Guest Post: Acknowledging Tamatha Paul’s Concerns: A Balanced Perspective on Police Visibility

A guest post by Sean Rush:

Tamatha Paul and I served together as Wellington city councillors from 2019 to 2022. Despite our differing political affiliations, we found common ground on several issues and developed a warm relationship that continues to this day. Recently, Tamatha, now a Green MP, expressed concerns about the heightened police visibility on Wellington streets, suggesting it causes more anxiety than security for some community members.

As someone who worked as a criminal defence lawyer in Hawkes Bay back in the early 1990s, I can acknowledge Tamatha’s concerns. It won’t surprise anyone that my former clients felt a sense of unease rather than safety when encountering police officers. This sentiment is not new and has been depicted in popular culture, such as the 1994 film “Once Were Warriors,” which portrays the harsh realities of domestic violence and societal struggles faced by many Kiwi families close to the poverty line. Jake “The Muss” embodies the cycle of violence and despair that continues to affect thousands of families affected by poverty today.  If your sole interaction with the police is watching your Dad or brother being taken away by the police then unease and suspicion is understandable. 

“What we see every Monday” was a comment at the time from one of my colleagues.  He was referring to the long list on Monday mornings of those brought before the courts all around New Zealand.  Weekends in New Zealand are a very busy time for the police.  When on the council I suggested we all visit the local district court on a Monday.  No one took me up.

Tamatha attributes these desperate circumstances to the lingering effects of colonisation. I call “bull.”  Tamatha’s concerns about police visibility have some validity and are rooted in real experiences.  But it is essential to qualify her comments, as applicable to a small (if growing) section of our society, who are subject to an intergenerational cycle of violence that has poverty at its root.  Without such qualification, which Tamatha has never offered, her comments are disrespectful to the men and women of the police force, both here and those departed.  This is where it gets a bit personal.  My grandfather and an uncle were with the force, both of whom have now passed.  Two of my wife’s bridesmaids are making sterling contributions to their communities with the force in Christchurch. But most disrespectfully, is the case of a rugby mate, a husband and Father from my Hawkes Bay days.  He was brutally shot and killed in the line of duty with the perpetrator killing himself.  Both murdered police officer and his killer were of Māori extraction from the same iwi.  

While colonisation has undoubtedly played a role in shaping societal issues, it is crucial to recognise that poverty is the single most significant underlying factor. Poverty does not discriminate based on race or ethnicity; it affects individuals across all demographics and leads the desperate, to take desperate measures. However, Tamatha’s Green Party policies of anti-growth, anti-capitalism, and misplaced championing of less affordable, intermittent, low-density energy sources, exacerbates poverty in New Zealand.  “But renewables are now cheaper than fossil fuels” they will say.  In response I would ask “How much does it cost to buy a kilowatt hour of solar or wind power once the Sun’s gone down or the wind’s not blowing?”  Yeah, that’s right.  You can’t.

Had the Green Party not championed the ban on oil and gas exploration, we could be tapping into promising prospects offshore Hawke’s Bay or the Barque prospect offshore Canterbury. In addition to energy security, these developments could create thousands of high-paying jobs, enormous royalty revenues and provide economic independence for those struggling to make ends meet. In my opinion piece for The Post back in April 2018, I highlighted that the real cost of closing down oil and gas was the lost chance to bring folks out of poverty and I stand by that. The potential benefits of these resources could have been transformative for our economy and made a real difference to the lives of those doing it tough, not to mention funding quality health, education and other public services.  Instead, Green dogma, successfully shut down what could have been a nation changing industry.  They have made poverty worse in New Zealand.

To change the economic fortunes of New Zealand and climb back up the OECD productivity rankings, like every 21st century economy, we need reliable and affordable energy. Globally, fossil fuels continue to make up over 80% of the mix.  It is cheap, reliable, energy, whether in the form of fuel or power.  It is the life blood that allows businesses to produce more efficiently, increase productivity, compete globally, pay more taxes, and potentially hire more staff. In the absence of an alternative to fossil fuels, fossil fuels remain the path to economic independence that can contribute to consigning the struggles depicted in “Once Were Warriors” to history.

