General Debate 12 February 2022

Trevor vs the occupiers

Not entirely sure that the Speaker’s move in turning the sprinklers on was a good idea. Adversity often bonds people together and can make a group more determined. And they’ve responded with digging trenches, and even laying down plumbing pipes.

Reinforcements arrive over the weekend, so it will be interesting to see what the authorities do.

The only way this can become a bigger spectacle is if Winston Peters turns up on Sunday, and pitches a tent!

Efeso Collins pushes Hills out of Auckland Mayoralty race

Stuff reports:

A left-leaning contender for the Auckland mayoralty, councillor Richard Hills, has announced he will not be running.

Hills, who has Labour affiliations, has been working on a possible campaign since mid-2021.

However, he’s now said he won’t pursue it, on family grounds.

He’s not pursuing it because Efeso Collins has pushed him out in a massive power play.

Hills was the pick of the Labour hierarchy. Everyone knows he was both Goff’s handpicked successor, but also the pick of Jacinda Ardern (they are good mates).

Collins announced a few weeks ago that as there was no transparency around how Labour was going to select or endorse a candidate, he was going to stand regardless of Labour’s endorsement. This created a huge problem for Labour. If they went ahead with endorsing Hills, they would have had two Labour aligned candidates standing, and the chances of Labour keeping control over the Mayor’s office was reduced as a centre-right candidate could come through the middle.

So Hills has pulled out, despite having spent a year putting a campaign team together. This leaves Collins as the likely sole candidate on the left. Whether he has enough name recognition outside South Auckland remains to be seen, but many will vote for him regardless if he is the Labour endorsed candidate.

General Debate 11 February 2022

The anti-mandate protests

People have a right to protest peacefully, especially against government decisions that directly affect them. Some people protest against or about wider issues that don’t impact them directly (such as an overseas conflict), and some protest on issues that have directly impacted them (employees wanting a pay rise etc).

It is hard to imagine a group more affected than those who have lost their jobs, maybe their careers through vaccine mandates. Also they have been affected by being barred from numerous public and private facilities. Their lives have been massively impacted, so it is no surprise at all they wish to protest against this. If you don’t protest against a law that has forced you out of a job, what would you protest against?

It is also important to understand that not everyone at the protest convoy is anti-vaccine. Many are, but some any merely anti-compulsion. I’m massively pro-vaccine and are tripled dosed, but I am sceptical of the vaccine mandates in force outside the health and education sectors. I think NZ should do what Biden did, and allow people in non essential industries to get regular testing as an alternative to a vaccination.

So I’m all for the right of those who protested this week, to have done so.

But there is a difference between peaceful protest and disruption. Those who engaged in violence against the Police should be prosecuted, and those who refuse to leave the grounds of Parliament after being trespassed should be removed forcibly. There is a difference between a protest rally and an occupation.

So the authorities have acted appropriately, in my view, in trying to remove those people still at Parliament.

However there is a huge double standard. Why are the protesters at Shelly Bay still there after many months of illegal occupation and trespass?

If the standard is that the authorities move in after 48 hours of occupation, why is this not applied across the board?

Rude

Newshub reports:

The Māori Party voted against a motion in Parliament on Wednesday to congratulate Queen Elizabeth II on her 70-year reign, while the Greens’ James Shaw says debate over New Zealand’s future constitutional arrangements is “overdue”. …

In New Zealand’s Parliament on Wednesday, members of the five political parties rose to speak on a motion to congratulate Aotearoa’s Head of State on the occasion. 

While Labour, National, ACT and the Greens all voted to support the motion, Te Pāti Māori’s co-leader Rawiri Waititi said his party “absolutely refute” it and voted against it. 

“We were disappointed when the Prime Minister acknowledged the Queen’s Platinum Jubilee on Waitangi Day. We believe it was tone deaf and colourblind to the degradation of the rights of tangata whenua for 182 years.”

You can support NZ becoming a republic, but also appreciate the job the Queen has done for the last 70 years. It is pretty rude to vote against a simple motion congratulating her for her reign.

