atmosphere to reflect away sunlight, the New York Times reported Thursday.
Stardust Solutions had previously kept the makeup of its geoengineering particles a closely-guarded secret, protected with nondisclosure agreements.
As it turns out, they are made from amorphous silica, which is a food additive, and calcium carbonate, which is in eggshells and limestone. …
So far, the company has only tested the particles in the laboratory and says it would not test them outdoors unless it were in partnership with a government to lay down the rules and limits of the test, according to the report.
Hey this could be an opportunity for New Zealand. Science is amazing.
By Lucy Rogers
Recently I wrote a Kiwiblog post about a major report on mass rape committed by Hamas on October 7 2023 which RNZ (and every other New Zealand news media outlet) were made aware of via a press release and knowingly refused to report on: https://www.civilc.org/silenced-no-more That is despite the avalanche of evidence (including 10,000 photos, 1800 hours of footage, and eyewitness testimony from over 400 witnesses) that Hamas engaged in pre-meditated mass rape as a weapon of warfare on October 7 2023, and despite the fact that RNZ ordinarily reports on anything Israel-related on practically a daily basis (and I provided a large number of examples proving that).
But despite that, only two weeks later RNZ has just reported on the fact that Israel was just added to a “sexual violence blacklist” by the UN for alleged sexual violence committed against Palestinians: https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/596787/un-places-israel-and-russia-on-sexual-violence-blacklist
Even if the number of Israeli sexual assaults of Palestinians were remotely on the scale of Hamas’ sexual assaults of Israelis (of which there is no evidence) the hypocrisy is sickening. RNZ will report on sexual violence committed by Israelis but not on sexual violence committed by Palestinians.
Selective condemnation of sexual assault is evil.
… there are so many signals that the current government is going about most things education related in the wrong way.
1. It is highly predictable that the teacher unions and most of the teaching sector will oppose most changes proposed by a center right government. However the Minister has neither reduced their power – or engaged well if she is not willing to do that.
2. The curriculum changes have been driven by a very narrow group of people with very slim engagement, understanding of our system, and endorsement from the wide sector. The qualifications and experience of the education sector has been significantly ignored by a “do what you are told to do” attitude from the Minister.
3. A very narrow group of Principals – with NDAs – drove the initial decision to re-design the NZ qualifications system.
4. The current group of students going through NCEA (which will continue up until 2030) have largely been ignored. From the 2024 LEAVERS data 15.9% of students were leaving school (after 13,200 funded hours) with no qualifications – and very little hope. The stats for 2025 leavers may well be very close to 20% of leavers with less than LEVEL 1 NCEA.
5. For 2024 Leavers with UE – 61% of Asian students had that qualification, 43% of European, 24% Pasifika and 19% Maori. What we are currently hearing is that some students are simply “not suited to higher level study” … dig a bit deeper and people often mean brown/poor students. Cabinet papers also declare that these students will be disadvantaged by the new qualifications.
6. Regular attendance is still dire with just 68.8% of NZ students meeting the 90% threshold. For Maori it was 54.6% and for Pasifika it was 57.9%. This is on the way up but has a long way to go.
7. The Charter School roll-out has completely bombed with a range of tiny, niche, schools and the overall numbers being boosted by the Crimson online school figures. No State school has converted – which is stunning re the settings when you consider that none of the previous Charter Schools have come back into the fold. After nine years of endeavor on NZ’s CS model, completely out of alignment with the successful US version, we see that just 0.2% of students have this opportunity in NZ.
8. The Minister was embarrassed and forced into a reversal on increasing home school regulations. Parents are sovereign – not the government.
9. Nothing has been done to enhance the efficacy of parenting in NZ from conception until 5 years old (school entry). Until this happens most intervention funding will be wasted as a very signifcant number of children are starting school years behind where they should be developmentally – and will never catch up.
10. Too many resources that are being supplied into the NZ system are through closed processes and given to overseas publishers. Millions and millions of dollars are going to overseas publishers with no understanding of the education needs of NZ – while capable NZ companies are simply ignored.
11. Last and most important … the influence, incompetence and shear absorption of taxpayer funding of the Ministry of Education has not been reigned in at all. The Ministry was largely excepted from Nicola Willis’ budget reductions. The leadership under Hipkins, Ardern, Tinetti is still largely in place. When Hipkins became the Minister there were approx. 2,700 Education bureaucrats. When Labour finished it was above 4,000 and the Stanford/Seymour combination has barely reduced it. It is one of the great examples of David Graeber’s BS jobs – where you employ more people and see a HUGE decline in performance. Which NZ politician has the courage to walk into this institution with a bathroom sink?
Tomas Pueyo has collated a huge amount of public opinion data from Muslims in Western countries. He finds:
Depending on the country of origin and destination:
~10-40% of Muslims are moderate & well integrated
~20-50% are conservative, religious, pious
~25% are fundamentalists
~Of which 15% (pp) are radical Islamists
Some findings in the US:
He concludes:
In summary, the picture in the US is encouraging. Although Muslims seem to be pious, their beliefs seem reasonably well integrated with those of the broader public. They believe in democracy and don’t believe in extremism. But a sizable minority believes Islam should be interpreted traditionally and that it has a natural conflict with democracy, while Muslims suspect there’s a sizable share of extremists among them, and that worries them.