Unfortunately, Green Party dogma disallows this strategy. Their policies once were centred on the environment.  But over time, balanced environmental protection that Kiwis support, has morphed into the degrowth, anti-capitalist, anti-business agenda.  This is the “ideology” we hear so much about.  But preventing access to natural resources is contributing to the very issues Tamatha highlights.  We are poorer, more desperate, on the edge of the law, or over it.  No surprise then that sections of our community at the limit feel uneasy when seeing police officers.  This is not likely to be Tamatha’s constituents in Wellington Central, one of New Zealand’s wealthiest and most educated electorates.  However, for those living far away from the Beehive who are in poverty, the kind of kids I used to deal with each day, the presence of police can be a stark reminder of their struggles.  Just remember the police deal with these kids every day too.  Tamatha does not.

The degrowth policies embraced by the Green Party, have consistently led to economic decline wherever they have been tried – ask anyone at Kinleith or Ohakune where the pulp and paper mills are closing due to surging electricity prices.  “Surging” because we have no gas! Conversely, providing individuals with opportunities and fostering a competitive environment can lead to economic prosperity. Kiwis are known for their ingenuity and resilience; given the chance, they can create wealth for themselves, their businesses, and their communities.

We need to address the broader economic policies that contribute to poverty and recognise that Tamatha’s own party’s energy policies are, and will, exacerbate them. By focusing on reliable and affordable energy, fostering competition, and providing opportunities, we can create a more prosperous and secure future for all New Zealanders.

Sean Rush was an Eastern Ward Wellington City Councillor from 2019 to 2022 and stood for the Act party in the Otaki electorate in the 2023 general election.  He was formerly a Director of the Association of International Petroleum Negotiators.

Notes:  

  1. Len Snee murder covered by Stuff at https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/2391507/Police-officer-shot-dead-in-Napier

Rush Op-ed 27 April 2018 https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/103389522/the-real-cost-of-closing-down-oil-and-gas

Putting children first

Karen Chhour announced:

Children’s Minister Karen Chhour has welcomed the passing of legislation to repeal section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act by Parliament.

The Bill’s passing will enable Oranga Tamariki—Ministry for Children and its frontline staff to focus first and foremost on the safety and wellbeing of children when creating care arrangements, says Minister for Children, Karen Chhour.

“This Bill will allow Oranga Tamariki to focus on its primary duty first, which is the care and protection of young people, making sure they are safe from harm.

While Section 7AA was well-intended, it also resulted in children being put second.  As the responsible Minister I could not accept or excuse this fact.

Sadly thought, almost half the Parliament could. They put ideology ahead of wellbeing.

These children’s lives are not lived in theories or in the comfort of academia or privilege. The harm that comes their way is not academic, it is real,” says Ms Chhour.

Academic theory vs real world indeed.

“This Bill does not stop the consideration of cultural wellbeing of children and young people in the care of Oranga Tamariki, nor will it result in the end of strategic partnerships between iwi and Māori organisations and Oranga Tamariki.

“I want to make clear that this Bill does not negate the importance of cultural connections for children and young people. What the Bill does is creates clarity in decision-making so that safety is indeed the paramount consideration for each and all children and young people.

I have no issue with looking to whānau, hapū, or iwi as a solution for placements, when appropriate, but safety must come first every single time and sadly that has not always been the case,” says Ms Chhour.

Again, such common sense.

Strange alliances on alcohol vote

The House voted on the first reading of the bill by Kieran McAnulty’s bill to allow businesses that are allowed to open on public holidays to have normal alcohol sale conditions apply. It is a very common sense bill and passed 67 to 54. It is a personal vote, but it was interesting where the support and opposition came from:

  1. ACT – 100% support
  2. National – 70% support
  3. Labour – 65% support
  4. TPM – 17% support
  5. NZ First – 0% support
  6. Greens – 0% support

So the Greens, NZ First and Te Pati Maori were overwhelmingly or unanimously against. A strange coalition.

