Newshub has identified a key reason for Jacinda Ardern’s surge in the polls – it’s women.
Labour jumped to 33 percent support in the latest Newshub-Reid Research poll and almost two-thirds of that vote (63 percent) comes from women.
On the other hand, National’s support comes mostly from men. Less than half of those who said they’d vote for National were women.
Actually National’s was close to balanced being 54% male and 46% female.
But his is the share from each gender. What does it mean for their support levels? A bit of reverse engineering (assuming the poll was 50/50 male and female gets you this.
- Female voters were Labour 42%, National 41%
- Male voters were Labour 24%, National 48%
So female voters are split dead even between National and Labour while male voters favour National 2:1.