45% a great result for National

I really think some media don’t understand MMP. As Judy Kirk always said, it’s the party vote that counts.

The latest One News Colmar Brunton poll has National at 45%, Labour 42%, Greens 6% and NZ First 5%.

It is frankly incredible that National is at 45% after nine months in opposition, and having lost John Key, Bill English and Steven Joyce. The poll means that they have not lost any of their voters, despite going into opposition and the change of leadership.

Compare this to Labour in July 2009 – they were at 31% and National at 56%.

Now of course on this poll there would still be a centre-left majority. But you don’t have elections nine months after the last one. You have them three years later and Governments often lose support as they go.

If National can knock out one of the two support partners for Labour, it’s basically anyone’s game. If they can knock both out they win. If they both get back in, then Labour stays Government.

Instead of focusing on the party vote, some in the media are saying it is a bad poll for National because Simon Bridges is only 10% Preferred PM. Well’s that stupid. Preferred PM has some importance, but nowhere near as important as Party Vote.

Would you rather be at 45% PV and 10% PPM or 35% PV and 36% PPM?

Well the last scenario is what Helen Clark had the week before she lost the election.

I know media need to justify polls with a big headline but in reality this poll shows no real change, despite the huge media over the PM’s baby. No movements beyond the margin of error.

What is useful though is that it counters the various left insiders who claimed they had internal polling showing National had dropped below Labour in the party vote. This is I presume the same internal polling that claimed they were only 2% behind in Northcote and only 1% behind National the day before the 2017 election.

People should always treat any story quoting internal polling with suspicion, and yes that includes people who make claims about National’s internal polling.

As I have said before my expectation was that National in opposition would drop to around 35% and have to work itself up from there. To be at 45% is excellent. It means they have to climb around 3% instead of 13%.

Medical Cannabis Awareness NZ on cannabis bills

Shane Le Brun of Medical Cannabis Awareness NZ writes:

Shane Reti’s Bill is both inspired and deficient in equal measure, and yet it is the most comprehensive piece of legislation we have seen on the issue.  …

At the “front end” the execution is almost flawless, the prescribing regime and dispensing system is a step beyond what was thought possible for a National party to support, as card access is more liberal than the prescribed product route. Dr Reti and those who worked with him can be commended for getting that across the line in the National Caucus.

The prescribing is a master-stroke, and from the outset he has properly engaged with prescribers and the Pharmacy Guild. It shows a level of leadership on this issue far in advance of the Health Minister, who appears to have been asleep at the wheel in comparison.

Reti has done what the Government seems incapable of doing – consultation and writing a decent bill. The quality of Labour’s bills in opposition was piss poor and in Government not much better.

The “back end”, however, needs more work and consultation with industry. Some of the requirements would provide significant barriers to both of the main companies vying for this nascent industry.

Helius is located in an industrial site well inside the five kilometre distance prohibited between residential areas and cannabis facilities. This is not an issue in other jurisdictions if sufficient checks are in place.

The five km proposed rule may be too restrictive.

What is most disheartening for patients, however, is that in trying to obtain consensus the party has dropped any form of compassionate clause in the short term to provide patients with protection from the police, which is sorely needed.

National is pretty firm on they don’t want this to be a back door to de facto legalisation. However there is a referendum coming up on that issue, so we may get some good change through the referendum.

One trillion dollars!

Stuff reports:

Apple has become the world’s first publicly traded company to be valued at US$1 trillion (NZ$1.48 trillion).

One trillion dollars is a lot of money!

That is a million million dollars

It is five times the GDP of New Zealand.

It is 5% of the entire GDP of the United States – in one company.

It is around half the GDP of Africa.

It is around US$140 for every person living.

15 years ago an Apple share was $1.50. Back in 1997 they were almost bankrupt. Today it is $207.

If you purchase $10,000 of Apple shares 15 years ago, they would be worth $1.38 million today.

A remarkable success story.

Alwyn Poole on class sizes

Alwyn Poole writes in:

Here are the three key things with class:

– marginal changes yield very little gain – ie. 29 to 27 make almost no difference. But 30 to 15 at Years 7 – 10 is mammoth and life altering.

