The upcoming MPs pay rise

The Remuneration Authority will soon decide what pay rise MPs get. This used to be an annual exercise. I lobbied for years that they should avoid the pressure of annual pay rises, and just have their pay set for each term of Parliament.

They have partly moved towards that. There is only one determination for the term, but it occurs after the election, not before – which I prefer. My preferred model would be the salaries are deterred three months prior to an election, so anyone elected knows in advance what the salary will be, and it won’t increase during the term.

The increase may be quite large as they salaries have been frozen since 2017 for various reasons. The problem is a large increase will look bad at a time when the Government is urging fiscal restraint elsewhere.

So I have another solution to the problem.

I have also long advocated that the minimum wage should be linked to the median wage. This would mean that the way to increase the minimum wage is to have a growing economy where the median wage is growing also.

Well the same could go for MPs. The higher the median wage of the economy, the higher an MPs salary is.

The median FT salary is currently just under $65,000.

MPs salaries are:

  • MPs $164,000
  • Select Cmte Chairs $180,000
  • Minister outside Cabinet $250,000
  • Cabinet Minister $296,000
  • Deputy PM $335,000
  • PM $470,000

This would give ratios of:

  • MPs 2.5 times median wage
  • Select Cmte Chairs 2.75x
  • Minister outside Cabinet 3.85x
  • Cabinet Minister 4.5x
  • Deputy PM 5.2x
  • PM 7.25x

No more of having the routine of people complaining if the increase is too high, if it is the exact same ratio as the median wage.

UPDATE: The Authority has made its determination, which is a modest 2.8% increase for most roles compared to 2020. They have also done determinations through to 2026, by which stage the increase is 11% over 2020. That is still pretty modest.

However the full remuneration packages are still considerable. This is what they now are:

Roy Morgan poll April 2024

The April 2024 Roy Morgan is out.

Party Vote

Seats

Governments

Direction

  • Right 34.5% (-0.5% from Mar 24)
  • Wrong 49.0% (-5.0%)
  • Net -14.5% (+4.5%)

Arrested for debating abortion in NZ!

The FSU informs us:

That’s why I’m writing to tell you the story of a case we’ve just taken on, standing with a man called Paul Burns who I’m defending in court on behalf of the Free Speech Union.

You may ask why he is before the Court. Good question.

Well, (brace yourself, now) according to the police, Paul engaged in a debate in a public place. For that, the police arrested him and charged him with a crime of speaking with “an intent to offend”!

If he is convicted he will be fined $1,000 and acquire a criminal record. 

Paul Burns has a strong view on abortion – one that, personally, I don’t share. But far be it for me to let that get in the way of us defending his speech rights. 

Paul feels so strongly about abortion that he wants debate it in public, and he puts his own money on the line to do so. 

Taping $100 worth of cash to a sign, he offers this money to anyone who ‘proves that slavery is more evil than abortion.’ He stands on the street in Wellington with his sign and debates his opinion with anyone who chooses to stop and engage with him. He is forceful but polite and respectful, and only locks horns with people who are interested.  

Several weeks ago, he was speaking with a group of young people, when one of them claimed that abortion is not only not evil, it is a good thing, because there are too many people in the world.

Because of climate change, depopulation is needed, so fewer births are good. To this, Paul asked him, according to that logic, why don’t you kill yourself? That is it. That is what he said. 

It’s a provocative question, for sure, but one that follows in the context of the discussion. If the world is overpopulated, how do you justify your existence?

Apparently the police have not heard of irony. It is a standard debating tactic to turn a person’s own logic against them to try and show what is wrong with it. It is not meant to be taken literally.

Paul was not telling people to kill themselves. He was arguing exactly the opposite: killing is wrong. A child of ten understands how arguments like this work.

But Paul was arrested for it. His trial is scheduled for the 17th of May. 

This is appalling. Like Dr Mulgan, I have a very very different view on abortion to Paul Burns. But I am aghast that he has been arrested and charged for debating the issue in public.

Or the banks could find it, instead of taxpayers

The Herald reports:

Banks want government support for a national anti-scam centre – and say other industries and search engines should help out too.

The banking sector has been under fire for deficiencies in its payment system which overseas criminals have exploited to steal an estimated $200 million from Kiwi victims last year.

But today, the New Zealand Banking Association (NZBA) has asked the Government to consider leading scam prevention in New Zealand.

How about the banks fund a national anti-scam centre, rather than taxpayers?

