Mayor Naylor for Palmerston North

May 13th, 2014 at 4:00 pm by David Farrar

Stuff reports:

Mayor is the sole nominee for the Party candidacy for the Palmerston North electorate.

Naylor has just announced he will run against sitting Labour MP Iain Lees-Galloway in September’s election, subject to confirmation by local party members.

He said after 13 years in local government, he felt he had more to offer the city and could be more effective as a member of parliament than as mayor.

The timing was right for his family, he said, and while he had not been a member of a political party until recently, he believed National’s values around personal responsibility, strong families and community aligned best with his own.

If successful, he would resign from the mayoralty, triggering a by-election.

He plans to continue as mayor during the campaign.

Naylor was first elected mayor in 2007, after serving six years as a city councillor.

He was re-elected last year, in the city’s first election under STV, when he received 51.7 per cent of voters’ first choices.

This makes Palmerston North very interesting. Iain Lees-Galloway holds it for Labour by 3,285 votes.

Naylor has been elected Mayor three times. In 2013 he got more than twice as many votes as the second placed candidate. He got 52% to their 23%. National must have a very reasonable chance of winning the seat.

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46 Responses to “Mayor Naylor for Palmerston North”

  1. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (900 comments) says:

    If National wins Palmerston North, a Labour fortress, pigs will sure fly.

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  2. CHFR (241 comments) says:

    I see arial bacon my friend

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  3. anonymouse (705 comments) says:

    National actually won the party vote in 2011 by over 3000 votes,

    If Naylor can carry across his mayoral popularity into his personal vote, it is certainly not impssible to tip out Lees-Galloway

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  4. jp_1983 (237 comments) says:

    Remember the party vote is the only vote that counts

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  5. Alan (1,087 comments) says:

    In a competitive race the green vote will be squeezed hard.

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  6. peterwn (3,338 comments) says:

    When comparing party votes, one should add the Labour and Green votes together, it could show the combined left wing vote exceeds National. In such seats a significant number of Green voters will vote for the Labour candidate, so the National candidate will not necessarily win despite having the highest party vote.

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  7. Alan (1,087 comments) says:

    The Green + Labour party vote was less than 100 higher than Nationals.

    The 1,800 NZ First party voters that didn’t have a local candidate to support last time round will probably swing behind ILG and get him home.

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  8. Changeiscoming (202 comments) says:

    Mr Naylor is by far and away the best candidate National could have secured. 1000% better than the last effort.

    It will be an interesting race. PN has a strong Conservative presence as well so it will be interesting to see how strongly they run against Mr Naylor. An electorate to watch for sure.

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  9. CrazyIvan (92 comments) says:

    No, the party vote is not the only one that counts – the electorate vote helps determine which members of a party get in to parliament. There are a MPs who ‘ve been elected to Parliament as electorate MPs when their positions on the party list would have meant they would not have got in. They bring profile, a range of skills and are not necessarily just party flunkies.

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  10. anonymouse (705 comments) says:

    @Peterwn, but that sort of tactical voting often still doesn’t work, as not enough people do it.

    look at Auckland Central in 2011,
    Denise Roache still pulled enough electorate votes to let Nicky Kaye hold the seat, ( despite her getting in on the green list), if they had all voted for Jacinda Adern she would have won the seat,

    You cannot expect 100% of the left/right to swing in behind a candidate to beat out the other side,

    In this case, even with a huge push to do so, 8% of the votes still went to the green party, ie only about 1/3 -1/2 of her possible vote did vote tactically for Labour

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  11. Colville (2,318 comments) says:

    I live in Palm Springs.

    I would loooove for the lil smarmy prick lees galloway to be kicked to the curb.

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  12. Alan (1,087 comments) says:

    Green voters in Auckland Central knew that they could act that way and get all 3 mps. Jacinda was safe on the list and Kaye is seen as a socially liberal progressive Nat.

    If it had been someone from the right of the National party they’d have made the effort to knock them off

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  13. Chris R (71 comments) says:

    I live in Palmy. Naylor will in all likelihood win as his personal persona will carry him.

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  14. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (900 comments) says:

    People – As Cunliffe and Norman are so desperate for power I wouldn’t be surprised, if there is endorsement from toxic Greens to give their electorate votes to Labour candidate to trip National in key seats like Auckland central.