– if teachers do not differentiate their teaching/learning but just think lower class sizes means less work – yep – very little effect. But if they use the extra time to get to know their kids, focus attention and change practices – once again – it is life altering.

– all of the effect sizes that Hattie has above c lass size are actually facilitated by a significant class size change and high quality dedicated teachers taking advantage of it.

All good points.

Massive change in viewing habits

NZ on Air looks at how people consume media. Below are the changes from 2014 to 2018:

  • Linear TV from 95% to 82%
  • Streaming Video on Demand from 12% to 62%

A year ago I had Sky TV. Now I have Netflix and Lightbox.

Individual channels etc daily reach are:

  • TV1 from 48% to 43%
  • TV2 from 27% to 20%
  • TV3 from 35% to 25%
  • NZ Netflix from 0% to 27%

They also find that daily reach with those aged under 40 is 49% for linear TV and 52% for SVOD.

This demonstrates to me why the Government should sell TVNZ as soon as possible. In a few years more people will be watching TV on Netflix than on TV1 or TV2.

Labour MP supports protest against his own Government’s Treaty settlement

Stuff reports:

Scenes of protest and defiance gave way to tears and disappointment on Parliament’s forecourt, as iwi groups clashed at the signing of the Hauraki treaty settlement. 

The Government has chosen to go ahead with the signing of the Pare Hauraki collective redress deed, despite deep division between a number of iwi which make up the group.  …

Labour MP for Waiariki Tamati Coffey stood with protesters on Thursday, and conceded he was in a difficult position. 

“I promised I’d walk alongside Tauranga Moana. I will continue to and I did that today. 

So Coffey marched with the protesters against the Treaty settlement his own Government has agreed to.

Will he vote against it also?

$90,000 wasted

Stuff reports:

Public health money wasted on a High Court challenge against a supermarket’s shelving arrangement for alcohol should have been spent helping ill patients, critics say.

Fourteen health boards throughout the country collectively paid nearly $90,000 in legal fees to try to stop Dannevirke New World changing the angle of shelves inside its already licensed alcohol area. They lost the case. 

Their case was preposterous. It got dismissed by the District Licensing Authority. The ALRA found it without any merit, as did the High Court.

This was zealotry gone mad. Their argument was that having the shelves with alcohol on them at an angle, would mean people walking past an alcohol aisle would see more of the product than if they were perpendicular.

MidCentral District Health Board medical officer of health Rob Weir started the process because he was concerned shoppers outside the alcohol area were more exposed to products in the alcohol section after two large shelves were turned on a diagonal angle and two smaller plinths added. The case was important as a test to help define the limits of new alcohol laws, he told Stuff.

But the $90,000 cost of the challenge has only just been revealed after an Official Information Act request. 

It was a massive waste of scarce health dollars. The link between the angle of shelves and harm caused by alcohol abuse is so tenuous that it would be like going to court to ban Easter because Easter eggs cause obesity.

Details supplied by MidCentral DHB show the initial hearing of its appeal to the Alcohol Regulatory and Licensing Authority cost $17,924, then the High Court appeal cost $69,552.

They should be ashamed.

MidCentral DHB covered both costs, but public health units representing 13 other health boards reimbursed MidCentral $57,961 of the High Court costs.

They’re like a cartel of zealots!

Disagreeing with Quin

Phil Quin writes:

In the event that the Supreme Court upholds the lower court ruling on Kim Dotcom’s extradition, the scalding hot potato lands in the lap of New Zealand’s political leaders. In weighing next steps on this matter, I would urge them to take into account the state of the Trump administration in general, and the conduct of the Department of Justice in particular.

However distasteful one may find Dotcom as a  person (very, in my case), this ought to have no bearing on the broader question: should the Government actively co-operate with the Trump administration by handing over legal residents to face untested charges in what looks more and more like a vendetta, and less than ever a genuine effort to tackle piracy or protect intellectual property?

According to Dotcom, the prosecution has nothing to do with Trump. In fact Dotcom is a huge Trump fan. Dotcom says it was Obama and Biden behind it.

Calling the charges untested is a red herring. All charges are untested. That is why extradition is sought – so they can be tested in court.

In the Megaupload case, its strategy is transparently to bully its way to a plea deal with defendants dragged from home and family, and deprived of a proper defence.  There’s no interest in a fair go; only total victory.

