Who should be the Minister of Prostitution?

The Herald reports:

New Zealand sex workers have written an open letter to the Government asking for the election of a Minister of Prostitution.

Well if we have a Minister for Racing, why not a Minister of Prostitution?

But who should it be?

Maybe someone who says they are not in it for the baubles of office, but always takes the baubles?

The chaos the PM is leaving behind

Audrey Young writes:

What a dreadfully untidy way to leave the Beehive.

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has headed to Auckland to prepare for the birth of her baby, which is due on Sunday.

She has spent the past few days trying to allay fears stirred up by National about how reliable Winston Peters will be in charge of the Government in her place.

But no sooner does she leave the capital than news breaks that Peters is suing the Government.

Peters is suing the Ministry of Social Development, plus it its chief executive, Brendan Boyle, and State Services Commissioner Peter Hughes for $450,000 for breach of privacy – relating to his belief over how details of his pension overpayment were leaked to journalists.

Effectively he is seeking $450,000 from taxpayers. Yes an Acting Prime Minister who is suing his own Government demanding $450,000 from them. His Attorney General has to defend the public service against the Acting PM.

Mickey Mouse to put it mildly.

The really stunning aspect of the new action is its timing so close to the date he is due to become Acting Prime Minister for six weeks.

Even if he had a water-tight case – and there is no evidence that he has – wouldn’t he delay it for the sake of a peaceful transition?

The untidiness in handing over to Peters stretches to the Three Strikes debacle as well.

To be fair to Peters, most of the blame lies with Justice Minister Andrew Little who has had to cancel a planned Cabinet paper at the behest of Peters.

Yep Strike 1 for Little.

Peters takes over from Ardern tomorrow in terms of answering questions in the House and thanks to him they will come armed and loaded.

National will be praying it is a sign of things to come.

A messy start to the regency.

CE merry go round

State Services Commissioner Peter Hughes announced:

State Services Commissioner Peter Hughes has today announced five public service chief executive appointments.

The appointments are a result of vacancies that will occur over the next 12 months.

Mr Hughes said he decided to deal with the vacancies as a package to remove uncertainty and maintain momentum in key roles and portfolios.

Under the State Sector Act 1988, a vacancy or impending vacancy for a chief executive role can be filled in one of three ways: reappointment of an incumbent, transfer from one department to another or by advertising the role and seeking applications for appointment to it.

“These appointments will be made by transfer,” said Mr Hughes.

The transfer is a new power. I think this is the first time it has been used. It is very good to see these decisions made before most of the roles fall vacant. This means no need for an Acting CE, and gives good continuity and direction.

The following chief executives have been appointed to new roles:

• Following the end of Helene Quilter’s term, which has been extended through to 30 June 2019, as Secretary of Defence and Chief Executive, Ministry of Defence. Mr Andrew Bridgman, currently Secretary for Justice and Chief Executive, Ministry of Justice, has been appointed Secretary of Defence and Chief Executive, Ministry of Defence, for five years from 1 July 2019.

• Mr Andrew Kibblewhite, who is currently Chief Executive, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, has been appointed Secretary for Justice and Chief Executive, Ministry of Justice for five years from 1 February 2019.

• Mr Brook Barrington, currently Secretary of Foreign Affairs and Trade and Chief Executive, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, has been appointedChief Executive, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, for five years from 1 February 2019.

• Following the retirement of Mr Martyn Dunne, the current Director-General for Primary Industries and Chief Executive, Ministry for Primary Industries, MrRay Smith, currently Chief Executive, Department of Corrections, has been appointed Director-General for Primary Industries and Chief Executive, Ministry for Primary Industries for five years from 1 November 2018.

• Following the decision of current Secretary for Internal Affairs and Chief Executive, Department of Internal Affairs, Mr Colin MacDonald to step down and pursue new opportunities, Mr Paul James, currently Chief Executive, Ministry for Culture and Heritage, has been appointed Secretary for Internal Affairs and Chief Executive, Department of Internal Affairs for five years from 1 October 2018.

