For Wellingtonians, the Backbencher has put aside a table for us at the back of the bar from 11 am (opening time) until 4 pm on Friday. Polls close at 9 am so results should start to be flowing by then.
We won’t be using the TV screens as the Backbencher doesn’t have BBC. In fact it seems no bar in Wellington does. But we’ll have laptops there so we can stream coverage and check out the latest results as they come in. There will be a power supply to the table, so feel free to BYO laptop.
I’ll be there from 11, and enjoying a few beers during the day.
The UK Polling Report has the average of the polls being Conservatives 35%, Labour 28% and Lib Dems 27%. They project this to be Conservatives the biggest party but 52 short of a majority.
Their projection has Conservatives at 274 and Labour at 264, so not impossible Labour could remain largest party, and govern again.
However 538.com are projecting Conservatives 308,Labour 198 and Lib Dems 113. You need 326 seats to govern.
Pollster.com is projecting 297 Conservative, 225 Labour and 96 Lib Dems.
So really it could be anything from a narrow Labour plurality of seats, to a narrow Conservative majority. That’s what will make the actual results so exciting.Tags: United Kingdom