An $80 million inquiry

The Herald reports:

An inquiry into the historic abuse of children in state care will also look at similar abuse in religious organisations such as the Church, religious schools and communities, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has announced. …

The scope of the inquiry will cover a period of 50 years – from 1950 to the end of 1999. But Satyanand said it had the discretion to look at cases before and after that period.

The inquiry has a budget of $78.85 million over four years, which includes more than $15 million to help participants by providing counselling and related support.

$80 million for a report has to be a new record.

You could fund 30,000 cataract operations for New Zealanders for that much money.

Judicial pensions

Matt Nippert reported:

Retiring Supreme Court chief justice Dame Sian Elias is leaving the role with a platinum-plated superannuation entitlement seeded with at least $3.3 million of public money.

That nest egg, likely worth millions more, comes from a uniquely generous super scheme that sees judges, including Elias, able to contribute up to five per cent of their salaries to a superannuation fund that is then topped up by $7.50 for each dollar they contribute.

ACT Party leader David Seymour said a similar, albeit less generous, scheme for MPs – seeing contributions from Parliamentarians matched with a $2.50 subsidy – was widely-considered to be gold-plated.

“I’ve long thought MPs superannuation was pretty generous, but, actually, it’s tidbits compared with a 7.5 times contribution matching,” he said.

It is an extremely generous scheme. It basically means that the total remuneration package for being a judge is 37.5% higher than their base salary. So what does this make the package for the senior judges:

  • Chief Justice $718,438
  • Supreme Court Judge $674,438
  • President of Court of Appeal $674,438
  • Court of Appeal Judge $633,188
  • Chief High Court Judge $631,125
  • High Court Judge $602,938

So definitely well paid jobs. However QCs and partners on top law firms would often be earning as much as that, if not more. So I’m not sure the total package is unreasonable.

What would be more transparent is to just increase the salaries by the amount of the super subsidy and abolish the super subsidy. Would cost the same, but people would see what the total cost is.

#11. ANSWERS Old White Man Quiz 12/11

Wally Haumaha report out

The Herald reports:

Police Commissioner Mike Bush knew Louise Nicholas had raised concerns about Wally Haumaha in the past – but did not raise the issue during the appointment process for the deputy commissioner role as he thought it had been resolved.

That decision was reasonable in the opinion of Mary Scholtens QC, whose report released today cleared the appointment process of any fault.

While Nicholas’ concerns about comments attributed to Haumaha were understandable, wrote Scholtens, there was no evidence unearthed in Operation Austin to say Haumaha had done anything wrong.

Haumaha denied saying police should “stick together” when Nicholas first accused a trio of police officers of raping her, and doubted he would have described her allegations as “nonsense”.

While Nicholas’ concerns had been raised with Bush as far back as 2015, by Deputy Commissioner Mike Clement, Bush he believed they had been resolved amicably after seeing them talking in 2016.

When Haumaha was promoted to Assistant Commissioner in 2017, Nicholas did not raise any issues with Bush.

So he did not think it relevant to raise them during the appointment process for Deputy Commissioner earlier this year.

“He thought they had been resovlved

Well he was wrong, wasn’t he.

The inquiry was dogged by questions over Haumaha’s links to the New Zealand First party and the resignation of the first head of the inquiry, Pauline Kingi.

The inquiry was extended from six to 11 weeks when Scholtens asked for more time to consider allegations of bullying against Haumaha reported by the Herald.

Three women walked out of Police National Headquarters in June 2016 and refused to return because of Haumaha’s alleged behaviour.

Scholtens considered the 2016 allegations in her inquiry, but only in terms of what information was potentially available during the recruitment process which led to Haumaha’s appointment in May.

A second inquiry by the Independent Police Conduct Authority is now investigating formal complaints laid by two of the women.

At the end of the day a decision will need to be made about whether Haumaha continues on as Deputy Commissioner. Only one person can make that decision – the Prime Minister who appointed him.

HDPA says ILG must go

HDPA writes:

Do we even need to say it? Iain Lees-Galloway’s got to get the boot.

He’s unravelling like a cheap stitch. The latest revelations about his decision to give Karel Sroubrek New Zealand residency are almost unbelievable.

