Labor punished in Western Australia

March 10th, 2013 at 11:00 am by David Farrar

Normally Oppositions gain seats and Governments lose seats in elections. Not so in yesterday’s Western election.

Of 59 seats, the 2008 election resulted in the Liberals had 24 seats, their partners in the Nationals had 4 seats, Labor had 28 seats and there were three Independents. The Liberals won the two-party preferred vote by 51.8% to 48.2%. So it was a Liberal minority government.

The Liberals have had an 8.8% increase in their primary vote and are projected to go from 24 seats to 33, making them a majority Government. The Nationals picked up one seat also so combined they will have 40 out of 59 seats – a two thirds majority. Labor have been slaughtered going from 28 to 19 seats. Such a slaughter is not unheard of for an incumbent Government (like in Queensland) but is even rarer for an opposition.

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16 Responses to “Labor punished in Western Australia”

  1. Chris Diack (723 comments) says:

    To what extent was it a judgement on the ALP federally.

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  2. PaulL (5,776 comments) says:

    51% of voters in an exit poll said that the Federal govt was an important impact on their vote.

    “The most important factor was energy costs, which the exit poll found was important to 55 per cent of voters. The cost of living was rated important by 34 per cent, the carbon tax by 33 per cent, and the mining tax by 33 per cent.”

    I wouldn’t read too much into it towards the Federal election. WA is the state that likes the Federal govt the least, has the highest proportion of mining (so dislikes mining taxes), the most “redneck” (dislike carbon taxes) and get shafted every year in the GST carve up (so dislike the Federal govt in general, whatever the colour). A decent proportion of Western Australians would secede if they could.

    Notwithstanding all that, it’s not a good news story for Federal Labor.

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  3. Redbaiter (6,481 comments) says:

    The Gillard effect.

    A lying cheating arrogant power grabbing commie with a shady past, a fat arse, and a gross manner of speaking.

    Let’s hope it’s a result repeated in September.

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  4. Chris Diack (723 comments) says:

    Thanks PaulL

    As usual Red just abuses.

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  5. Harriet (4,010 comments) says:

    “….To what extent was it a judgement on the ALP federally…”

    Expected.

    West Australians often read in the papers that the Federal Labour government is wasting money here, there, and everywhere – else that is!

    West Australians see billions of taxes via mining in WA flow to Canberra, then Canberra spends nearly all of it in the other States, Federal Labour is seen to spend most cynicaly for votes, as more ‘disadvantaged’ people live in other states, Canberra also spends it on ‘potential’ federal voters via state Labour governments. Everyone in every state knows that.

    WAustralians have also become scared with mining companies spending less and less in Australia on new mining operations due to the mining tax – and that means less high paying jobs.

    Federal Labour will get the hiding of all hidings in WA, QLD and NSW as all the public are seeing from Labour [state & fed] is PR PR PR – and they’ve finaly woken up to the fact that they will no longer be treated like fools – as the household bills are getting to big.

    PS. The have just interveiwed Colin Barnett on CH7 “We won by that landslide due to the mining tax.” – WAustralians know who it is that puts food on their tables!

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  6. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (528 comments) says:

    Everywhere the Labour communists and the Green eco terrorists are kicked out of power and prevented from coming any where near power……except in New Zealand where in 2014, the Labour-Green government is expected to be in place…..

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  7. PaulL (5,776 comments) says:

    True Harriet, the Federal Labor govt is very politically driven and spend money in a cynical poll-driven way. Refer also the Tasmanian Health package, and the regional development fund that they created to woo the independents. Also interesting was the way that they’ve declared Greater Western Sydney to be a regional area, and invited every council to reapply for the regional grants – spending the remaining $$ in that budget on votes.

    In a way it’s sort of cunning – they’re doing election bribes, but doing it in a way that doesn’t actually impact the budget. But at bottom it also shows that they have no real plan for the country other than the usual grab bag of union-imposed policies and rank electoral opportunism. I guess that’s democracy though.

    I have some thoughts on my blog, I think the federal budget is the next chance for Federal Labor to make an impact. I reckon it’s 60% likely or more that the budget will also be negative for them – they’re in a death spiral at the moment.

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  8. ChardonnayGuy (1,024 comments) says:

    I think this raises the question of whether the global economic crisis causes accelerated incumbency fatigue for governments of all philosophical hues, given the federal ALP’s headaches in Oz (exacerbated by its dysfunctional and byzantine factional quagmire, it has to be said), the exit of Sarkozy’s UMP in France, the real prospect of Chancellor Merkel’s CDU-CSU government being dumped in Germany due to the probable demise of the Free Democrats in September, and the crisis of the Cameron administration in the United Kingdom at present.

    The lesson appears to be a tactical and strategic one, primarily. A disunited and dysfunctional incumbent government or opposition party will fare poorly in the polls and either lose or fail to attain political office. A relatively unified and cohesive one will make political gains. Therefore, the ALP is doing badly in the polls, but so is the Cameron administration in the United Kingdom. Both are undermined by factionalism and dissension within their respective parliamentary caucuses as incumbent governments.

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  9. Ross12 (930 comments) says:

    Paul L –so you are a redneck if you disagree with the carbon tax in Australia. A lot of Aussies must obviously be rednecks, in your view, given the numbers against it.

