Rates push inflation up

Stats NZ reports:

Local authority rates and payments increased 12.2 percent in the 12 months to the March 2025 quarter (14 percent contribution to the 2.5 percent increase). Rates are captured once a year in the September quarter, as this is when ratepayers see price changes set by councils.

That level of increase is obscene.

Tradeable inflation is a very low 0.3% annually. But non-traceable is at 4.0% and too high. To be fair this is the lowest it has been since June 2021 but again still too high.

Home detention for vicious assault

The Herald reports:

A teen who took part in a violent and unprovoked street attack, king hitting one of his victims, has narrowly avoided jail after a judge ruled it would not be the “just” outcome.

Just? Just for who? The victim?

Hunia did the following:

  • King hit the victim to the ground – a stranger in an unprovoked assault
  • Continued the attack, punching and kicking him to the head while he lay on the ground
  • turned around and headed back to continue assaulting both men
  • One of the men suffered a swollen face, memory loss; the other had cuts to his eyeball and cheek, two broken teeth, a cut tongue, and memory loss among his injuries.

So this was not a moment of madness, or a situation with provocation. He just viciously assaulted a total stranger for no reason and kept kicking and punching him while on the ground.

The Crown sought a starting point of five years’ imprisonment.

Both the Crown and defence agreed a discount of 20% for Hunia’s guilty plea was appropriate, and the judge adopted a starting point of four years’ and nine months’ imprisonment.

The judge said there needed to be a clear message sent, particularly when efforts were being made to revitalise Tauranga’s CBD, that those who came looking for trouble, could expect “an appropriate response”.

Hunia’s lawyer Nephi Pukepuke advocated that this sentencing principle could be achieved by a sentence of home detention.

Judge Coyle reached an end sentence, after applying discounts for guilty plea, youth, and remorse, of two years and 10 months imprisonment.

So the sentence went from 57 months to 34 months – a reduction of 43%.

But even after that he should have had a custodial sentence.

The judge decided that despite it falling outside the two-year window where home detention can be imposed, he would exercise his discretion.

There had been authority given by the higher courts for judges to take a step back and consider what the “just” outcome is.

He said if he sent him to prison he had no doubt he would be surrounded by people who would tear him down and support him in making “bad choices”, convincing him violence and criminal activity were normal.

“I’m not going to do that, Mr Hunia,” Judge Coyle said.

The judge urged him to not become the sort of person who would just “beat the crap” out of someone, but rather would put this mistake behind him and never repeat it.

He already is the sport of people who would just beat the crap out of someone. He did it. The notion that he doesn’t already see violence as normal is bizarre.

The judge sentenced him to 12 months home detention, and told him it would be hard for him.

To those who thought of home detention as a “weak sentence”, the judge referred to Covid-19, and the reality of lockdowns.

While people had been able to go out for walks, or to the supermarket, that wouldn’t be the case for Hunia.

“You cannot go out for a walk, you cannot go to the dairy down the road, you cannot go outside of your property.

Oh he can’t go to the dairy. Instead he just has his mates or family go to the dairy for him. How tough.

“That will relax over time, but for you as a young person used to getting out and socialising with your mates, this will be a hard sentence, and it should be.”

Yes such a hard sentence. The parties will just be held at his place instead.

General Debate 18 April 2025

General Debate 17 April 2025

Key and English did well

This chart from Robert Macculloch tells quite a story. It shows government consumption per capital, adjusted for inflation.

The Clark Government over nine years increased spending by around $450. Then none years of Key/English Government saw it stay basically constant (and greatly improved performance of public services). Then Ardern saw it increase by $600 in just six years, and most public services deteriorate.

Mickey Mouse

Regardless of your views on whether tariffs are good or bad (by the way, they are bad) almost everyone would agree that the level of tariffs should be signalled well in advance. Businesses need time to adjust, and if necessary change markets. Customs needs time to implement them (in NZ I believe 60 days is required for new tariffs to be implemented).

But what we have happening in the US is almost literally you wake up in the morning to discover what new or changed tariffs have been announced. This makes it near impossible for businesses to plan or have confidence. Imagine if your landlord could every few days change your rent without notice!