The Immigration Minister previously told us he agonised over the decision. He told us it was “right up there… probably one of the most difficult decisions” he’s had to make.

Now he’s admitted he didn’t even read the full file. And the decision took him less than an hour.

That’s not quite the Garden of Gethsemane agony we’d imagined. It was more of a Ts and Cs decision. You know the kind. When you upgrade the app, your phone gives you a long list of new terms and conditions, and you just scroll right to the bottom and click “accept”. That’s what just happened.

Not a bad analogy. But with app updates you have to say yes. ILG didn’t have to say yes. No should have been the default and a yes would need a massive preponderance of evidence to justify.

Lees-Galloway sounds like an intern trying to explain why he got the stationery order wrong.

That, after blaming officials for the blunder, is close to pathetic. He can stop throwing his officials under the bus. It’s undignified. Even if they hadn’t given him the full info he needed, he wouldn’t know. He didn’t read the full file.

And, yes, of course, the Minister should have read the entire file. Even if it was hundreds of pages long. He can’t be expected to read every file given to him, but he should read the worrying ones. And this was one of them. Drugs. A false passport. Gangs. Those are all significant red flags.

Exactly. This was not a typical case.

It tells you how sloppy he was, that previous immigration ministers have lined up to give him a serve. All said he got it wrong.

Aussie Malcolm. Sir Kerry Burke. Max Bradford. They’re not just former National Party ministers having an easy crack. Sir Kerry is a former Labour man.

Bradford made a point of reminding us of Danny Butler, the Irishman who claimed he would be killed if sent back to Northern Ireland in the late 90s. Bradford sent him packing anyway. Butler is, according to Bradford, still alive and “making life very difficult” back home.

This case does remind me of the Danny Butler case. I worked in the PMs Office at the time. Butler did what the Czech guy did. Claimed he would be killed if deported. But his claims were false, and he’s been living for 20 years back in the country he claimed would be a death sentence for him.

Criminals facing deportation often claim their lives are at risk if deported. It’s been going on for decades. The difference is this time there was a Minister gullible enough to buy the story.

Young on the JLR saga

Audrey Young writes:

An inquiry seemed at the time an overreaction for an act which may have been a spontaneous act by an MP who may have regretted his or her decision.

In light of the evidence from the inquiry, and Ross’ attitude to Bridges that sat behind it, in hindsight it was a sound decision to get to the bottom of it.

In hindsight it would have been a disaster not to. Imagine two years worth of secret recordings being released.

Bridges and Bennett have made mistakes. He shouldn’t have used the word “embarrassing” when announcing Ross’ health leave (unrelated to the leaking) and Bennett shouldn’t have moralised over affairs.

Yep. They were both trying to be careful with what they said, but got it wrong.

But given the complexity of the problem, the secret recording this week suggests that Bridges and Bennett performed better behind the scenes than they did publicly.

Anyone looking for a lesson in how to deal compassionately with someone with mental health issues, need go no further than the this week’s recording – which pre-dates the leaking evidence.

There is one truth that persists throughout the 18-minute conversation; they all acknowledge Ross has a real health problem, and Bennett and Bridges insist that he needs proper help and time to get well.

Towards the end, it is as though Ross has forgotten that he was secretly recording them. He shifts from a self–conscious demeanour to distress at his own misfortune. The support he is offered is quite moving.

They smother him in support and repeatedly offer him the prospect of future promotion from what is effectively No 56 in the caucus.

Importantly, though, what is clear from the tape is that they had decided that Jami-Lee Ross was going to be demoted off the front bench whether or not he went on leave for health reasons.

While the health issues were genuine and the concern seemed genuine, he was not being demoted for them.

He was being demoted because Bridges had lost confidence in him due to “disloyalty”.

Exactly what comprised that disloyalty is not spelled out and the conversation pre-dated Jami-Lee Ross being identified as the likely leaker.

But the allegations of disloyalty had been itemised at a previous meeting and are thought to have involved repeated bad-mouthing of Bridges to colleagues and undermining his leadership.

Front benchers can’t go around bad mouthing the leadership to all their colleagues, especially those who get trusted with strategic information such as polling. Well not if they want to remain on the front bench.