Kibblewhite to Justice is a very good move. It is a very complex ministry and needs a strong CE. Likewise Barrington is well regarded at MFAT and will be wise counsel at DPMC.

Goff no confidenced by half of Auckland Council

Bernard Orsman reports:

Nearly half of Auckland councillors have penned a letter of no confidence in Mayor Phil Goff.

The Herald understands the letter relates to Goff’s handling of the recent controversy for a new downtown stadium for Auckland and his refusal to give councillors full and open access to a $923,000 report by PwC on the matter.

It is believed the councillors plan to release the letter publicly at midday tomorrow.

Goff said tonight he had not received any letter from councillors, did not know anything about it and could not comment on something he had not seen.

He doesn’t know that half his Council has lost confidence in him. My God.

A source said the nine out of 19 councillors who signed the letter are John Watson, Wayne Walker, Greg Sayers, Mike Lee, Cathy Casey, Efeso Collins, Chris Fletcher, Daniel Newman and Sharon Stewart.

I suspect if Dick Quax hadn’t died, it would be 10 out of 20.

The lack of confidence crosses political lines. Five out of the nine signatures are from left leaning Councilors.

Goff played down any possible vote of no confidence in him, saying he had just received unanimous support in glowing terms for his 10-year budget, unlike former Mayor Len Brown’s last 10-year budget, which was passed with a bare majority.

They’re not complaining about your Budget. They’re complaining about you acting as the Emperor.

Goff denied there was any tension between him and a group of councillors, saying generally he had a very amicable relationship with councillors as a whole and operated an open door policy.

He’s either lying or delusional.

Caption Contest

An incredible photo, that was unthinkable a few months ago. Unthinkable anytime in the last 30 years to be honest.

Anyway also a good excuse for a caption contest, so go for it in the comments. As always funny, not nasty.

Support for Hezbollah in NZ

Chris Finlayson released:

Shadow Attorney-General Chris Finlayson is appalled at the open support for the terrorist organisation Hezbollah at a protest in Auckland.

“A protest in Aotea Square on Friday was carried out by members of the Islamic Ahlulbayt Foundation of New Zealand. This is the same group that posted a video on Youtube in which an Iranian official denied the Holocaust and in which others were shown calling for the destruction of Israel.

“Hezbollah is synonymous with extremism, misery and terrorism and it is troubling to see support for such an organisation being openly expressed here in New Zealand.

“This protest amounts to support of a terrorist organisation and must be condemned by all. No citizen of New Zealand should be associated with Hezbollah.

Were any MPs at the protest I wonder?

Hezbollah has been designated by the NZ Government as a a terrorist entity. The reasons for their designation are an interesting read.

Hosking praises Winston

Mike Hosking writes:

It’s on days like yesterday I honestly believe that under different circumstances, and with a different temperament, New Zealand First could actually have been a significant political force for good.

What they did in killing Labour’s three strikes law repeal is being the party that MMP cries out for.

A sensible, middle of the road, ballast against the madness and extremities that some parties are capable of, even if that party in this case was a mainstream so-called middle of the road operation.

Repealing three strikes was pure madness, it misread the problem, it completely misread the public view and it was hopelessly wanting in terms of an answer. 
People would have died because of it.

Having fewer people in prison, having a more lenient approach to people being punished for crime, giving bad people the benefit of the doubt more often would have, as sure as night follows day, have led in some way shape or form to carnage among innocents who never deserved it.

We could see it, thank the good lord New Zealand First could see it, and they were able to do something about it.

The real danger of the Labour Party was on show in this thinking – they are obsessed, if not blinded, by hand-wringing ideology.

Yep again we owe thanks to NZ First for doing the right thing here. And we should be aware Labour will try again. They are hopelessly out of touch with mainstream NZ on this issue. The average Labour MP will be surrounded by friends and activists who all hate Three Strikes, decrying it over their lattes.