These are Trump values, not ours. New Zealand must not play along.

Trump just happens to be the current President. The charges and extradition request occurred under the previous President. Dotcom is again a huge fan of Trump, so arguing he should not be extradited because Trump is now President seems counter-intuitive to me.

Very few second strikers

The Ministry of Justice’s latest figures show that the number of First Strikers has just reached 10,000, or 10,031 to be exact.

Only 302 of those 10,031 were unwilling or unable to control themselves from re-offending and went on to become Second Strikers.

And just four of those 302 second strikers have gone on to become Third Strikers.

This appears to me to be working very well in discouraging reoffending. Yet Labour wants to repeal the law.

The strikes by year are:

  • 2010 – 160, 0, 0
  • 2011 – 912, 1, 0
  • 2012 – 1,310, 12, 0
  • 2013 –  1,335, 16, 0
  • 2014 – 1,277, 32, 0
  • 2015 –  1,297, 53, 0
  • 2016 – 1,446, 57, 1
  • 2017 – 1,538, 85, 1
  • 2018 – 747, 57, 2

The Lindsay Shepherd case

A scary case from Canada about how out of control the anti speech fascists are. A reader writes in:

At Wilford Laurier University,In Ontario, a Teachers Aide, Lindsay Shepherd, who identified as a left leaning liberal, conducted a class regarding the evolution and use of Pronouns, and in doing so, played a short clip from a program that had recently been broadcast on Canadian State Television featuring Dr. Jordan Peterson and Nicholas Matte.

What occurred afterwards at the hands of university officials is nothing short of chilling.

Shepherd was hauled before a tribunal of 3 professors where she was subjected to what can only be described as a hostile interrogation for daring to use a clip featuring Peterson, who was compared by one of the tribunal members to Hitler.

Shepherd was informed that this was instigated as a result of a complaint by one of her students.
No such complaint was made.

Shepherd has the foresight to record the meeting, and when it was released, the university was made to apologise to Shepherd, and admit that it had treated her appallingly.

If only it had ended there.

What happened afterwards is even worse, and is now the subject of a lawsuit from Shepherd, filed against Wilfred  Laurier University.

The Statement of Claim is attached below.

https://www.scribd.com/document/381838890/Lindsay-Shepherd-s-3-6-million-lawsuit-against-Wilfrid-Laurier-University-and-individual-defendants

 Yes her crime was showing a video of a TV debate. A debate showing both sides of an issue. From the statement of claim:

At this session, all three lambasted Shepherd, viciously attacking her personally,
falsely alleging that there had been a complaint or complaints about her tutorial and
insisting that, in playing the TV Ontario clip, she had been threatening to her
students. Rambukkana ludicrously claimed that her showing this TV Ontario clip
breached the Charter of Rights and Freedoms and federal Bill Cl6, (which does not
even govern provincially regulated Universities), created an unsafe learning
environment and was illegal. Shepherd was accused of targeting “Trans Folks” even
though Shepherd had chosen no side, had, up until that point, disagreed with what
she understood to be Peterson’s perspective and presented the arguments and the
debate neutrally.

Yep she presented a debate neutrally, but this offended the PC police.

The three refused to advise Shepherd what the Complaint was or who complained,
claiming that even the number of complaints was confidential. As was subsequently
ascertained, there had been no Complaint at all.

Basically these three fascists were so appalled that she exposed students to a view they disliked, they invented a complaint.

It was only when public and alumni outrage inexorably grew that Maclatchy was
ultimately forced to admit that’\rhat happened to Ms. Shepherd in the meeting was
shameful and that the material she showed was entirely appropriate.” This was only
after an Investigator found that there had never been any Complaint, formal or
informal, and that Rambukkana, Pimlott’s and Joel’s statements to the contrary were
false and deceitful.

Wonder if they still have their jobs?

Worth reading the full statement of claim if you have time. It is quite sickening.

 

 

Another Maori educator lashes Hipkins

The Herald reports:

A Murupara-based long-time educator has hit out at the Education Minister’s decisions to close partnership schools in favour of special character schools.

Pem Bird, who won the 2018 Matariki Award for contribution to education, said, in his opinion, Chris Hipkins’ actions were “profoundly disrespectful”.

