August 31, 2021 11:00am by David Farrar

Has Trudeau blown it?

Justin Trudeau called a snap election two weeks ago to try and gain a majority (they are currently a minority Government). At this stage it looks to have backfired badly and he may even lose Government.

Here are how some of the main polls have shifted in the last fortnight in terms of the Liberal lead over the Conservatives.

  • Mainstreet from +3% to -10%
  • Ekos from +5% to -8%
  • Nanos from +2% to -2%

Of course under FPP it is not so much the national vote, as the vote in each seat, but they are of course linked.

Trudeau’s lead as Preferred PM has dropped from +18% to +2%.

The election is 20 September. Will be fascinating to see if the trend continues.