Curia’s Polling Newsletter – Issue 58, June 2012
May saw just five political polls published – two Roy Morgan polls a 3 News Reid Research poll, a Herald Digipoll and a Herald on Sunday Key Research poll.
The average of the public polls has National 15% ahead of Labour, up slightly from 14% in May. The centre-right has 61 out of 121 seats on the June average, so could govern without the Maori Party.
Australia has the ALP 10% to 13% behind the coalition.
In the United States Barack Obama is 2% ahead of Mitt Romney in the polls, and projected to also be ahead in likely electoral college votes. However his re-election chances on the Intrade market remains at 55%.
The Republicans remained favoured to keep control in the House (78%) and gain a majority in the Senate (56%).
In the UK the Conservatives are 10% behind Labour.
In Canada the Conservatives are now 2% behind the NDP, whom are projected to form a minority Government if there was an election today.
The normal two tables are provided comparing the country direction sentiment and head of government approval sentiment for the five countries. New Zealand continues to stand out in both.
We also carry details of polls in New Zealand on alcohol minimum pricing, asset sales, alcohol purchase age, Govt management of economy, league tables, same sex adoption, same sex marriage, plus the normal business and consumer confidence polls.
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