I am a strong supporter of New Zealand becoming a republic. In fact I used to serve on the national council of the Republican Movement. But that doesn’t mean I don’t think the Queen hasn’t been a model of a devoted constitutional monarch.

It is a shame two MPs were so churlish they can’t separate the wider issue from the person.

More useful data from Stuff

Just come across this article by Keith Lynch which has a table which shows you fatality rates for Covid-19 for different age groups by vaccination status. It is from November so is pre-omicron. Would be good to see one for omicron.

Some examples of the fatality rates:

  • 5 – 9 year olds – 0.0007% unvaccinated and 0.00004% vaccinated
  • 20 – 24 year olds – 0.0051% unvaccinated and 0.00031% vaccinated
  • 50 – 54 year olds – 0.29% unvaccinated and 0.0174% vaccinated
  • 85+ – 23.2% unvaccinated and 1.392% vaccinated

General Debate 10 February 2022

Why has the Government not announced the minimum wage rates that start in seven weeks?

Minimum wage changes kick in on 1 April. The Government seems unconcerned for businesses that we are heading toward mid February and no employer knows what the minimum wage will be in seven weeks.

Any affected business that needs to provide quotes for jobs from April onwards is unable to do so, as they don’t know what their staff costs will be.

Normally the new rates are announced in December, giving a decent period of three to four months to prepare. Why has it been left so long? Can’t they agree?

Roy Morgan poll January 2022

The January 2022 Roy Morgan is out.

Party Vote

  • Labour 33.0% (-2.5% from December)
  • National 35.0% (+3.5%)
  • Greens 10.5% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 13.5% (-5.0%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (+0.5%)

Seats

  • Labour 42 (-23 from election)
  • National 45 (+12)
  • Greens 13 (+3)
  • ACT 17 (+7)
  • Maori 3 (+1)

Governments

  • Labour/Green 55/120
  • National/ACT 62/120

Direction

  • Right 48.5% (+6.0%)
  • Wrong 42.0% (-2,5%)

This is the first poll since the 2020 election that shows National ahead of Labour.

Labour not as crazy as the Greens

Newshub reports:

Labour has poured cold water on the Greens’ idea of returning private land to iwi, with the Minister for Māori-Crown Relations saying it’s “time to move on”.  …

Neither is Māori-Crown Relations Minister Kelvin Davis. 

“The impression I got from the whole of the Greens’ policy is it’s a bit like painting the Harbour Bridge: after a generation, we’re almost at the end of the settlements, and now they want to start them all over again, like painting the Harbour Bridge – you finish and then you start again,” he told reporters. 

“I think it’s time for us to move on as a people. That’s my initial reaction to what the Greens are saying.”

Davis pushed back on the idea of revisiting settlements. 

“They settled, you know? These are complex negotiations over a number of years and ultimately the Crown and the tribes came to some agreement, and what has been proposed now is that we undo all those agreements and start again. 

“I think there comes a point where we just have to move on and get on with things.”

Pleased to see Labour reject the crazy policy from the Greens that we renege on every full and final settlement of the last 25 years and ratchet then up.

General Debate 09 February 2022

Crimes against humanity

From an interview with AAP by Chris Luxon:

And most curious of all, he writes all of his emails, and has done for years, in a bright blue comic sans font, belying the seriousness of his jobs.

“I’ve just always done it in that font,” he laughs.

“The other day I turned on my computer and it had been changed to Calibri and I thought, ‘Have this been changed because (a staff member) didn’t think I should be writing in comic sans?’

“I have a digital notebook. Everything’s organised in it and yes, I can’t explain it, but I’ve been (using comic sans) since probably 2000. Probably before that! Since when I first got hooked up with email.

“To me, it’s what I use. I apologise for that if it offends you deeply.”

I’m lost for words!

Greens want to renege on full and final settlements

Despite voting for numerous full and final treaty settlements legislation, the Greens have now come out and said the settlements should not be full and final.