Ross was offered a deal he could not refuse at the time: either be demoted and have the leader announce the demotion publicly for disloyalty; or be demoted for disloyalty, take leave to address genuine mental health issues and have the leader only say it was for health reasons.

They were trying to give JLR a future. Again with hindsight maybe they shouldn’t have. Perhaps it would have been better to have publicly demoted him for disloyalty?

#11. Monday Quiz. 12 Nov. 2018

Teachers striking again

Stuff reports:

Education Minister Chris Hipkins says the Government has no more money to offer primary school teachers who have voted to strike next week over pay.

The New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI), which represents about 30,000 primary teachers and principals, confirmed on Friday that members across the country would go on a week-long rolling strike starting Monday.

That was despite most primary teachers being offered an almost $10,000 salary increase under a proposed new deal, up from an almost $7000 increase put forward in the Government’s first offer, Hipkins said.

It is a generous offer. But the unions smell blood. They think Labour will blink again and concede some more taxpayer money, so they are striking despite being offered $10,000 a year more.

NZEI and the ministry entered facilitation last week, led by the Employment Relations Authority (ERA).

The ERA released the outcome of those talks on Friday, saying it “strongly recommended” the union accept the ministry’s package, and that the Government had “clearly gone as far as it will go”.

Unusual for the ERA to be so explicit. It indicates NZEI is being unreasonable. But they will be betting that Labour will sweeten the offer more rather than endure more strikes and angry parents.

ERA facilitator James Crichton said talks between the two parties collapsed on Thursday night after the union rejected the ministry’s offer to fund a half-day of paid leave to enable consultation with teachers and principals.

“My prevailing impression of this facilitation is that NZEI came into the process with a series of proposals, which taken in their totality had an air of unreality about them.”

It’s the old tactic of ask for something outrageous so the compromise is more favourable. The Government should attack the NZEI for being so unreasonable, but they can’t afford to get offside with them, so they appease them.

Guest Post: Technological and scientific developments in WW I

A guest post by David Garrett:

At 11am on the 11th of November, it will be 100 years since the guns went silent in what those taking part thought of as “the war to end all wars”. For the historical pedant, 11 November 1918 was not  the end of the war, it was an armistice only; the war  didn’t actually end until the Treaty of Versailles was signed the following year. So what can we say now  about WW I – as it became 20 years later when the next “war to end all wars” broke out – which is in any way  new? Let’s look at technological developments, both on and off the battlefield.

Significant wars always lead to dramatic improvements in military and related  technology, but WW I was arguably the most significant example ever seen, before or since. Perhaps the greatest advances came in the air – WW I was the first war which extended hostilities upward into the sky; all previous wars  had been fought on land or sea or both. In my view, the pace of advancement in the air between 1914 and 1918 was equivalent to that of the middle years of the  space race 50 years later.

At the beginning of  1914 aircraft could barely carry a pilot, much less guns and bombs. At the start of the conflict men in flimsy contraptions made  of canvas and wire built to resemble birds literally tried to shoot each other down with pistols, and threw small bombs directly at their opponent, or in an attempt to hit ground targets. At the beginning, army generals who conceded aviation had any part to play at all in the conflict were convinced that the only role for  aircraft was as observers of what was happening on the ground.

A “fighter” in late  1914 might fly at 80 miles per hour, and have a ceiling (maximum operating altitude) of perhaps a few thousand feet. Many more men were lost to aircraft failure than enemy action. Aircraft often literally fell apart in the air if they had managed to take off at all, and many more deaths occurred through accident than actual conflict.  But developments were rapid. Less than six months after hostilities began in August 1914,  Dutch aircraft engineer Anthony Fokker had invented an “interrupter” mechanism that allowed a machine gun –  and then very quickly  two of them – to   fire through the propeller without hitting the blades.  That revolutionized air combat: the pilot just had to point his aircraft at his adversary, get  and stay within range, and fire.

Although the aircraft of what became known as the “Fokker Scourge” of mid 1915 were monoplanes, and both sides – mainly the British – were experimenting with “pusher” aircraft with rear facing propellers, by 1916 a mere 18 months after the conflict had begun, single seater bi-planes with one or two machine guns firing through the propeller became the pattern of the fighter aircraft types which would continue to be used to the end of the war, albeit with rapidly increasing levels of performance in terms of speed, ceiling, hitting power, and reliability.

