Labour selects Tony Milne for Christchurch Central

March 8th, 2014 at 5:01 pm by David Farrar

Labour has selected Tony Milne to contest the marginal Christchurch Central seat.

Tony is currently a lobbyist for the Problem Gambling Foundation (which is funded by the Ministry of Health), whom he has worked for since 2008.He was also Jim Anderton’s Mayoral Campaign Manager and worked for Tim Barnett from 2003 to 2008. Tony also stood for Labour in Rakaia in 2002 and I think 2005, and has a degree in English and Political Science. He has also been the Youth Vice-President of the Labour Party.

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Labour’s gap

July 8th, 2009 at 11:00 am by David Farrar

Tony Milne blogs:

I don’t expect to see much movement in Labour’s polling for at least another 12 months.  The question is, can Labour do enough in the next 28 months to increase its support by the 6% or so needed to form a coalition Government with other partners?  And will there be any partners?  That’s a topic for another post.

Here is Labour’s problem. If we take the last Roy Morgan poll,  then Nat/ACT has 54.5% and Lab/Gre 40.5%. I am assuming Anderton and Dunne retire.

Now let say Labour gains 6%, all at National’s expense. That has Nat/ACT at 48.5% and Lab/Gre at 46.5%. Assume Maori Party gets five seats (two overhang) and the seats are Nat/ACT 60, Lab/Gre 57 and Maori 5.

Now if Labour can not convince the Maori Party to support them, then 57 seats is not enough. They need 62.

So without the Maori Party a 6% improvement from 33% won’t get them there. They need a 10% improvement to 43% – a figure they have never achieved in an election under MMP.

It as you work this out, you realise the importance of what Duncan Garner blogged about Labour’s tactics working against their own interest.

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Video goodies

June 18th, 2008 at 12:13 pm by David Farrar

Spare Room has an amusing video of a learner driver filming himself being taught to drive while speaking on his mobile phone. One instructor physically takes over the wheel from him.

And Tony Milne provides the Boston Legal clip about Denny Crane being considered as the Republican nominee for President. It is a classic.

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Blog Bits

May 27th, 2008 at 3:00 pm by David Farrar

Tony Milne links to a CNN piece of possible Vice-Presidential candidates.

On the Republican side I think Minnesota Governor Tim Rawlenty would be a good pick. He is a popular Republican Governor in a Democrat leaning state. The convention is in Minnesota

Not PC has a very comprehensive round-up of the work done by Trevor Loudon on Barack Obama. He describes Obama as “Keith Locke with charisma” :-)

Bernard Hickey has graphs of petrol pump prices, and how much goes to the producers, the local oil companies and the Government. The local company margin is currently close to 20c – a three year low.

Phil U at Whoar finds Jeremy Clarkson’s best and worst cars.

The worst is the Tata Nano and the best is the Nissan GT-R.

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