In doing so the Greens have proven right every hard right conservative opponent of the Treaty settlements who warned they would not be full and final, and made a mockery of liberals like myself who has spent 25 years defending them on the basis they are full and final.

Government lied over theft of RATs

The Herald reports:

The Ministry of Health has backtracked on a claim by director general of health Dr Ashley Bloomfield that tests requisitioned from private businesses were not already in New Zealand when the Ministry took them.

Last month, when news broke that the Ministry was requisitioning tests ordered by private companies for its own stocks, Bloomfield said private and public orders of the tests were being “consolidated” into one order for the Government.

Bloomfield twice assured the public that tests taken by the Ministry were “forward orders” from overseas, not tests already in New Zealand.

“Many businesses already have tests onshore and we’re not requisitioning those or doing anything like that,” Bloomfield said.

So not once but twice the Government said that the tests they were stealing or requisitioning where not ones already in New Zealand. That was a lie.

While no stocks of Abbott tests that are already in the country have been requisitioned, a substantial stock of Roche tests have been, a fact the Ministry now admits.

A spokeswoman from the Ministry acknowledged it “did take the full February allocation from Roche and their stock on hand in New Zealand as part of having our orders fulfilled by Roche”.

Instead of apologising for the false statements from the podium of truth, the truth comes out through a anonymous spokesperson.

When asked about the requisitioning fiasco, Bloomfield and ministers tend to answer with reference to Abbott’s tests, which had not been requisitioned.

This was despite no companies with Abbott tests on order actually alleging their orders had been taken. The two largest firms who complained their tests had been taken, InScience and Health Works Group, both ordered Roche products.

In a press conference last month, instead of answering what had happened to the missing Roche tests, Bloomfield answered questions relating to Abbott tests – tests which no one had reported as being stolen.

This strongly suggests they knew they had confiscated Roche tests that were in NZ, hence why they changed the topic to the Abbott tests. You sort of expect this level of dissembling from Ministers, but to have a departmental chief executive do it should be of greater concern.

General Debate 08 February 2022

Newshub/Reid Research poll February 2022

Newshub has released their latest Reid Research poll.

Party Vote

  • Labour 44.3% (+1.6% from November)
  • National 31.3% (+4.4%)
  • Greens 9.6% (+2.4%)
  • ACT 8.0% (-8.0%)
  • NZ First 1.8% (-0.7%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-0.1%)

Seats

  • Labour 56 (-9 from election)
  • National 39 (+6)
  • Greens 12 (+2)
  • ACT 10 (nc)
  • Maori 3 (+1)

Governments

  • Labour/Green 68/120
  • National/ACT 49/120

Preferred PM

  • Jacinda Ardern 43.3% (+1.6%)
  • David Seymour 7.9% (-4.0%)
  • Christopher Luxon 17.8% (+15.3%)

Well done Dr Shane

The Herald reports:

Engineers for SpaceX, owned by the world’s richest man Elon Musk, are reportedly in Fiji with plans to help restore internet to the Kingdom of Tonga.

The devastating eruption in mid-January damaged an undersea telecommunications cable, which experts have said could take a month to repair.

National Party MP Dr Shane Reti wrote a letter to Musk, who also produces electric cars under the Tesla brand, asking for help to provide his Starlink satellite technology to the Pacific country. …

The Fiji Broadcasting Corporation, FBC News, reports that the team from SpaceX are now in Fiji to work on an internet gateway for the Kingdom of Tonga.

Minister for Communications Aiyaz Sayed-Khaiyum confirmed the news to FBC News, saying the engineers from SpaceX will establish and operate a temporary ground station in Fiji for six months.

A great result for the people of Tonga, due to Dr Shane taking the initiative.

Petrol is $3/litre

The Herald reports:

Filling up at the petrol pump is costing New Zealanders up to $9 more than a month ago, putting further pressure on household budgets.

The end of fuel price hikes is not yet in sight, an expert warns, with a number of domestic and international factors likely to force them higher still in coming months.

That will add put more pressure to New Zealanders’ pay packets alongside high rents and rising food prices.

