The London Mayoralty

May 1st, 2008 at 1:23 pm by David Farrar

Iain Dale blogs on the different poll results just prior to the local body elections in England. The open tonight our time and I expect results late tomorrow morning.

You Gov has it at 44% and 36%. If no one gets 50% second preferences are allocated and on second preferences from the Lib Dem candidate mainly it becomes 53% to 47% for Boris.

Mori however has first preferences Boris 38%, Ken 41% and second preferences Ken 52% Boris 48%.

A lot of interest in who will be right. does Internet polling and phone polling. You Gov has a pretty good accuracy history but that is no guarantee. What they do tend to agree on though is the higher the turnout, the better it is for Ken Livingstone.

The Livingstone campaign has actually complained to the UK Market Research Society about You Gov. This shows how seriously people take the expectations game.

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16 Responses to “The London Mayoralty”

  1. ghostwhowalks3 (387 comments) says:

    YouGov is a load of rubbish.
    One poll had on this issue had 50% of repondees over 60 ??
    And their ‘internet’ polling is via newspapers web sites, dont expect much support for ken from the Evening Standard/Daily Express

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  2. Simeon (142 comments) says:

    Gordon Brown has given quite weak leadership since he became Prime Minister.
    http://nzdebate.blogspot.com/2008/04/gordon-brown-is-facing-revolt.html

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  3. Ross Miller (1,676 comments) says:

    GWW3 …. you said “YouGov is a load of rubbish. One poll had on this issue had 50% of repondees over 60″ …. not sure of your point because the analysis I’ve seen suggests that there is a disproportionate number of 60+ voters in UK local elections while the <30s don’t vote in numbers.

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  4. ghostwhowalks3 (387 comments) says:

    Ross readers of the Evening Standard ( not like our local standard) will support that thug Boris even if he wore a brownshirt

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  5. PhilBest (5,117 comments) says:

    Red Ken is a disgrace to the civilised world.

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  6. bobux (349 comments) says:

    Ghostie

    Indeed. And readers of The Guardian would support that thug Ken if he called for an international dictatorship of the proletariat, denied the existence of the gulags, praised various tinpot third-world dictators and embraced an anti-Semite who believes gays should be stoned to death.

    All of which he has done.

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  7. Ross Miller (1,676 comments) says:

    Well GWW3 … guess you would know all about brownshirts. Didn’t Mosley transition from the Conservatives to Labour to the BUF … downhill all the way. However. lets just wait and see the actual result which will depend on which way the Liberal Democrat 2nd preference votes go. Have to say that their candidate has been a major disappointment.

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  8. Johnboy (15,410 comments) says:

    “Red Ken is a disgrace to the civilised world.”

    Which of course, like Che Guevara, makes him a legend to the left.

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  9. NX (603 comments) says:

    Gordon Brown has given quite weak leadership since he became Prime Minister.

    It’s poetic that those in the UK Labour party who were chomping at the bit to get rid of Blair are now disappointed with Brown.

    Given Gordon’s weak performance, I wonder whether Blair should have sacked Brown years ago. Because he destabilised the party during Blair’s premiership & now that he’s finally got the top job he’s rubbish.

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  10. Southern Raider (1,703 comments) says:

    Go Boris. I hope they vote out that anti-semetic pig.

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  11. Johnboy (15,410 comments) says:

    Still an interesting parallel to NZ labour. Much as the rest of us normal people detest Helen and the acolytes love her cause she is all the poor prats have and is of course a “Champion of the earth” what will our labour lot do when she is gone come november. Goff (rhymes with F*** off). Annette (Can’t even understand her own EFA bill). Trev (Ducks disease – shits in own nest). Hodgeson (cant dance). Parekura (not even the maoris can understand him when he opens his mouth). Lets face it the poor bastards are stuffed. Helens all they have. Maybe they should just stop pretending and make Winston leader now. I somehow think he may make an exception to his high principles and accept the bauble of office.

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  12. hubbers (230 comments) says:

    I wish had had registered to vote in the London elections. Red Ken’s has been shown to be quite corrupt with all sorts of no strings hand outs and junkets for lefty friends. Being mayor of London should be about making London great for ALL Londoners not idealogical extremists to use public funds to push their causes.

    Still as much as he has tried he hasn’t generated anywhere near the number of serious scandals that NZ Labour has :)

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  13. clintheine (1,568 comments) says:

    I registered in time and in a few hours I plan to leave work and vote to get rid of Ken. Ken has over the past few weeks been exposed as a liar and a fraud, gathering support from shady sources and breaking every electoral rule in the book.

    Over the last few years Ken has managed to build his own little Government designed to keep him in for life spending our money as he sees fit. He even admitted to stealing Boris’s ideas if it meant he would win.

    He deserves to be chucked out and he can piss off to see his best mate Chavez and not come back.

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  14. NX (603 comments) says:

    not idealogical extremists to use public funds to push their causes.

    What’s really scary about Red Ken is that his ideological extreme views are usually associated with people in their late teens & 20s before they learn how the word works. What the hell is Ken’s excuse?

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  15. mavxp (494 comments) says:

    After Brown fails in the next election, UK Labour will gleefully turf Brown and bring Miliband forward. Young, dynamic, intelligent and his Ox-bridge English accent will keep the local Anglo-centrics happy. Then Cameron will have some competition.

    but yeah, Boris for Mayor!

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  16. expat (4,048 comments) says:

    CH/NX, the real scarey part is the number of greybeard/greayhair old farts who are longtime labour/commie supporters in London. Thankfully they are dying out, literally but there is still them and the union folk from public service who support Ken. remember the UK never had the ECA….

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