“It’s condemning these children to return to a system where Māori and Pasifika underachievement is chronic, intractable and systemic.”

Bird said partnership schools were making a positive difference for Māori and Pasifika students.

Governments normally only close down failing schools – those that are unsafe or have almost no-one wanting to go to them. This Government is closing down schools that are wildly succeeding with disadvantaged kids, and have huge waiting lists.

“In mainstream schools where 95 per cent of Māori are concentrated, they are routinely failed. According to figures issued by this Coalition Government, on an average school day around half of all Māori and Pasifika secondary school pupils are truant.

Surely that isn’t true!

The data I’ve seen is slightly different but still appalling:

Only 55 percent of Maori students were regularly showing up and 57 percent of Pacific students.

This is the state system that Labour wants to force the kids back into.

Overkill

NewstalkZB reports:

Parliament Speaker Trevor Mallard is threatening to expel Press Gallery journalists if they take unauthorised photos of the Prime Minister or Clarke Gayford on their return next week.

Newstalk ZB Political editor Barry Soper says Mallard is promising that if his rules are breached, he will withdraw the offending journalist’s accreditation and penalise their employer.

Mallard says he wants to make Parliament more family friendly. He has posed in the Speaker’s chair holding an MP’s baby.

As an example, if the first couple happens to walk behind an interview being videoed with baby Neve, he expects that part of the interview to be deleted.

This seems like overkill.

Absolutely photos of Neve should not be published without the consent of her parents.

The PM has been careful to not publish photos of Neve’s face. We’re much the same with Benjamin. Since he was born, I think I’ve only once published a photo that shows his face.

So quite appropriate for the Speaker to say that you don’t publish anything showing Neve’s face.

But to do a dictate that media must delete accidental footage is over the top.

If media are doing an interview of someone on the bridge, and the PM with Neve walks through the backgound, the Speaker is saying the interview must be deleted.

One of the purposes of having a parliamentary press gallery is so they can interview politicians.

Surely all that is needed is that if they use the footage they either crop it or blur it to protect’s Neve’s privacy. But to say it must be deleted or you get expelled from the gallery is overkill to put it mildly.

Clark says prohibition has failed but won’t respect referendum result

The Herald reports:

Health Minister David Clark is personally in favour of more liberal drug laws because prohibition has not worked in the past.

He’s right.

But Clark would not commit to abiding by the result of any referendum on loosening laws around cannabis use, saying he preferred to wait for advice from his colleagues.

This is nuts. They’ve agreed to hold a referendum, but they won’t agree to implement the results of it.

Why hold the referendum in the first place?

National leader Simon Bridges today said that his party would abide by whatever decision the referendum returned.

But Clark would not commit to that.

Good to see National saying they will vote to implement the results of any referenda on cannabis and euthanasia.

A new defamation defence

The Court of Appeal has expanded qualified privilege from Lange vs Atkinson and laid down a new defence against defamation. They state:

Eighteen years later however, we consider it is again time to strike a new balance by recognising the existence of a new defence of public interest communication that is not confined to parliamentarians or political issues, but extends to all matters of significant public concern and which is subject to a responsibility requirement.

That’s great for media, and publishers like Kiwiblog.

The other alternative would be to deny the defence altogether to anyone other than the mainstream media but we do not consider that drawing such a distinction would be justified either as a matter of logic, policy or principle. Non-media commentators have an important role to play.

The Court of Appeal explicitly states the defence should be available to publishers outside the mainstream media. Again good for Kiwiblog.

Building on the English and Canadian case law, we consider the elements of
the new defence should be:
(a) the subject matter of the publication was of public interest; and
(b) the communication was responsible

So what is responsible:

Relevant circumstances to be taken into account may include:
(a) The seriousness of the allegation — the more serious the allegation, the
greater the degree of diligence to verify it.
(b) The degree of public importance.
(c) The urgency of the matter — did the public’s need to know require the defendant to publish when it did, taking into account that news is often a perishable commodity.
(d) The reliability of any source.
(e) Whether comment was sought from the plaintiff and accurately
reported

(f) The tone of the publication.
(g) The inclusion of defamatory statements which were not necessary to communicate on the matter of public interest.

A very useful decision.

