General Debate 09 November 2022

Labour says blame us for inflation

By reappointing Adrian Orr as Reserve Bank Governor, Labour have done the political equivalent of hanging a “kick me” sign on their backside.

When voters can’t afford to fill up their car, when their weekly groceries costs $40 more etc they want someone to blame. Most voters are smart enough to know you can’t blame it all on Putin.

By reappointing Orr, on whose watch inflation smashed through the 3% limit he is contracted to keep it under, the Government is telling voters that they think he has done a great job, and they want more of the same.

So voters will no longer blame the Reserve Bank for high inflation, they will blame the Government that effectively said they think it has done a great job.

Huge own-goal.

Tax Free Threshold

This post is by PaulL, a regular commentor and occasional contributor. It is the eleventh post in a series on the financial incentives to work and the impacts of our tax and transfer system on household formation, and the fourth post on the “what could we do” subsection. The index to all posts in the series can be found here.

Apologies for the delay in this one, real life things intervened. Since I last posted it seems that the Ardern government has been reading Kiwiblog, and has provided some tax and transfer changes relating to child care. Knowing that they are avid readers and are taking my advice (albeit only partially) it is probably time to move on to the next set.

Twitter is currently full of discussion about tax free thresholds, and TOP have announced a tax-free threshold as part of their policy set. Prior to commencing the analysis for this series I was reasonably in favour of a tax free threshold.

A tax free threshold provides everyone in the country with income higher than that threshold with a tax cut. It provides the same amount of tax cut for everyone. As a method of delivering a tax cut it is politically attractive because it isn’t vulnerable to the accusation that it’s a tax cut for the rich.

As a method of addressing incentives to work it’s very poor. It doesn’t change marginal rates for anyone who earns more than the threshold. Any affordable change would have a threshold in the $10K – $15K range, anyone in receipt of the main benefit has total income of $18K or more, and therefore their incentives won’t change.

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Hooton on Labour’s biggest bungle?

Matthew Hooton writes:

The Ardern regime’s inability to deliver has become a national joke, with KiwiBuild the punchline.

But the endless failures, especially in sensitive areas of social policy, including mental health, have real-world consequences.

As Newshub’s Imogen Wells revealed this week, just short of a year ago no less than Ardern herself launched a National Strategy and Action Plan to Eliminate Family and Sexual Violence. “As Prime Minister, I take responsibility of lifting the wellbeing of our tamariki and their whānau,” Ardern told the assembled social workers, policy analysts, dignitaries and media called to Te Papa’s Rongomaraeroa for the historic event.

In support of the new strategy, the Government announced a $20 million fund to support victims of non-fatal strangulation. It was meant to fund 870 expert medical witnesses to help the Crown prosecute or secure early guilty pleas from sexual offenders.

In fact, it has been used in only 86 cases. Worse, more than half of those experts ended up being hired by defence lawyers to support not victims, but alleged offenders.

It is difficult to comprehend that any government could be so incompetent as to announce plans to help 870 victims of sexual crime and instead end up helping alleged perpetrators.

Of their many many failures, this could be the worse. They announce $20 million to help victims of strangulation and in fact most of the help goes to the alleged stranglers!!!!

When asked about the debacle at an event promoting their hate speech legislation, the Prime Minister said that neither she nor former Justice Minister Andrew Little was responsible.

It seems the Prime Minister only regards herself as responsible for Government programmes when launching them before the TV cameras, not for whether they happen or, in this case, don’t.

Precisely.

Another contributing factor is presumably that no one in the Beehive kept the pressure on the bureaucrats with weekly meetings to discuss progress, the way a Joyce, Cullen, Birch or Hipkins might have.

Yep, a strong Minister will be on top of this.

Audrey rates the Ministers 2022

Audrey Young has done her usual ratings of the Ministry. The summary is:

  • 9/10 – Damien O’Connor (nc)
  • 8/10 – Grant Robertson (-1), Carmel Sepuloni (-1), Michael Wood (nc), Ayesha Verrall (+2)
  • 7/10 – Jacinda Ardern (nc), Chris Hipkins (nc), Stuart Nash (+1), Peeni Henare (-1), Willie Jackson (nc), Jan Tinetti (+1), Kiri Allan (nc), James Shaw (-1)
  • 6/10 – Kelvin Davis (nc), Megan Woods (nc), David Parker (-1), David Clark (nc), Priyanca Radhakrishnan (nc), Kieran McAnulty
  • 5/10 – Andrew Little (-3), Nanaia Mahuta (-2), Poto Williams (+1), Aupito William Sio (-2), Meka Whaitiri (-1), Phil Twyford (-2), Marama Davidson (-1)

Somewhat surprised that no-one is ranked below 5/10!

General Debate 08 November 2022

The 2022 US mid-terms

We should get results from the US mid-terms from midday Wednesday. Here’s how things stand for now.

The House

  • 538: GOP majority 83% likely. Median projection is 229 GOP, 206 Democrats (218 is a majority)
  • RCP: 242 GOP, 193 Democrats
  • RacetoWH: GOP majority 68% likely, 224 GOP, 211 Democrats

The Senate

  • 538: GOP majority 54% likely. Median projection is 51 GOP, 49 Democrats (51 needed for GOP)
  • RCP: 53 GOP, 47 Democrats
  • RacetoWH: GOP majority 48% likely, 50 GOP, 50 Democrats

Key Senate Races

  • Georgia – 538: GOP 57% to win, 0.5% margin; RCP: GOP win by 0.4%
  • Pennsylvania – 538: GOP 46% to win, -0.6% margin; RCP: GOP win by 0.1%
  • Nevada – 538: GOP 57% to win, 1.0% margin; RCP: GOP win by 2.4%
  • Arizona – 538: GOP 34% to win, -2.2% margin; RCP: Dems win by 1.0%
  • New Hampshire – 538: GOP 27% to win, -3.7% margin; RCP: Dems win by 0.7%

The GOP need to win three of those five for a majority.

So the GOP is highly highly likely to win the House but the Senate is going to be very very close, if the polls are accurate.

Newsroom should know better

https://www.newsroom.co.nz/pro/future-for-local-government-draft-report

If you read the full story you will see that the data on the left is from a self-selecting online survey targeting young people.

To do a graphic where you contrast a non-representative self-selecting poll with a scientific one is terrible. And to use it to claim young people do support lowering the voting age is worse, as the scientific poll (done by Curia) found only 23% of under 40s support it.

What voters think about Jacinda

Stuff reports on a poll which asked voters how Jacinda Ardern and Christophe Luxon make them feel. The top three for Jacinda were:

  1. Disappointed 35%
  2. Concerned 33%
  3. Angry 28%

The top three for Luxon were:

  1. Concerned 32%
  2. Nervous 27%
  3. Hopeful 25%

Of interest is 26% of people who voted Labour in 2020 said Ardern made them feel disappointed.

General Debate 07 November 2022

Guest Post: A letter from the Kingdom – Part I

A guest post by David Garrett:

I have recently returned to the Kingdom of Tonga, after a long absence; I last did significant work here representing the Tonga Ports Authority at the Princess Ashika  enquiry back in 2011. (Both I and the then CEO of the Ports Authority subsequently  got fired. My crime was “aiding and abetting Lupeti Vi to undermine the government”. In Lupeti’s case, his crime was  being brutally honest about failures of the Marine Department, particularly saying that the vessel was a “rust bucket” which ought never to have been given a Certificate of Seaworthiness. Only in Tonga, as the Tongans themselves say often).  

While much remains the same in Kingdom – efficient bureaucracies being the exception rather than the  norm being one notable example – there has also been significant social change. The most obvious is that everyone – at least everyone under 30 – has a cellphone seemingly surgically attached to their hands, just as in New Zealand.

An even bigger and more surprising change is the use of cellphones  by older people – even in church. Such behavior would have almost certainly resulted in severe sanction at the very least 10 years ago; expulsion from the church would not have been out of the question, and expulsion from one’s church is akin to death for many Tongans.   But no, when you see Tongan church services on local TV – and there is nothing else on a Sunday – it is now common to see even middle aged Tongans using their cellphones during services. Sacrilege!

Another obvious social  change is that  it is now not uncommon to see two or more women – unaccompanied by men – drinking  in bars. While this was not unknown 11 years ago, it was certainly frowned upon, and such women were regarded as “loose” at the very least. While a single woman drinking alone would probably still attract unfavourable attention from most Tongans – including other women – the assumption that the woman was a “working girl” – or perhaps just  an enthusiastic amateur –  may well now be wrong.