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  15. Shazzadude (531 comments) says:

    I doubt Jono Naylor would’ve won the mayoralty so convincingly (or perhaps not at all) had he run under the National banner, and I expect, perhaps unfairly, that a lot of his mayoral support won’t cross over.

    I guess in a way that’s one of the good things about local council elections, candidates often don’t advertise their political leanings so you’re judging them on their abilities rather than rosette.

    Lees-Galloway is popular in his electorate as well, managing to triple his majority last election despite the large swings nationwide against Labour.

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  16. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (900 comments) says:

    “Lees-Galloway is popular in his electorate as well, managing to triple his majority last election despite the large swings nationwide against Labour.”

    Now all of you read the very first comment posted by yours truly….

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  17. peterwn (3,338 comments) says:

    anonymouse – This tactical voting has worked in Wellington Central to the despair of National candidates. The Aro Valley greenies fall almost solidly in line behind Grant Robertson, despite Labour coming third with the party vote, and in the past despite a prominent and well known Green candidate Sue Kedgley.

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  18. OneTrack (3,374 comments) says:

    scs – “I wouldn’t be surprised, if there is endorsement from toxic Greens to give their electorate votes to Labour candidate to trip National in key seats like Auckland central.”

    But the noble greens wouldn’t take part in an arrangement like the one the evil neolibs have with Epsom. Say it isn’t so.

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  19. deadrightkev (610 comments) says:

    So another career trougher on the way then. I cant wait to see socialist NZ in 20 years.

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  20. dime (10,221 comments) says:

    Lees-Galloway is a prick. would love to see him go. hopefully hes down the list too

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  21. smttc (767 comments) says:

    You can bank on that dime. ILG is a male even if he is a horrible specimen of one.

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  22. Colville (2,318 comments) says:

    didnt ILG get caught balls deep in some palimentary staffer?

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  23. goldnkiwi (1,617 comments) says:

    Why is Palmerston North red? I spent most of my xmas holidays in Palmerston, my maternal grandfather having been born in Bunnythorpe, I do not think my farming relatives are Labour supporters (I haven’t polled them) In my mind rural vote National. Is it because of the university? I would have the same argument for Hamilton. Read Manawatu and Waikato.

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  24. Colville (2,318 comments) says:

    goldnkiwi
    The Uni and all the students are probably 20% of Palmys pop. All the rurals are out of Palmy electorate (and in Rangatikie?)

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  25. goldnkiwi (1,617 comments) says:

    Before I went to University, I thought they were the bastion of free thinking, not the centres of indoctrination that I found myself as an adult student out of step with. My teacher parents were also not left, lol I feel like an anomaly. ;)

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  26. decanker (185 comments) says:

    Under a Labour govt you would not have reported on this the same way if Naylor chose to run as a Labour electorate MP while holding his mayoralty.

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  27. edhunter (554 comments) says:

    Shouldn’t we be screaming from the rafters for him to resign from the mayoralty before the election?
    Isn’t he just going to use the baubles of his mayoral office to run his campaign?
    If we don’t scream does that mean we’ll condone Goff’s run for the mayoralty of Auckland while still member for Mt Roskill?
    Lianne did nothing wrong in Christchurch?

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  28. goldnkiwi (1,617 comments) says:

    Actually I am quite interested in National’s requirements regarding running for office and party membership, is it a year as Labour’s seems to be? Also is that the same for electorate and list and what, if any, exceptions?

    [DPF: Yes you must be a member for a year, but the Board can grant a waiver]

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  29. Crusader (328 comments) says:

    goldnkiwi (680 comments) says:
    May 13th, 2014 at 8:40 pm

    Why is Palmerston North red? I spent most of my xmas holidays in Palmerston, my maternal grandfather having been born in Bunnythorpe, I do not think my farming relatives are Labour supporters (I haven’t polled them) In my mind rural vote National. Is it because of the university? I would have the same argument for Hamilton. Read Manawatu and Waikato.

    Palmerston North is not rural. It’s a city. Plenty of beneficiaries there for some reason. Take a drive around, especially the Western side. Too many state houses. The electoral boundaries will exclude the rural parts.

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  30. goldnkiwi (1,617 comments) says:

    Still I would imagine farmers retire to town.