So here is the history of tariff announcements since 20 January.

  1. 1 Feb: 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, 10% on China
  2. 3 Feb: 30 day pause on Mexico and Canada tariffs
  3. 10 Feb: 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports
  4. 4 March: China tariff goes up to 20%, 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico resumes
  5. 26 March: 25% tariff on automobiles from 3 April and automobile parts from 3 May
  6. 2 April: Tariffs from 10% to 49% on entire world.
  7. 7 April: Tariffs on China go to 104%
  8. 9 April: Tariffs on China go to 145%, other new tariffs set to 10% for 90 days
  9. 12 April: Imports from China of smartphones, laptops and semiconductors excused from 145% tariff for 90 days

The real loser in all of this will be business and consumer confidence. When major policies change every few days, it is hard to be confident about the future.

And it isn’t over. Now special pharmaceutical and semiconductor tariffs are planned, and the automobile tariff may be suspended 90 days. Just so Mickey Mouse.

Green hypocrisy

This is the billboard released by the Sensible Sentencing Trust, highlighting how a Green MP has been advocating abolishing the Police (and prisons!). The Greens complained that the billboard was a breach of copyright.

So the SST replaced the copyrighted photo with this one, to comply.

But what I wanted to highlight is the hypocrisy.

The Greens have a bill before Parliament that explicitly seeks to legalise the use of copyrighted material if it is for “the purpose of parody or satire”.

So the Greens want people to be able to use copyrighted material for the purposes of parody (a stance I agree with), but the moment they are the subjects of the parody, they wail and say it shouldn’t be allowed.

Imagine if he did this to a left wing MP?

Pere Huriwai-Seger is a Te Pāti Māori candidate. He saw Casey Costello in a foodcourt and proceeded to berate her.

Casey politely said “We’re not going to agree, so just move on”. But this guy then seats herself down at her table so he can continue to harass her. Once someone has asked you to leave them alone, it is harassment.

He then said “Of course you’re gonna get it”.

The amazing thing is this bloke who harassed a female MP thinks he is the wronged party.

Imagine if say an ACT Party candidate went up to the female Maori Green MP at a foodcourt and started berating them, and then refused to leave them alone, sat down at their table and told them “you’re going to get it”.

We would have headline after headline about how it is not safe for wahine Maori MPs and that the ACT Party candidate must be thrown out of the party. The usual suspects would do pseudo-academic reports about how this is all the fault of the online right etc.

Now watch how the media report this, if they even do. I bet you they will frame it with Costello as the wrongdoer or just ambiguous headlines such as “NZ First MP in fracas” rather than the correct “NZ First MP harassed by TPM candidate in food court”.

General Debate 16 April 2025

Not austerity

Anyone who claims that this current government is practising austerity is either dishonest or a moron, or both.

Business owners say avoid Wellington

The Herald reports:

A successful Wellington entrepreneur says if he was starting again he would not launch his business in the capital, describing it as a “talent repellent”.

John-Daniel Trask founded Raygun, a software products company based in Wellington and used by subscribers around the world. …

“I think Wellington is actually a talent-repellent system at the moment.

“We’ve had people in our own organisation who have left and said I’m going to places like Auckland because they are so tired — their own words — of the abject wokeness that is in this city.

“As an employer who is bringing money into this country, paying people who are spending in our city, the relentless — relentless — attacks from the keyboard warriors who never leave their house. It’s a very sad state of affairs.

“I moved here about 20 years ago, and I’d say Auckland was counter cycle then. Nobody really wanted to move to Auckland around 2000, and Wellington was amazing. That is now inverted, in my opinion.”

And another business owner said:

Jugnu Gill opened his first restaurant in Wellington in 1997, but like Trask, said he would not set up business in the capital today.

“Wellington is not in good shape. There are very few places that are doing really well in Wellington at the moment.

“To be successful in Wellington, with all of the work going on over the streets and the council not having good leadership, today you have to think outside the box to really set something up that will be successful.