One thing I have noticed with considerable sadness is that the school kids here are thoroughly indoctrinated regarding climate change. The idea that the behavior of 105,000 Tongans could affect the climate is utterly ludicrous – the behaviour of 5.5 million of you down there in NZ won’t have diddly squat effect on the climate, even if the change which is undoubtedly occurring is  indeed man made, which to my mind is far from certain. As an aside, I see no evidence of sea level rise here, and I am very familiar with the shoreline on many islands.

It is also glaringly obvious that for the foreseeable future, fossil fuels will be essential unless Tonga wishes to return to the Stone Age. While there are some sizeable solar panel arrays contributing power to the local grid, 90% of electricity is still generated by diesel generators running 24/7. Tongatapu, the main island, is as flat as a pancake, as are the majority of the other 170 islands that make up the Kingdom. There are no rivers or lakes on any islands, which means hydro is simply not an option.

I am unsure what potential there is for wind generation; the prevailing easterly which blows gently most days may be an unexploited resource. How practical wind power is for Tonga – i.e. costs v. benefit – is unknown to me; perhaps someone with greater knowledge of wind generation  may enlighten us. I would imagine a major obstacle to wind power would be the devastating cyclones which periodically cause huge damage to buildings and structures in Tonga.

One thing that hasn’t changed is the widespread use of cash; many businesses and government departments will not accept cheques, which are still widely used. Even the Supreme [High] Court still requires filing fees to be paid in cash. On the other hand, the country remains the country of huge contrasts that it has always been – at least in my experience; many people are thoroughly familiar with both phone and internet banking, and ATM’s are widespread.

The political changes since half of Nuku’alofa was destroyed in riots in 2006 have been both profound, and less than would have been expected. Prior to 2006, the Tongan parliament was effectively a rubber stamp for the King. While the common people and the Nobles had the same number of representatives, the King could appoint however many people he liked to his cabinet. Since none of the cabinet wanted to lose their relatively well paid jobs, they and the Nobles representatives almost always voted as a bloc in support of the King.

After 2006 control of the Tongan parliament moved to the commoners – but with surprising results. Of the four (I think) prime ministers elected since 2006 two have been Nobles, and two commoners. The prime minister is elected by his fellow MP’s, not by voters. The most notable commoner PM was one Akilisi Pohiva, a former teacher and long time irritant for the government and the Royals. Over many years he brought many court cases against the government, a number of which were successful and created new precedents.

From what I can tell talking to Tongan friends, Pohiva as widely regarded as a useless, if not a complete  disaster as prime minister. He was in many ways very like Winston Peters – a publicity seeker and far more comfortable in opposition than in government, where he actually had to do  something. I well recall him being interviewed on TV when I was first  here 20 years ago. When asked what system of government he wanted, he could only repeat “democracy” over and over; he was quite unable to enlighten viewers as to the type of democracy he had in mind. He seemed not to understand that there were huge differences between the political systems of Britain, the UK, and Commonwealth countries such as New Zealand. For all the changes I have noticed since returning, some things remain the same: Tonga is the fascinating country of huge contrasts that it has always been, and the people are for the most part, warm and friendly. One hears laughter everywhere. I

Newshub Reid Research Poll November 2022

Newshub has released their November Reid Research poll.

Party Vote

  • Labour 32.3% (-5.9% from April)
  • National 40.7% (+0.2%)
  • Greens 9.5% (+1.1%)
  • ACT 10.0% (+3.6%)
  • NZ First 3.3% (+1.6%)
  • Maori 1.9% (-0.6%)
  • TOP 1.2% (+0.3%)

Seats

Governments

Preferred PM

  • Jacinda Ardern 29.9% (-6.4%)
  • Christopher Luxon 21.5% (-2.4%)
  • David Seymour 7.3% (+2.2%)
  • Winston Peters 4.2%
  • Chloe Swarbrick 2.4%
  • Nicola Willis 1.5%

The real power in Three Waters

Graham Adams writes:

In fact, Three Waters goes much further than that. While it prescribes 50:50 co-governance at the overarching strategic level of the four Regional Representative Groups, iwi will have a dominating influence all the way down through the subordinate levels of management.

While the mainstream media snoozes, independent blogs and news sites are pointing out that the principal mechanism for such comprehensive control are the Te Mana o Te Wai statements, buried deep within the Water Services Entities Bill.

And it is clear these statements — edicts that can be issued at will by iwi and hapū and are effectively binding on the water services entity in their region — have no limits or restrictions on what may be included in them.

The bill simply states: “Mana whenua whose rohe or takiwā [territory] includes a freshwater body in the service area of a water services entity may provide the entity with a Te Mana o te Wai statement for water services.”

Anything that an iwi or hapū decides is consistent with their view of matauranga Māori (Māori knowledge) or tikanga (customs) may be used as a basis for making a binding order.

The statements have been described accurately by the pseudonymous citizen journalist Thomas Cranmer as handing “unbridled power” to iwi.

Kaipara’s former mayor Dr Jason Smith put it bluntly in mid-June in a tweet: “Whoever gets to write Te Mana o Te Wai statements gets control of water, land, planning rules and regulations, land use… TMoTW statements will cover every pipe, river, creek, farm pond or fresh water body.”

This is very important. Even if you get rid of co-governance of the entities, you will still have this statutory power which will give effective full control of every aspect of water to local Iwi and hapu.

Guest Post: Chris Finlayson on National Day Celebrations

A guest post by Chris Finlayson:

A few days ago I attended  Hungary’s National Day celebration at Victoria University .  After the usual formal speeches, there was an excellent concert.  Because of my love for Béla Bartók’s music, I made sure I was there.  The Hungarians always have a good party.

When I was in the Key Administration from 2008 to 2017, Ministers always spoke on behalf of the New Zealand Government at these functions.  Today those speeches are given by some functionary in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.  I think Ministers should be present and the decision of Winston Peters as Minister of Foreign Affairs to stop Ministers giving speeches is unfortunate. I don’t know why he changed the practice- perhaps he didn’t want Labour Ministers speaking.  I used to enjoy receiving a draft of an insipid speech from MFAT a day or two before the function. These were generally dreadful, full of tiresome banalities and irritating references to rugby. I would delete the piffle  and redraft  them to ensure I said what I wanted to say.  I always  enjoyed watching our diplomats squirm as I went ‘off piste‘ , especially at the Polish and Israeli functions.

I was pleased to attend the Hungarian function because it was also the 66th anniversary of the Hungarian Revolution when,  in 1956, that country rebelled against Soviet tyranny and tried to jettison Communism. Unlike with Ukraine today, the West did nothing to help other than waffle in the United Nations. Eisenhower was more concerned with the imminent Presidential Election in the United States  and the British were preoccupied with the Suez Crisis. On 4 November 1956, the Soviets marched into Budapest and crushed the Revolution.  The Prime Minister Imre Nagy was executed in 1958 after a show trial and the Cardinal of Budapest, József Mindszenty, who had helped lead the revolution, took refuge in the American Embassy where he stayed until exiled to the Vatican in the early 1970’s. Some may have seen the film , Children of Glory, which recounts the famous water polo match between Russia and Hungary at the Melbourne Olympics in December 1956. This became known as the Blood in the Water match after after a Soviet player hit his Hungarian opponent. Hungary won 4-0.

 New Zealand Government took  some refugees and the Hungarian community today is a vibrant one, making a great contribution to this country but also loyal to the traditions of the  home of their ancestors. They will never forget 1956 and the sacrifices of their parents. The rest of us should also remember the bravery of the Hungarian people, in the face of Soviet tyranny, who fought for freedom, alone and unaided. Though the revolution was crushed, their spirit wasn’t and  they finally expelled the bear in that glorious month in 1989 when the countries of Mitteleuropa escaped Communism and the evil it had imposed for all those years after Yalta where they had been betrayed by the victorious West.

Last week ,there was a poignant reminder of Hungarian valour. In October 1956, Freedom Fighters cut out the hammer and sickle from the Hungarian flag ,restoring it to its traditional self. This  became the symbol of the 1956 Revolution and  a flag with a hole in it was prominently displayed at the Hungarian function.

