Predictions for 2017

Once again I emulate the annual Fairfax , with my own. Here’s my 20 for 2017:

  1. Jacinda Ardern will be elected MP for Mt Albert in the by-election
  2. No one from the 2014 National intake will be made a Minister before the election
  3. The 2017 election will be at a later date (during the year) than the 2014 election
  4. The second highest ranked male candidate on Labour’s list (excluding those in seats Labour is expected to win) will be Trevor Mallard
  5. Winston Peters will poll higher than Andrew Little as Preferred PM in most polls in 2017
  6. The 2016/17 year will end in a surplus of greater than $1 billion
  7. The official cash rate will rise in 2017
  8. National will poll higher than Labour and Greens combined in at least 90% of public polls
  9. Shane Jones will stand for NZ First and be ranked in the top three on their list
  10. Helen Clark will return to New Zealand to become Vice-Chancellor Auckland University
  11. John Key will be knighted in the 2017 Queens’ Birthday Honours
  12. Steven Joyce’s first Budget will deliver tax cuts
  13. Labour will lose at least one of the six Maori seats they hold
  14. Labour and Greens will do a “dirty” (their former terminology) deal in Ohariu
  15. NZ First will get more votes on election night than the Greens
  16. US President Donald Trump will visit New Zealand
  17. Malcolm Turnbull will be rolled by his own caucus in 2017
  18. The Greens will again declare more large donations than Labour in their annual return to the Electoral Commission
  19. David Seymour’s euthanasia bill will be drawn from the ballot
  20. Cameron Brewer will be selected as National’s Helensville candidate

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