Banks made a profit of $7.1 billion last year. I have no problems with that, but if they then ask taxpayers to fund something which clearly is in their interest, I respectfully suggest they stick aside 0.05% of their profits to fund it.

The Judge is right

The Herald reports:

Killer Beez gang member Zane KJ Hepi was on electronically monitored bail and living at the Grace Foundation drug treatment facility in November 2022 when he covered his ankle monitor in foil and absconded, using the next hour of freedom to commit an aggravated robbery.

It wasn’t until months later that he briefly became the focus of nationwide attentionwhen he was the subject of a large-scale manhunt after escaping from a prison van on an Auckland motorway.

Hepi, 25, appeared in Auckland District Court for sentencing this week on the aggravated robbery charge. It was the latest chapter in a long history of offending and subsequent sentences, Judge Brooke Gibson pointed out.

The judge ordered a sentence of four years and eight months’ imprisonment, to begin only after Hepi finishes serving his current prison term, imposed in August for two burglaries and other charges, including the dramatic escape. …

He asked for an end sentence that wouldn’t be crushing for his client, leaving him without hope.

“Well, it’s pretty hard [to impose anything considered crushing] in the New Zealand sentencing regime,” the judge retorted.

This is correct. Recidivist prisoners just go in and out of jail for short periods of time generally.

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1 News Verian poll April 2024

The full results are here.

Party Vote

Seats

  • Labour 40 (+6 from election)
  • National 48 (nc)
  • ACT 9 (-2)
  • Greens 18 (+3)
  • Maori 6 (nc)
  • NZ First 0 (-8)

Government

Preferred PM (unprompted)

Repealing Labour’s attempt to reduce choice in early childhood education

David Seymour announced:

The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says.

The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, and stopping the introduction of new person responsible requirements that were taking effect in August of this year.

“Providers and parents are best placed to decide where early learning services should be established. Where there’s demand from parents providers will follow,” says Mr Seymour. 

“Current network approval provisions introduced by Labour give government the right to decide where services should be. They also make setting up new services complex and inhibit competition.

Labour seem to detest the early childhood sector because unlike the school sector, parents get lots of choice as to both the location and type of school they send their kids to.

When we were looking for an ECE for Ben, we researched 10 local centres. There is no zoning, so as parents you weigh up for yourself the attributes important to you. We visited four centres and then settled on a preferred one, which we waitlisted for before Ben was even born.

Labour wanted the Ministry of Education to decide if new centres would be allowed to be established and where. Basically they were seeking to turn a sector with choice and competition into a replica of the school sector.

Another reason to be happy for the change of Government.

Few winners in the Lehrmann case

The Judge’s ruling in the Lehrmann case in Australia seems to have got things just right. To a degree few come out of it with credit. Major findings were:

  • To remark that Mr Lehrmann was a poor witness is an exercise in understatement. As I will explain, his attachment to the truth was a tenuous one. I would not accept anything he said except where it amounted to an admission, accorded with the inherent probabilities, or was corroborated by a contemporaneous document or a witness whose evidence I accept.
  • Ms Brittany Higgins, Mr Lehrmann’s accuser, was also an unsatisfactory witness who made some allegations thatmade her a heroine to one group of partisans, but when examined forensically, have undermined her general credibility to a disinterested fact-finder.
  • But what does not reflect caution was standing up to her Minister and the Chief of Staff of another Minister when Ms Brown thought they were intent on protecting their own interests at the expense of allowing a young woman to make her own decision as to whether she would involve the police – even at some risk to her professional career. This showed integrity in resisting pressure she subjectively considered inappropriate and evinced a concern for the autonomy and welfare of Ms Higgins. In these circumstances, to be later vilified as an unfeeling apparatchik willing to throw up roadblocks in covering up criminal conduct at the behest of one’spolitical overlords must be worse than galling.

Basically Lehrmann lied about not having sex with Higgins. Higgins lied about Government Ministers covering it up. She was the victim of sex she was too drunk to consent too. However she tried to make it about a Government coverup, when the reality was that in fact Ministers wanted to refer it to the Police, but were stopped by doing so because of concern it would take the decision away from Higgins.

Wilkinson and Channel 10 were not found liable for defaming Lehrmann, but their conduct was seriously criticised by the Judge also.

