The ungracious arsehole Deputy PM

Stuff reports:

National Party Deputy Leader Paula Bennett sent Winston Peters flowers to his hospital bedside while he recovers from an operation on his leg.
Peters responded with a tweet, calling Bennett’s actions “seriously bad taste”.

He was also scathing about the quality of the flowers, which “looked like she just picked them from a local park”.

Once again so glad he didn’t choose National.

Sounds like this report will be a doozy

Newshub reports:

There have been two major resignations from the group tasked with overhauling the justice system. …

Gang and crime expert Jarrod Gilbert and police complaints authority general manager Warren Young both resigned within days of each other.
Both Gilbert and Young were approached for comment. 
“They didn’t think they could commit to the sorts of recommendations the group is likely to make,” Little said. 

This suggests the recommendations are going to be very extreme and probably nonsensical.

An interesting petition

An official petition to Parliament:

That the House of Representatives make all pap smears, tampons, sex toys, sex change operations, pornography, TV/movies with people kissing, acting sex, horrors, evil music or evil TV with and swearing or bad content, racist music, evil-looking games, and all wrong entertainment such as ballet dancers in tights against the law.

People kissing in movies is bad enough but my God ballet dancers in tights is an obscenity that must be outlawed.

Once again reality beats rhetoric

This Government came to power saying the gender pay gap was terrible and they would get rid of it.

But alas the Stats NZ data tells another story.

The gender gap has fallen just 0.1% from 2017 to 2019. It has gone from 9.4% to 9.3% – a mere 1.1% decline over two years in relative terms.

And what happened under National? The gap fell from 12.5% to 9.4%, a relative decline of 24.8%

Good decision Trevor

One News reports:

A group of Ihumātao protestors, including Youth MPs, have been banned for a year from Parliament for singing Tūtira Mai Ngā Iwi in the debating chamber.  
The singing began during the second reading of the school donations bill, which would scrap the need for donations for students from decile 1-7 schools from 2020.
“Order! Order! Order! Order! I’m warning the people in the gallery to stop now,” Speaker Trevor Mallard said. 
The group of about a dozen singing continued from the public gallery seating area.  

“All individuals in the gallery will face a one-year ban from the buildings.”

A good decision. The gallery is not a venue for protests. The forecourt is the place for that. If you don’t crack down on such stuff, then they’ll do it every day.

Guest Post: Pike Re-entry on Shaky Ground

This article appeared in the local West Coast newspaper and seems to have got Andrew Little very upset so I thought it was worth republishing here:

The Pike River Recovery Agency (PRRA) is planning to bypass the strengthened mine safety regulations passed into law in 2016, as recommended by the Royal Commission on the Pike River Coal Mine Tragedy, in response to the explosions that killed 29 men on Friday, November 19, 2010.
 
The Agency is preparing a case to Government’s controlling agency, Worksafe New Zealand, to seek an exemption from Regulation 170, and is planning to submit its rationale by August 31 to seek approval to enter the mine’s 2.3km access drive.
 
Regulation 170 of the Health and Safety at Work (Mining Operations) Regulation 2016, states that “the mine operator of an underground coal mining operation must ensure that the mining operation has at least two exits trafficable on foot to the surface.”
 
One of the hottest topics to emerge at the Royal Commission was the lack of a second access at Pike.  The decision on the PRRA case will be made by Worksafe CEO, Nicole Rosie.
 
Since Worksafe has emerged as Government’s safety at work governing body as a direct result of the Pike tragedy in 2010, it has strengthened its prosecution programme under the Health and Safety at Work Act and gone hard after miscreants.  It seems highly unlikely based on its track record that it would now grant exemptions to allow its laws to be bypassed.
 
Only last week it prosecuted and fined $370,000 a horse trainer whose young rider fell off a horse in training and became a tetraplegic.  Unlike Pike, the trainer, Stephen McKee took responsibility for the sad accident and immediately paid the fine out of his own pocket.
 