By the beginning of  1918,  single seater  fighters capable of 120 mph, with  a ceiling of 20,000 feet, and armed with two forward facing machine guns  had been developed by both sides. Such an advance in performance in such a short time would not be seen again until  near the end the Second War, when jet fighters made piston powered aircraft obsolete.

While everyone knows a bit about WW I fighter aircraft, the significant  part bombers played in the aerial war is less well  known. Until 1917, bombing raids on Britain were carried out with airships – usually but not always the famous Zeppelins – but  by late 1917 twin engined Gotha bombers had begun to carry out what later become known as the first blitz – a slight foreshadow of what was to come 20 odd years later. On 13 June 1917 Gothas bombed London in daylight, causing 600 casualties, many of them school children. In 1938, a high ranking RAF officer called the raid “the beginning of a new epoch in the history of warfare”.

On the ground, as every fan of “Blackadder goes forth” will recall,  nothing much was happening. Both sides occupied trench systems behind layers of barbed wire – not invented until 1865, after the American Civil War – which stretched all the way from the Belgian coast to the Swiss border. Both sides used machine guns, a terrible advance on the gatling gun first used in the American Civil War.  Poison gas was also used by both sides, but such attacks could quickly turn into catastrophes for the attackers if the wind changed. Nevertheless, the horrible injuries caused by gas arguably led to it never being used in the Second War, although there is evidence that both the Germans  and the allies considered doing so.

Both sides undertook “big pushes” to gain territory – the usual result being huge casualties for little or no gain. The new  machine guns, set up behind layers of  barbed wire, together with what in hindsight  were  ridiculous tactics more suited to the Crimean war led to  casualties that now seem literally unbelievable. The British suffered 60,000 casualties on the first day  of the Battle of the Somme. In a war in which records were broken regularly, the Somme Offensive was a new level of horror: three million men fought the battle, with one million of them being killed or wounded. All for little gain in territory.  And then a new weapon arrived – the tank.

While he is in my view wrongly blamed for the disaster that Gallipoli became, few know that the WW I tank was Winston Churchill’s brainchild, and he is rarely given credit for it other than among the well informed. He rightly saw that without some dramatic advance in technology or tactics that would neutralize the deadly combination of barbed wire and machine guns, the war might continue indefinitely, with the blood of young men on both sides being shed for virtually nothing.

The first “landships” as they were called are virtually unrecognizable as the  weapons which enabled the Germans to conduct  blitzkrieg – lightning war – 20 years later. They were slow lumbering beasts prone to breakdown with limited armament, and carrier pigeons for one way communication. But they were immune to machine gun  fire, and when they were first used in numbers at the First  Battle of Cambrai in November 1917,  they caused widespread panic among the Germans who had never seen such a frightening  beast, off which their bullets literally bounced, but which continued to spit fire at them.

While the battle was in my view a breakthrough equivalent at least to the first  bomber raids on London, this first use of tanks wasn’t decisive: there weren’t enough of them, they were prone to breakdown, and the Germans quickly learned how to combat them with artillery and tactics which exposed the landships’ weaknesses. However the Second Battle of Cambrai which occurred less than a year later was a decisive battle, although by then the Americans had belatedly arrived to join the allies.

Military historians remain divided on whether tanks or  yanks were the most significant factor in a battle in which significant territory was taken in a short time with relatively light casualties. What is significant is that many of  the tanks used in the second battle of Cambrai resemble battle tanks today: a hull with caterpillar tracks surmounted by a rotating turret, with a large calibre gun and a machine gun, rather than the rhomboid shapes surrounded by tracks of only a year before.

As  WW I saw huge and terrible advances in military technology, it also gave rise to horrendous wounds among survivors, with men having half their faces blown off as well as losing  limbs. The facial injuries were so horrible that many survivors must have wished they were dead.

Before the War, plastic surgery was seen as the  province of the frivolous rich  and famous who were dissatisfied with the shape of their noses or the size of their breasts. It was regarded perhaps as lipo-suction is now – a somewhat disreputable and not-really-serious branch of medicine. WW I changed that forever, and the central figure in that transformation was a New Zealander, Harold Gillies.