General Debate 12 April 2025

Dire marks last year in education

A story on MSN mentions the marks Erica Stanford and Penny Simmonds gave education agencies last year.

  • Ministry of Education 3/10
  • NZQA 4/10
  • Tertiary Education Commission 5/10

They say they are performing a lot better this year. I hope so, as hard to go much lower!

How NZ should respond to the trade war

On Patreon (paywalled) I set out why the decision by the United States to renege on all 21 trade agreements it has signed is terrible, but it also creates opportunities for New Zealand. I propose three things we should do in response (and no not reciprocal tariffs).

Lobbyists campaign against other lobbyists

Radio NZ reports:

Former politicians and health experts are calling for more transparency and regulations when it comes to lobbying, to “restore fairness to government decision making”.

Level the Playing Field is a joint campaign led by Health Coalition Aotearoa (HCA), the Helen Clark Foundation and Transparency International NZ, which is chaired by Anne Tolley, to “end hidden lobbying”.

HCA is itself one of the biggest lobbyists in New Zealand. They see lobbying as noble and great when they do it, and evil when anyone else does it.

Winston doesn’t hold back what he thinks of them.

Slow the revolving door: A “cooling off” period to prevent former ministers and senior officials from immediately becoming lobbyists in their past areas of responsibility;

Does this include Green Party co-leaders leaving Parliament to head up one of the largest lobbying organisations in New Zealand?

Finally common sense for drug approvals

David Seymour announced:

Associate Health Minister David Seymour is welcoming Cabinet’s decision to enable medicines to be approved in less than 30 days if the product has approval from two recognised overseas jurisdictions.   

This change is included in the Medicines Amendment Bill (the Bill), which amends the Medicines Act 1981. The pathway will be in operation by early 2026.

The policy will start with Australia, the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Singapore and Switzerland, as recognised countries. These are the main countries Medsafe currently recognises. 

This is something Eric Crampton and the NZ Initiative have pushed for many years, and great to see it finally agreed by Cabinet. It is a waste of time and money to have Medsafe with a tiny budget and resources try to duplicate the work done by agencies such as the US FDA which have a US$6 billion budget.

Changes like this are not high profile, but they are very important and collectively make a difference so that Kiwis can access safe drugs more quickly.

General Debate 11 April 2025

Kiwirail’s $8 million consultants

Winston Peters announced:

Rail Minister Winston Peters has described KiwiRail’s payment of $8 million to a management consultancy firm as unacceptable.

“We are not criticising McKinsey, whose services were tendered in a lawful and competitive manner. We are criticising the decision to pay that sum,” says Mr Peters.

KiwiRail engaged McKinsey on 6 December 2023, but did not tell the Government about it until 7 February 2024 or disclose the value of the payment to Ministers until 6 June 2024.

I think new board members are needed. To not tell the incoming Government of such a massive contract for two months, and keep the costs hidden for six months is astonishing.

A bet with Steven Joyce on the world economy in 3 years time.

As an economist/educator I have always sat in the framework of Julian Simon and Indur Golkany – and other future optimists. Both hold that the economic pathway of the world, with fulcutuations, is constantly improving since the industrial revolution and that humans are better off now that we ever have been.

An example is that Asia has reduced the number of people in “absolute poverty” by 1.5 billion in two generations.

Julian Simon famously wagered, in 1980, with the doom-sayers of the late 20th century – specifically Paul Ehrlich – that key resources would decline in price by 1990. He was right.

For all sorts of reasons – including media and political influence – we are panicking about what Trump is doing with tarriffs. I would argue that unbalnced tariffs are a disaster – which is what we have had for 30 years (at least), even tarriffs reduces resource distortion and is a good interim stage, and the free trade based on relative resource advantage is best for all.

Real per capita GDP in 2023 (PPP – which takes into account living costs) has:

USA at US$82,769 – 9th in the world. 2024 2024 real per capital growth of 2.4%

Australia at US$70,340 – 16th in the world. 2024 real rep capita growth of 0.1%

New Zealand at $53,481 – 33rd in the world. 2024 real rep capita growth of 0.1%

World Economic growth as GDP per capita in 2024 was 3.2%.