Unleaded 95 has passed $3/litre at more than a dozen petrol stations around the country, according to fuel tracking website Gaspy.

The average price of 95 is $2.79, up 22c from a month ago. That means a smaller car with a tank of 40 litres would cost $8.80 more to fill up compared with the same time last month.

I’m glad our main car is electric.

According to Stats NZ, the cost of petrol is 34% higher today than in September 2017.

General Debate 07 February 2022

Blaming obesity on advertising

Stuff reports:

Health groups are calling on the Government to take action against rising rates of childhood obesity by regulating junk food marketing targeted at children.

The notion that childhood obesity is caused by advertising is hilarious. The biggest factor in childhood obesity is ethnicity. The current childhood obesity rates by ethnicity are:

  • Asian 6.6%
  • European 10.3%
  • Maori 17.8%
  • Pacific 35.3%

Most (not all) childhood obesity is caused by parenting, not advertising.

The most obese country in the world is Nauru with a 61% obesity rate. Do the normal activists claim this is because of junk food advertising? Nauru has no daily newspaper,

Pence is right, of course

Stuff reports:

Former US Vice President Mike Pence has directly rebutted Donald Trump’s false claims that Pence somehow could have overturned the results of the 2020 election, saying that the former president was simply “wrong.”

In a speech to the conservative Federalist Society in Florida, Pence addressed Trump’s intensifying efforts this week to advance the false narrative that he could have done something to prevent Joe Biden from taking office.

“President Trump is wrong,” Pence said. “I had no right to overturn the election.” …

He noted that, under Article II Section One of the Constitution, “elections are conducted at the state level, not by Congress” and that “the only role of Congress with respect to the Electoral College is to open and count votes submitted and certified by the states. No more, no less.”

“Frankly there is no idea more un-American than the notion that any one person could choose the American president,” he added. “Under the Constitution, I had no right to change the outcome of our election. And Kamala Harris will have no right to overturn the election when we beat them in 2024.”

The notion that the Vice-President can unilaterally overturn an election result is beyond preposterous. It borders on insane. If you believe that then, as Pence points out, Harris could simply declare Biden (or herself) the winner in 2024.

Stuff bemoans untransparent Government

Anna Fifeld writes:

This obfuscation and obstruction is bad for our society for two key reasons.

One: It’s in everyone’s interest to have journalists understand the complicated subjects they’re writing about. We need to ask questions. We can’t explain things we don’t understand.

Two: It’s called the public service for a reason. They work for the public, aka you. It is the job of the Fourth Estate to hold the powerful to account. So we should be able to ask reasonable questions – like “When will the $1.25 billion Transmission Gully motorway open?” – and expect something that at least resembles an answer.

I have never encountered anything quite like this in any other democracy I’ve worked in: Not when I was a White House correspondent during the Obama administration, not when I worked in Japan or South Korea.

To be clear, our country is free and open compared to many other parts of the world. But I’m not comparing us to Iran (where I used to ask pointed questions at foreign ministry press conferences all the time) or China (ditto).

I’m comparing us to other proudly open and democratic societies. And I’m comparing us to the us we used to be. Where a journalist could ask a straight question and get a straight answer and deliver it to you – straight.

The bolded part should make us reflect.

General Debate 06 February 2022

Trains a 20th century solution

Sam Stubbs writes:

The reality is, while our politicians and planners are wedded to the idea of trains, they are not the future of public transport. Globally, research and development are focused on electric and hydrogen cars and buses, electric bikes and new forms of air transport. Trains are a 20th-century solution for a 21st-century problem.

And trains are very inflexible. Most people have to drive or cycle to a train station, and drive home. Trains work in dense environments where people can walk home, but that is not Auckland. By landmass, Auckland is one of the largest cities in the world and forever expanding outwards.

The future of public transport is probably going to be electric driverless vehicles that will pick you up at your door and drop you off at your destination. You’ll share them with half a dozen or more other people.

It definitely isn’t going to be trains or trams.