Basic Instinct allegations against Australian MP

The Australian reports:

Explosive new allegations have emerged concerning embattled Labor MP Emma Husar, including that she sexually harassed another politician and diverted thousands of dollars into her personal bank account.

Staff allege Ms Husar performed the revealing leg-crossing move made famous by Sharon Stone in the film Basic Instinct in front of a Labor frontbencher, BuzzFeed News has reported this morning. …

Staff allegedly told Mr Whelan that Ms Husar would often talk about sex and engage in inappropriate sexualised behaviour in the office.

“Several employees reported that you would discuss in the office who you found attractive and who you wanted to have sex with or who you have had sex with including references to Members of Parliament and Members of Staff,” Whelan reportedly wrote in his letter to Husar.

The letter details an allegation from a staff member that on 19 June 2017 at approximately 7.05pm while in Labor frontbencher Jason Clare’s office, Ms Husar performed the revealing leg-crossing move made famous by Sharon Stone in Basic Instinct.

“It is alleged that you and [a staff member] attended Mr Jason Clare’s office at Parliament. Mr Clare was sitting on the floor playing with his son. [The staff member] alleged that he was sitting opposite you and that on three occasions you spread your legs, revealing that you were not wearing any underwear. [The staff member] felt that your conduct was deliberate, proactive and targeted towards Mr Clare.”

This morning, Mr Clare said the allegation that Ms Husar had performed the Sharon Stone move in his office was “categorically untrue”.

Maybe he didn’t notice, which is why she did it three times!

Others allegedly said Husar purchased multiple topless firefighter calendars and placed them on employees’ desks.

Can’t say I’d find that offensive but imagine if a male MP handed out female model calendars to staff – he’d be lynched.

Waka jumping debate

Some extracts from the 2nd reading speeches:

Hon Dr NICK SMITH (National—Nelson): Freedom of speech, tolerance of dissent, and respect for democracy are core Kiwi values that are worth fighting for. National opposed this bill at first reading, at select committee, and we will do so at every stage of the Parliamentary process. The right of voters—and voters alone—to dismiss MPs was established 330 years ago with the Bill of Rights. The powers in this bill, for a party leader to dismiss an MP, have no place in a liberal democracy like New Zealand.

That is the fundamental change. No longer is it up to the voters. A party leader with caucus support can expel an elected MP (including electorate MPs) from Parliament under this law.

Late last year, Mr Shaw stated that the advantage of the supply and confidence agreement was this, and I quote him, “Green MPs will not vote for anything they do not agree with.” That is exactly what is happening here. This betrayal of core values could not be more serious. A founding Green co-leader said of the same bill, in 2001, that it was the most Draconian, obnoxious, anti-democratic—

Hon James Shaw: I raise a point of order, Madam Speaker. Dr Smith has now brought the memory of Rod Donald into this debate and into question time a number of times. I think this is the fourth time that I’m aware of—

Madam DEPUTY SPEAKER: Would you get to the point? Is there a point of order here?

Hon James Shaw: Yes, there is. I’m offended and I would like him to withdraw and apologise. It is called waving a dead man’s hand—

James Shaw doesn’t like his hypocrisy being highlighted. Shaw said Green MPs will not vote for anything they don’t agree with, yet this is now exactly what they are doing. Did he lie, or was he just naive?

And Nick Smith did not even mention Rod Donald by name. He is quoting what Donald said on an earlier bill. It may offend the Greens to be reminded of their hypocrisy, but tough.

Hon Dr NICK SMITH: A quote for Mr Shaw’s benefit from the parliamentary Hansard “the most Draconian, obnoxious, anti-democratic, insulting piece of legislation ever inflicted in this Parliament”, yet it is now to become the law with the votes of people like Mr Shaw. We also heard evidence from officials at select committee that this bill breaches the UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights and the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights. Only six months ago, I heard the member in this House quoting the importance of those treaties and human rights, yet today is the vote on a bill that tramples on those very rights.

The Green position now on human rights is they’re in favour of them, unless WInston tells them not to be. Pathetic poodles.

