All over Rover?

August 29th, 2013 at 4:00 pm by David Farrar

They’ve had the third and final leaders debate in and this is the result:

Sportsbet has declared the federal election a one-horse race and we’re paying out all bets on the Coalition nine days before Australia goes to the polls.

We’re so confident of a landslide Coalition victory for Tony Abbott and his team, we’ve paid out more than $1.5 million in bets to our members – a first in Australian federal election history.

I’ve never heard of this happening before.

Sportsbet got 147 of the 150 electorates right in 2010. They currently show as favourites Coalition for 90 seats, Labor for 56.

Tim Blair also has the best line of the campaign from Tony Abbott:

If you want to know my character, ask my colleagues. If you want to know Mr Rudd’s character, ask his colleagues.

Food for thought for some people in NZ Labour?

 

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23 Responses to “All over Rover?”

  1. Ross Miller (1,704 comments) says:

    That would have to be unprecedented by any betting agency anywhere in the world.

    Ooooops perhaps not in the case of Indian cricket.

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  2. Ruminator (18 comments) says:

    This isn’t that uncommon. Paddy Power do it a lot – http://blog.paddypower.com/2012/11/04/paddy-power-pays-out-400000-on-obama-victory-in-u-s-presidential-election/

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  3. dime (9,980 comments) says:

    Is this some sort of weird endorsement?

    9 days.. people can develop crack additions, get done for drunk driving.. anything in 9 days!

    What if abbot lost the plot and holed up in a brothel with a kilo of coke?

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  4. Redbaiter (9,123 comments) says:

    The problem for the left is that they do not control information anymore.

    They’re trying to blame Murdoch but its not really a legit complaint. Murdoch was for Rudd last election. (prior to Gillard election)

    The real issue is that blogs etc have opened up the communication lines and Labour cannot escape scrutiny as it did in the past.

    They (Glllard’s lot anyway) also tried to introduce legislation that would have severely impacted upon freedom of political expression. This showed everyone what really dangerous people leftists can be.

    The media don’t have much of an effect these days. In fact many of those thugs and communists were for Gillard’s fascistic law change. Its the internet that has ruined things for the left.

    Look for renewed intent to solve this problem if by some chance they do win government again.

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  5. Duxton (654 comments) says:

    Irish bookmakers paid out on the All Blacks beating France in the final of the 2011 Rugby World Cup the day after the All Blacks won their semi-final.

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  6. davidp (3,581 comments) says:

    dime>What if abbot lost the plot and holed up in a brothel with a kilo of coke?

    He’d still be better, less odd, and more popular than Kevin Rudd. At this stage Abbott would have to murder a prostitute to be a worse option than Rudd.

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  7. DJP6-25 (1,388 comments) says:

    If it’s a disaster for Labor, it’s a triumph for Australia.

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  8. Alan (1,087 comments) says:

    Happens all the time as others have pointed out, encourages people to bet a bit more

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  9. OECD rank 22 kiwi (2,752 comments) says:

    Guess the Australian Navy won’t get rebased to Brisbane.

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  10. SHG (316 comments) says:

    dime and davidp – I don’t think either of your scenarios would affect the odds or the outcome, because neither of them affect how much people are utterly sick of the Australian Labor Party. This election isn’t about preferring Tony Abbott over Kevin Rudd – it’s about getting rid of the ALP.

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  11. Kimble (4,440 comments) says:

    Labor lost the last election. They were propped up by crooked independents.

    During their stolen time in power they were policy AIDS.

    When Rudd defeated Howard, the first thing he did was say Sorry. But was he apologising to aborigines for the past, or everyone else for the future?

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  12. gazzmaniac (2,307 comments) says:

    It is fair to say that I wasn’t the only person in Australia who felt uncomfortable with Sorry Day.

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  13. lolitasbrother (702 comments) says:

    Kimble is correct above the independents Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott gambled with Australia.
    Oakshott, and Windsor have been forced to retire, but they would have lost anyway by not representing their electorates.
    Yes this prediction has light bolted Australia .
    Some people say it is close to buying votes it is so influential, and Australia love a goer
    I have three phone calls in today from friends in Oz.
    Its sad to say in the lucky country that they don’t love Abbott they just must see the Labour party out.

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  14. SHG (316 comments) says:

    Kimble said:

    Labor lost the last election. They were propped up by crooked independents.

    I believe that’s called “winning the election”.

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  15. Rex Widerstrom (5,354 comments) says:

    davidp suggests:

    At this stage Abbott would have to murder a prostitute to be a worse option than Rudd.

    Or, as Edwin Washington Edwards, 4-term governor of Louisiana said:

    The only way I can lose this election is if I’m caught in bed with either a dead girl or a live boy.

    But for classic bons mot, you can’t got past his summation of David Duke (former Louisiana State Representative, a candidate in presidential primaries for the Democratic and Republican parties, and former Grand Wizard of the Knights of the Ku Klux Klan):

    We’re both wizards in the sheets

    Now if only we had a politician or two that quick-witted in NZ. The nearest we’ve got is the ghost of David Lange.

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  16. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (890 comments) says:

    I understand the betting agencies in NZ will start to pay out on Cunliffe’s victory from March 2014…..

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  17. bhudson (4,740 comments) says:

    ^^ He’ll they’re a bit slow off the mark. Cunliffe declared victory this week.

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  18. PaulL (5,987 comments) says:

    I don’t really get it when betting agencies do this. They run odds, there is a non-zero chance that Rudd will win – no matter how that happens, maybe Abbott does something stupid. If that happens, they’re screwed if they’ve already paid out. So why wouldn’t they wait? I’m assuming they are doing it for publicity. Or maybe they want to shut down betting?

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  19. lolitasbrother (702 comments) says:

    PaulL its publicity. I had never heard of Sportsbet or whatever.
    Today I received three phone calls from your compatriots about this .
    It is major news, and there is nothing like public expectation.
    Abbot was offhand about it, but he thinks people are voting for him, they are not,
    they are voting against Labour and Labour’s record

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  20. Ian McK (237 comments) says:

    Let’s hope this trend is growing, we need to get rid of the left-wing filth here also.

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  21. Paulus (2,633 comments) says:

    New Governments never get voted in – Old Governments get voted out.

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  22. Kimble (4,440 comments) says:

    I believe that’s called “winning the election”.

    You call THAT a win?

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  23. scrubone (3,099 comments) says:

    Didn’t someone do this for Obama?

    Update: yep
    http://www.businessinsider.com.au/paddy-power-pays-out-on-obama-victory-2012-11

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