Would you donate to the Clinton Foundation?

The Government has donated $7.7 million of taxpayer money to an affiliate of the Clinton Foundation. So the Taxpayers’ Union has asked some taxpayers whether they would personally donate to the Clinton Foundation and what they think of the Government doing so. The results are in the video.

You can sign a petition against the MFAT funding here.

Maori and Mana in a tree, …

The Herald reports:

The Maori Party and Mana Movement have made a symbolic joint appearance at the first big political event of the year in Ratana.

Maori Party co-leaders Te Ururoa Flavell and Marama Fox and Mana leader Hone Harawira walked onto the Ratana Pa near Wanganui side-by-side this afternoon.

The two parties are in talks about working together at the general election, possibly by formally merging or by making agreements to step aside in some Maori seats to give the other party a clear run. Labour, who will be welcomed on to the pa tomorrow, holds six of the seven Maori electorates.

There was bad blood between Flavell and Harawira after Harawira left the Maori Party in 2011 in protest at its support agreement with National. That is clearly in the past. Before the two men walked onto the pa grounds at Ratana, Harawira embraced Flavell in a bear-hug in full view of media.

I’d say the chances of an alliance, which at the very least is a do not compete policy, is strong.

13th Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey: 2017

The full report is here. It looks at median house prices as a multiple of median incomes in 406 cities in nine countries.

The 11 most affordable cities are all in the US. They are:

  1. Rochester, NY 2.5
  2. Buffalo, NY 2.6
  3. Cincinnati 2.7
  4. Cleveland, OH 2.7
  5. Pittsburgh, PA 2.7
  6. Oklahoma City 2.9
  7. Saint Louis, 2.9
  8. Detroit 3.0
  9. Grand Rapids, MI 3.0
  10. Indianapolis 3.0
  11. Kansas City 3.0

And the ten least affordable are:

  1. Hong Kong 18.1
  2. Sydney 12.2
  3. Vancouver 11.8
  4. Auckland 10.0
  5. San Jose 9.6
  6. Melbourne 9.5
  7. Honolulu 9.4
  8. LA 9.3
  9. San Francisco 9.2
  10. Bournemouth & Dorset 8.9

So Auckland is pretty appalling for affordability, but so is Sydney, Melbourne and Vancouver. They all have various property or capital gains taxes, so this strongly suggests the real solutions lie more with supply side – freeing up land.

Christchurch has a median multiple of 5.9 and Wellington 5.7.

How Trump happened

Brendan O’Neill writes in The Spectator:

It happened because you banned super-size sodas. And smoking in parks. And offensive ideas on campus. Because you branded people who oppose gay marriage ‘homophobic’, and people unsure about immigration ‘racist’.

Because you treated owning a gun and never having eaten quinoa as signifiers of fascism. Because you thought correcting people’s attitudes was more important than finding them jobs. Because you turned ‘white man’ from a description into an insult. Because you used slurs like ‘denier’ and ‘dangerous’ against anyone who doesn’t share your eco-pieties.

Because you treated dissent as hate speech and criticism of Obama as extremism. Because you talked more about gender-neutral toilets than about home repossessions. Because you beatified Caitlyn Jenner. Because you policed people’s language, rubbished their parenting skills, took the piss out of their beliefs.

Because you cried when someone mocked the Koran but laughed when they mocked the Bible. Because you said criticising Islam is Islamophobia. Because you kept telling people, ‘You can’t think that, you can’t say that, you can’t do that.’

Because you turned politics from something done by and for people to something done to them, for their own good. Because you treated people like trash. And people don’t like being treated like trash. Trump happened because of you.

I especially like the parts I have bolded.

Lange’s incompetence

Gerald Hensley has an insightful article in The Listener on how the three decade stand off with the United States might never have occurred, if Lange had kept his word.

Basically Lange and the US had come to an agreement that while they would not officially confirm nor deny which ships were nuclear powered and armed, they were happy for NZ to invite a ship which obviously was neither. Both sides would be satisfied and our law would be respected, as would the US policy. A win-win.

The key to getting the right ship was the US Commander-in-Chief in Honolulu, Admiral William Crowe, and in mid-November, Lange sent Chief of Defence Staff Ewan Jamieson to talk to him. They were personal friends and Jamieson stayed at his house. The admiral offered him a choice of three conventionally powered ships; Jamieson chose an elderly destroyer, USS Buchanan, because it was not operationally equipped for nuclear weapons. The admiral was punctilious about giving no hint of its armament, but he was as aware as the New Zealanders of the significance of the visit and the need for the ship to be “clean”.