Other companies have been similarly dealt to by Worksafe. In November last year, Waikato’s Electrix Ltd was fined $332,060 when one of its workers fell from a transmission tower. In April, Southland’s Agricentre South Ltd failed to fix a tractor’s brakes properly and the tractor ran over a local farmer.  They were fined $239,062.50.
 
The cost of the exemption evaluation process will likely add significantly to Government’s allocated budget to PRRA of $36 million.  Government Ministers, who have made a political football out of Pike over the last three years, will likely struggle accepting a decline by Ms Rosie of the PRRA case.
 
Government is also spending $77.8 million on a new hospital at Greymouth and $10 million on the Pike Memorial Track in the Paparoa Range.  The future value of the hospital investment by Government is likely to be the most productive of the three for West Coasters.
 
The PRRA has successfully dealt with the ventilation issues at Pike using nitrogen under pressure to expel explosive gases like methane from the stone drive and adjoining mine workings. 
 
With no cutting of coal planned in the re-entry process, the risk of methane exploding is minimized but there remains the risk of sparks from machinery igniting rogue pockets of methane in the stone drive which will effectively be a fresh air environment, thanks to the successful nitrogen injection.
 
The recovery team has progressed down the stone drive as far as the stopping at the 170 metre mark, but to go the additional 2.1 kms to the mine workings requires the Reg 170 exemption to be approved by Worksafe.
 
The Royal Commission identified 11 likely last working places of the Pike 29, all are in the mine workings past the immovable rockfall at the end of the Drift. The establishment of the PRRA was greeted with messages like ‘we can now get our men out’.  This has been ruled out by the PRRA.
 
The proposed inspection of the Drift is focusing on gathering forensic evidence as to the cause of the initial explosion.  Again, the Royal Commission speculated strongly that it was sparking from the underground fan’s drive shaft well past the end of the Drift that was a likely factor. Their modeling showed the first blast originating near the fan, travelling west to the far reaches of the mine and then bouncing back almost 5kms east to the portal.
 
The Pike saga has been underpinned by about-facedness since two days after the first explosion in 2010. At the Sunday afternoon press conference at the Greymouth Police Station, Pike CEO, Peter Whittall told the packed media that fresh air was being pumped into the mine and the men have access to fractured compressed air lines.
 
At the end of the formal questions, Greymouth Mayor, Tony Kokshoorn, chased after Whittall down an adjoining corridor to get confirmation that the mine was on fire. Tony had been told this was the case from Mines Rescue sources. 
 
They had tested the smoke emerging from the Pike ventilation shaft on the Saturday afternoon which showed spontaneous combustion readings of 34.0 when fire combustion readings in coal are positive at 0.4.  The Pike company denied the mine was on fire, the beginnings of an almost ten-year saga of deceit.
 
Kokshoorn was manhandled aside by Whittall’s minders and told he was unavailable.
 
The PRRA faces its biggest hurdle and a credibility crisis with its Reg 170 exemption application. The revised regulations have been in place since 2016 and the PRRA knew of this situation when it took on the re-entry challenge two years later. 
 
Worksafe will no doubt get ‘guidance’ from Cabinet on its decision, but if you were to apply a betting analogy to the process, either PRRA or Worksafe will surely emerge with the face of a beaten favourite.

The author, Gerry Morris, is a former coal-mining journalist who has co-authored two books on West Coast mining history. Three members of his family worked at Pike and he was the lead researcher on Rebecca Macfie’s multi award winning book on Pike.