I think it is very easy to criticise countries like Hungary.  I was disappointed at an article written by Catherine Schaer which recently appeared in the Listener. She asked the question whether we should care about some bolshy Eastern backwater getting bags of EU cash.  I wouldn’t characterise Hungary in that way at all.  Hungary is a country which bled for the West for many centuries.  As I have said, it also endeavoured to face down Soviet tyranny with little help from the West at the time.  Given its history, and particularly the tragic events of 1956, it’s not surprising that Hungary has  particularly strong views about immigration and outside influences.  One may disagree with some of the policies of the current government, but to deride a proud and strong country like Hungary as some kind of bolshy Eastern backwater is extreme and unfair. 

NZ 4 years on, Bitter/Sweet – Part 3

This is the third and last post of my recent NZ experience. Again, please note that these are my personal observations and opinions and not those of Kiwiblog.

4 – HEALTH CARE

Since living in the US, it has been interesting to compare the American and NZ health care systems. We are taught in NZ that our universal taxpayer funded hospital system is fairer and more equitable and ensures access to all, rich or poor, versus the costly US system that excludes the poor and those with pre-existing conditions who can’t get coverage. The truth is neither system lives up to the stereotypes. In NZ we ration by waiting list and I know three people who have died on waiting lists and others denied certain treatments due to age and medicines due to cost whereas the US has the world’s best quality healthcare, but it is rationed by price via the clumsy employer funded health insurance model. However, various safety nets for the poor in the US do exist as does government sponsored health insurance for those with pre-existing conditions. The problem is that despite millions spent on health bureaucrats, NZ is not keeping up with other first world countries. This gap was exposed during Covid with NZ having the fewest ICU beds per capita in the OECD at the start of the pandemic. We were told the stringent lockdowns then border closure (that for almost a year enabled NZers to function without restrictions whilst the world struggled with various restrictions to try and slow the spread), was to enable the health system to improve capacity once Covid eventually breached the border wall. Over a year later as Delta then Omicron spread, the health system had not improved capacity in any meaningful way despite the billions spent on the Covid response. The running down of the healthcare system combined with NZ’s overly strict Covid isolation rules has led to large swathes of the population having to isolate at home and with the 10% of the health workforce dismissed due to not being vaccinated, has led to a crisis of capacity and capability in the NZ healthcare system that means at times and in certain places, the quality of healthcare received is bordering on 2nd world quality. My family saw this inability to be able to commit adequate staffing and other resources firsthand with our family member who died in hospital. Whilst none of us blame the system for the death, nonetheless I wondered what the outcome might have been had the greater resources of hospitals in other 1st world countries had been brought to bear.

5 – CRIME

For some time now, NZ’s non-homicide crime statistics have been high. By this I mean burglaries, car thefts and assaults. Yes, most American cities feature much higher levels of gun related homicides, but these crimes are comparatively rare compared to the big 3. If you take out the badly run liberal cities in America like LA, Portland, Seattle, Minneapolis, Washington DC, Philadelphia and Baltimore etc. where crime rates across the board are very high, smaller/mid-sized US cities (that approximate the size of NZ’s cities) feature non-homicide crime rates that are significantly lower than NZ. It is a long-held myth that NZ is a safe place with low crime and that the US is a crime ridden nightmare. Aside from the exceptions I mentioned, this has not been the case for decades and this trend has only accelerated in recent years. When you combine the cost-of-living crisis with Labour’s soft-on-crime approach (cancelling 3 strikes, not reigning in gangs and hamstringing the police with PC directives), NZ is seeing an explosion of gang related crime, youth crime being at the most pointy and public end with the explosion of ram raids on dairies and other shops. Only a few miles from where I was having lunch in Auckland, in broad daylight armed thieves robbed a jewelry shop in St Luke’s Mall during shopping hours. This is 3rd world gangster level brazenness. I visited two shops in the Grey Lynn area that advised they were no longer taking any cash payments due to incessant robberies. I suspect this trend will accelerate. In my childhood some American cities WERE dangerous places, whilst growing up in NZ we could go on holiday leaving the house unlocked and I’d often cycle past cars parked by the local dairy or fish and chip shop empty with the engine running. Those days are long gone.

6 – ANTI DEMOCRATIC INSTINCTS

Of all the things to surprise and even shock me the most, it is the rise of so many anti-democratic behaviours in current/recent NZ society. If you asked me five years ago whether there was any functional difference on the ground and in everyday life and society between the Westminster style Parliamentary democracy as found in NZ and the US style Constitutional Republic, I would’ve have said no. Back then I felt that both offered: largely free and fair elections, freedom of speech, freedom to protest peacefully, freedom to worship as you choose, freedom of the press, free movement of citizens and equal opportunity under the law. I no longer believe this to be true because some of these freedoms in New Zealand were abrogated, curtailed and suspended by the NZ government during the pandemic in ways utterly antithetical to the tenets and ideals of freedom we once held dear in what I believed was a free and democratic society. Here are some examples of what I speak.

(i) Scrapping of the DHBs – whatever the drawbacks of New Zealand’s health system (and they are many and varied), the District Health Board model featured elected Boards that were accountable to the local electorate every three years. Major reforms and innovations at the local level had to pass muster at the ballot box and obviously poor performances meant voters could punish Board members by voting them out. That democratic check is now completely gone, and in my opinion, this is a retrograde step by removing an office of a vital service that we used to be able to vote on.

(ii) 3 Waters – I mentioned 3 Waters earlier in the context of excessive Maori control, but its most insidious anti-democratic provision is removing the control of vital water assets from locally elected Councils to an unelected and unaccountable appointed Board. This is billions of dollars of vital community used assets soon to be run by people no longer accountable to voters. Poor performance concerning this matter did lead to the ousting of elected officials. This will no longer be possible if 3 Waters passes into law.

(iii) Education curriculum – this point is a little more obscure. When I first moved to the US, I thought its system of separate School Districts for each city and town (meaning in large metropolitan areas sometimes over a dozen separate school districts as most major metro areas in the US comprise of one core large city after which it is named but a myriad of smaller separate suburban cities and towns that are each autonomous although contiguous to the metro area – e.g. greater Seattle comprises Seattle, Bellevue, Renton, Everett, Kirkland, Redmond, Kent, Tacoma etc.). Each School District’s Boards are elected and decide on holidays, the grade makeup of schools (some Junior Highs are 7th, 8th and 9th grade others are just 7th and 8th) and the curriculum. This seemed chaotic and a duplication of administration compared to NZ’s single national Department of Education that essentially decides on all major issues of curriculum, school holidays and with NZQA administering a single national qualification. But as we watched the inexorable march of progressive left woke ideologies invade the classrooms of our children with such things as Critical Race Theory (and its attacks on western civilization and promotion of so-called White Supremacism, racism and colonialism) and the wave of bending to aggressive and influential transgender activists allowing teenage boys who identify as girls to compete in girls’ sports despite the obvious physical advantages of entering male puberty and to be allowed to enter and change in girls only spaces, I realized that the American system of local control of school districts and the concept of elected Boards whose progressive and damaging policies could be overturned by the recall of existing board members and the election of new members who better reflect the concerns and views of a majority of parents, actually gave far more power to parents than the NZ system where the only option if a family objects to the new woke progressive curriculum is to home school your kids. Right now, a huge revolution is going on across the US in school district after school district where parents first come to public Board meetings and hold board members accountable and if the worst excesses of the Social Justice Warrior left are not removed, then those who support such policies are being voted out!