This is a Labour Party that’s a mixture of out of its depth, delusional and inexperienced.

Tell us what you really think Mike!

Three strikes had all of those attributes, and I think back to the interview with Justice Minister Andrew Little a couple of weeks back when I suggested people would die as a result of the nutters being out on bail. And Little said as long as authorities could get to the offender quickly it would be OK.

As though that made any sense at all. So you stab someone, the coppers round you up within half an hour. That’s OK is it Andrew?

It seems it is.

But for this week the three strikes call is a win – and a large one at that. In my mind he gets to do three nutty things before he unbalances the ledger.

Well one of them is suing the head of the public service while Acting PM. So that leaves two more.

Failure can make you stronger

I like politicians who have experienced some failure in their lives. I think it can make you stronger.

Abraham Lincoln and Winston Churchill are two great examples of politicians who had experienced a lot of failure, yet rose to greatness.

The Herald has a profile of new Northcote MP Dan Bidois, and focuses on some of his failures. They include:

  • arrested as a child for shoplifting a Mars Bar
  • bottom of the class in three different schools
  • suspended twice at Howick College
  • Beaten for Pakuranga nomination
  • No 72 of 75 on National list
  • Failed in initial scholarship application to Harvard, then got it 2nd time
  • Failed to be elected AUSA President, then got it 2nd time

Few of us in life haven’t had significant failures. The measure of you is the ability to move on and not let them define you.

An Acting PM suing the head of the public service for $450,000

Stuff reports:

Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters is still pursuing legal action over an alleged privacy breach in relation to details of his superannuation being leaked.

The NZ First leader confirmed papers were lodged in the Auckland High Court on Monday. He went on to say, “I can’t make any comment because it’s subjudice.”

Sources confirmed those named were Ministry of Social Development chief executive Brendan Boyle, State Services Commissioner Peter Hughes, the Attorney General on behalf of the Ministry of Social Development, and former National ministers Paula Bennett and Anne Tolley.

It is understood Peters is seeking $450,000 for the alleged privacy breach.

So the guy who is going to be Acting PM for six weeks is suing the head of the public service for $450,000 because the Commissioner followed the No Surprises policy.

Going to be rather awkward, to say the least, if the Commissioner has to deal with the Acting PM.

Meet a Second Striker # 9

Yeah I know the battle has been won, but this one was all ready to go, so a final (until they try again) reminder of a second striker that Labour wants to allow out on parole.

Mana Justin Tangitutu is a second striker.  He is currently serving a 7 years 6 months term of imprisonment for his second strike offence of aggravated wounding, and importing methamphetamine (not a strike offence). The methamphetamine was believed to be worth over $180,000.  He committed his second strike offence while in custody, soon after being arrested and appearing in court on the methamphetamine charges.  He repeatedly punched and kicked the police sergeant escorting him, battering him unconscious. He also assaulted two other police officers who intervened.

The police sergeant assaulted retired from the force after this attack.

His first strike offence was for kidnapping for which he was sentenced to 2 years imprisonment.  He and some of his Mongrel Mob associates confronted a business owner and detained him against his will while threatening him with a sharpened screwdriver held to his throat.

A Mongrel Mob member, Tangitutu has a very extensive list of criminal convictions according to the Judge who last sentenced him, however the exact number is unknown. We do know they include “offences of serious violence” and started at age 16.

Three strikes prevents him being released early by the Parole Board as he must serve his second strike sentence without eligibility for parole.

Under Three Strikes, Tangitutu will remain in prison, ineligible for parole, for at least two more years than if Three Strikes was not in force.

Climate purity hurt Ontario liberals

Jeffrey Simpson writes in The Globe and Mail:

They closed the province’s coal-fired power plants, producing the single-largest decline of greenhouse emissions in Canada. This very positive decision for combatting climate change carried a price tag for which Ms. Wynne paid dearly politically.