How to escape from prison

Stuff reports:

It is not often that a convicted murderer and high school dropout completes a postgraduate degree (and begins their doctorate) in prison.
Not only was Dr Paul Wood the first inmate to achieve this distinction in New Zealand, on release he carved a career in consultancy out of his training in psychology – and now he has written this fascinating and instructive story of his journey to self-awareness and ethical understanding.
Large parts of How to Escape From Prison read as a valuable prison memoir relating his time in Rimutaka, Paremoremo and Mt Crawford prisons (1996-2006).
Carefully constructed to show his personal development within his prison experiences, each chapter is introduced by a brief section of generalised advice to help others overcome their own mental prisons. …

The power of this story lies in the older and wiser man relating the uncontrollable behaviour of his younger self. It is hard to identify specific turning points on his journey, but Wood clearly places importance on little acts of kindness and trust from prison visitors, family and a select number of fellow inmates and prison staff, especially those who encouraged his education within the distractions and violence of prison life: little beacons that appear all the brighter in the surrounding darkness. There is good fodder here for advocates of rehabilitation.
The story is written simply, without pretension and its practical pieces of advice – including its “Five Steps to Freedom” – can be applied in many situations to aid positive thinking and self-improvement, but these would be much less powerful did they not appear alongside the example of Wood’s highly inspiring transformation.

Great to read about how some who fall off the tracks do manage to turn their lives around. Hopefully his book can be of help to many more.

Meredith Connell geting $200,000 a week from NZTA

I’ve been forwarded an OIA showing that Meredith Connell has received $4.9 million in just five months (Feb 19 to Jun 19) from the NZ Transport agency.

Now lawyers are expensive but that is almost a million dollars a month. Or to be precise:

  • $4.92 million for five months
  • $984,000 per month
  • $227,000 per week
  • $48,700 per working day
  • $6,100 per working hour

$50,000 a day is a nice gig if you can get it.

When will climate activists target China?

The Guardian reported:

Almost all countries are contributing to the rise, with emissions in China up 4.7%, in the US by 2.5% and in India by 6.3% in 2018. The EU’s emissions are near flat, but this follows a decade of strong falls.

So let’s look at this in absolute terms.

  • China growth is 12,700 x 4.7% = 597 Mt
  • US growth is 6,570 x 2.5% = 164 Mt
  • India growth is 2,870 x 6.3% = 181 Mt

By comparison NZ is around 75 Mt so the growth last year in China is around eight times our total emissions.

And is China slowing down? An energy report noted:

China’s national oil companies (NOCs) will be the fourth highest upstream investors in Africa over the next five years, says GlobalData, China’s NOCs are increasingly investing in Africa to secure oil supplies to help feed surging domestic energy demand. As a result, their development and production capital expenditure (capex) in Africa’s upstream sector is forecast to be the fourth highest between 2019 and 2023

So why do climate activists always ignore China? Unless China reduces emissions, or at least stabilizes them, then the efforts of the rest of the world will count for little.

Little thinks keeping people safe is fascism

Newshub reported:

Taking away prisoners’ rights to vote was part of a “fascist” culture the National-led Government fostered against criminals, Justice Minister Andrew Little said on Monday. …

“There was a culture at the time – the three-strikes law was going in, ACT was absolutely off the leash when it came to kind of the more fascist sort of policies with criminals.

So Little thinks a law that keeps repeat violent and sexual offenders behind bars for longer is fascism. Good to know.

A presidential temper tantrum

I find it interesting that defenders of Donald Trump are so blinkered that they can not distinguish between legitimate criticism of him, and partisan opposition.

They label anyone who is critical as suffering from Trump Derangement Syndrome when in fact they suffer from TDS – Toady Defence Syndrome. There is nothing he does they won’t defend.

Take this story:

Two days after he said buying Greenland wasn’t a top priority, President Donald Trump canceled an upcoming trip to Denmark, which owns the mostly frozen island, after its prime minister dismissed the idea. …

But on Tuesday, Trump abruptly canceled the visit, also by tweet.
Just a few hours earlier, the U.S. ambassador to Denmark tweeted that it was “ready for the POTUS @realDonaldTrump visit!” using an acronym for “President of the United States” along with Trump’s Twitter handle.
Trump wrote: “Denmark is a very special country with incredible people, but based on Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s comments, that she would have no interest in discussing the purchase of Greenland, I will be postponing our meeting scheduled in two weeks for another time.”