(iv) Inhibiting free speech – Few people in New Zealand have much knowledge or a working understanding of the Government’s Public Good Journalism Fund (PGJF). Labour made $55 million available to be paid to media organisations to promote “good journalism”. The problem is that the definition of “good” is very much in the eye of the beholder, in this case the most left leaning Labour government in a generation. Anyone with any familiarity with the profitability (or mostly lack thereof) of NZ media companies will know that turning a profit in the NZ market is hard. If you divide $55 M between the likes of NZME (owner of the NZ Herald), Stuff (formally owned by Fairfax), Media Works and Fairfax, that’s an amount tantamount to profit in a good year. For some media outlets, getting the grant from the PGJF could have meant the difference between profit and loss. At first the influence was to ensure journalists wrote mostly puff pieces about Jacinda but as the pandemic bit, the lockdowns kept dragging on, protests against the Covid regime erupted and people began to fight against the vaccine mandates and tried to report on vaccine injuries, the kind of agreements struck between the PGJF and editors and owners, even if nothing was explicitly stated in writing, the inference was that if the party line on Covid was not stuck to, shame about that PGJF grant. How democratic is for Hipkins, Bloomfield and Ardern to say from the Beehive pulpit that, “we are your one source of truth” and to threaten consequences for spreading “disinformation”. What happened to investigative journalism where the rich and powerful were held to account in a Woodward and Bernstein type Watergate ‘truth to power’ moment? Yes, some opposition to various aspects of Covid policy did seep through. One was the plight of Grounded Kiwis and the ravages of MIQ and in this instance, the media spotlight onto some of the egregious stories of NZers locked out of their own country led to a PR nightmare for the government and soon after, the MIQ regime was largely ended. The media dutifully discharged its obligations under the PGJF by suppressing footage of the Freedom Convoy. Had you not been familiar with alternative social media sites such as Rumble, Odysee, Bitchute, Telegram and Gab, you’d be right in thinking all the Freedom Convoy was good for was traffic disruption and yet the ACTUAL footage, posted by hundreds of NZers from Cape Reinga to Bluff, showed extraordinary scenes of multiple towns on SH 1 where, lining both sides of the street, sometime two or more deep from one of end of the town to the other, were protestors and many motorway bridges in Auckland and Wellington were packed with sign waving protestors. A family member who is part of Voices For Freedom manned a spot on the roundabout at the end of the Northern Motorway in Christchurch near the Pegasus subdivision. It took 1 hour and 15 minutes for all the vehicles in the South Island portion of the Freedom Convoy to pass! In a normal era, a protest this large would lead One Network News’ 6pm broadcast and be on the front pages of every newspaper. Finally, Jacinda Ardern’s speech to the United Nations about regulating ‘hate’ speech on the internet was quite widely panned by mainstream conservative media in the US as being an example of the Orwellian controls some on the left are prepared to turn to in an attempt to silence dissent from the progressive liberal world view. Ardern’s government’s instincts in this regard are utterly antithetical to robust discussion of all matters, regardless of how controversial they are, in the public square as they move to introduce their ‘Hate’ Speech legislation later this year. Readers of this blog would do well to follow David’s admonition to join the Free Speech Union to fight these attempts at stifling free speech, one of the great hallmarks of modern democratic societies that NZ is trying to retreat from.

(v) Freedom to demonstrate – this freedom has been an integral part of any free and democratic society. How the government handled the February anti-mandate protest at Parliament is another example of anti-democratic sentiments taking hold. Media reporting of the types of people on the grounds of Parliament were a classic case in point. Were there crazy conspiracy theorists there? Absolutely, but they were a tiny minority but the government, the police and the media focused on the actions and comments of a tiny unrepresentative fraction. A good friend is senior with MFAT and commutes by train to central Wellington and so visited the site of the protest every day. He wondered around everywhere and spoke to various of the protestors every day of the protest and formed the view that it was a harmless cross section of provincial NZ with an atmosphere of celebration, cooperation and no sign of violent or malign intent other than to object to the vaccine mandates. He allowed his teenage children who attend central Wellington schools to visit without any fear of being mistreated. David Farrar’s own Curia poll of the types and motivations of the protestors underscored the broad coalition of town and country, vaxxed and unvaxed across the political spectrum. But yet this group was vilified by MPs calling them a “river of filth” and this vilification was amplified by the media. The footage of the eventual police action to clear the site was skewered and biased and when you view the hours of amateur footage posted, the actions of a few likely inserted masked provocateurs who perpetrated the violence and the fires is blatantly obvious. Had the government and police simply spoken to the protestors, a traffic management protocol to avoid disruption could’ve been negotiated and as long as the hygiene and safety of all were maintained (which the self-sufficient protestors and their financial supporters across the country ensured), they could’ve been left alone. With no external provocation by police or nasty vilification from the Prime Minster on down, I’m sure the protest would’ve gradually fizzled out. The final anti-democratic capstone came when the Speaker attempted to ban Winston Peters from Parliament’s precinct for the crime of …… speaking to the protestors!

(vi) MIQ – New Zealand’s Managed Isolation Quarantine regime has been shown to be thoroughly and utterly anti-democratic and anti-freedom. NZ was the only country in the Anglophile and Western European 1st world to prevent its own citizens from entering their own country in direct violation of clause 18 (2) of the NZ Bill of Rights Act 1990. At first there were pretty much slots available in MIQ for most people that wanted to come home early on in the pandemic but as time went by, the numbers of offshore kiwis that wanted to emigrate back to NZ or to visit loved ones who were dying or for major family events like weddings and funerals began to rise and the numbers of government sponsored hotel rooms soon could not keep up and so at first people would spend hours refreshing computers in the vain attempt to secure a slot. When people circumvented this by using bots to programme computers to do this work automatically, MBIE came up with the clunky lottery system that shepherded those wishing to obtain a slot in MIQ into a set virtual lobby every 6 weeks when rooms were released and, after a one hour registration window, all who registered for that lottery were issued a random place in the queue and each person was allowed into the booking section of the computer in order. Each lottery registered on average 40,000 participants competing for around 4,000 rooms so you had a 1 in 10 chance of success. Those of us who endured this indignity knew via various Facebook pages set up to help with all things to do with MIQ, that you had to get a number of about 5,000 to stand any chance of getting a room. I tried four times and then gave up but there were about 10 lotteries until it was abolished and most times, you’d get 15,000 or 23,000 or 9,000. I once got 4,300 and actually got in and the only rooms available by then were 3 days later, not enough time to arrange a flight as back them, Air NZ was only flying twice a week and a single flight from just LAX. I was part of the famous Grounded Kiwis Facebook page and the hundreds of heart wrenching stories of kiwis stuck overseas trying to get a humanitarian exemption to attend a funeral was massive. People had sold houses, cancelled leases and quit jobs and actually had a job to go to in NZ but were forced to stay with friends and family and rely on charity of others for months at a time as they were unable to get an MIQ slot. It was one of the most egregious breaches of human rights of the citizens of this country in the history of NZ and it was one that was never ever attempted in the US as it would be found instantly, by any Federal Court regardless of the ideological leaning, to be a breach of the US Bill of Rights. Many other countries drew the same conclusions and allowed their own citizens to return and made isolation slots available … but not New Zealand. A needless authoritarian abuse of governmental power that eventually the High Court found many legal problems with. The government finally scrapped it but only once media publicity on the cases of widespread hardship of stranded kiwis began to grow and grow.

(vii) Vaccine mandates and passports. My family were willingly vaccinated with all the major childhood vaccines partly because they had proven to be effective and safe but also because we’d lost a great grandfather to tetanus and a grandmother crippled by polio in the pre-vaccine era. Yes, there has been a tiny rump of anti vax activists for years but we were never one of them. But alarms bells rung when I saw many people I know in the US who contracted Covid but who were able to obtain Ivermectin from Mexico or a few doctors and whose symptoms were largely gone within days and yet the medical establishment across the world, in conjunction with government officials and backed by the media, vilified a drug that had been awarded a Nobel prize for Chemistry in favour of the only preferred treatment for Covid – a vaccine that had been rushed to market with minimal clinical trials. I took hydroxychloroquine when I had Covid (which was the Delta strain and was like a flu that took one additional week to get over) and my taste and smell returned within 24 hours. This was another treatment banned in many countries including New Zealand. Suspicion heightened when the efforts to get people vaccinated took on Orwellian proportions with massive multi million dollar advertising campaigns, a full court press against alternatives and in favour of an experimental mRNA treatment (only the Johnson and Johnson Covid shot was a true vaccine – the Pfizer, Moderna and Astra Zeneca shots are classified as gene therapies). Next thing governments were introducing mandates to force people to be vaccinated on pain of job loss and electronic passes were being introduced to prevent the unvaccinated from going anywhere except essential visits to supermarkets and medical facilities. The Nuremberg Code, adopted by all democratic countries post World Wat 2 as a response to the horrific forced medical experiments conducted by the Nazis, enshrined freedom of choice for medical treatments. Jacinda Ardern even explicitly promised there would be no mandates and yet there we were in the latter part of 2021 with people across NZ being fired because they preferred medical freedom and a pernicious system of medical apartheid was set up across the country backed by hefty fines on employers who would not comply. Yes, such mandates were attempted in the US but they soon run up against America’s constitutionally guaranteed freedom to choose and so were progressively peeled back. I watched in horror from across the Pacific at the dystopian nightmare of medical tyranny unfolding in NZ and heard from the ground what life was like for the unvaccinated. You can support a vaccine like the C19 shots and still be appalled at the abrogation of freedoms that were unleashed across many countries. I thought, surely NZ’s Bill of Rights that enshrines medical freedom would protect this overreach by the government but no, the Courts proved largely toothless on the fundamental question which was, does the government’s emergency Covid legislation override the BORA 1990. Whilst some aspects of mandates were pegged back (e.g., the military), on this fundamental issue of whether this legislation protected NZers from a power-hungry government, the answer in New Zealand’s case was sadly no.