Lehrmann comes out of this very badly. His claim that when they went back to Parliament at 3 am, it was just to work was risible. The judge commented:

Put bluntly, he was a 23-year-old male cheating on his girlfriend, having just “hooked up” with a woman he found sexually attractive. Human experience suggests what he then wanted to happen is not exactly shrouded in mystery. … commonsense suggests that it is obvious there was one dominant thought running through the mind of Mr Lehrmann as he was approaching Parliament House, and it was nothing to do with French submarine contracts.

If he had not denied that they had sex, then the issue of consent would have come more into play. But by lying so blatantly about the sex, he could hardly then argue that if it did happen, it was consensual.

The Judge commented:

“Having escaped the lions’ den, Mr Lehrmann made the mistake of going back for his hat.”

Lehrmann escaped a criminal conviction due to juror misconduct. To initiate defamation proceedings when he knew he was laying about the sex was indeed a very bad mistake.

Minister admits they were incompetent!

Radio NZ reports:

“What I found most interesting as a minister [2017-2020] is sometimes I would sign off answers that would be information that I was really interested in, and it was easier to get that information from an opposition member submitting a written question than for me directly asking staff the question.

That’s Julie Anne Genter saying that opposition MPs were better able to get information from her department, than she was able to as their Minister!

Astounding!

The new Three Strikes law may lead to shorter sentences

Heather DPA writes:

This morning I was listening to the radio, and I was quite shocked when I heard Labour’s Justice Spokesperson, Duncan Webb, talking about the Three Strikes Law.  

He said judges and lawyers hate it so much, they will find ways around it so they don’t have to implement it.  

He said because the law will now only apply to crimes with sentences over two years – 24 months, “we will see a lot of sentences at 23 months because judges and lawyers… hate this.” 

Now… that’s a shocker.  

Because what that tells you is that it’s just accepted that if judges and lawyers don’t like a law, they’ll find a way around it. 

It’s so widely known that Duncan just says it on the radio and nobody blinds an eyelid. 

It’s the reason, apparently, that when we had Three Strikes last time, no one ever made it to their third strike fully. 

Duncan Webb and Heather are correct. The old Three Strikes law was effective but Judges used manifestly unjust clause to stop almost every third strike penalty,. But at least second and third strikers did serve more time behind bars.

This new law could well see violent and sexual offenders get even shorter sentences than they normally would. If a judge has a potential say 30 month sentence they’ll definitely find some factors top reduce it to 23 months so they avoid having to do a strike which takes away some of their discretion.

The new Three Strikes law must remove the two year threshold for sentences for first and second strikes. It will not only gut the law, but it could well lead to revisit criminals getting even higher sentences than without the law.

A long tunnel for Wellington?

Simeon Brown announced:

State Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the Government has also asked NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) to consider and provide advice on a Long Tunnel option, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. …

“The Long Tunnel option has the potential to deliver up to 15-minute travel time savings between the region and Wellington airport, compared to around 2-3 minutes for the current parallel or diagonal tunnel proposals at Mt Victoria and the Basin.

“The option would also see better urban amenity through greater reallocation of surface level road space to active modes and public transport in the CBD and greater opportunities for housing intensification. Enhanced regional connectivity to the airport and hospital would also be achieved with reduced city and state highway congestion.

The vision that Steven Joyce had was four lanes from the Airport to Levin. This would make that possible. The four lane tunnel would go from Wellington Road in Hataitai to north of the current Terrace Tunnel. That would basically provide six lanes into and out of Wellington in the North and East.

The two critical factors would be cost and time. It is a better solution than just duplicating the Mt Vic tunnel, but perfect can be the enemy of good. If it can’t be funded and start construction in the next six years, then better to do the project that can be. However if it can be made practical, the time savings would be massive for Wellingtonians. You’re talking up to two and a half hours a week less time stuck in traffic.

FAA should lighten up

Stuff reports:

US federal transportation officials are investigating an unauthorised inflight cockpit visit by a baseball coach for the Colorado Rockies during a United Airlinescharter flight last week from Denver to Toronto.

Video surfaced last week that appears to show Rockies hitting coach Hensley Meulens sitting in a pilot’s seat while the April 10 flight was at cruising altitude. It is against federal regulations for unauthorised people to be on the flight deck.

So what?

This used to happen thousands of times before 9/11. Kids and others would often be allowed in. The number of adverse events from this was basically zero.

Sure since 9/11 we need tighter security such as locked cockpit doors, and not allowing randoms in. But if someone is a well known person who can be assessed as posing no threat, let the pilots make a judgment call.