The Council seems determined to make it impossible for people to find a park near businesses, so it is no wonder businesses are pessimistic.

Will Nash stand for NZ First?

The Herald reports:

Former Labour Minister Stuart Nash is not hosing down rumours of a political comeback at the 2026 election, saying it is a case of “never say never”. …

Nash said he’s not a member of any political party, but he appears to be leaning in the direction of NZ First.

“I still enjoy the company of politicians and I especially enjoy the company of Winston [Peters] and Darroch [Ball, Peters’ chief of staff],” he said.

“I have an immense amount of respect for Winston Peters. I think he is one the best politicians in Parliament at the moment. I enjoy his company [and] I enjoy just listening to what he says.

“It will always be up to the leaders of a party to determine where they go. I’m not prepared to make any comment on what NZ First might do in the future, but like I said, Winston I have an immense amount of respect for – the man and his legacy and his experience and competency and capabilities,” Nash said.

If that isn’t a pitch for a high list pace, I don’t know what is!

Nash said Labour had lost touch with its roots.

“Labour can’t forget its roots. When it does, it never does well. When it gets back to its roots, it’s a party that defends the rights of the working class, but by the working class, I mean those who work really hard, not those who complain the loudest,” Nash said.

Labour are obsessed with identity politics, rather than the working class.

“Labour’s got to be very careful, because people will say ‘shivers, if I vote for Labour and they’re going to be in power, then how much of a say are the Greens or the Māori party going to have in the policies of a Labour-led Government?‘” he said.

If there was a Labour-led Government, Labour would make up just 60% or so of the Government. You could expect the following people to be in Cabinet:

  • Marama Davidson
  • Chloe Swarbrick
  • Julie Anne Genter
  • Teanau Tuiono
  • Ricardo Menéndez March
  • Debbie Ngarewa-Packer
  • Rawiri Waititi
  • Takuta Ferris

Can only imagine that they would make the 2020 – 2023 Labour Government look centrist by comparison!

General Debate 15 April 2025

Greens now campaigning against prisons as well as police

Stuff reports:

Green MP Tamatha Paul has launched a fundraising campaign for a group wanting to “defund the police” and close the court system.

Paul has been attracting attention over recent weeks for her comments about policing and support of groups that call for the abolition of police, jails, and courts. While she and the Green Party have denied wanting to “defund the police”, Paul’s continued support for those pursuing that goal has led to further questions for her party.

Her fundraiser for People Against Prisons Aotearoa started over the weekend.

The Greens are radical extremists. Paul has been very consistent in her views. Here is what PAPA’s policy agenda is:

  • Abolish all prisons
  • Abolish the Police
  • Make it illegal to take criminal records into account in employment
  • Close the NZ court system
  • Ensure every prisoner has an irrevocable right of access to LGBTIQ-affirming literature!
  • Have community based sentences for rapists and murderers

Paul is not just a backbench Green MP. She is their Spokesperson for Police and Corrections.

Will China blockade Taiwan?

Major changes to driver licenses

Chris Bishop has announced some major changes to driver license testing. On the surface they look like very good ideas that will reduce costs and hurdles, but increase safety. The changes are:

  1. Only have a practical test when gaining your restricted licence. So you don’t need to do a second practical test for your full.
  2. Require drivers on their restricted licence to keep a clean driving record to progress to their full licence, for 18 months, with a zero tolerance for any driving offence.
  3. Halving the demerit threshold for learner and restricted drivers from 100 points to 50 points
  4. Introducing a zero-alcohol limit for learner and restricted drivers of any age
  5. Introducing a hazard perception test at the end of the learner stage
  6. Only require an eyesight test when you first get a licence, rather than at each stage of learner, restricted and full – which sometimes means three eyesight tests in 18 months

Great to see the Government looking to make things more rational in this area.

The AA have proposed an extra initiatives that could be considered:

  • Require at least 60 hours of supervised practice before drivers can seek a restricted licence, with the option to reduce those hours by completing professional training or defensive driving courses. 