CONCLUSION

It has been incredibly difficult to write this last post. Some may object and say, just stay in the US. Most expat kiwis are asked by friends and family when they visit, “are you ever going to come back to live in NZ?”. For those of us currently happy in their new country of domicile, we usually say things like, “maybe, but right now I’m happy where I am but I love NZ and it will always be home”. On this trip when I was finally asked, I paused and reflected on many of the things I’ve discussed in these posts and I became a bit emotional because of the tragedy of what I was obliged to say which was, “I will never live in this country because the protections of freedom and liberty that I thought were present proved to be not worth the paper they were written on to protect from the medical tyranny that prevailed in NZ whilst in the US, the Constitution lived up to its promise and actually did protect us from the same attempts at medical tyranny”. Needless to say, those gathered were shocked but sadly, it is the truth. As I ponder on that response and whether it was intemperate or I got carried away in the heat of the moment, I thought about the sad reality that is modern NZ. Millions of my fellow countrymen went along with this regime of medical apartheid and mocked and criticised on public forums those who disagreed. The major opposition party 100% backed the regime and probably would have administered it more efficiently than Labour. Libertarian darling David Seymour and his freedom-oriented party went along with it. The media supported it. All the elites of society at every turn supported it. And whilst the worst aspects of the regime have been dropped, the freedom constraining anti-democratic legislation remains on the books and were a fresh pandemic to sweep the world, governments in NZ at least would be legally empowered to repeat the coercion and we now know the courts won’t stop them and most of the country won’t care. This is how a democracy dies.

General Debate 06 November 2022

Australia has had an independent review into their Covid-19 response

Despite it being the most costly event in modern NZ history, both fiscally and in terms of deaths, Labour has not set up a Royal Commission of Inquiry into NZ’s response to Covid-19. I suspect at some stage they will succumb to the pressure, but of course they will hand pick reviewers who will be favourable to them.

In Australia civil society decided not to wait for the Government to do a review, and three foundations funded an independent review, which is here. Wouldn’t it be great if in NZ we had NGOs willing to step up and do the same?

A summary of the findings in Australia were:

The review has found that key groups were excluded from financial support, some lockdowns and border closures were avoidable and schools should have remained open. It sounds a warning to governments against the perils of overreach when dealing with future health crises. Low socio-economic families, women, children, aged care residents, people with disabilities, temporary migrants, multicultural communities, and others already experiencing disadvantage bore the brunt of the pandemic.

I can only imagine what a NZ review would find!

Reserve Bank focused on …

https://twitter.com/EricCrampton/status/1582867050250133504

Isn’t this chart from Eric Crampton fascinating.

In the last three years the Reserve Bank annual reports have mentioned climate change more often than inflation. And by coincidence inflation is at record levels.

Maybe they should job swap. We could put the Climate Change Commission in charge of monetary policy and leave climate change to the Reserve Bank?

NZ 4 years on, Bitter/Sweet – Part 2

This is Part 2 of my recent NZ experience. Sadly, New Zealand is a different place than even 5 years ago. Some of what I will write about has been trending for a while whilst some is more recent. The sentiments expressed here are actually shared by a number of expats on the Grounded Kiwis (the Facebook group that successfully challenged the government over MIQ and did a lot to push the plight of kiwis stranded overseas) and Kiwis in USA Facebook pages. Please note that these are my personal observations and opinions and not those of Kiwiblog.  As a preview I will be covering 6 topics:

PART 2 – THE BITTER

1 – STANDARD AND COST OF LIVING SQUEEZE

2 – COVID SCARS

3 – EXCESSIVE MAORIFICATION

PART 3 will cover Health Care, Crime and Anti-Democratic Trends.

1 – STANDARD AND COST OF LIVING SQUEEZE

All the 1st world economies flooded their populaces with cheap borrowed money to try to overcome the financial burdens of the Covid lockdowns. This was even more the case in NZ due to the number and length of the lockdowns. Inflationary pressures and the skyrocketing cost of living is an issue in many countries. What makes the impact on NZ harder was a trend that was already happening pre-Covid and has now accelerated, that of a gradual relative standard of living decline. When I moved to the US in the 2000’s, there was a standard of living gap between NZ and Australia, Canada, the UK and the US but it wasn’t too wide. As the decades have rolled forward, over time this gap has slowly and gradually widened. The biggest culprit is the rapid increase in housing costs in NZ. The gold standard of comparative housing affordability is the Demographia Report which divides the median house price by the median income in dozens of global city markets. This survey technique eliminates any currency conversion issues. In the first edition in 2005, Auckland was at a multiple of 5.9 (i.e. the median house cost 5.9 times the median annual income). By 2022, it had mushroomed to 11.2 and the 85th least affordable city out of 92 global city markets assessed with Wellington and Christchurch coming in as somewhat more affordable. Auckland ranks virtually equal with the five most expensive cities in the US. There are 26 metro areas in the US (most the size of, or bigger than, Auckland) that have multiples HALF OR LESS in the unaffordability measure. Plus, a fact not factored in, is the quality of NZ’s housing stock which on average is well below the average of the other Anglophile countries that feature often larger, warmer and more modern/modernized homes. Modern NZ homes certainly are equivalent but there are 120m² homes on Auckland’s North Shore built in the 1950’s or ‘60’s worth over $1 million with no central heating or air conditioning, no double glazing with a single old bathroom and an original condition kitchen whereas a much higher percentage of homes in similar high value cities in say North America will have all these features built in.

The impact of this: aside from the mega rich (of whom there are very few in NZ) and a small number of exporter and high-tech entrepreneurs based on Auckland’s North Shore and in Wellington’s mini–Silicon Valley, is that all broad income cohorts in NZ have declined a notch over the last 20 years. Upper middle class income earners’ standard of living today is akin the main middle class 20 years ago, the broad middle class are where the upper echelon of the wage earning working class were 20 years ago and the upper reaches of the manual/blue collar class are now struggling with the kinds of net discretionary spending they enjoyed when they were early in the work force. The current cost of living crisis layers on the top of the standard of living squeeze brought on by the explosion of property values and rents with the following currently discernable impacts: fewer overseas holidays even after the borders reopening (now made worse by recent declines in the NZD), less eating out or eating more at lower cost venues, people hanging onto cars longer, domestic holidays closer to home to save on petrol, less money on fancy clothes and the deferring of things like dental visits and other lifestyle crimps. I observed two tell tale signs of an increase in poverty in NZ: the rise of homelessness well documented in various media and seeing people begging in public. For the first time in my lifetime, I was approached for money going into two petrol stations (one on Auckland’s North Shore and one in the northwest of Christchurch). That has never happened to me before in NZ and I was shocked. Yes, versions of the cost-of-living crisis are happening in Australia, North America and Western Europe but in NZ, it’s a little more pronounced and it accelerates the feeling I’d had pre Covid, that the standard of living gap between NZ and other 1st world economies continues to widen.

2 – COVID SCARS

I have called this section Covid Scars because New Zealand, unlike most 1st world countries, still shows more outward effects of Covid, they are more deeply rooted and they are lasting longer. This is a function of the government’s border closure policy that effectively kicked NZ’s Covid can down the road for about 18 months from the first major lockdowns in March 2020 to the eventual surrender on Delta in October 2021. For most countries, they learned to live with Covid and lifted many of the various restrictions much quicker. This is manifested in various ways:

(i) Travel declaration – to travel to NZ regardless of citizenship, up until a couple of weeks ago, you had to complete an online form that took usually ten minutes and had various traps for the uninitiated and those not IT savvy. As a part of the Grounded Kiwis Facebook group, the number of times people reported they had to call the Immigration NZ help lines to overcome hurdles was staggering. It was an onerous and pointless requirement once the pre-departure C-19 tests were scrapped in June 2022. Almost all 1st world countries had scrapped such requirements by early or mid-2021.