Lange seemed comfortable with this choice. In December, he told the US ambassador to submit a formal request for a visit by Buchanan for the Cabinet to consider early in the New Year and said he saw no difficulty. The Secretary of Foreign Affairs was optimistic enough to tell Bill Rowling, our new ambassador to Washington, that whatever else happened in his term, he would not have to worry about ship visits.

This proved to be a substantial under-estimate. Word of an impending visit, though not the name of the ship, leaked out of Washington after a visit there by Helen Clark, then chair of Parliament’s Foreign Affairs Select Committee, who reportedly telephoned her fellow activists to say, “Push the button.” Across the country, the machinery of protest was set in motion: the telephone trees, networks, haunting of newsrooms and demonstrations that distinguished the left when it was energised by a hot issue.

A brilliant public relations campaign caught the Government unprepared. There had been no Cabinet consideration of the Buchanan visit; no minister knew anything about it. It had all been held closely by Lange. When he had earlier been offered a draft Cabinet paper to brief his colleagues, he declined, saying he preferred to do it his way. His way turned out to be not to say anything at all, not even to his deputy.

I knew Lange was not very good at the day to day duties of the Prime Minister, as in leading the Government, but I didn’t realise quite how dysfunctional he was. He didn’t build any sort of internal coalition or agreement for the deal, and it got turned down by Palmer while Lange was away.

The US felt Lange lied to them, and that is why things turned toxic. We could have had our anti-nuclear policy and stayed in ANZUS, if Lange had been competent.

He was a funny sincere man, who was a great orator. But he was not a good Prime Minister.

Simon Wilson on social investment

Simon Wilson writes:

For several years now English has been driving a profound reform programme in the delivery of social services. It’s far from finished; in fact, even some of the ministers involved seem barely to understand it. But welfare reform is happening. And at its heart is a thoroughly 21st century idea: we’ve got the data, now to tell us where to spend the money.

Conservative governments worldwide are watching, fascinated, not least because social investment inverts the usual conservative approach to welfare. Which is to sit back, moan about bludgers and pick up the pieces when they have to. Social investment, as English told the conference, means “spending money now to save money later”. In National terms, it’s practically a revolution.

Good to see Simon has realised what a change this is. The goal is still the same – to have fewer people reliant on the state, but the method is to spend more now to help them become independent.

Social investment presents a serious challenge to the centre-left – to the Greens as well as Labour. This is the National-led government doing nothing less than redefining the paradigm of the welfare state, not by undermining it but by making it more fit for purpose. That’s the left’s job, or it used to be. It used to be a central purpose of the left in government.

And yet it’s the right that now offers a systematic, determined and evidence-based effort to break inter-generational cycles of poverty, crime and ill-health. Welfare that is both more effective and more affordable. Who would be opposed to that?

Labour?

And mark what it means: welfare is here to stay. Its purpose, now, is to produce citizens who will stay in work, out of jail, out of hospital and away from the need for expensive long-term care. Yes, the irony is staggering – the National government is engaged in a level of “social engineering” unprecedented in history. But forget about that. The goals are excellent.

High praise from the former Marxist 🙂

Social investment has the potential to be so constructively powerful that if National gets it right, it could stay in government for another generation.

The article goes on to detail some of the ways he thinks National isn’t getting it right, but he concludes:

There are many on the centre-left who say it can’t be done. Social investment is another neoliberal plot, all that tired old hogwash. If they’re right, we need to hear an alternative and more compelling narrative for welfare.

But are they right? Social investment, to repeat, is the means by which many more of our most-marginalised citizens will be able to hold down jobs, stay out of jail and out of hospital and away from the need for expensive long-term care. It offers a systematic, determined and evidence-based effort to break intergenerational cycles of poverty, crime and ill-health. A welfare state that is fit for purpose in the 21st century: both more effective than the 20th-century version and more affordable.

Its champion, when it works, will truly earn the right to be the natural party of government. Do either or both of Labour and the Greens want that role?

They both seem very unenthusiastic on it. I’m not sure they want to reduce the number of people dependent on the state.

NZ No 1 again

The Herald reports:

New Zealand has reclaimed its ranking as the least corrupt country in the world in an international survey.

Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index for 2016 gave New Zealand a score of 90 points out of 100, placing it first-equal with Denmark out of 176 countries.

The index draws on up to 13 surveys “covering expert assessments and views of businesspeople” to compile its rankings.