The lack of integrity from New Zealand First on this bill is no better. When a National MP left for New Zealand First Mr Peters totally backed him, saying it was his right and he was not elected to swear an oath of blind allegiance to any political party. Mr Peters’ principles are as shallow as a bird bath. If an MP leaves a party for New Zealand First, that is their constitutional right. But if an MP leaves New Zealand First for another, he calls it a constitutional outrage.

The only reason we have this bill is Peters is incapable of managing a caucus. Of his 55 or so former MPs, he has fallen out with 28 of them (at least). The problem isn’t them, it’s him.

GOLRIZ GHAHRAMAN: And we do have concerns about party caucuses being able to remove MPs from Parliament. So, yes, this was a difficult decision, but it has come about because we’ve decided that this new Government must succeed and we must support it in good faith to succeed.

This suggests that Winston convinced the Greens he would collapse the Government if they didn’t vote for the bill. They blinked and now he can do this over and over again.

CHRIS BISHOP (National—Hutt South): This bill is a constitutional affront. It’s not just me who says that. It’s not just my good colleague the Hon Dr Nick Smith who says that. Academics from around New Zealand say that, human rights experts from around New Zealand say that, and the Green Party leaders from yesteryear say that. The only party in Parliament that has consistently voted against constitutional affronts like this bill is the National Party of New Zealand. …

What else did we hear from Miss Ghahraman? Well, we heard a lot about child poverty, and, I think, neoliberalism—the bȇte noire of the left was mentioned about 45 times. We heard a lot about oil and gas. We heard a lot about housing and poverty. I’ll tell you what we didn’t hear much of. Not much about the bill. Not much about the Electoral (Integrity) Amendment Bill. Golriz Ghahraman is a human rights expert. She is fond of telling us she’s worked around the world on human rights matters and she’s got a constitutional law degree and all sorts of things. Heaven knows we’ve heard a lot about that in the last nine months. She could not mount a single proper argument in favour of this legislation other than to say, “We’ve done a deal and we’ve sold our soul! We are unprincipled and we going to vote for this legislation!”

With all her work defending genocidal leaders, surely she could at least have managed to defend this bill!

A crooked election

Stuff reports:

The Commonwealth joined other election observers in urging Zimbabwe to release results of the presidential vote as soon as possible to reduce the tensions, saying delays will increase speculation that results were manipulated. The electoral commission said the results would come “very soon.”

Of course the results are manipulated. It doesn’t take five days to count votes. It takes a few hours. Any election result that isn’t released in real time, is probably being forged.

The Electoral Commission are probably trying to decide what margin of victory for the President is believable. This is quite a tough job for them.

If they choose a margin too high, then it is even more obvious the results are fake. No one will but an 80 – 20 result.

But if they choose a margin too close, such as 51-49, then the results may inspire the Opposition and the Government may not be seen to have a strong enough mandate.

So the ideal result to forge is probably around the 55% to 45% mark. Looks realistic, but not too close.

Hosking says Peters was a better (Acting) PM than Ardern

Mike Hosking writes:

He has done an exemplary job. In fact I would, just for a moment, argue that he’s done a better job than Jacinda Ardern.

Not that, to be fair, it’s comparing apples with apples. She’s fronted nine months of government, he’s fronted six weeks. He’s introduced no real policy, he’s always had the luxury of being the fill-in. But he’s clearly taken it seriously, he has defended his government’s position well, and he has toned down his madness.

He killed off the sugar tax madness and put a stake through the heart of future tobacco tax increases so for that alone we should thank him.

It would seem odd to think that it’s taken to the age of 70 something, and a second proper crack at government, to finally learn the lesson that if you tone yourself down, use the experience you have, use the undoubted brain power you have, and you actually come across as seasoned, insightful, reassuring, and impressive.

And occasionally highly entertaining.

Even more so when I looked at Jacinda Ardern’s Facebook post and she was talking to me like I was a baby.

Peters has done an excellent job, better than many would have thought.

Hey, its possible Peters may get another go at the top job before the next election!

Minister blames business groups, not the Government, for fall in business confidence

Stuff reported:

The minister leading labour law reform has accused leading employer groups of running a deliberately misleading scare campaign, contributing to a plunge in business confidence.

BusinessNZ’s regional member groups have been running media campaigns claiming the Employment Relations Bill would slow business growth and make it difficult for employers to engage and develop staff.