Coal was dirty but cheap; renewables were clean but expensive. As a recent Financial Accountability Office report showed, the per-unit cost of a megawatt hour from wind power is $173 and from solar $480, much higher than nuclear ($69) or hydro ($58) or coal.

Huge price differences.

Climate virtue exacted a political cost. When the Liberals cancelled two gas-fired electrical plants near vulnerable seats, the decision cost the taxpayers an estimated $1-billion. When they spread wind farms across the province, as in Western Ontario and around Kingston, the reaction was sulphurous, except from landowners who collected rents from the turbines. 

At least they didn’t close down an entire industry, As Labour have done in NZ.

Well done Winston – three strikes safe

NewstalkZB reports:

Cabinet won’t be considering a proposal to repeal the Three Strikes law today – due to a lack of support from New Zealand First.

Justice Minister Andrew Little had been expected to take the proposal to today’s Cabinet meeting.

However, he says New Zealand First has indicated they would be unlikely to support it.

Little says the strength of this coalition Government is that change only occurs when all three parties are on board.

This has shown terrible political management by Andrew Little. He obviously announced his intention to repeal Three Strikes without even talking to NZ First. Why would you do that?

Good to see NZ First stand up for the policies they campaigned on. Repealing Three Strikes would have been a political disaster for them, and would have resulted in many more victims of crime.

Ironically Labour would have been heavily punished if they had gone ahead, so NZ First has actually saved them from themselves. I think this one issue could have lost them the next election.

He says further work on a balanced reform package for a more effective criminal justice system will be considered by an independent advisory panel to be appointed shortly. 

Ha. The independent panel will be nothing of the sort. It will be dominated by the usual suspects and will recommend various forms of “catch and release”.

Sadly this is the end of the series profiling second strikers, at least until they try again. There were another 190 profiles to go and pretty much all of them screamed recidivist violent offender.

So let’s celebrate a good victory over the misguided intentions of the Government. I have no doubt the continuing public campaign against repealing three strikes helped persuade NZ First not to capitulate to Labour and the Greens

Not often I say this, but well done Winston.

Guest Post: What does “tough on crime” mean?

A guest post by David Garrett:

In his attack on the 3S law and the 2013 changes to the Bail Act, the most coherent argument Andrew Little has made is that “tough on crime policies don’t work”. What exactly does the phrase “tough on crime”  mean? Does it mean a Sentencing Act that automatically cuts all sentences of two years or less in half, meaning that no such sentence means what the Judge says it does? Does it mean a parole system which allows  most prisoners to apply for release after one third of the sentence has been served? Perhaps it means a parole system which on occasion releases prisoners despite their still being assessed as being a medium to high risk of reoffending? Or perhaps he thinks serving time in New Zealand jails is “tough”? Let’s start there.

Because of UN conventions which the Clark government signed up to, prisoners in New Zealand jails cannot be required to work. Prisoners live in centrally heated cells – Phil Goff once told me that underfloor heating was a better solution because “they’d only damage heaters.” Giving prisoners a couple of woollen blankets instead didn’t seem to occur to him as a sensible alternative. The cells are Spartan, but clean and well lit. All but the most dangerous prisoners, such as two time killer Graeme Burton, are kept in cells with windows.

The food is basic but more than adequate. Prisoners’ special dietary requirements – perhaps preferences would be a better word – are catered for. Most prisoners are allowed to receive visitors, and in many jails they are allowed to cuddle their loved ones. Before policies tightened a few years ago, cuddling the baby was often a method of receiving drugs hidden in its nappy.

Perhaps the greatest contrast with contemporary as opposed to historic prisons is the interface between staff and prisoners. In short, modern  prisoners can pretty much do what they like to guards, but the guards’ ability to retaliate to their violence is very limited – the guards  know that their every move is being watched on camera, and when a prisoner “nuts off” and they try to restrain him using methods they have been trained to employ, their every move will be closely scrutinised on video, over and over again. Guards feel the authorities are more inclined to find them guilty of misconduct than hold the prisoner to account.

