Just published the monthly newsletter. The summary is:
Curia’s Polling Newsletter – Issue 101, September 2016
There were two political voting polls in September 2016 – a One News Colmar Brunton and a Roy Morgan.
The average of the public polls has National 15% ahead of Labour in September, down 2% from August.
The current seat projection is centre-right 56 seats, centre-left 51 which would see NZ First holding the balance of power.
We show the current New Zealand poll averages for party vote, country direction and preferred PM compared to three months ago, a year ago, three years ago and nine years ago. This allows easy comparisons between terms and Governments.
In the United States the race narrowed between Clinton and Trump with his odds increasing to 44%, but since the first debate he has fallen back to 33% chance to win.
In the UK the Conservatives are currently projected to pick up 34 seats from the last election.
In Australia Labor now has a 4% lead over the Coalition.
In Canada Trudeau has his net approval fall 11% but the Liberals remains 20% ahead of the Conservatives.
We also carry details of polls on immigration, housing, the Auckland and Wellington Mayoral races and republicanism plus the normal business and consumer confidence polls.
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Correspondence and feedback is also welcome to the same address.