Will Trump cost the GOP the Senate?

With almost 80% of ballots counted, the NY Times is projecting the two Senate seats to go to the Democrats by 1.8% and 1.0%. They note:

Republicans have taken a narrow lead in the tabulated vote, but the Democrats are clear favorites in both races. The overwhelming majority of remaining votes are in the Atlanta metro area, and while the race remains competitive, there’s no indication that the Republicans are poised to outperform expectations. The big Democratic vote left: the DeKalb County early vote. We expect these 170,000 votes to break for Ossoff by an 85-15 margin.

So the outcome is not certain, but things look good for the Democrats. If the GOP loses both seats, it will be due to Trump so his parting gift will be giving the Democrats control of the Senate as well as the House and the Presidency.

538 point out:

Best I can tell, Perdue and Loeffler are running slightly behind Trump in margin. We’re up to 107 counties that have reported 95 percent or more of their expected vote, and if you total up the votes in those places, Trump won them by 25.7 points in November. But Perdue is only up 25.3 points in those places and Loeffler is up 24.8 points. Plenty of votes left to count, but that’s not what the GOP wants, especially as many of these are Republican-leaning places.

The two Republicans did better than Trump in the first round but Trump’s refusal to concede appears to have motivated the Democrats to turn out more than Republicans.

Still far from over yet, so we’ll see how it goes over the next 24 hours.

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