National candidates picking up Green voters
January 26th, 2012 at 9:28 am by David FarrarThe table below lists in order what percentage of people who gave the Greens their party vote, gave their electorate vote to the National candidate.
It is worth noting that not all electorates are equal. Where a seat had a Green MP as a candidate, few Green voters voted for the National candidate. Also in seats where Labour were trying to win the seat, many Greens voted tactically for the Labour candidate.
| % of Gre PV voting Nat EV | Nat |
| Epsom | 54.3% |
| Botany | 34.5% |
| Bay of Plenty | 33.5% |
| Pakuranga | 33.0% |
| Tauranga | 28.5% |
| Helensville | 28.0% |
| Maungakiekie | 25.6% |
| Papakura | 25.3% |
| Taupo | 24.9% |
| Hamilton West | 24.7% |
| Clutha Southland | 24.4% |
| Selwyn | 23.4% |
| Rangitata | 21.2% |
| Northcote | 20.9% |
| Whangarei | 20.8% |
| Tukituki | 20.0% |
| Rotorua | 20.0% |
| Waitaki | 19.6% |
| Rangitikei | 19.5% |
| Tamaki | 19.4% |
| Hunua | 19.3% |
| North Shore | 19.3% |
| Nelson | 18.6% |
| Whanganui | 18.3% |
| East Coast Bays | 18.2% |
| Waikato | 18.2% |
| Napier | 18.1% |
| Taranaki-King Country | 18.1% |
| Hamilton East | 17.6% |
| Invercargill | 17.0% |
| Ilam | 16.8% |
| Otaki | 16.5% |
| Kaikoura | 16.0% |
| Manurewa | 15.4% |
| Northland | 13.4% |
| Waitakere | 13.0% |
| New Plymouth | 12.7% |
| Mana | 12.1% |
| Auckland Central | 11.6% |
| Wairarapa | 11.3% |
| Waimakariri | 11.2% |
| Christchurch Central | 11.1% |
| Rodney | 10.9% |
| East Coast | 8.3% |
| Rimutaka | 8.0% |
| Coromandel | 7.8% |
| Palmerston North | 7.7% |
| Christchurch East | 7.5% |
| Wigram | 7.4% |
| Port Hills | 7.2% |
| Mt Roskill | 6.4% |
| Dunedin North | 5.9% |
| Te Atatu | 5.8% |
| Manukau East | 5.7% |
| New Lynn | 5.7% |
| Mangere | 5.5% |
| Dunedin South | 5.4% |
| Hutt South | 5.4% |
| Ohariu | 4.7% |
| West Coast Tasman | 4.1% |
| Wellington Central | 3.5% |
| Mt Albert | 3.4% |
| Rongotai | 2.7% |
Epsom at the top is again no surprise, and represents tactical voting. It is interesting that more Green voters tactically voted than Labour voters. In hindsight standing Parker in Epsom was a mistake.
In seven other seats, the National candidate got more than 25% of Green voters.
The seat where the National candidate did best with Green voters, but did not win the seat was (excepting Epsom) Manurewa with 15.4%.
The seat where the National candidate got elected but got the fewest Green votes was Coromandel with 7.8%. Green MP Catherine Delahunty stood there.
The overall bottom seat for Greens voting for the National candidate was Rongotai where Russel Norman stood.
Tags: Election 2011, split voting
January 26th, 2012 at 9:41 am
That means Green Party voters in Epsom are either smarter than the Labour voters, or just more devious and scheming.
Vote:January 26th, 2012 at 9:52 am
Greens have no entrenched electorate mentality, their electorate vote is pretty much a free vote as they don’t care about it for their party.
A green supporter recently posted that we should do away with electorates because the list was all that mattered and electorate MPs were bad for constituents. That may or may not be typical of greens but in any case there’s nothing stopping them being promiscuous with their electorate vote.
Vote:January 26th, 2012 at 6:06 pm
Goodness, those Greens are hypocrites of the first order.
For all their wailing and gnashing of teeth on tactical voting and stitch-ups, they tried their darndest to have Nikke Kaye lose in Auckland Central and for John Banks to lose in Epsom, through stitch-ups and tactical voting, and IT STILL FAILED.
Bahahaha. Mwahahaha.
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