Biden wins

Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. has clearly won the 2020 presidential election and will be the 46th President of the United States.

Biden has an almost 3% lead in the popular vote and has 279 confirmed electoral college votes. He is on track to win 306 electoral college votes, the same as Trump got in 2016 which Trump described as a landslide.

The key states are:

  • Nevada (6): Called for Biden who has a 25,000 lead or 2%.
  • Pennsylvania (20): Called for Biden who has a 34,000 lead or 0.51%
  • Arizona (11): Called by some for Biden who has a 20,500 lead or 0.63%
  • Georgia (16): Not called but Biden has a 7,500 lead or 0.15%

Trump will of course never concede. His psychological disorders make it impossible to do so. In his universe or mind he is always a winner and always the best at everything. Not conceding isn’t a strategy, it is a psychological necessity.

What will be interesting is who will be first to charge Trump after 20th of January. The three most likely are:

  • The New York Attorney-General
  • The Manhattan District Attorney
  • The US Attorney for the Southern District of New York

If Trump pardons himself that will only affect the US Attorney for SDNY.

The focus is now going to go on Biden, as we have a clear result. The remaining lawsuits affect a trivial number of votes and can’t impact the overall result.

It will be interesting to see if Biden names Cabinet appointments now, or waits for the results of the Georgia Senate runoffs. The sort of nominees he can get confirmed will vary if the GOP or Democrats control the Senate.

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