But in Europe, it is more challenging:
It is worth noting that for most of these, these are minority views. But they are sizeable minorities – not small under 10% minority views.
Sky News reports:
Central to his address on Thursday night was Mr Taylor’s new plan to stop bracket creep from eroding living standards by indexing tax thresholds.
From 2028-29, the Coalition would index the bottom two tax brackets, with the top two to follow from 2031-32.
“That will fully protect 85 per cent of income earners, with relief of around $250 in year one, growing to more than $1,000 a year in year four,” Mr Taylor said.
An excellent policy. Not indexing tax brackets to inflation results in stealth tax increases every year. Just as we index benefits to inflation, we should also index tax brackets so those in work get treated just as fairly as those not in work.
A guest post by Fish Across Face:
My name is a pseudonym, as I’m identifiable with a high profile local television show. For what it’s worth, publishing the following is an acknowledgement from our host that I have decades of experience in most areas of TV, radio, commercial production and so on. My name wouldn’t be familiar, but to kiwis, my content is.
This post addresses today’s failing media ecosystem, its relationship with the Left of politics, and how to fix it – from someone inside the tent.
Political Bias.
The charge of institutional media bias is denied because those guilty can’t see it. In my long experience, the partiality is often nurtured at the breast in the comfortable homes of those who can indulge their bright, inquisitive children. The fruit sets at school, and later ripens on the vine of tertiary media institutes.
In the workplace, the bias is sealed in with the subsidy – income guaranteed by governments of the Left, with few strings.
Any subsidised industry will fight to retain the oxygen of subsidy.
Examples.
RNZ Checkpoint presenter Lisa Owen was the left to Ryan Bridge’s right during their Magic Live days, so her politics are no secret. John Campbell’s corresponding views are now a matter of public record. So – the two leading RNZ voices are self-identified as left-leaning. I can advise that the vast majority of the company follows suit.
(Incidentally, ‘Checkpoint’ itself suddenly extended from one to two hours ‘to keep them honest’ – just after Chris Luxon became PM).
Meanwhile we recently discovered Maike Sherman was protected by TVNZ – the same organisation that deliberately misled viewers with an edited Donald Trump quote, BBC-style. Who are the people who did this? Do they still have jobs?
Nobody’s talking about that – or whatever it was that Lloyd Burr said to Maike Sherman in the first place.
1 News will make much of its integrity, but when it reported that the Haetea School mouldy lunch scandal was in fact the fault of the school, not the programme, this revelation was buried at the end of the bulletin. When the story first broke, it led the bulletin. It’s small wonder trust has declined.
Going back, Kiwiblog readers are familiar with the Public Interest Journalism Fund’s extraordinarily compromising requirements – blithely accepted by many.
Then there was the Bryan Bruce documentary about child poverty that coincidentally screened on TV3 three days before John Key went to the country.
I could go on. But instead of just pointing out the obvious, I’ve identified some challenges that news media – and media bosses in general – must deal with, in my opinion.
1: Issues to confront, to win back consumers.
1: New Zealand legacy news media tends to hold an overwhelmingly singular view of almost every major talking point, from Trump to trans issues. This ridicules the idea of a ‘plurality of voices’, and bores the consumer. This is partly why Newshub failed; its 6pm offering was routinely the same as TV1’s.
2: Te Reo Maori on radio and television. Without translation, the broadcaster is not communicating – which is its fundamental business. Consumers leave, not just because un-translated language confuses, but because questioning or complaining implies racism. Kiwis do not like to complain, or think of themselves as bigots.
3: Major newsrooms accommodating the views of extremist agitators as go-to commentators. This is a huge mistake; consumers will draw the conclusion that your editorial team believes radical opinions to be valid and interesting (See: Martyn Bradbury eventually sacked from Jim Mora’s ‘The Panel’ on RNZ).
4: Deliberate journalistic manipulation of subjects in the field, and/or employment of emotive language and editing to elicit a more sympathetic response to whatever the writer believes is the approved narrative. Trust me, it’s easy to do.
5: Downplaying, or complete omission of high-interest stories. The equally damaging opposite of this is over-indulgence; the late Kingi Tuheitia’s tangi is a prime example. Whilst an important story, it took up the first 15 minutes of every bulletin on TV1 News for a week.
All of the above has had the disastrous net effect of driving away prime target audiences; the older, the smarter, the wealthier.
2: Solutions to address balance (in no order):
1: Either radically reduce the reportage of low-value stories from Maoridom or shift them across to Maori platforms; that’s why they were created. The latest intrigues and squabbles are of little interest to mainstream consumers.
2: Replace unionised workers on both state broadcasters with contractors. The dynamic nature of the profession requires management to either remove public facing employees quickly, or work out a way to get them performing. In TV production, most NZ contracts dictate 1-2 weeks’ notice before termination.
3: Return to commissioning and programming content ordinary New Zealanders want – not what the commissioners and programmers want them to want.