Yes the President of the United States cancelled a trip because the Prime Minister of Denmark refuses to sell Greenland to him. My God, you couldn’t write fiction this bizarre.

He really does act at times like a toddler, throwing temper tantrums.

The death of CNN?

Fox News reports:

Fox News has been the most-watched cable news network for 70 consecutive quarters after finishing the second quarter of 2019 ahead of MSNBC and struggling CNN in both total day and primetime viewers — as Sean Hannity crushed Rachel Maddow’s show in the 9 p.m. ET hour.
Fox News averaged 2.4 million primetime viewers to rank as the most-watched network in all of basic cable from 8-11 p.m. ET. MSNBC came in second place with an average of 1.7 million, while TNT, ESPN, and HGTV rounded out the top five.
The lowly CNN finished fifteenth, averaging only 761,000 primetime viewers and finishing behind channels such as Discovery and the Food Network.

Wow coming 15th and behind the Food Network is humiliating.

Silence through contracts

A reader writes in:

Essentially the developer sold off most of the residential sections (except maybe the Kiwibuild ones), then after they were sold started making noises about building a big hotel there. Residents weren’t impressed. There were 141 submissions against and 0 for.
 
What makes this story interesting is that the Northlake residents signed a clause in their sale and purchase agreement where they agreed not to make any formal submission against the developer, and not to negatively discuss any activities by the developer. I understand the developer has been using threat of legal action to silence the residents (aka their customers). All the outcry against this thing is from other Wanaka residents, and no doubt the Northlake residents ranting under pseudonym.
 
I don’t know how prevalent these “don’t say anything bad about us” clauses are, and to be fair they did sign it, but the residents here have been utterly screwed by the developer here.

Very interesting to have developers require residents to never oppose anything the developer does, or even publicly criticise them.

I wonder if they would hold up in court, if described correctly.

Sounds desperate

Barry Soper reports:

The scalp of Paula Bennett is being demanded if National is to avoid a lawsuit by NZ First Leader Winston Peters, Newstalk ZB understands. 

Lawyers for both sides met in Auckland last week where the National side expressed their interest in settling the case before it goes to the Auckland High Court on November the 5th.
National’s lawyers, Bruce Gray QC and former Young Nat Peter Keily expressed their wish for the case to be settled out of court.
Peters’ side, led by his longtime friend Brian Henry apparently asked what were they prepared to offer return.
During the discussion, mention was made of a “National Party body”.

Newstalk ZB understands that was a clear reference to former Deputy Prime Minister Paula Bennett.

If Winston had a case with any substance behind it beyond speculation and conspiracy theories, he wouldn’t be willing to settle.

Ironic indeed.

Exclusive: Kiwibuild loses another CE

Kiwibuild isn’t only failing to build houses, it is also failing to keep key staff.

The first effective head, Stephen Barclay, only lasted six months in the job – from May to November 2018.

In February 2019 the Government announced Helen O’Sullivan as the new head of Kiwibuild Commercial. My spies report she has resigned and leaves on 31 August, so also lasting just six months.

To paraphrase Oscar Wilde “To lose one CE may be regarded as a misfortune; to lose two looks like carelessnedd”

So after two years in office, Labour’s managed 239 homes out of the 100,000 they promised. They’ve gone through two CEs for Kiwibuild and they’re six months overdue with their reset.

Twyford promised in January a “reset” within a few weeks. Seven months later and still nothing.

An excellent Government/Green initiative that National should support

Stuff reports:

After getting burnt by Steven Joyce’s “$11.7b hole” the Government is keen to set up a new watchdog to cost election policies.
But the new-look Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) will not be ready in time for the next election, and National leader Simon Bridges has come out strongly against it, with a move that could see the idea scuppered.
The PBO, similarly to the Congressional Budget Office in the USA, would provide independent costings of party’s election policies and monitor Government’s budgets.
The idea is that this office would provide voters with non-partisan analysis of what each party’s policies will cost the country, if they were to submit them to the PBO and agree for the costings to be released.

