Violent crimes by youth

There’s been a few claims and counterclaims about violent offending by young people so I thought I would check the data out.  First of all we have the the publication by the Ministry of Justice called Youth Justice Statistics 1992 to 2006.  Sounds authoritative.

It deals mainly with 14 to 16 year olds.  Why? Because at 17 you are deemed an adult to be tried in an adult court, and below 14 you can’t be charged except for extremely serious crimes such as murder. On page 35 we get the population figures for 14 to 16 year olds.

Then on page 43, a table gives up the Police apprehension figures for 14 – 16 year olds for violent offences.  We see in 1995 it was 2,690. In 1999 it had risen only 0.7% to 2,708.  And by 2006 it had gone up 38% to 3,743.

If one takes the population growth into account on page 44, then the rate per 10,000 population was 167 in 1995.  By 1999 it had declined slightly to 166.  And in 2006 it had increased by 18% to 196.

Incidentially the number of homicides by young people was 22 for the seven years up to 1999, and 36 for the seven years from 2000 onwards.

But back to youth violent crime apprehensions. The graph below shows the trend nicely:

youthcrime.JPG

Now this doesn’t mean it is literally the fault of Government.  Helen Clark isn’t going around leading teenage gangs on a rampage.  But what it does show is the youth violent crime level was steady, and has increased in the last few years, and that this is why new policies and new approaches are a desirable thing.

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