General Debate 14 April 2025

2025 Trust in Journalism survey

The 2025 AUT Trust in Journalism Survey has just been released. Key aspects are:

  • Only 32% (-21% from 2020) of NZers trust most of the news most of the time
  • Trust in news in NZ at 32% is equal to the US at 32% and below Uk 36%, Canada 39% and Australia 40%.
  • People on the left mostly trust Radio NZ, TVNZ and mistrust NewstalkZB
  • People on the right mostly trust NewstalkZB and mistrust RNZ, TVNZ, Stuff and Newsroom
  • The NZ Herald is fairly neutral trusted and distrusted by both right and left
  • Labour and Green voters most trust the news
  • National, ACT and especially NZ First voters most distrust the news

There is of course a reasons centre-right voters distrust the news. That is because so much of the NZ media is biased against centre-right views. Many accept the viewpoint of the left as automatically correct, because that is where their personal views lie.

WHOOP WHOOP — DEFUND DA POLICE

The Sensible Sentencing Trust announced:

‘Whoop Whoop — Defund Da Police’: Sensible Sentencing Trust Drops Satirical Hip Hop Song Targeting Green Party’s Anti-Police Agenda
The Sensible Sentencing Trust has today released a satirical hip hop song and music video parodying the Green Party’s radical stance on law and order, including calls by its electorate MPs to defund the police and abolish prisons.
Titled “Defund da Police” it highlights the anti-policing rhetoric promoted by Green MPs Chlöe Swarbrick (Auckland Central) and Tamatha Paul (Wellington Central) — electorates which are among the hardest hit by rising crime and deteriorating public safety.
Louise Parsons, spokesperson for The Sensible Sentencing Trust, says the video uses humour and satire to make a serious point: “The Green Party’s positions on law and order are not just out of step with victims — they’re out of step with reality. The public deserves to know that their MPs in these high-crime electorates want fewer police, fewer consequences, and even the abolition of prisons.”

“In fact, Tamatha Paul is currently fundraising for People Against Prisons Aotearoa – a radical anarchist group that quite literally advocates for the abolishment of prisons. According to her Instagram account, PAPA is her charity of choice to receive the proceeds of t-shirts with her face on them.”
“The many New Zealanders who applauded our billboard campaign will love this music video. It’s a bit outrageous, but so is the Green Party’s attitude on public safety.”

The song and accompanying video were funded by supporters of The Sensible Sentencing Trust and are available now on social media and video platforms.
We encourage New Zealanders to chip-in to the campaign at www.sst.nz. Funds raised will go toward ensuring more Kiwis see the video and hear the message that public safety is no joke. “Any politicians who promote irresponsible, bad ideas, like the Greens do, that disrespect victims, endanger communities, and make a mockery of justice, should expect to be ridiculed in return.”

Did the Governor yell at the Minister?

The NZ Herald reported:

The Reserve Bank wasn’t planning to announce former governor Adrian Orr’s resignation until after it had hosted a big international conference.

But the unexplained resignation was brought forward by five days, at the last minute, to March 5 – the day before the conference, documents released to the Herald under the Official Information Act reveal. …

nother document released to the Herald details a list of questions Willis’ press secretary said journalists might ask, as well as some suggested answers.

A line of questioning Willis was prepped to answer included: “Did you ever have disagreements with Adrian Orr?”

The press secretary advised Willis to respond: “I’m not going to discuss what happens in meetings that discuss confidential and sensitive matters.”

The press secretary suggested a follow-up question could be: “Did the governor ever raise his voice with you?”

Now I have no inside knowledge on this, but the fact staff had a question and answer prepared on the issue of whether the Reserve Bank Governor ever yelled at the Minister of Finance itself speaks volumes. I mean, why would you have an answer prepared for such a question, unless it was true?

They didn’t have answers prepared for questions such as:

  • Did the Governor ever jump over the couch and try to stab you with a ballpoint pen
  • Did the Governor ever break into a spontaneous chorus of YMCA

This is because such a question would be ridiculous. But the fact they didn’t think a question on whether the Governor ever yelled at the Minister speaks volumes.