Four Corrections Officers are currently suspended at Paremoremo prison, where our most dangerous prisoners are kept. Each is being investigated for supposed excessive use of force. I am told that the typical incident where such allegations arise goes down like this: the prisoner attacks a guard, often viciously, and without warning. When a colleague attempts to come to the injured guard’s aid, the prisoner immediately throws his hands high in the air to ensure such submission is captured on camera. The guards then need to try both to prevent the prisoner going off again, and give aid to his or her injured colleague. – but without touching the inmate.

Woe betide the officer who instinctively uses pepper spray to make the prisoner back off – he or she will almost certainly be suspended, pending an investigation into excessive use of force. In other words, we expect prisoner officers to treat what the Corrections Department euphemistically calls “some of our most challenging citizens” with kid gloves, and even defending themselves from attack can put their jobs at risk. A few years ago a guard at Springhill prison was killed after a prisoner king hit him. Serious injuries to guards are common. What happens to the prisoners who perpetrate these acts? Very little. There is no solitary confinement or Number 1 diet – bread and water – any more.  Tough on crime? I don’t think so.

In my view, we haven’t really been “tough on crime” since at least the late 1950’s. Lefties now speak in hallowed terms about Ralph Hanan, the National Justice Minister who persuaded sceptical colleagues to support the abolition of capital punishment in 1961. That led to various prison “reforms” which have pretty much continued in the direction of ever easier prison  conditions and policies ever since.

But as recently as the mid 70’s prisons were deliberately designed to be places you didn’t want to go back to. I have a friend – I will call him Ron – who served a year in Mt Eden in 1977. He was convicted of an offence for which he readily concedes he was guilty. He was received by the “screws” in the old Mt Eden prison without any inquiries into how he was feeling, or what his dietary requirements were. He was shown his “slot” – his cell – a 15X10 foot cold stone room with two old army blankets and a “piss pot” in the corner.

It was the middle of winter, and he immediately complained that there was no glass in the small windows. The answer? “Too fucking bad…you cunts smash them out, so stay cold.” Ron was left until the next morning when he was expected to present himself at the door, piss pot in hand, ready to “slop out”, wash in cold water, and go for breakfast – half a bowl of rolled oats and a mug of tea.  Then it was exercise – an hour in an outside enclosed yard, no centrally heated gym – before going back to the cell and lock up until the evening.

A cold unheated cell in Mt Eden. No TV. A book if you asked nicely and had followed all instructions and rules to the letter. A “smack over the head” as Ron calls it if you talked back or didn’t comply quickly with instructions. The only change to that monotony being a church service on Sunday which most prisoners attended, because it was better than the cell.

I can almost see the lefties sneering as they read this and saying “Garrett really is mad – does he seriously think we should go back to that?” Well, actually I do. We have tried everything else: Kim Workman’s disastrous He Ara Hou,  where the guards didn’t wear uniforms and the prisoners called them by their first names and got taken on fishing trips; Maori focus units which show some short term reduction in reoffending rates, but at least they don’t cost much. Faith based units: ditto. For young offenders we have tried the army – successful for a small number – boot camps, which mostly turn out fitter criminals, and Graeme Dingle taking them all camping and kayaking at huge public expense. Nothing much works.

That leaves something like my friend Ron experienced – or something much worse than that. Until 1941 flogging and whipping were used on  both adult and juvenile offenders, the former mainly sex offenders. The Crimes Amendment Act 1941 abolished both capital punishment and whipping. When capital punishment was restored in 1950, whipping wasn’t. It had had no marked deterrent effect, and its removal had not resulted in increased violence in prisons.