Gillies saw the dreadful wounds caused by the new high explosive artillery shells – wounds so bad that often  the best that could be done for the victims was a phantom of the opera type mask to wear in public – and he determined to use his skills to help the afflicted men to be able to lead as normal lives as possible. Gillies’ biographies include many  “before and after” photos of his patients; men who came to him without a nose, their eyelids burned or blown off, and with an open gash where once had been a mouth. Gillies  transformed them, often after many months and numerous operations, into figures that at least looked human, albeit rather damaged ones.

After the war, Gillies returned to tending mainly to the rich and famous, but when  WW II broke out  he again began working on war wounds victims, now aided by his cousin and pupil Archie McIndoe, another New Zealander, who became famous in his own right for his work rebuilding the faces of pilots severely burned in the Battle of Britain.

Other than the developments in reconstructive plastic surgery, nothing in this piece should be taken to suggest there was anything good about the technological developments in the First World War. By and large, they were developments aimed at more efficient killing; in the case of the bombers the more efficient killing of civilians, who were brought directly into war as unwilling participants for the first time. For all that, it was a quite remarkable four years, with at least as many significant technological developments as the second world conflict which was to follow. How sad  that it is major wars which always see the fastest and most far reaching advances in technology.

They’re against profits, not for health

Stuff reports:

A coalition of health promoters and academics have joined forces to lobby the Government for more regulation on food, tobacco and alcohol companies. 

Health Coalition Aotearoa includes 25 health groups and 55 health professors working to reduce the burden of preventable diseases associated with obesity, tobacco and the harmful consumption of alcohol. 

Coalition members included the Cancer Society, Alcohol Action NZ, Hāpai Te Hauora, the Heart Foundation and academics from Otago, Victoria, Massey and Auckland universities.

Hapai Te Hauora spokeswoman Selah Hart said the group wanted the Government flex its legislative muscle to help “un-mesmerise our communities so they understand the harms”.

“It’s about fighting the big corporations that have huge bank accounts to continue to propel all of these products into our households,” Hart said.

In 2017, McDonald’s Restaurants New Zealand made $67m profit and DB Breweries Limited made $30.4m. 

As I have said before you can generally divide health activists up into two camps. The first genuinely focus on improving health outcomes. The second just hate companies that sell things they dislike, and their focus is on hurting the companies.

We can see this group falls into the second category. Their focus is that shock horror McDonald’s is a profitable company.

Auckland University population health Professor Boyd Swinburne said better policies were needed to help people “have a better shot at making healthier choices for themselves” and a greater share of the health budget was needed to close the “prevention gap”.

“At the moment there is very little spent on prevention given the harm these commodities create … so I guess there needs to be a stronger voice and stronger demand for these policies,” he said. 

Prevention sounds a fancy term for ban.

Clark has ruled out any new taxes during this term – including on sugary drinks. Swinburn said this was “deeply disappointing”. 

The Ministry of Health’s own commissioned advice is that they don’t work so it is far from disappointing. But if the aim is not to reduce obesity (which no sugar tax has ever done) but to reduce profits of companies that sell sugary drinks, then a sugar tax makes sense.

PM says she would not accept Iain Lees-Galloway resignation

The Herald reports:

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern is unhappy with the process that saw Karel Sroubek granted residency and wants it improved, but is standing by her Immigration Minister.

She told Newstalk ZB this morning that she still had confidence in Iain Lees-Galloway and was not expecting a resignation from him, nor would she accept one.

The problem isn’t the process. It was the decision.

Maybe JLR should join NZ First!

Stuff reports:

On the face of it, it is an act of breathtaking hypocrisy from Peters to accept the vote. As the architect of the so-called waka jumping law, Peters presumably had someone exactly like Ross in mind when he made the law a bottom line of coalition negotiations.

Ross was, after all, expelled by National for publicly undermining the leader and secretly recording his colleagues with the purpose of embarrassing and destabilising the party.

Short of crossing the floor to vote against his party on a matter that is core to the National Party manifesto, it is hard to think of a more blatant form of gross disloyalty.