General Debate 13 April 2025

Guest Post: Acknowledging Tamatha Paul’s Concerns: A Balanced Perspective on Police Visibility

A guest post by Sean Rush:

Tamatha Paul and I served together as Wellington city councillors from 2019 to 2022. Despite our differing political affiliations, we found common ground on several issues and developed a warm relationship that continues to this day. Recently, Tamatha, now a Green MP, expressed concerns about the heightened police visibility on Wellington streets, suggesting it causes more anxiety than security for some community members.

As someone who worked as a criminal defence lawyer in Hawkes Bay back in the early 1990s, I can acknowledge Tamatha’s concerns. It won’t surprise anyone that my former clients felt a sense of unease rather than safety when encountering police officers. This sentiment is not new and has been depicted in popular culture, such as the 1994 film “Once Were Warriors,” which portrays the harsh realities of domestic violence and societal struggles faced by many Kiwi families close to the poverty line. Jake “The Muss” embodies the cycle of violence and despair that continues to affect thousands of families affected by poverty today.  If your sole interaction with the police is watching your Dad or brother being taken away by the police then unease and suspicion is understandable. 

“What we see every Monday” was a comment at the time from one of my colleagues.  He was referring to the long list on Monday mornings of those brought before the courts all around New Zealand.  Weekends in New Zealand are a very busy time for the police.  When on the council I suggested we all visit the local district court on a Monday.  No one took me up.

Tamatha attributes these desperate circumstances to the lingering effects of colonisation. I call “bull.”  Tamatha’s concerns about police visibility have some validity and are rooted in real experiences.  But it is essential to qualify her comments, as applicable to a small (if growing) section of our society, who are subject to an intergenerational cycle of violence that has poverty at its root.  Without such qualification, which Tamatha has never offered, her comments are disrespectful to the men and women of the police force, both here and those departed.  This is where it gets a bit personal.  My grandfather and an uncle were with the force, both of whom have now passed.  Two of my wife’s bridesmaids are making sterling contributions to their communities with the force in Christchurch. But most disrespectfully, is the case of a rugby mate, a husband and Father from my Hawkes Bay days.  He was brutally shot and killed in the line of duty with the perpetrator killing himself.  Both murdered police officer and his killer were of Māori extraction from the same iwi.  

While colonisation has undoubtedly played a role in shaping societal issues, it is crucial to recognise that poverty is the single most significant underlying factor. Poverty does not discriminate based on race or ethnicity; it affects individuals across all demographics and leads the desperate, to take desperate measures. However, Tamatha’s Green Party policies of anti-growth, anti-capitalism, and misplaced championing of less affordable, intermittent, low-density energy sources, exacerbates poverty in New Zealand.  “But renewables are now cheaper than fossil fuels” they will say.  In response I would ask “How much does it cost to buy a kilowatt hour of solar or wind power once the Sun’s gone down or the wind’s not blowing?”  Yeah, that’s right.  You can’t.

Had the Green Party not championed the ban on oil and gas exploration, we could be tapping into promising prospects offshore Hawke’s Bay or the Barque prospect offshore Canterbury. In addition to energy security, these developments could create thousands of high-paying jobs, enormous royalty revenues and provide economic independence for those struggling to make ends meet. In my opinion piece for The Post back in April 2018, I highlighted that the real cost of closing down oil and gas was the lost chance to bring folks out of poverty and I stand by that. The potential benefits of these resources could have been transformative for our economy and made a real difference to the lives of those doing it tough, not to mention funding quality health, education and other public services.  Instead, Green dogma, successfully shut down what could have been a nation changing industry.  They have made poverty worse in New Zealand.

To change the economic fortunes of New Zealand and climb back up the OECD productivity rankings, like every 21st century economy, we need reliable and affordable energy. Globally, fossil fuels continue to make up over 80% of the mix.  It is cheap, reliable, energy, whether in the form of fuel or power.  It is the life blood that allows businesses to produce more efficiently, increase productivity, compete globally, pay more taxes, and potentially hire more staff. In the absence of an alternative to fossil fuels, fossil fuels remain the path to economic independence that can contribute to consigning the struggles depicted in “Once Were Warriors” to history.