No, I am not suggesting we go back to the 1930’s and start flogging and whipping prisoners, whether adult or juvenile. But just maybe, the “making prison somewhere you really don’t want to go back to” idea  is an option worth considering. But you can bet your arse that  won’t be part of the “ comprehensive conversation” Little claims he wants to have at his proposed summit on criminal justice in August.

Fran calls out Ardern’s Orwellian move

Fran O’Sullivan writes:

Jacinda Ardern’s use of prime ministerial fiat to ban new offshore oil and gas exploration is disturbingly Orwellian.

Official papers released by her hapless Energy Minister confirm what was already blindingly obvious to anyone who has observed closeup the process of Governmental decision-making — the ban was purely political.

A decision that was kicked upstairs and made by Ardern, NZ First Leader Winston Peters and Greens Leader James Shaw. And rushed through — without being contested through appropriate Cabinet consideration — so it could be announced on April 12 just before the Prime Minister headed to Europe.

What it also confirms — as I wrote in April — is Ardern put her debut as a global climate change warrior ahead of making credible plans to transition New Zealand away from a reliance on fossil fuels towards clean energy.

They rushed it through so the students in London would cheer her.

On April 10 — two days before Ardern unveiled the decision — officials warned Woods the proposed ban would be “detrimental to a number of public policy objectives”.

It would not only decrease economic activity in Taranaki (currently home to NZ’s highest paid provincial earners) and increase costs to consumers. But it would increase the risks around security of supply and result in a reduction in Crown revenues from lower future royalties.

Importantly , as the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) pointed out the reduction of domestic greenhouse gas emissions would be negligible. Said MBIE, it would more likely result in increased global emissions as methanol produced from gas at Methanex’s Taranaki plant would be replaced by methanol produced by using coal from China.

So in summary it means less jobs, less tax, less royalties, less energy security, higher energy costs and an increase in global greenhouse gas emissions.

Armstrong on Kiwibuild

John Armstrong writes:

When Labour unfurled its flagship KiwiBuild policy back in 2012, the party thought it had come up with something special.

It thought it was onto an absolute winner.

And with good reason. The policy had a number of virtues for a party in Opposition, the chief one being its sheer simplicity.

Anyone could comprehend the policy’s objective of building 100,000 “affordable” new houses for first-home buyers over 10 years

And it was called Kiwibuild, not Kiwibuy.

It is still early days, but the feeling lurks that a policy which was such a valuable weapon in Opposition may not be quite the mechanism for easing the chronic shortage of “affordable” housing that Labour is hoping it will prove to be.

KiwiBuild may work in theory. Getting it to mesh with the forces operating in the wider property market may turn out to be an entirely different story. …

So far, all Twyford has to show for his efforts are two housing developments, the first of which is the plan to build up to 4000 homes on land purchased from Unitec in Mt Albert. Between 30 and 40 per cent of those homes will be built under the KiwiBuild banner.

Which were planned and consented under National.

Such a commotion will be trifling in comparison to the anger and indignation which will erupt if taxpayers end up underwriting property speculators who go bust.

That may sound far fetched. But the time it is going to take to get construction under way on large projects like the one planned for the Unitec site has seen the Government opt for buying properties off the plans of private developers. 

The latter are finding it more difficult to get the financial backing from banks and other sources willing to lend the kind of money required to get building on large subdivisions under way.

Twyford has indicated that he is willing to have taxpayers underwrite such developments.

This is dicey stuff  – politically as well as financially. Whatever safeguards might be in place, when property developers go belly up, there is only one thing that you can guarantee – namely that every one ends up being a loser.

Corporate welfare for property developers isn’t quite what the public thought they were getting.

What a wasted opportunity

Stuff reports:

Animal rights advocates have walked out of a Government-led hui, after representatives of groups they campaign against also attended the meeting. 

The hui was designed to hear a raft of animal welfare concerns, in the wake of the Government’s decision in March to not ban rodeos.

But the gathering turned sour when NZ Rodeo boss Lyal Cocks and a well-known pig farmer turned up.