This does indeed expose the hypocrisy of Peters. He thinks waka jumping is so awful he forces Parliament to pass a law allowing MPs to be expelled for it. And then weeks later he takes the proxy vote of an MP who quit as a member of the party he was elected for.

But hey why stop there. I say let JLR join NZ First. He could be their Chief Whip.

The loses are of course the people of Botany. They want more than just a vote being cast in Parliament. They want an MP who can meet them, can advocate for them, who can be invited to school prize givings, open new businesses etc. They do not have that. What constituent in their right mind would go to an MP who secretly records his colleagues and releases the tapes to media?

Maybe what NZ needs is a recall provision for electorate MPs. It would have to be higher than a 50% threshold otherwise parties will just use it against each other. Maybe say a 65% majority needed to recall an MP – so would only work where clearly the MP has entirely lost the confidence of their electorate.

I’m pretty sure that 65% of Botany would vote to recall their MP and have a by-election if they could. Hell I suspect 85% would vote for it.

Will Trump win in 2020?

Tim Lynch writes at Stuff:

The good news if you don’t like US President Donald Trump: he has less than 24 months remaining in his first term in office. The bad news: he now looks to have a better chance at staying in office until 2025.

This year’s midterm elections broke for Trump much more than expected.

The Republicans maintained their control of the Senate, picking up key victories in Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota. And though the Democrats regained control of the House of Representatives, as expected, this is not the counter-revolution they were hoping for.

It is not a Trump wave, but it has confirmed the president’s staying power. Love him or hate him, he remains a remarkable political phenomenon.

It was a good result for the Democrats but not a wave or a wall. And 2020 will not just be an up or down on Trump, but a choice between Trump and the Democratic candidate. And they may not choose wisely.

Trump for president in 2020: Trump looks to be in a better position for re-election than many commentators had believed.

The Democrats did take back the House, but that is par for the course in midterm elections. What’s more telling is that they did not invade Trump territory – the deep-red parts of the South, Midwest and Rust Belt – in any substantial way. Winning control of the House could make life difficult for Trump, but the Democrats cannot remove him from office without a sizeable majority in the Senate – which seems a world away.

Also, the midterms should make it a near-certainty that no serious Republican will challenge Trump for the presidential nomination in 2020. He has proven once again that he is an impressive electoral campaigner with a crude but effective grasp of strategy.

Yeah no doubt he will be renominated with little challenge.

There is not a Democratic messiah in waiting: Texas Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke looked like he might be this figure – a person to energise the party much the way then-Senator Barack Obama did in 2008 – but O’Rourke lost his race against incumbent Ted Cruz, despite a very tight contest.

Democrats still need a platform that is about more than “Stop Trump.”

The prediction market has the following favourites as nominees:

  1. Senator Kamala Harris, California 22%
  2. Former VP Joe Biden, Delaware 16%
  3. Senator Bernie Sanders, Vermont 15%
  4. Senator Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts 10%
  5. Senator Amy Klobuchar, Minnesota 10%
  6. Senator Cory Booker, New Jersey 9%
  7. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, New York 6%
  8. Oprah Winfrey, Illinois 6%

The generic odds of a Democrat winning in 2022 is 54%. That’s better than even but not by much.

Irish aren’t as stupid as NZ

The Irish examiner reports:

The Government has affirmed its support for offshore oil and gas exploration.

In doing so, it has formally criticised a bill aimed at banning drilling, by saying it “will do nothing” to reduce Ireland’s greenhouse gas emissions.

Addressing delegates at the Atlantic Ireland exploration conference in Dublin, yesterday, Seán Canney — Rural Affairs and Natural Resources junior minister — said while fossil fuel consumption will reduce over time, Ireland will continue to need oil and gas supplies for the foreseeable future.

So the Irish Government understands this, but not the NZ one.

He said People Before Profit’s Petroleum and Other Minerals Development (Amendment) Climate Emergency Measures Bill 2018, which is currently at Oireachtas Committee stage, might be well-intentioned, but won’t help Ireland lower its emissions or levels of imported energy.

“Instead, it proposes simply to bind us to only importing our future oil or gas needs,” he said.