Which of course it will. There are around 30 different key provisions and each and every one makes it harder for employers and better for unions.

Workplace Relations Minister Iain Lees-Galloway said the employer campaign was “disproportionate” and was creating unnecessary concern.

Yet another Minister complaining that organisations are lobbying against Government policy they disagree with. They really don’t like dissent.

Our house is for sale

Our house is for sale.

We’re moving to a Wellington region rural property so Benjamin will have some chickens, alpacas and sheep to keep him company as he runs about!

Absolutely love our current house. It’s only 20 minute walk to the CBD and is an even shorter walk to Zealandia, the Botanic Gardens, Otari-Wilton’s Bush and Te Ahumairangi Hill.

The house was built in 1904 for Dr Duncan MacGregor and had a full renovation in 1998.

If you are looking for a four bedroom house (plus a study) in Wellington, close to town with great views, feel free to contact Tommys.

 

A balanced report on Southern

A balanced report on Lauren Southern by Luke Kinsella in Australia:

The event started at 8pm. Stefan spoke first, then Lauren, followed by a Q&A.

Neither speaker shied away from the touchy subjects we all avoid at dinner parties. The whole thing felt like a two-hour ode to Western civilisation.

Lauren and Stefan are on the front line of what’s called the “culture war” — a series of disagreements over the West’s acceptance of political correctness, immigration, feminism, gender theory and multiculturalism.

Lauren believes the left has won this culture war. So she’s fighting back with an army behind her — a growing online movement of people who, like her, are sceptical of the entrenched conventional wisdom surrounding these cultural issues.

“The first rule of multiculturalism is that you can’t talk about multiculturalism,” she said.

Everyone likes to think they’re speaking truth to power nowadays. Lauren and her audience believe their voices have been marginalised by a left-wing political and media establishment that prioritises what “isn’t offensive” over what’s “true”.

To automatically dismiss this online movement as an epidemic-level revival of racism seems careless and overly simplistic. Lauren and Stefan are echoing the concerns of potentially millions of Australians. Censoring them from democratic debate could be devastating.

Feminism, Islam and multiculturalism aren’t beyond criticism. Most polls suggest that the majority of women don’t even identify as feminists. Are we not allowed to question why? Or is that yet another topic that’s off limits?

There’s a fundamentalist brand of social justice out there that takes values like equality, diversity and acceptance to their perverted extreme. Lauren’s $67,000 security bill is evidence of it.

I think this hits the nail on the head. It is because of the attempted closing down of debate on these issues, that people like Southern have become so popular.

But I’d like to warn Lauren against adopting the tactics of her adversaries.

It takes years of study to fully understand Islam, political philosophy, feminism and immigration. Yet somehow, a 23-year old college dropout seems to have figured them all out?

Lauren is entitled to her opinions, but to pretend she’s some kind of intellectual authority is ridiculous. She might not claim to be an expert, but she is certainly treated like one. I hope her audience doesn’t blindly accept everything she says.

Her critiques of multiculturalism were interesting and not completely outrageous. But for Lauren to be treated like an expert by more than her own fans, she first must understand the arts of expertise: nuance, balance and compromise.

A useful critique. Just because Southern is willing to speak up on these issues, doesn’t mean she is right on them.

Lauren spares no time for discussing the ugly side of Western civilisation, or the beautiful side of multiculturalism. Everything is either completely bad, or completely good.

I’m a fan of both. I don’t think they are mutually exclusive. But I do think you need cultures that can integrate into “Western civilisation”, rather than be hostile to them.

The followers of this online right-wing movement have an astounding level of certainty in their ideology. Certainty is comforting for people who desperately want to understand the world.

Like her radical left-wing enemies, Lauren understands half the story of whatever she talks about (Islam, feminism, multiculturalism), and thinks it’s the whole story.

Nevertheless, Lauren represents a large number of Australians who feel they have no voice. There was a genuine feeling of persecution emanating from her audience.

Considering so far in 2018 there have been 1,184 Islamic terror attacks in 46 countries killing 7,158 people it is absolutely rational and reasonable that large numbers of people want to debate Islam. Telling them that you can’t do so, makes the problem worse.

Lauren, Stefan and their crew of right-wing internet commentators may not realise it, but they hold considerable power over a generation of young conservative contrarians.

