If you assume they retain their current 27 seats, then they get their first List MP (Little) at 23%.
Willie Jackson will become an MP if they get 29%, around their current level of polling. Of course in the last three elections they have done worse at the election than their polling six months out.
Mallard only gets back in if they get over 32%.
So assuming they get 29%, who will be their new MPs:
- Ginny Andersen
- Deborah Russell
- Paul Eagle
- Priyanca Radhakrishnan
- Jan Tinetti
- Willow-Jean Prime
- Kiri Allan
- Willie Jackson