I have been an advocate of such a unit for many years. I was pleased to see the Greens promote it last election and Labour agree to implement one in their agreement.

The proposed model of an independent office of Parliament is the right one, as independence is key.

“I oppose it because I don’t trust the Government on it. I think it is an opportunity they see to illegitimately, undemocratically screw the scrum on the Opposition,” Bridges said.
He said he felt this way because he was having trouble getting a Treasury secondee to help National’s office, as is tradition, and had been asking for months.
Bridges was eventually offered a Treasury secondee but he said this staffer was clearly unsuitable for the role.
“I feel like we’ve been obstructed from the get-go by the Minister of Finance’s office and also by Treasury.”
“How can I trust them with a supposedly independent institution over the top of that to provide a view on our costings?” he said.

Simon is on the wrong side of this one. He may well be right in not trusting the Government, but that is even more reason to support this proposal of having costings done by an independent agency of Parliament.

Voters deserve to make informed decisions on the cost of promises by politicians. This proposed agency will be a key step towards that. You really don’t want parties self-costing their own policies as they often under-estimate the cost – especially Labour.

This proposal is good for voters, good for fiscal conservatives and good for responsible political parties that want to ensure their policies are affordable.

I hope it gets unanimous support by Parliament.

Impunity for state house drug dealers

Stuff reports:

A Christchurch man who believes a Housing New Zealand (HNZ) property nearby is a drug house is frustrated no agency will act.
The Northcote resident told Stuff columnist Mike Yardley he estimated about 20 to 25 drug deals were happening at the house every day, and one day he noted 39.
He had complained to police and HNZ for months – even recording vehicle details – but HNZ said it was a police matter to deal with suspected crime, and police cited lack of evidence and resources.
“For police to obtain a search warrant for any address we require evidence, rather than suspicion. To date we do not have sufficient evidence to say whether the address in question is a ‘drug house’,” Senior Sergeant Stephen McDaniel told Yardley.

Oh what bulldust. They could simply have a detective observe the house for a few hours, and if you see 20 people come and go from it, that would be enough evidence for a search warrant.

So the Police will do nothing, and the Government changed the rules so state house tenants no longer get evicted for drug dealing, so basically the neighbours are powerless.

Bishop on Housing

An excellent post by Hutt South MP Chris Bishop on the housing problem in the Hutt. First the facts:

• The average house in Lower Hutt is now $596,000. This is about 6 times the median household income in New Zealand.
• The average rent in Lower Hutt is $452 per week.
• The social housing wait list in the Hutt is at record levels, with 404 clients waiting for a house.
• The government is spending a million dollars every quarter on housing people in motels in the Hutt Valley.
• Housing NZ has only built 4 units (16 bedrooms) since September 2017.

Then the diagnosis:

It’s all about supply
Another point I have tried to get across is that solving our housing woes comes down almost exclusively to supply. The above facts and the worked example I have shown demonstrate that. Consider Canterbury after the earthquakes. Government, through the extraordinary powers given to it post the quakes, unilaterally rezoned a lot of land to clear the way for more housing. Supply filled the market and for many years Canterbury had flat to falling rents. I heard anecdotal stories of landlords having to induce university student tenants with heat pumps, insulation, and other things in order to encourage them to pick their flat to live in. In Wellington, students line up for hours for the chance to bid on a hovel with mould on the walls. When supply exceeds demand, the power is with tenants. When demand massively exceeds supply, as it does in the Hutt, landlords have all the power.