Vic Uni shows how under threat free speech is

The new Victoria University Vice-Chancellor decided to have a forum at the university about free speech and academic freedom as it is obviously a topical issue, and the Government is looking at legislating some carrots or sticks for universities to uphold their obligations under the Education and Training Act.

They had a great panel of five speakers, being:

  • Law Professor Nicola Moreham from Victoria University (expert on media law)
  • Emeritus Professor Jane Kelsey from the University of Auckland (activist and academic)
  • Dr John Byron from the Queensland University of Technology (former president of the Council of Australian Postgraduate Associations)
  • Jonathan Ayling from the Free Speech Union
  • Michael Johnston from the New Zealand Initiative (former VUW Associate Dean)

There were 600 people keen to attend. The VUW staff also reached out to others with an interest in the area and had us do a two minute video segment with our views. It’s the sort of event that is so badly needed.

But it got cancelled, or at least postponed. Why? The Post reports:

Five academics and public figures were set to debate free speech on university campuses on Monday, but backlash within Victoria University has seen the event postponed.

More than 600 people had registered their interest in attending the event, a panel discussion about the role of universities in free speech.

But earlier this week the university postponed the event with a notice saying “the mere framing of this event has surfaced a depth of feeling and a polarisation of views on how we should proceed, that has made it challenging to even schedule a conversation about how to have challenging conversations”.

So what does that mean? We find out:

Student association president Marcail Parkinson said that context had not been clear and people “freaked out” when they saw the panel line up, which looked like a platform for “right wing voices”, with the involvement of Free Speech Union president Jonathan Ayling and the New Zealand Initiative’s Dr Michael Johnston.

She was glad to see the event was postponed and being reformatted. “That’s 100% the right thing to do in this scenario, when you make a mistake, to say actually we realise we made a mistake and we’re going to try and fix it.”

Student protests had been planned for Monday’s event, Parkinson said, and it remained to be seen whether they would go ahead for the reformatted event.

So the panel got cancelled because it had two speakers on there who might have right wing views (the same views the majority of the country voted for at the last election). Some (I bet very few) students were unhappy that two people whose views they disagree with would be allowed to be heard by 600 people who wanted to hear from them.

If ever one wanted proof of how free speech on campus is now a crisis, this is it. You can’t even have a panel discussion on the topic, unless it is exclusively made up of people with left wing views.

The forum is well intentioned, and I hope it still happens. But the cancellation or postponement has starkly shown more than ever that the status quo is unacceptable, and the Government does need to intervene to ensure universities live up to their statutory obligations around academic freedom and free speech.

$1.2 million bus stops!

The Post reports:

The full costs of a post-Let’s Get Wellington Moving capital are becoming clear with leaked details showing new bus stops costing more apiece than a house and a further $57 million for two new bus lanes.

This week Wellington City councillors were emailed a breakdown of transport projects going to the Government, via Waka Kotahi, to get funding under the National Land Transport Programme.

It comes after the new National-led Government pulled the pin on the $7.4 billion Let’s Get Wellington Moving (LGWM) transport overhaul for the capital. It was to be funded by Waka Kotahi, the Wellington City Council, and Greater Wellington Regional Council.

It shows the regional council is currently budgeting $12m for new bus shelters and information boards along the Golden Mile, from Courtenay Place to the railway station. The regional council has confirmed that money was for 10 new stops, eight of which had shelters, making for an average of $1.2m per stop.

Incredible. Ratepayers are being charged more to build a bus stop than most people pay for their homes. Are they making them from vibranium?

A great US story on the Tom Phillips disappearance

Dan Kois at Slate has written an excellent feature on the disappearance of Marokopa local Tom Phillips.

His take is very much the same as mine. As first a certain amount of admiration for someone who can keep three kids happy and well in the bush for three weeks, but dismay as he turned to crime and may get them killed.

I’ve followed the case from the beginning and there have been some good NZ stories on it, but it was interesting that it was a story on a US site that did such a great summary of the whole episode.

Meet an Auckland University lecturer

Yes that is a lecturer promoting criminal attacks on the PMs office. Will there be any consequences for this? Of course not. It’s not as if he is defending science.

Emmy’s official academic profile states:

I am a critical Marxist scholar working in the activist-academic tradition. The goal of my work is to demonstrate how social problems originate in the structure of society itself, and to argue for organised class struggle as a means of changing that structure.

Sounds a very open minded person!