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  10. ChardonnayGuy (1,024 comments) says:

    Well, the Aussies are more backward in terms of indigenous rights, constitutional infrastructure and asylum and refugee policy, so it’s not surprising they’re more backward in terms of climate change, Ross, yes.

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  11. Redbaiter (6,481 comments) says:

    “As usual Red just abuses.”

    One day you pontificating pseudo-intellectuals will realise that just as the left built a wall around East Berlin to restrain freedom, so have they built a similar wall through and around freedom of speech and expression in western Democracies.

    The wall needs to be torn down, but it won’t be while the left’s jack booted guards and their gullible dupes stand atop it sniping at anyone trying to do that.

    There is not a word in my above comment that is untrue and it is completely relevant to the debate.

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  12. Harriet (4,010 comments) says:

    “……Well, the Aussies are more backward in terms of indigenous rights, constitutional infrastructure and asylum and refugee policy, so it’s not surprising they’re more backward in terms of climate change, Ross, yes….”

    That’s rubbish Shoddy.

    You are just the typical urban, black armband wearing historian, ignorant imposter into Aboriginal welfare.

    Aboriginals will gain their dignity from providing for themselves – not by being ‘pittied’ by racists like yourself who imply by way of ‘welfare largese’ that Aboriginals arn’t capable to attain a prosperous life -ever.Aboriginal leaders of late have said as much!

    All Aboriginal leaders who work outside the ‘ivory towers’ of Aboriginal ‘rights’ despise the idea that more welfare will fix Aboriginal problems. It never ever has, it is the singular reason why generations of Aboriginals became alcoholics, wife beaters and kiddy rapists.

    Mining in Australia is trying to employ as many Aboriginals as they can because Australians are sick of seeing generations of Aboriginal children living the life of dogs on Aboriginal ‘missions’.

    Tell us something Idiot : Why is it that the only people on some missions who CAN speak english are also the great grandparents[the so-called stolen generation] of today’s infants ?

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  13. Harriet (4,010 comments) says:

    “….Well, the Aussies are more backward in terms of …..asylum and refugee policy…”

    Fuck me!

    You really do hate women and kids don’t you Shoody? First you despise aboriginal women and children being placed in a better enviroment to better themselves, and fuck me, now you would prefer that women and children drown!

    Howard had the boats down to 2 a year[his last year as PM]

    Labour/Greens weakened that policy and drowned more than 500 refugees!

    You should get out a bit more Shoddy – from the gaybourhood. Your poor opinion of women and children is starting to figure far too prominently in your comments! :cool:

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  14. UpandComer (496 comments) says:

    Red is actually right on this occasion about Gillard. She is a an absolutely inveterate liar. She tried to paint Tony Abbot as a ‘misogynist with anger problems’ because she, and this is actually true, said that he ‘might’ have punched a wall once when he was in his twenties. Of course no one saw this, no one knows anything about it, and it’s patently ludicrous. Yes, as ridiculous as this sounds the Aussie media ran with it. They only very reluctantly addressed the fact that Gillard created a fraudulent slush fund for her boyfriend she was living with and who was her legal client so he could use Union dues to go and buy a house and inhabit brothels. The fact she tries to say with a straight face that she wasn’t there and didn’t know makes me want to vomit. She’s actually nearly as bad as Helen Clark. Labour are going to get their arses handed to them because Aussies unlike Kiwis actually like having a decent economy.

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  15. PaulL (5,776 comments) says:

    I put the redneck in quotes, it was shorthand for a particular mindset. Personally I’m not a big believer in catastrophic human caused climate change either. My point being that WA is more in the individual liberties, screw the govt, no time for leftie hippies category than the rest of the country are, so results in WA don’t translate well to the rest of the country. I wouldn’t, for example, generalise from this result to Victoria, SA or Tasmania, places where there are lots of trendy lefties who live off the govt and think the carbon tax to be a great idea.

    On aboriginal rights, that is a problem that nobody really knows what to do with, which is why it doesn’t get talked about much. Things as they stand are appalling. There are whole communities where child sexual abuse is rife, women are abused, the majority of the population have no work, crime is endemic, substance abuse is a way of life. The intervention sort of works – but it works by infantalising those people and having the government tell them how to run their lives. So whilst it reduces crime and substance abuse, and correspondingly has an impact on abuse, it isn’t a solution since it’s not teaching those people how to take responsibility for themselves. Going the other way, which would be to remove welfare payments for those who aren’t living up to standards, runs the risk of severely impacting children. There are no good ideas short of just deciding that the “traditional” way of life isn’t OK and forcibly assimilating these people. Which clearly isn’t going to work well either.

    It’s easy to say that Australians have a particular and backward view of Aboriginals. It’s harder to deal with the fact that some of those stereotypes are very true about some of the Aboriginal communities, and nobody really has a good idea of how to fix it.

    I’d also recollect that the poorest Australian state (Tasmania) has an income per head substantially above NZ’s. If we joined the Australian Federation (which we can by simply holding a referendum) we’d be receiving similar massive income transfers as what Tasmania receives.

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  16. pq (728 comments) says:

    PaulL (5,073) Says:
    March 10th, 2013 at 2:52 pm
    If we joined the Australian Federation (which we can by simply holding a referendum) we’d be receiving similar massive income transfers as what Tasmania receives.
    pq says it would be a great idea to join Australia but we live here in a small false ‘redneck’ pride, and we would rather go down

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