(ii) Masks – the wearing of masks in most of the US (outside of the major cities in the strict states like CA, OR, WA, NV, NM, IL, MN, NY, PA, CT, MA and MI) had dwindled to less than 5% no matter what the location. Once the FAA scrapped the requirement for wearing masks on flights, mask wearing on planes went from near 100% to hardly any. I was shocked to see all the mask wearing when I landed in NZ. Soon into my stay, the mask mandate was lifted but I was on a domestic flight when the mandate was in force and my sister and I (we both have NZ Ministry of Health exemptions) were the only passengers on a full Air NZ jet flight maskless. A week later on a Jetstar flight after the lifting of the mandate, 20% of passengers were still wearing masks. Various friends have traveled to Europe through this most recent northern hemisphere summer and found mask wearing in the UK and across Europe virtually nonexistent. Given various studies that showed the common blue cloth masks and cloth bandana type masks had no effect on stopping the spread of Covid (the size of the Covid particle has been tested as multiple microns smaller than the small holes in cloth masks), these requirements were little more than a form of global virtue signaling – an easy way for politicians to be seen to be doing something to keep people safe. Yes, N95 surgical masks have been shown to help in certain situations but at over $100 a pop, use of them was not widespread. Once again NZ’s Covid can kicking left children forced to wear masks in schools far far longer than anywhere else in the world (possible exception being Asia where mask wearing has been common for decades).

(iii) Fear of Covid has evaporated in the red states in the US as almost everyone has had it and very few have had major issues. I am happy to furnish the results of a survey done in a friend’s tight knit church community of about 300 where all parishioners were surveyed as to Covid experiences. Only a handful of people remain fearful (the very elderly and some who are immuno-compromised). The level of fear towards Covid in NZ was palpable. No one in my red state ever inquired after my vaccine status either officially to gain entry anywhere nor privately to gauge whether I was safe to be around. In NZ, the QR codes to enter (no longer in use when I arrived) were everywhere attesting to the ubiquity (at least for a period of time) of the use of this method to determine vaccine status. I was also asked multiple times by people I knew if I was vaccinated and was shocked at the casual intrusion into a private medical question that had become routine in NZ.

(iv) Isolation rules crippling workplaces – these isolation rules are still in place. A family member personified the pernicious impact this is still having on the NZ economy. This person was taking regular RAT tests of them and their teenage child in the hopes that one would test positive so they could have a fully paid week off work! Anecdotal tales abound of the countless people across NZ who abused this provision to take time off work. The negative impact of this policy was immediately obvious in …..

(v) Long waits due to staff shortages everywhere because of the ridiculous and onerous isolation rules such as: queues in various shops to pay for things (except supermarkets where self-checkout is now common and works well), calling government departments – I had to call Immigration NZ, Ministry of Justice (speeding fine) and the Department of Labour and all three used to be quite accessible on prior trips and all had between a 45 minute and FOUR HOUR wait. This was also true of private companies where I waited for hours to speak to someone at Kiwibank and Air NZ. My brother waited 3 hours for the AA to attend to a breakdown on the Southern Motorway in Auckland and calling St Johns Ambulance for the family member who eventually passed away in hospital involved a wait of several hours and this was in a suburb of a major city not some remote country town.

(vi) Impact on children’s education – the length and depth of the NZ (especially Auckland) lockdowns has had the most pernicious and avoidable impacts on school aged children. Global studies on the impact of keeping children out of in-person school learning show learning damage in direct proportion to the strictness or otherwise of the Covid stay-at-home policy. In red states with few exceptions, children were back to in-person learning maybe 1 or 2 months after they commenced the school year late in the summer/Fall of 2021. Some blue states had kids still learning from home well into 2021 and kept masks on kids well into 2022! The most devastating impact of NZ’s lengthy period of time that children were kept out of schools is the now catastrophically high truancy rate. It was already higher than most 1st world countries pre-Covid but now entire swaths of south Auckland, Porirua and east Christchurch have Maori and Pasifika families whose children now work out of financial necessity and many more now chronically truant and essentially severed from the tenuous roots of formal education they once had. The long-term negative impact of this on New Zealand’s overall economic and societal wellbeing, not to mention the mental health and crime rates of so many young people of colour estranged from the education system, is incalculable.

(vii) More widespread hospitality business failure – it was sad to see the numbers of suburban hole-in-the-wall restaurants that were shut down. In my city in the US, because the lockdown rules allowed take aways even during the very first “Shelter in Place” order, the only restaurants that failed were two national chains of All you can eat Buffets headquartered in strict blue states that had NZ style lockdowns. A friend in Auckland wanted to take me out to dinner at a favourite Italian restaurant located in a prosperous suburb. He said he had to book days in advance even for a weeknight because so many of the restaurant’s competitors had closed that demand was constantly through roof. This was not a fancy restaurant and yet the mains were $38, pricing he said was so high partly because of the high demand. Almost all of the smaller privately owned NZ car rental firms have gone under due to the border closure. Fortunately, the one I often use managed to survive. In one location when picking up a car, I asked a staff member how they survived. He said they furloughed almost all staff, and they had one staff member on duty at what was once a busy site serving the few essential travelers through the long Auckland lockdown. The owners have had to borrow big to stay afloat and were able to just survive until the borders opened. Their competitors were not so lucky.

(viii) Divisiveness over vaccine mandates – it is on this matter that I have seen the most Covid related damage to NZ society. A family member is a teacher and became subject to the vaccine mandate. They actually refused to disclose their status and this refusal eventually cost them their job. In time, and before the education sector mandate was eventually lifted, the Board of Trustees, thanks to the encouragement of a most amazingly compassionate and understanding Principal, non-student contact aspects of the job were offered back working night times or weekends. It is difficult to describe the agony and ignominy suffered by the minority of NZers who believed the taking of a medical procedure should never be a matter of compulsion. This story can be told across NZ and inside many families. First there is the financial uncertainty for many and some lost homes and businesses due to no longer being able to pay mortgages. In the case of my family member, their spouse, who also remained unvaccinated, was able to work from home and they survived. It wasn’t just being unable to go to restaurants, hair salons and cafes or being able to attend sports or other entertainment events, it was things like being forced to attend a separate unvaccinated church service for an outcast group of freedom minded folk who were treated by fellow parishioners like recalcitrant lepers. This matter divided our family awfully with the embattled unvaccinated loudly pressing their case and some of the vaccinated making snide and dismissive comments designed to apply pressure. The widespread presumption of going along with the status quo and the opprobrium and sometimes nasty comments directed at those who chose medical freedom was one of the most unedifying spectacles I have ever seen in NZ. The emotional wrenching across families on this matter has left a massive invisible scar that IMO will be a long stain on life in NZ. In the US such mandates were limited to a few sectors, states and school districts with the vast majority of people untouched by mandates and the few that were enacted were all progressively rolled back being deemed quickly and easily as unconstitutional by appellate Federal Courts. Just recently the Supreme Court of New York, one of America’s most liberal states and a state with a Covid regime closest to what happened in NZ, ordered employees of the City of New York fired for not being vaccinated not only back to work but on full back pay with massive daily fines if NYC fails to heed their order. Similar rollbacks have been ordered by the new Italian government and by the new conservative Premier of Alberta who went further and proffered an apology to the unvaccinated who had been fired due to noncompliance.