This is the future Labour, Greens and NZ First have signed up to – importing.

Could be an interesting precedent

The Herald reports:

A 69-year-old Dutchman is battling to legally reduce his age by 20 years so he can get more work and attract more women on Tinder.

Emile Ratelband argues that if transgender people are allowed to change sex, he should be allowed to change his date of birth because doctors said he has the body of a 45-year-old.

Technically people change gender not sex. But he may have an argument. There are many people who legitimately feel their biological sex is not the same as their gender identity. And I support them being able to legally change their gender.

But age is arbitrary and if people genuinely feel they are a different age to their biological age, why shouldn’t they be able to change it? If a biological male can compete in a women’s sporting event, then could a 35 year old man compete as a 45 year old in a Master’s games?

I could have some vested interest in this. My doctor said my blood pressure is that “of a teenage girl”. I don’t feel 51. I certainly don’t act it. Why should I have to remain legally 51? 🙂

Mr Ratelband’s case has now gone to a court in the city of Arnhmen in the eastern Dutch province of Gelderland.

He was born on 11 March, 1949, but says he feels at least 20 years younger and wants to change his birth date to 11 March, 1969.

Mr Ratelband, who has converted to Buddhism, said: “I have done a check-up and what does it show? My biological age is 45 years.

“When I’m 69, I am limited. If I’m 49, then I can buy a new house, drive a different car. I can take up more work.

He may have a job that requires him to retire at 70. This could be a way to avoid mandatory retirement.

He complains that companies are reluctant to hire someone the age of a pensioner as a consultant.

And he says his move would also be good news for the government as he would be renouncing his pension until he reaches retirement age again.

Very fiscally responsible.

The judge said that he had some sympathy with Mr Ratelband as people could now change their gender which would once have been unthinkable.

But the court said there would be practical problems in allowing people to change their birth date and it would mean legally deleting part of their lives.

The judge asked Mr Ratelband about the status of his early years, from 1949 to 1969, if his official birth date was put back.

“For whom did your parents care in those years? Who was that little boy back then?,” the judge asked.

The Judge needs to watch Star Trek more often. He obviously time traveled.

Lees-Galloway decided on Sroubek in just a couple of hours

The Herald reports:

Immigration Minister Iain Lees-Galloway has admitted he took only hours to make the decision to cancel deportation liability and grant residency to Czech criminal Karel Sroubek.

In Parliament today, under questioning from National, Lees-Galloway confirmed he met his officials at 4.30pm on October 19 and made his decision that day.

A letter confirming that decision, dated October 19, was then sent to Sroubek’s lawyer on October 21, he said.

“I made the decision, on that day, using the information that I had available to me,” Lees-Galloway said.

The PM said it was a very carefully considered decision. Yeah right.

The decision to grant Sroubek, also known as Jan Antolik, residency under his real name has been described by Lees-Galloway as one of the most difficult decisions he has ever made and, that difficulty has been reiterated by Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern.

That’s nonsense. It wasn’t difficult. It wasn’t finely balanced. He was a convicted drug smuggler and fraudster. He had an unverified implausible claim about the Czech Republic that the Minister swallowed in a fit of gullibility.

Lees-Galloway has also admitted he didn’t read the full file. Now in simple cases you might not. But in a case involving a convicted drug dealer which you now claim was the most difficult decision you’ve ever made, it looks negligent to have only skimmed the file.

NSW Labour leader goneburger

ABC journalist Ashleigh Raper has made the following statement:

In November 2016 I attended an official Christmas function at New South Wales Parliament House for state political reporters, politicians and their staff.

This is what happened on that night.

The party moved from Parliament House to Martin Place Bar after a number of hours.

Later in the evening, Luke Foley approached a group of people, including me, to say goodnight.

He stood next to me.

He put his hand through a gap in the back of my dress and inside my underpants.

He rested his hand on my buttocks.

I completely froze.

This was witnessed by Sean Nicholls, who was then the state political editor at the Sydney Morning Herald and is now an ABC journalist.

Mr Foley then left the bar.

Sean and I discussed what happened.

The next state election is on 23 March so just a few months away. Polling has shown it neck and neck. But I can’t imagine Foley can survive this so it will be interesting to see who becomes the new leader.