When shocks come – people, business’, economies adjust.

Hence – based on Simon, Golkany and other future optimists I have taken this bet with Steven Joyce via linkedin.


Alwyn Poole • You

Education 710+ Ltd and Innovative Education Consultants Ltd

The great economist Julian Simon made a famous bet in 1980 with Paul Erlich and co re the price of resources moving forward.

Steven – you are jumping on a bandwagon and ignoring the true state of world trade.

I would be happy to take a wager that in three year’s time that the USA (Trump’s responsibility) and all countries who re-allign their practices towards the USA – will be measureably better off re per capita GDP.

View Steven Joyce’s  graphic link

Steven JoyceAuthorStrategic commercial and public policy advisor. Former New Zealand Finance Minister, senior economic minister and radio entrepreneur. Trained zoologist.

Alwyn Poole I’d take that wager Alwyn. To me this has a distinct Liz Truss feel about it, in terms of its likelihood of success.

I am happy to put $1,000 on it and have David Farrar adjudicate.

Alwyn Poole
[email protected]
alwynpoole.substack.com

One Palestinian death John Minto forgot to protest about

CNN reported:

A 22-year-old Palestinian man was tortured and killed by Hamas militants after he criticized the group publicly and participated in rare anti-Hamas protests in Gaza, his family said.

Hamas not big on free speech.

“He was still alive” when the militants returned him, Hassan said. Rabie was only wearing underwear and the fighters had him “tied by the neck with a rope, and were dragging him, beating him,” Hassan added.

“They handed him over to me, and told me, in these words: This is the fate of everyone who disrespects Al-Qassam Brigades and speaks ill of them,” Hassan said.

Hassan said he collected his injured brother and took him to a nearby hospital. Footage shared on social media showed Rabie lying on a hospital bed, covered in large cuts and bruises that stretched along his arms, back and feet. Hassan confirmed the authenticity of the video, and said the man on the bed was indeed his brother.

Rabie died shortly after being taken to the hospital, he said.

So criticising Hamas gets you tortured and killed, yet some people still claim moral equivalence between the sides.

Curriculum changes sound good to me

Radio NZ reports:

The draft secondary school English curriculum is ringing alarm bells for some teachers, with no reference to Te Mātaiaho – the framework that underpins every other curriculum area.

Teachers told RNZ the omission of Te Mātaiaho in the document published this week was bizarre, and they were worried it was part of a move to sideline the Treaty of Waitangi, which until recently had been a critical part of Te Mātaiaho.

This is the English curriculum.

Jepsen said the change was “educational violence” and it was not happening in isolation

Educational violence. How hysterical.

Abercrombie said curriculum areas grounded in the partnership principles of the treaty would always have better outcomes for students.

I’d love to see the peer reviewed evidence for that assertion.

General Debate 10 April 2025

Le Pen banned for pledge card equivalent

Politico reported:

Marine Le Pen’s plans to run for the French presidency in 2027 were dealt a likely fatal blow Monday after she was found guilty of embezzling European Parliament funds and deemed ineligible to stand in elections for the next five years. 

Le Pen and 24 other codefendants were accused of illicitly siphoning European Parliament funds to pay for party employees who seldom or never dealt with affairs in Brussels or Strasbourg. The court estimated that the accused had over 12 years embezzled more than €4 million, €474,000 of which Le Pen was held personally responsible for as an MEP. 

I am no fan of Le Pen, but this is not good. What Le Pen was found guilty of is that basically parliamentary funds were used for purposes that were more about helping her party, than parliamentary duties.

Anyone remember Helen Clark’s pledge card that the Auditor-General ruled was illegally funded by the taxpayer. This is basically what Le Pen did. Helen didn’t go to jail, get fined or ruled ineligible to stand.