4: Impose a moratorium on hiring new entrants for the professions coming out of the clearly partisan broadcasting schools. Instead, select cadets directly from Year 13 and train them in house.
5: Reduce the incessant talking points from known radical activists who do not represent mainstream views. Leave these to the minnow internet platforms.
6: For TVNZ, tap into the extensive back catalogue. The hard core of the audience enjoys nostalgia. This content often needs re-formatting, but on the up side it was often made using very high production standards.
7: Amalgamate TVNZ, RNZ and Whakaata Maori newsrooms. There is no risk of ‘losing another voice’ as the voices are synchronous. Cutting down duplication can release capital to reinvest elsewhere, reduce reliance on the taxpayer or return a dividend.
8: Take risks in programming and news gathering; media is a business of risk. There is no shortage of high-interest stories that are uncomfortable to document, but they’re often ignored because they might upset some of the loud voices in society.
9: Avoid hiring trouble. Knowing what to look out for is difficult because big personalities are involved, but there’s Paul Henry trouble and there’s Maike Sherman trouble. One attracts more than they repel, the other repels more than they attract..
10: Direct journalists and writers to cease using emotive manipulation to elicit a desired response. If it’s obvious, three strikes and you’re gone, and that goes for the manager. Journalists are not in short supply. Avoid blanket quoting from, subscribing to and eliciting opinion solely from well-known international left-leaning news outlets. The cumulative effect is that the consumer again sees a partisan viewpoint.
Summary:
There is shared concern – mainly among those who have the most to lose – that political interference in state media is afoot. Not so; the interference is an attempt to restore equilibrium, as opposed to just giving up and closing it all down – which is doable, but politically expensive.
For those in the media wondering how to repair the damage that has clearly been done over recent years, look no further than Mike Hosking. He is a maverick in media circles, often derided, yet commands by far the largest audience in the country.
With commercials.
Work it out.
The NY Times reports:
Jonathan Haidt, a social psychologist and author, has been on the front lines of campus battles over free speech for more than a decade, warning that the American education system has poorly served a generation of young people by cocooning them from ideas they might find distressing.
Now, he finds himself in a free-speech squall at his own university.
Student government leaders at New York University are objecting to his selection as the graduation speaker at Yankee Stadium — calling it “deeply unsettling” — and in a letter, asked university officials to reconsider before the ceremony on Thursday.
This is almost before irony. Haidt writes that it is a problem that young people are cocooned from ideas they may find distressing. Then a group of students object to him being a graduation speaker because his views are “deeply unsettling”.
This is beyond parody.
Some interesting data from Sam Crawley using NZES data on immigration. The first is the proportion wanting a reduction in immigration levels at each NZ election:
So support is close to 50% from 2002 to 2023, but dipped in 2023.
The support in 2023 to reduce immigration levels by party vote is:
The percentage of all voters saying it is the most important issue was:
I have no doubt it will be higher in 2026, as NZ First campaigns on it.
On Patreon (paywalled) I write:
I have calculated paper margins for all 64 general electorates, and ranked them in order from most marginal to least marginal.
These are what I call paper margins. They take the split vote analysis for each seat in the 2023 election. The 2023 party vote is recalculated based on the new boundaries, and then the 2026 party vote is calculated based on the change is the nationwide party vote since the election in public polls, and the split vote analysis applied to the projected party vote.
It is important to be clear on what these do not take into account. They do not take account of any change of candidates, of how well an MP has done locally since the election, of any changes in how people might split their votes, and of whether the change in party votes is unevenly spread. They are basically the 2023 results adjusted for the new boundaries, and the current nationwide party vote.
Closer to the election I will do an individual profile of each electorate, which will apply a qualitative analysis to the election data, which will take account of candidate quality etc.
In the table below, I show who is leading on paper in each of the 64 seats, and what margin they lead by on paper. They range from 0.7% in Kapiti and Whanganui to 51.1% in Mangere!
Currently National is ahead on paper in 36 general electorates and Labour in 23 general electorates. The Greens lead in all three of their electorates, but by 5% or less for two of them.
The table of all 64 electorates is at Patreon.
Less than 12 months ago Australian Labor Leader (and PM) Anthony Albanese was asked “Can you rule out any changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax?”
His answer left no doubt He said “Yes. How hard is it, for the 50th time?”
He has now broken that promise. The latest Resolve poll now has him 3% behind the Opposition Leader as Preferred PM.
Their net approval ratings are now Albanese -22% and Taylor +8%.
A good reminder that you can’t trust Labor or Labour on tax.
The Herald reports:

That’s a good headline.
Schools, hospitals and the motorists of Waikato are the winners of Finance Minister Nicola Willis’ final Budget of this term, with major losers including banks, which will face an additional tax worth $209 million.
The Budget included no direct fuel crisis relief for households, although there is additional relief for some services that are exposed to high fuel costs, including increases in mileage rates, which were previously announced. The Government has given itself a $450m contingency fund for fuel-related costs in the future.
Looks a highly responsible budget with more spending in key areas, but funded by way of cuts in other areas so we are on track to get back into surplus a year earlier.