Among the criteria used to determine rankings are press freedom, public access to official information, fundamental rights and the absence of corruption.

A very good survey to come top of. Doesn’t mean we are perfect or can be complacent, but it speaks well to New Zealand society.

The top 10 are:

1 = New Zealand
1 = Denmark
3 Finland
4 Sweden
5 Switzerland
6 Norway
7 Singapore
8 Netherlands
9 Canada
10 = Germany
10 = Luxembourg
10 = United Kingdom

The bottom five are:

176 Somalia
175 South Sudan
174 North Korea
173 Syria
172 Yemen

By continent some interesting variations:

Americas – Canada, US and Uruguay top and Venezuela, Haiti and Nicaragua bottom

Asia Pacific – NZ, Singapore, Australia, Hong Kong top and North Korea bottom

Europe – Nordic countries top and Greece lowest in Western Europe

Middle East – UAE and Israel top and Syria bottom

Africa – Botswana top and Somalia bottom

Unusual to have the winner declare an election was fraudulant

Stuff reports:

President Donald Trump tweeted early Wednesday that he is ordering a “major investigation” into voter fraud, revisiting unsubstantiated claims he’s made repeatedly about a rigged voting system.

The investigation, he said, will look at those registered to vote in more than one state, “those who are illegal and … even, those registered to vote who are dead (and many for a long time).”

Depending on results, Trump tweeted, “we will strengthen up voting procedures!”

Trump has been fixated on his loss of the popular vote in the election and a persistent frustration that the legitimacy of his presidency is being challenged by Democrats and the media, aides and associates say.

His exaggerations about inauguration crowds and false assertions about illegal balloting have been distractions as advisers’ have tried to launch his presidency with a flurry of actions on the economy.

He won the election but lost the popular vote. It was an amazing win against all expectations. So why is he so obsessed over trying to claim he won the popular vote also, when he clearly didn’t.  It’s a distraction that his narcissism fuels.

Comparing citizenship applications

The Herald reports:

The news that billionaire investor and Trump supporter Peter Thiel has acquired New Zealand citizenship has triggered questions in Parliament.

The surprising news of Thiel’s Kiwi citizenship, first broken by the Herald yesterday, has drawn international attention with the New York Times, Mashable and Gizmodo noting the development.

Labour Party immigration spokesman Ian Lees-Galloway said the revelation – that Thiel’s 2015 purchase of a 193 hectare estate on Lake Wanaka didn’t require Overseas Investment Office approval because the buyer was a citizen – raised more questions than it answered.

Lees-Galloway said another wealthy North American import – film director James Cameron – had drawn considerable notice when living in New Zealand, raising questions over why Thiel didn’t attract attention.

“I can’t imagine someone of Thiel’s stature and wealth and not being noticed for five years, it just doesn’t seem very likely,” he said.

This morning Lees-Galloway said he lodged written questions in Parliament with Minister of Internal Affairs Peter Dunne seeking to know when Thiel was granted citizenship, under what grounds and whether the venture capitalist billionaire was a resident for tax purposes.

I am amazed that anyone from Labour has the temerity to speak out on citizenship issues after their near corrupt behaviour around Bill Liu getting citizenship.

Let’s compare the two cases

Thiel has actually been a citizen since 2011. He has been coming to New Zealand for over 20 years since the mid 1990s. Then Internal Affairs Minister Nathan Guy says he doesn’t even recall Thiel’s application but the files show that DIA were in favour of his being given citizenship.

Yes it is unlikely Thiel spent eight months a year here from 2006 to 2011. But he probably argued that the nature of his job as a founder and director of global Internet companies such as Paypal and Facebook made such a requirement near impossible to ever achieve.

I regard it as a great thing that globally successfully people want to live in New Zealand and be citizens of New Zealand.

Brexit vote needed

Stuff reports:

British Prime Minister Theresa May must give parliament a vote before she can formally start Britain’s exit from the European Union, the UK Supreme Court ruled on Tuesday (Tuesday night NZ Time), giving lawmakers who oppose her Brexit plans a shot at amending them.

By a majority of eight to three, the UK’s highest judicial body decided May could not use executive powers known as “royal prerogative” to invoke Article 50 of the EU’s Lisbon Treaty and so begin two years of divorce talks.

There will be riots if Parliament doesn’t follow the will of the people. But I think they will. What will be interesting is how Labour votes. Corbyn tried to institute a strict three line whip for the vote, but has backed down after a backlash from Labour MPs. This means that no one knows how Labour MPs will vote on the most important issue in a generation.