All around the world, politicians use parliamentary funding to try and help their political parties. Now you should certainly do so within the rules, and there should be consequences for breaking the rules. But being ruled ineligible to stand for office (especially when you are the leading contender for President) is un-democratic.

Norm breaking should be condemned in NZ, not just the US

One of the major criticisms (which I share) is that Donald Trump has broken many of the norms of politics in the US, and he undermines institutional legacy.

In New Zealand, Te Pati Māori do the same. But their norm breaking is not called out to even a fraction of the scale Trump’s is.

Matua Kahurangi blogs:

Te Pāti Māori’s refusal to appear before the Privileges Committee over their disruptive haka in Parliament is a brazen display of arrogance and entitlement. Their decision to ignore a formal summons demonstrates a fundamental disregard for the rules of democratic governance and the very institution they are elected to serve. Rather than facing scrutiny like any other Member of Parliament would be expected to, they have chosen to hide behind claims of unfairness, painting themselves as perpetual victims while undermining parliamentary process.

The Privileges Committee exists to uphold the integrity of Parliament, ensuring that its members abide by the rules that govern them. If every MP who disagreed with the process simply refused to participate, the system would collapse into chaos. Te Pāti Māori’s rejection of the summons is not an act of principled resistance. It is political theatre, an opportunistic stunt designed to rally their base while shirking accountability.

One of the hidden success stories in New Zealand is how well Parliament, or the House of Representatives works. We could devolve into a system where the majority in the House can do whatever it wants with impunity, but over time we have developed a system which ensures opposition parties can be effective, but also the Government can govern. Some examples are:

  1. A culture that Standing Orders are amended only by consensus, not simple majority vote – has lasted for many decades
  2. An agreement that entrenched clauses are respected, and not got around by repealing the entrenchment clause (which is not entrenched) and then the clauses that were protected
  3. Requirements for Ministers to face question time
  4. Requirements for Ministers to front up to select committees
  5. Agreement that one out of every six days is set aside for non-government bills allowing opposition parties to promote legislation
  6. Agreement that the Privileges Committee is respected and MPs take part in its processes in good faith
  7. A Business Committee that operates by consensus or near consensus

The antics of Te Pati Maori pose a huge challenge to the House. They think the rules do not apply to them. They think they’ll get more votes by refusing to abide by norms.

So what could the House do if Te Pati Maori refuse to abide by the rules everyone else does. Well this would be a last resort, but if TPM won’t recognise the value of abiding by the rules, then why should they benefit from them. The House could (this is very last resort):

  • Remove TPM from the Business Committee
  • Remove TPM from oral questions allocation
  • Remove TPM from speaking slots on bills

Now don’t get me wrong. These would be terrible things to do. It would be the Government using its majority to amend standing orders in such a way to penalise a political party. This is something once done, can never be undone.

But if TPM continue on a path of thinking they are above the rules, then the only choices left are bad choices. So it is their choice.

Parker retires

The Herald reports:

Labour MP David Parker maintains tax policy disputes within the party are not behind his decision to leave politics.

Parker, an MP since 2002, today confirmed he would resign in early May after contemplating his future since Labour was kicked out of Government in the 2023 election. …

This will bring back Vanushi Walters, the former MP for Upper Harbour, as a List MP.

General Debate 09 April 2025

Labour looking to seize Wellington back from the Greens

The Herald reports:

Former Labour leader Andrew Little has confirmed he is considering a tilt at the Wellington mayoralty.

This means he is standing. I have little doubt he would crush Whanau. Little would at least be a competent Mayor. However I’m not sure Little would bring the fiscal discipline to Council that is so badly needed. 20% rates increases are obscene.

But this is all part of a plan by Labour to cease back the capital from The Greens. They will be standing very high profile candidates in Rongotai and Wellington Central to try and knock off Julie Anne Genter and Tamatha Paul also.

MP guilty of umm, nothing

1 News breathlessly reports:

1News can reveal that a National Party MP is part of a religious group embroiled in alleged child abuse being investigated in New Zealand, Australia, and the USA.