How silly to walk out. They actually had a chance to have face to face discussions and influence with a major operator.

Angry Kelvin

Stuff reports:

The Prime Minister has had words with her deputy over him calling a National MP “hysterical” and has told Kelvin Davis he shouldn’t have said it.

In a statement from Jacinda Ardern’s office, a spokeswoman said, “Minister Davis has apologised to Jacqui Dean and to the Prime Minister herself.

“The Prime Minister says he should not have made that comment and he understands that.”

So what did Dean do that had Kelvin label her hysterical?

During one of many fiery exchanges, Davis called Dean “hysterical” for asking whether tourism jobs would be impacted as a result of increasing costs for small businesses.

Seems a rather reasonable question.

National MPs on the Economic Development committee are demanding Davis be recalled after what Todd McClay described as the “worst performance of any Minister in any select committee ever”.

“I think he was vacant, not just complacent,” McClay said after the hearing.

“I think the tourism sector, the public who maybe interested in how all of this money that was promised before the election might be spent, were left without the answers.”

Davis got increasingly frustrated throughout the hour-long meeting and not only had heated exchanges with Dean and McClay but also the committee chair, Jonathan Young.

At one point Young, who was becoming visibly frustrated by some of the responses, raised his voice asking “when do we get to see?” after weeks of being told to wait and see what the Budget delivered

Davis shot back, “I’m sorry, don’t talk to me like that”.0910

I don’t think Davis understands that Ministers are meant to be able to answer questions from select committees.10

Northcote Results

The Northcote results are here.

With over half the results counted, the count is:

  1. Dan Bidois (N) 5,923, 51.2%
  2. Shannan Halbert (L) 5,123, 44.3%
  3. Rebekah Jaung (G) 304, 2.6%

The change (at this stage) from 2017 is:

  • National down just 1.6%
  • NZ First down 3.8% (did not stand)
  • Greens down 4.2%
  • Labour up 8.7%

So at this stage it looks like mainly a redistribution of votes on the left, plus lower turnout.

Will update once final results come in.

Final results are:

  1. Dan Bidois (N) 10,147, 51.1%
  2. Shannan Halbert (L) 8,785, 44.2%
  3. Rebekah Jaung (G) 579, 2.9%

The change (at this stage) from 2017 is:

  • National down just 1.7%
  • NZ First down 3.8% (did not stand)
  • Greens down 3.9%
  • Labour up 8.6%

So no big change except Labour picking up Green and NZF voters (which is logical voting behaviour for a by-election).

Congrats to Dan Bidois who is the new MP for Northcote. He has a great background which should serve him well as an MP. Good to see National having such good talent join them.

Business confidence in free fall

The Herald reports:

The spiking price of fuel, slow progress on housing and infrastructure and the threat of rising labour costs has sent business confidence in the country’s biggest city into “free fall”, says Auckland Chamber of Commerce boss Michael Barnett.

The chamber last week surveyed 800 businesses and found nearly half (44 per cent) believed the economy will deteriorate over the rest of this year.

Only 15 per cent thought the economy would improve during that time.

Compare that to June last year, when a third of businesses surveyed thought the economy would improve while only eight per cent believed things would get worse.

This is no surprise. When you have a government that decides to close down an entire industry without consultation or advice, then no wonder business owners are spooked.

Conservatives win in Ontario

The popular vote in Ontario was:

  • Conservatives 40.6% (+9.3%)
  • NDP 33.7% (+9.9%)
  • Liberals 19.3% (-19.4%)
  • Greens 4.6% (-0.2%)

The seats are:

  • Conservatives 76 (+48)
  • NDP 40 (+19)
  • Liberals 7 (-51)
  • Greens 1 (+1)

So a comfortable win for the Conservatives. The Liberals lose recognition as an official parliamentary party as the threshold is eight MPs.

The outgoing Premier has held onto her seat by only 181 votes. She has resigned as Liberal Leader.