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  31. s.russell (1,650 comments) says:

    Speaking purely for myself I have no problem with a mayor or councillor running for Parliament, whether for Labour or National or the People’s United Front of Whangamomona. They do not need to resign first. But they should resign afterwards, if elected.

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  32. Psycho Milt (2,429 comments) says:

    Why is Palmerston North red?

    As mentioned, Massey and its students make up a significant proporion of the population. There are also a bunch of science research centres, so PN has a much higher ratio of well=educated people than other provincial towns. That’s good for Labour, bad for National.

    Jono’s got form for helping businesses in exchange for a fat donation, so he’s certainly right that National is the more suitable party for him.

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  33. All_on_Red (1,750 comments) says:

    ” There are also a bunch of science research centres”

    Translation- they’re all on the public trough, so they vote selfishly to protect their own interests rather than what’s good for the country.

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  34. igm (1,413 comments) says:

    This should be the end of another rainbow room rectum reamer. Jono is a real man, a good mayor, and has popularity amongst decent people.

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  35. Mobile Michael (476 comments) says:

    Being a sitting Mayor would disqualify you from my vote in a General Election. If you want to be an MP, you can’t also be a local body politician at the same time and give that role your full attention (that ratepayers are funding you to do). Even if I can’t stand the incumbent MP.

    If Naylor resigned today, that would get my vote.

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  36. Psycho Milt (2,429 comments) says:

    Translation- they’re all on the public trough..

    Well, the biggest one belongs to Fonterra, so you’re wrong to start with. However, the very fact that you automatically assume science research centres must be publicly funded shows just exactly how crap NZ’s private sector is.

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  37. Psycho Milt (2,429 comments) says:

    Jono is a real man…

    Thank Christ for that. If he was a trannie and looked like that you’d have to wonder about his mental health…

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  38. igm (1,413 comments) says:

    Psycho: The wheels appear to be coming off the leftie’s trolley . . . what a damn shame! Lies, deception, and greasing to young kids in a sandpit have kicked the congenital liar in the arse.

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  39. All_on_Red (1,750 comments) says:

    “Well, the biggest one belongs to Fonterra, so you’re wrong to start with.”
    Dream on Pyscho, Fonterra staff voting for a Labour Greens cabal would be like turkey’s voting for christmas

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  40. ChardonnayGuy (1,232 comments) says:

    Er, David? You do realise that Iain Lees-Galloway almost trebled his majority against National’s Leonie Hapeta back in 2011, at a time when Labour nosedived to one of its worst election results? And that there’s a high non-participation rate in Palm Nth local body electoral participation? Certainly, Naylor will probably attract more votes than Hapeta did, but you neglect to mention that Lees-Galloway has had a head start on campaigning while National has searched for a candidate to stand against him. Sorry, I think your assessment of Palm Nth’s electoral contest is somewhat generous to Mr Naylor.

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  41. igm (1,413 comments) says:

    National must get in behind Jono, really promoting him, and rid the city of this effeminate goon, who sits alongside that wimp Hipkins and the fat fairy . . . disgusting!

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  42. edhunter (554 comments) says:

    Cool! No problem then with holding one elected office & then using that office to run for another elected office that if you then win means you must resign from the first post.
    Pot meet Kettle.

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  43. Psycho Milt (2,429 comments) says:

    Fonterra staff voting for a Labour Greens cabal would be like turkey’s voting for christmas

    It’s Fonterra’s research centre – it’s staffed largely by scientists. Good luck getting scientists to vote for Jono Naylor, whom I always remember for his vital and totally achievable policy, “Make Manawatu a sporting force at the national level.”

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  44. Colville (2,318 comments) says:

    I see Naylor is 47% to ILG 37% on the online poll.

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  45. DrDr (113 comments) says:

    ILG does have a fight on his hands. JN will have a strong team supporting him and if he doesn’t win, then I expect ILG’s majority to be much lower than the 2011 result. The Greens have never really gone for the electoral vote in the PN electorate, preferring to focus on the party vote, so probably won’t add too much to ILG’s voting numbers. In terms of JN using the baubles of office to run his campaign, I think he will probably be too sensible to make that mistake. JN is pretty good at attracting funding so he will be sweet for campaign funds.

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  46. Fisiani (1,052 comments) says:

    On Ipredict the odds of National winning Palmerston North are now over 50% and thus ILG below 50%

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