3 – EXCESSIVE MAORIFICATION

Lest I ever be accused of racism, I believe my experiences and closeness to Maori and Maori culture far exceed those of the average white middle class Pakeha. I grew up with Maori and Samoan kids attending Cub Scouts then a community youth group, our family was very close to a Maori family, and we holidayed together for years, one of my sibling’s has married into a wonderful Maori family and for some years until his recent bereavement, my NZ business partner was Maori. He learned te Reo at the feet of a remote living native speaker and learned much of the ancient Maori language and culture and he was fluent and an amazing educator of old Maori ways. I learned from him to pronounce Maori place names properly decades before it became a new white liberal virtue signaling habit. I have watched the promotion of te Reo with pleasure knowing what it meant to Maori friends and I support the Kohangareo and Te Kura Kaupapa Maori language learning developments. But this trend is now being taken to ridiculous levels:

(i) Place names – the trend of calling major cities by their Maori name is silly and has gone too far. Most of the names are affectations and not what traditional Maori called the area as often the new European settlements were built on land Maori rarely used so local hapu had no names of substance for the area. This is doubly true of the word ”Aotearoa”. This was never the ancient Maori name for New Zealand indeed it is never mentioned in the 1835 Maori Declaration of Independence nor in the Treaty of Waitangi’s Maori translation and only began to be used occasionally in the 1860’s and even then, it was a name that only a few northern tribes used to sometimes describe the North Island and Great Barrier Island. It crept into more common usage after the Maori King Movement first identified a village then in the region around the King movement land as Aotearoa and the King Movement’s nationwide ambition gave this name added currency but not until the turn of the century. The “Land of the Long White Cloud” approximate translation didn’t appear until the 1920’s and 30’s It was decided for almost marketing reasons to use it to apply to the whole country because of its rather cool mythical sounding touristy translation. New Zealand’s entire prosperity relies on its exports – without the dairy, meat, fruit and tourism, we don’t have an economy. Decades of marketing and hundreds of millions have been spent by government agencies and private companies small and large to build Brand New Zealand and here we are toying with the idea of renaming the country Aotearoa, a name that is meaningless to the rest of the world and really only the desired primary name of a tiny influential elite of Maori activists and progressive media influencers.

The same is equally true of city names. Auckland is an internationally renown city and New Zealand is still a majority white society. It’s understandable that Rhodesia, a nation that was ruled by a 15% white minority, would want to change the name of its country and capital to a majority African name. Ditto the Indian cities that have eschewed their colonial Anglicised names in favour of proper Hindi local names. But South Africa, also majority black and with the awful history of white oppression via apartheid, has not changed to the African name Anzania nor have the names of the major English named cities Cape Town and Durban and the three major Afrikaans named cities (Pretoria, Bloemfontein and Johannesburg) changed their names. A culturally aggressive elite are trying to force name changes onto an almost 80% white population to the language of a minority comprising 15% of the population. We put a potential flag change to a referendum vote, we should do the same for Aotearoa at the national level and each of the major cities at the regional level. Brand NZ is too important to throw away on progressive white liberal and Maori radicals’ whims.

(ii) The same is true for the trend to call Government departments by their Maori names. By all means have the Maori translation on the letterhead and office signage but that is not enough, the white majority must be forced to call all the institutions of the State by the language spoken by 1% of the population. What benefit does this bestow? It doesn’t stop there; you get any written communication from a government department or agency, and you get the obligatory Maori greetings and salutations at the beginning and end. Again, does this improve service delivery or outcomes? It appears to be just more virtue signaling.

(iii) Treaty related decision making. It has reached the ridiculous point where virtually all government decisions and policies have to be made on the basis of how they will affect our Treaty partners. Advancement in the public service, even initial hiring, now is dependent on knowledge of the Treaty and its role in a particular government agency. The next step will be a requirement for advancement to senior ranks of the bureaucracy for fluency in Te Reo.

(iv) NZ seems hellbent on adopting a nationwide central government-controlled health system akin to Britain’s lumbering NHS. The supposed efficiencies of this move remain to be seen. But what is far more pernicious and worrying is the creation of the Maori Health Authority. This is a form of legislated health separatism and the poor health outcomes of Maori are going to be addressed not by necessarily increasing proper and better targeted spending on specific Maori issues but progressively over time by commandeering a greater percentage of the overall Vote Health to fund what will become in essence over time a separate Maori health system that will use as an excuse in taking a larger slice from the remaining system the need to redress the imbalance in Maori health. This is nothing more than reverse health apartheid.

(v) The extent to which the Labour Government are prepared to secede power and sovereignty to Maori iwi is demonstrated in the 3 Waters reforms. Under the guise of improving New Zealand’s sometimes inadequate tap, storm and waste water management, Labour have rammed through a complex ownership model that removes decision making over billions of dollars of water assets into the hands of four regional water authorities that have no accountability to any elected office holders (as is the case with current council ownership) and the governance of this body is subject to a board that is required to have 50% Maori representation. Thus 15% of the population now have effective veto rights over all decisions concerning massive water related assets and future expansion. This reform is done over the objections of a majority of councils and for which there was consultation that raised massive objections across the country but was completely ignored.

When will the Maorification of NZ society end? An arbitrary name change of the country and all British originated city and town names? Compulsory te Reo in schools at the cost of billions and the opportunity cost of students foregoing precious classroom time for a language that the world cares zero for over subjects that can further NZ’s trading prowess globally? Will we be seeing a completely separate criminal justice system with violent criminals no longer subject to prison time to protect the population but answerable to some weak intra iwi community service model that sees recidivism rates soar and more innocent often poor Maori further victimised? I got a glimpse of the future at Auckland Airport’s Air New Zealand Domestic Terminal. The next day there was a celebration at Parliament commemorating 50 years since the revival of the Maori language became official government policy and thousands of Maori school children descended on the Capital to take part. 80% of our flight were such children. Air New Zealand ground staff proudly and with great fanfare invited tangata whenua to board first and us Pakeha rabble last. I was stunned at this sign of corporate kowtowing to racial divisiveness. And don’t get me started on the current Air NZ safety video featuring dubious Maori mythologising and cringe inducing racial PC tropes. I’m sure I will be vilified in elite circles as pale, stale and male for expressing what still a majority of NZers feel.

NZ Four Years On, Bitter/Sweet – Part 1

Recently I returned home after almost four years away for a family bereavement. Two of those years coincided with the Covid border closure where obtaining a space in MIQ was the subject of a lottery that made it next to impossible to secure a space. I have called my experience “Bitter/Sweet” because I was reminded of the many things I sorely missed about New Zealand, but I also came face to face with some realities of modern NZ life that soured the good experiences. Part 1 covers The Sweet. Parts 2 and 3 will cover The Bitter.

FOOD

Oh my, where to begin. Perhaps with the most longed for item: PIES! In America a pie is a fruit pie like apple or cherry. They have virtually no equivalent of our meat pies. It’s hard to explain to Americans quite the primacy of position in the food world that pies have in NZ. I try to explain the ubiquity of places that sell pies, of the hierarchy of pie quality, of the intense competition between bakeries vying for Gold Medal status in a town or region and of the exciting array of pie ingredient choices. NZ is worth a kilo a week for visiting expats and near daily consumption of pies is the main culprit. Needless to say, I was a very frequent and happy imbiber of said pies and I have amassed a list of award-winning pie sellers across the country that I frequent on my travels!

Regular food bought in average supermarkets in NZ, whilst significantly more expensive than the equivalent quality supermarkets in the US, nonetheless the quality of everyday products is much higher and is akin to the quality you can only get in the US at more expensive farmers markets and upmarket shops like Whole Foods. It is well known that NZ’s year-round outdoor grass grazing of cows leads to rich and creamy milk, butter, cheese, cream, chocolate and ice cream, but I was reminded that ordinary day to day veges like onions, spring onions, carrots, celery, potatoes etc. just have more flavour and colour than average veges bought in US supermarkets. NZ’s more local market gardens growing in rich, naturally watered soils yield better and tastier products than the industrial scale farms in the US and increasingly Mexico. Then there’s the non-sugary bread where even common NZ bread offerings below the quality of our famous Vogel’s beat the sugary offerings that are common even with supposedly artisan breads in the US.

And finally, there’s the seafood! I was able to have fresh lobster, mussels and snapper and of course several obligatory meals of fish and chips. Amazing – although that once cheap fast food staple is not cheap anymore. Did I mention the rich yokes in eggs and the fluffy egg whites? I have become a bit of a pavlova expert but my pavs in NZ always taste way better and yet I use the same recipe and ingredients. All in all, NZ food is simply superb across the board. Add to that a number of innovative restaurants, cafes and the tradition to still cook food from scratch, NZ is a gastronomic feast! I came back with my usual haul of Whitakers chocolates, bikkies, Minties, Jaffas, pineapple lumps etc.

SCENERY

Until Covid, NZ was a premium tourism destination. Hopefully in time we will return to that position as the restrictions of the pandemic fade into the rear-view mirror. As an expat you get used to raves from anyone who has ever visited NZ about the scenery or the regularly expressed strong desire to visit NZ because of its beauty. Our reputation is richly deserved. I had forgotten how beautiful NZ is – in some places, breathtakingly so. After such a wet winter and early spring, I don’t think I have ever seen NZ so green even in parts of the country that sometimes can be a little drier. Living in NZ it is easy to take all the beauty for granted. The US has many beautiful parts but the compact package of such varied beauty across so many landscape types as found in NZ is unique.