Unfortunately, Green Party dogma disallows this strategy. Their policies once were centred on the environment.  But over time, balanced environmental protection that Kiwis support, has morphed into the degrowth, anti-capitalist, anti-business agenda.  This is the “ideology” we hear so much about.  But preventing access to natural resources is contributing to the very issues Tamatha highlights.  We are poorer, more desperate, on the edge of the law, or over it.  No surprise then that sections of our community at the limit feel uneasy when seeing police officers.  This is not likely to be Tamatha’s constituents in Wellington Central, one of New Zealand’s wealthiest and most educated electorates.  However, for those living far away from the Beehive who are in poverty, the kind of kids I used to deal with each day, the presence of police can be a stark reminder of their struggles.  Just remember the police deal with these kids every day too.  Tamatha does not.

The degrowth policies embraced by the Green Party, have consistently led to economic decline wherever they have been tried – ask anyone at Kinleith or Ohakune where the pulp and paper mills are closing due to surging electricity prices.  “Surging” because we have no gas! Conversely, providing individuals with opportunities and fostering a competitive environment can lead to economic prosperity. Kiwis are known for their ingenuity and resilience; given the chance, they can create wealth for themselves, their businesses, and their communities.

We need to address the broader economic policies that contribute to poverty and recognise that Tamatha’s own party’s energy policies are, and will, exacerbate them. By focusing on reliable and affordable energy, fostering competition, and providing opportunities, we can create a more prosperous and secure future for all New Zealanders.

Sean Rush was an Eastern Ward Wellington City Councillor from 2019 to 2022 and stood for the Act party in the Otaki electorate in the 2023 general election.  He was formerly a Director of the Association of International Petroleum Negotiators.

Notes:  

  1. Len Snee murder covered by Stuff at https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/2391507/Police-officer-shot-dead-in-Napier

Rush Op-ed 27 April 2018 https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/103389522/the-real-cost-of-closing-down-oil-and-gas

Putting children first

Karen Chhour announced:

Children’s Minister Karen Chhour has welcomed the passing of legislation to repeal section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act by Parliament.

The Bill’s passing will enable Oranga Tamariki—Ministry for Children and its frontline staff to focus first and foremost on the safety and wellbeing of children when creating care arrangements, says Minister for Children, Karen Chhour.

“This Bill will allow Oranga Tamariki to focus on its primary duty first, which is the care and protection of young people, making sure they are safe from harm.

While Section 7AA was well-intended, it also resulted in children being put second.  As the responsible Minister I could not accept or excuse this fact.

Sadly thought, almost half the Parliament could. They put ideology ahead of wellbeing.

These children’s lives are not lived in theories or in the comfort of academia or privilege. The harm that comes their way is not academic, it is real,” says Ms Chhour.

Academic theory vs real world indeed.

“This Bill does not stop the consideration of cultural wellbeing of children and young people in the care of Oranga Tamariki, nor will it result in the end of strategic partnerships between iwi and Māori organisations and Oranga Tamariki.

“I want to make clear that this Bill does not negate the importance of cultural connections for children and young people. What the Bill does is creates clarity in decision-making so that safety is indeed the paramount consideration for each and all children and young people.

I have no issue with looking to whānau, hapū, or iwi as a solution for placements, when appropriate, but safety must come first every single time and sadly that has not always been the case,” says Ms Chhour.

Again, such common sense.

Strange alliances on alcohol vote

The House voted on the first reading of the bill by Kieran McAnulty’s bill to allow businesses that are allowed to open on public holidays to have normal alcohol sale conditions apply. It is a very common sense bill and passed 67 to 54. It is a personal vote, but it was interesting where the support and opposition came from:

  1. ACT – 100% support
  2. National – 70% support
  3. Labour – 65% support
  4. TPM – 17% support
  5. NZ First – 0% support
  6. Greens – 0% support

So the Greens, NZ First and Te Pati Maori were overwhelmingly or unanimously against. A strange coalition.