Ilam MP Hamish Campbell said while he’s been made aware of the historical allegations through the media, he has no personal knowledge of the individuals involved.

So the MP gets ambush journalism from TVNZ because he is involved in a religious group. He doesn’t know either the alleged victims or perpetrators or the alleged child abuse, but lets do guilt by association.

Compare that to the softly softly coverage by the media of a left leaning MP who posted photos of children to social media with sexualised terms.

Campbell said the church was “a non-denominational Christian group just trying to live the best way possible”.

“I have an association through my family. I’ve also been a scientist for the last 20 years, so I have quite a broad view socially liberal.”

Such a total beatup.

The Green hall of shame

The Wold World blogs:

Instead of front-footing it with a bit of accountability or even a mild, “yeah, fair play, that was dumb,” the Greens doubled down. They framed the whole thing as a morality play about queer identity and societal intolerance — completely missing the wider point. This wasn’t a homophobia problem. It was a judgment problem. And more to the point: a pattern. 

Let’s take a quick look at the Greatest Hits of recent Green disasters: 

Ghahraman – shoplifting 

Tana – migrant exploitation 

Kerekere – bullying 

Genter – contempt of Parliament 

Doyle – BibleBeltBussy, as spokesperson for early childhood education 

That’s not a blip. That’s a cultural issue. 

Either the Greens are just the unluckiest party ever, or it is a cultural issue.

A hierarchy of abuse

The report that Shane Jones and his wife was physically assailed at Auckland Airport had me reflect how much more serious it is to have someone abuse you in person, rather than merely online.

It led to this post, which I had been ruminating on for a while. It is my attempt to they and work out a sort of hierarchy from bad to worst of abuse against public figures.

  1. Online
    • (A) Generally abusive language about an MP
    • (B) Says they wished an MP was harmed
    • (C) Says they will harm or the MP
  2. Direct Electronic Message
    • (A) Generally abusive language about an MP
    • (B) Says they wished an MP was harmed
    • (C) Says they will harm the MP
  3. Phone
    • (A) Generally abusive language about an MP
    • (B) Says they wished an MP was harmed
    • (C) Says they will harm the MP
  4. In person
    • (A) Generally abusive language about an MP
    • (B) Says they wished an MP was harmed
    • (C) Says they will harm the MP
    • (D) Actually harms MP

Now I’m not an MP but I’ve had 3C (he phoned me multiple times threatening to kill me) and that was traumatic.

What happened to James Shaw and Shane Jones is very serious. Its one thing to have online abuse, but quite another when someone physically assaults you or your spouse.

There is quite a difference between a 1B and say a 2C. Someone saying you deserve to die (while abhorrent) is not a death threat. Saying you will kill them is a death threat. I have reported to authorities messages in category 1C.

And again while all of it is bad, there is a difference between someone mouthing off on social media, and someone actually directly sending the message to you through a DM or an e-mail etc.

There is not an MP above who hasn’t had a 1A or 2A and sadly most would have had a 1B or 2B. If they were all reported, the Police would need those 500 extra police officers. It’s really category C that needs intervention – when people say they will themselves cause harm.

General Debate 08 April 2025

Finally, a serious boost to defence spending

Judith Collins announced:

The Coalition Government today released a multi-billion dollar plan for a modern, combat-capable New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) that pulls its weight internationally and domestically. 

“Global tensions are increasing rapidly, and New Zealand has stepped up on the world stage, but our current Defence spending is simply too low,” Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says.

“This new Defence Capability Plan contains $12 billion of funding over the next four years, which includes $9 billion of new spending. This will raise New Zealand’s defence spending from just over one per cent of GDP to more than two per cent in the next eight years.

This is perfectly timed, and much needed. As the United States withdraws from the world, we need to be prepared to work with allies to protect our values and territory. We can’t freeload off other countries and only spend 1% of GDP on defence, when everyone else is spending 2% or more.

This graph shows how massive the increase will be. We will get back to a level last seen 30 years ago. The world was a lot safer in the mid 1990s than it is today.

Polls and more polls