The latest estimate is:
- Gillard 45
- Rudd 40
- Undecided 18
The bookies have Rudd at $2.40 to $2.60 for Gillard as the PM going into the next election.
The real winner is Tony Abbott whose odds of being PM after the next election are $1.36 to $3.10 for Labor.
Prior to that we have the Queensland state election where the coalition is at $1.12 and Labor at $5.75 to win. The election is on 24 March and the latest polls has the coalition ahead by 16% on a TPP basis.