Election Chokes

May 7th, 2013 at 3:00 pm by David Farrar

Tim G looks at some election chokes – where the party or candidate that should have won, choked and didn’t. His top 5 are:

  1. Victoria Premier Jeff Kennett in 1999
  2. Thomas Dewey in the 1948 US Presidential election
  3. Shimon Peres repeatedly
  4. Australian Liberal Leader John Hewson in 1983
  5. Al Gore in 2000

If Tony Abbott doesn’t win this September, he will make the list.

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13 Responses to “Election Chokes”

  1. straya (66 comments) says:

    Hewson was ’93, not ’83.

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  2. Keeping Stock (10,166 comments) says:

    If Tim G had held off for a few days, he could have had the best one of all; over 25% of the signatures on the Labour/Green asset sales referendum petition being ruled as ineligible, leaving them 16,500 signatures short.

    “Hey Clint; are we pleased about that?”

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  3. tamati (70 comments) says:

    Could add Neil Kinnock in ’92 to that list!

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  4. Manolo (13,514 comments) says:

    Don’t you worry, DPF. Abbott will win and Juliar will be history.

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  5. ChardonnayGuy (1,179 comments) says:

    Straya is right. I remember that election campaign as I was in Australia on business.

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  6. iMP (2,330 comments) says:

    I would have to add:

    1. Henry Wallace defeated for Vice Prez by harry Truman with Roosevelt in 40s when he should have won big time.

    2. George Seward as Repub. Prez nominaton defeated by Lincoln. Seward was a shoo-in. Like NZ defeating France.

    3. Heseltine or Hurd after Thatcher. Major came thru the middle.

    All examples of opponents canceling each other out to allow a non 3rd candidate to come thru.

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  7. Ed Snack (1,781 comments) says:

    Not so sure about Gore 2000, a hell of a lot of people realized that he was a flake of the highest order. Sure he fell just short, but not sure it was a “choke”.

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  8. Ross12 (1,250 comments) says:

    There is no way Abbot will added to the list. Just look at the latest polls on what the Aussies think of their leadership and politics. Now ( as I mentioned in GD ) their Treasury has got their budget deficit at $17 billion –up from $7.5 billion just 4 weeks ago !!!

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  9. RRM (9,630 comments) says:

    What about Colin Craig 2011?

    He was polling really well in his electorate wasn’t he?

    What happened to that? :-P

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  10. Bob R (1,355 comments) says:

    I’m skeptical, I suspect the media have it in for him and he will have an uphill battle just as Romney had in the US. Will have to wait and see though.

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  11. New Kiwi (7 comments) says:

    In the UK, Neil Kinnock and the Labour party failed to win the 1992 general election against John Major, although the opinion polls suggested that they would win. Many commentators thought that Kinnock displayed over-confidence at the final election rally: http://youtu.be/7TOgB3Smvro

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  12. s.russell (1,580 comments) says:

    The scary thing is how close John Key came to being on that list. In effect National only won by one seat – despite polls a week out from election date giving National up to 57% of the vote.

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  13. Andronicus (219 comments) says:

    The Chicago Tribune edition of November 3, 1948 announced: “Dewey defeats Truman”.

    Ouch!

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