However, the judges did remove one major potential obstacle for the British government, saying May did not need the approval of the UK’s devolved assemblies in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland before triggering Brexit.

That would have been near impossible, if required.

3,000 days of Opposition

Six seek New Lynn for Labour

Stuff reports:

Six people have thrown their hats in the ring to seek selection in New Lynn but the battle is expected to come down to two. 

Among those seeking to stand for Labour in former leader David Cunliffe’s electorate are two current Auckland local board members – Greg Presland​ and Susan Zhu.

If either make it to Parliament then it would trigger a local body by-election.

The four others being considered are: Christina Faumuina​, Deborah Russell, Owen Gill, and Sunny Kaushal.

But sources say the Labour nomination is likely to come down to either Massey University tax expert Russell or Cunliffe confidant Presland.

Will be very interesting to see whom Labour picks.

Gareth vs Winston

Newshub reports:

A mud hurling match between Winston Peters and Gareth Morgan has coloured the Opposition Parties’ speeches at Rātana Pā.

Mr Morgan, The Opportunities Party leader, made a long speech in which he declared his party would make constitutional reform in which upholding the Treaty would be a priority.

He went on to attack the New Zealand First leader, calling him an “Uncle Tom” and not supportive of the Treaty.

“His Cheshire Cat grin can’t disguise the fact his party is selling Māori down the river.”

Not one to sit back and take abuse, Mr Peters used his speech to fight back.

“Sorry for laughing,” he said as he began in te reo.

“It’s been a long time since I’ve been mauled by a toothless sheep.”

Mr Peters then called Mr Morgan a “thinned-down version of Kim Dotcom” and said he’d been coming to Rātana for four decades, not “driving around Mongolia on a motorbike”.

Heh, would have loved to have been there for that exchange.

Thiel now a Kiwi

The Herald reports:

Controversial American billionaire, Trump donor and venture capitalist Peter Thiel has taken New Zealand citizenship and quietly acquired a Wanaka lakefront estate.

Property records show that Thiel’s New Zealand-registered company Second Star bought a 193ha Glendhu Bay farm in 2015 described as a vacant lifestyle block.

Thiel, who lists San Francisco as his residence in Companies Office records, is Second Star’s sole shareholder. Forbes magazine assessed his net worth recently at US$2.7 billion.

Great to see Thiel become a Kiwi, following on from James Cameron. Thiel co-founded Paypal, and was an original investor in Xero and Facebook. He’s broadly a libertarian.

Nutty energy politics in Wyoming

Grist reports:

Coal-loving Wyoming legislators are pushing a bill to outlaw wind and solar.
On the first day of the state’s legislative session, nine Republican lawmakers filed legislation that would bar utilities from using electricity produced by large-scale renewable energy projects.

The bill, whose sponsors are primarily from the state’s top coal-producing counties, would require utilities to use only approved energy sources like coal, natural gas, nuclear power, hydroelectric, and oil. While individual homeowners and small businesses could still use rooftop solar or backyard wind, utilities would face steep fines if they served up clean energy.

Banning wind and solar power is just as nutty as banning coal. Politicians should not dictate what power source is used by utilities.

Where a power source has external costs (such as CO2 emissions from coal), then the correct response is to recognise the external costs through an appropriate mechanism (tax or ETS). But politicians should not dictate what sources of power are acceptable. The Wyoming legislators are just as wrong as Green legislators who try to ban coal.

Hat Tip: No Right Turn

Armstrong on Pike River

John Armstrong writes:

When it comes to the vexed question of whether the families of the men killed in the Pike River disaster will be granted permission to recover the bodies of their loved ones, you can forget it.

It ain’t going to happen. Not now. Not ever. Full stop.

Yep, despite the ghouls in politics trying to make capital out if it with false promises.

Even were Solid Energy to have a rush of blood to its head and reverse its current intention to seal the mine’s entrance for good and instead allow a recovery operation to be mounted, the company’s managers would find a prohibition order slapped on them by WorkSafe New Zealand, the Crown agency responsible for administering the new and much tougher law now covering occupational health and safety.

Such an order can be imposed if WorkSafe believes something is occurring at a workplace that “involves or will involve” serious risk to the health or safety of a person.

So even if Solid Energy was persuaded, they can be over-ruled by Worksafe.

It needs to be remembered that the rewrite of occupational health and safety law flowed directly from the Pike River Company’s failures to ensure its workers did not come to harm.

To treat the Pike River mine site as suddenly exempt from the very piece of law it engendered is not just utterly mind-blowing. It is delusional.