THE OCEAN

This is a subset of the scenery but with so much of NZ being so close to the water, the impact of the sea on NZ is huge. For the first time in 20 years, I rode on the Cook Strait Ferry and was reminded of the stunning beauty of the Marlborough Sounds and of Wellington on a fine still day (yes, we fluked such conditions on arrival!). I got to bodyboard in magic surf north of Auckland and often went for runs along beaches and riverside tracks in various locations. The pristine and uncrowded conditions at NZ beaches contrast with the population and visitor pressure on US coastal areas. Then there’s the fact that so many people have boats and so many people fish. A good mate happened to have been snapper fishing with his neighbour the day before I arrived and so a fresh large snapper was tea that night! If you live inland in the US, it’s difficult to replicate such experiences. It’s no wonder we excel at yachting and rowing because of our proximity to water.

KIWI CHARACTER

This is an aspect of NZ I greatly miss. It begins with the widespread and genuine friendliness of people. When you ring a call centre, if you get a NZer and not someone in the Philippines or India, you can actually have a real conversation whereas in the US, even when talking to US based staff, they rigidly follow wooden scripts. Another feature is our humour and the propensity to mildly mock one another. I get away with some kiwi style humour in the US but often it’s lost in translation. Because I refuse to lose my accent, I am daily subjected to questions about what I have just said. I have to use the American word equivalent (trunk versus boot, faucet versus tap etc. etc.), I have to slow my speech down, I have to omit kiwi slang words and I have to sometimes translate the accent. Back home I can be 100% natural and be 100% understood – normal speed, normal accent and the full suite of slang. I have over the years complied a master list of Kiwi slang and words we use that Americans don’t (like solicitor/barrister for attorney, caveat instead of lien, settlement instead of closing) and it has grown to 655 words and phrases! When I was back in NZ, I added 5 more slang words/phrases to my list. I knew the most common words but kept getting blank stares from Americans when I’d use a word and presto, another would be added to the list. Add to that 60 Maori words that are now in common everyday usage in NZ and then the 90 odd words that we use in common with Americans but pronounce differently (e.g., Mahzda with a long a versus Mazda with a short a), and the scope for being misunderstood is wider than you’d think. Finally, there’s the cheeky informality of interpersonal relations in NZ and the tendency to perhaps be a little blunter that I miss a lot. NZers are a little harder to dive in deep with initially but then after initial barriers are broken, deep and long-lasting friendships are easier. Americans are openly quite friendly but more guarded and difficult to get to the next stage of closeness.

RUGBY

OK non rugby fans will scoff but as a fan, former player, current referee and coach of the game, it is an important part of kiwi life that I miss. In NZ, rugby is a legacy sport like gridiron in America and soccer in Germany or Brazil. In the US it is a transactional sport – it’s a cool toy American boys show off to girls or mates, but they too easily move on to the next shiny sporting object. It makes recruiting, training and retaining youth payers much tougher than in NZ where, at especially the top rugby schools, you have the undivided and loyal attention of all the players. I was able to watch the last Bledisloe Cup game in the company of some fanatical All Black fans who, like me, have played, reffed and/or coached the game. The level of knowledge and analysis of the game was phenomenal and it’s something I sorely miss. Yes expat kiwis in the US get together at odd hours to cheer on the ABs but most are there to share in the kiwi treats on offer (someone makes a pav, sausage rolls, pikelets or scones and someone often has kiwi lollies or bikkies on hand) and to hang out with fellow kiwis but only a few are true aficionados of the game and when watching with Americans new to the game, it’s a wall of baffled questions. Sadly, boys’ rugby globally is a dwindling sport even in NZ, but nothing beats the 1st XV games of the elite secondary school competitions in NZ’s main centres.

CLIMATE

There is something magical about getting off the plane in Auckland, stepping out from the terminal building and inhaling the clean fresh rural air, I’m not sure I’ve had such an experience at any major city airport anywhere in the world such is the freshness and cleanliness of the air in NZ. Whilst spring is traditionally a pretty turbulent mix bag of weather in NZ, most of the North Island at least enjoys a mild temperate climate that is easier to live in than most US states. Many US states alternate between quite cold, damp snowy winters and hot humid summers. The desert SW is lovely 9 months of the year but has brutal summers and most of Florida and the south also has very mild winters, but very hot humid summers punctuated by occasional hurricanes. The Midwest of the US is plagued with tornados. NZ has its share of wild weather don’t get me wrong, but about 80% of NZ’s population lives in a climate that is very livable.

HIGH SPEED INTERNET

NZs famed ultra-fast broadband rollout, undertaken in the 2010’s, was an ambitious and costly project but one that ultimately has paid off in spades. During the rather more extensive and lengthier Covid lockdowns in NZ, much of commerce and working/schooling from home had to be done online and fast broadband across most NZ urban areas made this a bit easier. I am also pleasantly surprised by how much faster the broadband is in virtually all the homes I stayed in and places you frequent like shopping malls and airports. You can get fibre-based broadband increasingly in more US cities, but it is a slower patchier rollout and most broadband you encounter is slower than NZ.

General Debate 05 November 2022

Govt abandons need for evidence in decision making on alcohol harm

Stuff reports:

The Government will take on alcohol retailers by tilting the playing field towards communities in licencing decisions, and alcohol sponsorship will be reviewed.

Actually it tips it away from communities towards politicians. It means that no one in the community will be able to appeal against the regulations put in place by the local council.

Justice Minister Kiri Allan announced on Sunday the Government would be removing the ability for alcohol companies and retailers to challenge a community’s local alcohol policies, an appeals process she said was costing councils and ratepayers “millions” in legal fees.

Actually they are removing the ability for anyone at all to appeal. And the reason there have been so many appeals is because the Councils are so incompetent. All they have to do is have some evidence to back up their proposed rules, but they have been incapable of that. So the response is to throw out the law allowing decisions to be challenged on the basis they are unreasonable. The Government is saying that Councils should have the ability to place any restriction they want, no matter how unreasonable.

Stuff also reports:

Changes to alcohol licensing laws will force some small operators out of business, a Wellington bar owner says.

Matt McLaughlin​, director of Hoff Hospitality Group, said he agreed current rules weren’t working and supported alcohol law reform.

However, taking away the appeals process wasn’t the answer.

“It’s not democratic and it’s not fair – everywhere else in our justice system you have the right to appeal,” he said.

“If you take that right away from small businesses, it’s game over for them. Supermarkets will survive, small businesses won’t.”

Councils will be able to impose all sorts of rules, without any evidence they reduce harm, on small businesses such as cafes, bars and bottle stars.

Slap on the hand for stealing $200,000 from taxpayers

Stuff reports:

A nurse who defrauded the Ministry of Social Developmen (MSD) of over $200,000 has been suspended from the profession for nine months.

Nine months is pretty light, but that is not the part that annoys me.

Ms Y had received a domestic purposes benefit for nearly 20 years, but signed various declarations that her circumstances had not changed over that time.

As a result of an Inland Revenue match, it was found Ms Y had been employed by Healthcare NZ from September 1, 2007, and NZ Nursing from October 6, 2015. She had not informed the ministry of the changes in her circumstances.

The ministry also discovered she had noted someone as her partner on her employment documents. Inquiries found she had been living in a marriage-type relationship from 2008.

So for 15 years she lied about not having a job and for 14 years she lied about not being in a relationship, stealing $200,000 from taxpayers.

Ms Y was convicted of 20 charges, but Judge Jane Farish did not impose a sentence on her and granted her permanent name suppression.

This is the appalling part. She got name suppression and no consequences from the judicial system.

Hamilton West is competitive

Newshub has reported on a poll Curia did for ACT in Hamilton West. It shows National ahead of Labour by 8.1% on the decided vote, and was done before any actual candidates were selected.

But as you would expect, there were large numbers undecided or not planning to vote. On the total vote you had just a 4.5% gap between National and Labour, which is within the margin of error for a poll of 400 people. That means there is a non-trivial (greater than 10%) chance that Labour is in fact slightly ahead in the seat.

The margin of error you see reported for a poll is for a result of 50% and based on all voters. The actual margin of error for individual results will depend on what the result is, and how many people gave a preference.

So my reading of the race is the seat is competitive, and the key will be what the undecideds do, what the turnout is and of course the actual candidate quality and campaign quality.

General Debate 04 November 2022