The latest poll by One News Colmar Brunton has Labour well up to 48% and able to govern alone. National is at 43%. The poll was partially taken during the time when National has no leader, so perhaps not entirely surprising.
The Greens are down at 5% and NZ First at 3%. This indicates their challenge – how to get people who like the Government to vote for them rather than that nice Jacinda.
For NZ First to be so low so quickly should worry them. They haven’t even had any scandals yet.
The poll also shows the considerable challenge that National has. They need to be able to not just keep the 45% who voted for them (which is by no means guaranteed), but attract an extra 2% to 3% on top of that.