Then his solutions, which I paraphrase:

  1. Acknowledge is that this is a regional and also national problem – we need our Councils to work together more and take a much more regional approach.
  2. We need to build out – the cost of land is the biggest driver. Open up the Upper Fitzherbert Road area in Wainuiomata, and connecting the suburb to Naenae; some estimates I’ve seen are that around 2,500 to 3,000 houses could potentially be built there.
  3. Better infrastructure financing. Endorses recent Phil Twyford speech to NZ Initiative on this issue
  4. We need to build up. Supports changes in density rules and intensification around transport spine.
  5. Be more cognisant of the trade-offs inherent in planning. Some recent studies estimate, for example, that rules setting minimum floor space requirements and minimum balcony requirements add $50,000 to $100,000 to the cost of an apartment. A study examining minimum car parking requirements in Auckland showed that the costs of the planning rule exceeded the benefits by a factor of at least six. That rule cost the economy (and apartment buyers) millions of dollars.  Platitudes like “quality urban design” etc sound great; but we have to be aware of the trade-offs.
  6. Reform the RMA.

Great to see a local MP do a good job of identifying a problem, identifying what causes the problem and proposing solutions.

Housing in the Hutt is a disaster, and getting worse, but it doesn’t have to be this way. In this piece I’ve tried to outline some solutions. Some will be led by government, a lot by Council. Some require political courage and community buy-in. But if we carry on the way we are, then housing will continue to become more unaffordable, more people will be locked out of home ownership, and homelessness will become entrenched in our community.
Let’s fix it.

A good challenge for the new Council after elections in October.

Save the buses and sack the Council

Stuff reports:

The council’s figures, generated from an independent survey it commissioned, show bus commuters’ satisfaction levels dropped from 85 per cent to 66 per cent between May 2018 and May 2019.
In the same period, rail and ferry commuters reported a 10 per cent drop in satisfaction – down to 75 per cent and 72 per cent respectively.

Wellington had one of the best public transport systems around, and the Wellington Regional Council destroyed it with their “improvements”.

The best way to prevent this occuring again is to ensure accountability by sacking every member standing again. A few have bailed, but not all. These are the incumbents standing again:

  • Kapiti – Penny Gaylor
  • Lower Hutt – Ken Laban, Prue Lamason, David Ogden
  • Porirua – Jenny Brash, Barbara Donaldson
  • Wairarapa – Adrienne Staples
  • Wellington – Daran Ponter, Roger Blakeley

I will do a blog post closer to elections on who I do recommend people vote for. But the key thing is to make sure that politicians understand that if they stuff things up so disastrously, they will be held accountable.

Hope his closet is clean

CNN reports:

The governor of Nairobi has ignited an explosive debate amongst Kenyans over the issue of children born out of wedlock to powerful politicians and their lovers.
After Member of Parliament Ken Okoth died from cancer at the age of 41 last month, Nairobi Governor Mike Sonko, publicly detailed an alleged affair between the late MP, who was a friend of his, and a woman who was nominated for Nairobi’s County Assembly. …

Sonko continued the debate about parental responsibility by taking aim at his fellow politicians. He posted two phone numbers on his Facebook page and invited women to contact his office if they’d had similar experiences with lawmakers.
“When sending details on which MP, Senator, Governor, Businessman has impregnated you, remember to send his full names and the position he holds plus any photos or videos of those happy moments so that we expose them,” he said in another post.

I can’t see this ending well. I suspect Mr Sonko will either end up with any of his own misdeeds made public, or dead.

Don’t boo Jacinda

Newshub reports:

Social media has erupted in debate after Jacinda Ardern was seemingly booed at during the All Blacks v Wallabies Test at Eden Park.

As the announcer called for the Prime Minister to hand the Bledisloe Cup to captain Kieran Read, there was a noticeably loud amount of booing from the crowd.

It’s led to debate on social media about whether it is acceptable to boo a politician at a sports event.

I’m firmly of the view you should never boo a politician when they are presenting awards etc. It is disrespectful to those receiving the award.

In fact I don’t support booing politicians at all. It’s just puerile.

I’ll heckle a politician at a political event, if they say something I disagree with. But I won’t boo them. Not even Winston.

So people shouldn’t boo the Prime Minister. It reflects more on them than her, if they do so.