They criticise the left for being intolerant towards differing opinions and yet, I saw that same intolerance in their own audience; the same dogmatism, anger and stubbornness displayed by Lauren’s supposed arch-enemies: the social justice warriors.

You can become that which you fight against.

She did manage to convince me about one thing: the Australian media is wrong to describe Lauren as “alt-right” — a mistake I myself have made.

Lauren has some very controversial opinions and she has engaged in some very provocative antics. But she simply doesn’t meet the criteria of alt-right. Associating Lauren with the alt-right makes a good headline, but it’s just not true.

The alt-right is a white nationalist movement with links to Neo-Nazism. The term “alt-right” was coined by a man named Richard Spencer, who is considered the movement’s leader.

Spencer supports the creation of a country exclusively for white people. He’s opposed to interracial relationships. And he supports abortion rights, partly because of their capacity to reduce the African population.

To lump Lauren in with Spencer is lazy and uncharitable. Whereas Spencer believes different races can’t coexist, Lauren believes different cultures can’t coexist. Spencer takes pride in the white race; Lauren takes pride in Western culture.

And culture is very different to race. You can’t choose your race. Race has an influence on culture but they are again very different things.

If you care about defeating the alt-right, don’t use the label as a cudgel to describe every right-winger on the internet. We should reserve the label for whom it actually applies.

Do we want to become the boy who cried alt-right?

I think the battle is almost lost. The bar for being called a Nazi now is so low, that it is meaningless.

Gower on Vic name change

Patrick Gower writes:

The plan to change the name of Victoria University to Wellington University is one of the most breathtakingly stupid ideas I have ever seen.

Tell us what you think Paddy.

It is gutting because ‘Vic’ is a cool nickname – it is an institution in so many ways.

It is appalling because the idea to replace it is so lame – plain old ‘University of Wellington’.

And the student association would become UWSA which is even lamer.

And it is a disgusting waste of money from taxpayers and student fees that will go on the re-branding – millions and millions of dollars will be spent changing signs and letterheads.

It will cost many millions more for decent rebranding campaign, locally and internationally.

The cost is already in the hundreds of thousands.

The Chancellor, Vice-Chancellor and University Council need to realise it is not their university, and it is not their money to throw away.

The name belongs to everyone – the students and teachers both past and present and to the good people of Wellington.

At a minimum VUW should survey all staff, students and graduates.

Soper says Haumaha inquiry a mess

Barry Soper writes:

The endorsements from Kingi came on the Linked-in career website who gave him her tick of approval on all the skills he’s listed as having. She’s the only one to endorse him for firearms, security and workshop facilitation, so if the endorsements mean anything, she knows him better than the others.

So can she be an impartial adjudicator of whether the process to appoint him was above board? It’s even questionable whether the Minister who gave her the job, Tracy Martin, who was on the board of New Zealand First when Haumaha had a crack at getting into Parliament for the party, should have been in charge of that process.

The requirements for an inquiry head should have been pretty simple. You need a lawyer who:

  1. Doesn’t know Wally Haumaha
  2. Doesn’t or hasn’t worked for the Police

Tracey Martin managed to appoint someone who failed the only two criteria – independence. Was this deliberate or just incompetence?

TVNZ reports that she acted on behalf of TPK to monitor Police development of the Maori Potential Framework. This must have meant she worked closely with Haumaha. She was on two Police recruitment panels. She’s also worked with Mike Bush, and a key focus of the inquiry will be what he knew, and whether he shared it.

It should have been blindingly obvious that Kingi wasn’t suitable for this inquiry (she’d be suitable for many others).

This whole thing has been a mess from the start. Commissioner Mike Bush was on the panel selecting Haumaha for the job and it’s been claimed he apparently knew of his views on the Nicholas case and was warned about the damage that could be done if the promotion went ahead.

The Minister who recommended the appointment Stuart Nash has adopted the Sergeant Schultz approach about everything from the start, insisting he knows nothing but admitting if things had been different the outcome may not have been the same.

Kingi’s inquiry’s scheduled to begin next week and run for six weeks – let’s hope the outcome isn’t as confusing and muddy as the establishment’s been.

Well they now need a new inquiry head. I suggest a QC from the South Island to be safe.