UPDATE: He has resigned. He claims the allegations are false and he is launching defamation proceedings. If they are false, why did he twice phone the journalist to apologise? Also the fact there was a witness suggests he will not follow through.

The inequitable education system

Alwyn Poole writes:

The New Zealand education system is in major trouble.

The gaps between New Zealand’s Asian population (67 per cent of school leavers with UE), European (44 per cent), Pasifika (22 per cent) and Māori (19 per cent) are a national disgrace and we have given up on believing it can be different.

That’s a shocking disparity.

Our ageing teaching population, our massive educational bureaucracy, many of the failing schools, the teacher unions, bizarre social media sites and blinkered politicians who use slogans and parrot nonsense to attempt to impress those in their own bubble, all lost the plot over 12 out of 2600 schools.

It came to a head in Parliament when some politicians felt they were naming and shaming these individuals and organisations in the House. One said that they had treated children “like dogs” and the Minister of Education even used the word “dodgy”.

The messages: If you are an educator who thinks there may be different ways of doing things, keep your head well down. To families; you better hope that your child fits the one-size-fits-all model or that you have enough financial means to make some choices in terms of where you live or schools you can access.

To those that don’t — including many of our Māori and Pasifika families — the inequities will be perpetuated in succeeding generations.

The vested interests couldn’t handle 12 schools that succeeded in trying a different model.

You can now sell your Kiwibuild house the next day for a huge capital gain!

Newshub reports:

Newshub can reveal KiwiBuild has just become a much better investment.

The Housing Minister has quietly softened up the penalties applied to buyers who flip their home.

Documents obtained by Newshub show owners will no longer have to give up all capital gain they make on the house if they sell it within three years. …

Phil Twyford has secretly backed down on penalties for KiwiBuild buyers who sell up.

When Labour announced the policy in 2016, its plan to stop buyers reaping windfall gains was they must not on-sell their home for five years – or else they had to hand all the money they made to the Government.

That’s now changed to if buyers sell within three years, they must give up 30 percent of their profit.

This is heaven for wealthy families. They now don’t even have to move into the Kiwibuild house for a few years. They enter the lottery, win the house, and sell it the next day for a huge profit – keeping 70% of it.

Here’s how it works. Alan and Amanda have an 18 year old son called Andrew. Alan and Amanda are very well off, earning say $500,000 a year between them.

Andrew works part-time while studying. His parents tell him to enter the ballot, as they will finance the house if he wins. Andrew enters the ballot and wins a Kiwibuild house in Auckland for $650,000. His parents arrange the money and he buys the house.

The next day he sells his house for $800,000. Andrew and his parents get $150,000 profit. They keep 70% of it and so that is $105,000 for winning the taxpayer subsidized lottery.

Andrew continues to live at home with his parents but they now have $105,000 in the bank. Andrew goes off to London after he graduates very grateful to the stupid taxpayers.

A railway within a railway

Point of Order blog writes:

The  poor old taxpayer who  poured more than  $1bn into   state-owned  KiwiRail during the term of the  National  government  is  being hit up  for  another $35m   to reverse the decision taken  two years  ago to  ditch the  North Island  electric locos  and  replace them with diesel-powered engines.

The Ardern-Peters-led coalition has decided to refurbish the 15  units in  the electric fleet — even  though the   argument  to replace  them  was “compelling” .

While  the  government  now  says it is keeping electric locomotives on the North Island Main Trunk Line running to help meet its long-term emissions goals and boost the economy,  KiwiRail  earlier  said it was essentially running “a railway within a railway”by having the electric section.  (The North Island Main Trunk runs from Auckland to Wellington but is electrified only between Hamilton and Palmerston North). The doubling up of service facilities, inventory, training and maintenance required with two separate systems on the line, KiwiRail said, adds to  inefficiencies and unreliability.

It basically nuts. Instead of a train service that can go from Auckland to Wellington, we effectively have three train services – Auckland to Hamilton, Hamilton to Palm Nth and Palm Nth to Wellington.

What this does is make it more likely freight will go by road instead of rail, which will actually produce more greenhouse gas emissions, not less. So once again the Government puts optics ahead of substance when it comes to the environment.