This is now the official policy of the Labour Party, led by the former head of the miners’ union. They should be ashamed.

The left’s war on science

John Tierney writes at City Journal:

My liberal friends sometimes ask me why I don’t devote more of my science journalism to the sins of the Right. It’s fine to expose pseudoscience on the left, they say, but why aren’t you an equal-opportunity debunker? Why not write about conservatives’ threat to science?

My friends don’t like my answer: because there isn’t much to write about. Conservatives just don’t have that much impact on science. I know that sounds strange to Democrats who decry Republican creationists and call themselves the “party of science.” But I’ve done my homework. I’ve read the Left’s indictments, including Chris Mooney’s bestseller, The Republican War on Science. I finished it with the same question about this war that I had at the outset: Where are the casualties?

Where are the scientists who lost their jobs or their funding? What vital research has been corrupted or suppressed? What scientific debate has been silenced? Yes, the book reveals that Republican creationists exist, but they don’t affect the biologists or anthropologists studying evolution. Yes, George W. Bush refused federal funding for embryonic stem-cell research, but that hardly put a stop to it (and not much changed after Barack Obama reversed the policy). Mooney rails at scientists and politicians who oppose government policies favored by progressives like himself, but if you’re looking for serious damage to the enterprise of science, he offers only three examples.

All three are in his first chapter, during Mooney’s brief acknowledgment that leftists “here and there” have been guilty of “science abuse.” First, there’s the Left’s opposition to genetically modified foods, which stifled research into what could have been a second Green Revolution to feed Africa. Second, there’s the campaign by animal-rights activists against medical researchers, whose work has already been hampered and would be devastated if the activists succeeded in banning animal experimentation. Third, there’s the resistance in academia to studying the genetic underpinnings of human behavior, which has cut off many social scientists from the recent revolutions in genetics and neuroscience. Each of these abuses is far more significant than anything done by conservatives, and there are plenty of others. The only successful war on science is the one waged by the Left.

I strongly recommend reading the full article. It is lengthy but worth it.

But two huge threats to science are peculiar to the Left—and they’re getting worse.

The first threat is confirmation bias, the well-documented tendency of people to seek out and accept information that confirms their beliefs and prejudices. In a classic study of peer review, 75 psychologists were asked to referee a paper about the mental health of left-wing student activists. Some referees saw a version of the paper showing that the student activists’ mental health was above normal; others saw different data, showing it to be below normal. Sure enough, the more liberal referees were more likely to recommend publishing the paper favorable to the left-wing activists. When the conclusion went the other way, they quickly found problems with its methodology.

Scientists try to avoid confirmation bias by exposing their work to peer review by critics with different views, but it’s increasingly difficult for liberals to find such critics. Academics have traditionally leaned left politically, and many fields have essentially become monocultures, especially in the social sciences, where Democrats now outnumber Republicans by at least 8 to 1. (In sociology, where the ratio is 44 to 1, a student is much likelier to be taught by a Marxist than by a Republican.)

Peer review means a lot less today than it once did.

And that brings us to the second great threat from the Left: its long tradition of mixing science and politics. To conservatives, the fundamental problem with the Left is what Friedrich Hayek called the fatal conceit: the delusion that experts are wise enough to redesign society. Conservatives distrust central planners, preferring to rely on traditional institutions that protect individuals’ “natural rights” against the power of the state. Leftists have much more confidence in experts and the state. Engels argued for “scientific socialism,” a redesign of society supposedly based on the scientific method. Communist intellectuals planned to mold the New Soviet Man. Progressives yearned for a society guided by impartial agencies unconstrained by old-fashioned politics and religion. Herbert Croly, founder of the New Republic and a leading light of progressivism, predicted that a “better future would derive from the beneficent activities of expert social engineers who would bring to the service of social ideals all the technical resources which research could discover.”

This was all very flattering to scientists, one reason that so many of them leaned left. The Right cited scientific work when useful, but it didn’t enlist science to remake society—it still preferred guidance from traditional moralists and clerics. The Left saw scientists as the new high priests, offering them prestige, money, and power. The power too often corrupted. Over and over, scientists yielded to the temptation to exaggerate their expertise and moral authority, sometimes for horrendous purposes.

Drawing on research into genetics and animal breeding from scientists at Harvard, Yale, Johns Hopkins, and other leading universities, the eugenics movement of the 1920s made plans for improving the human population. Professors taught eugenics to their students and worked with Croly and other progressives eager to breed a smarter society, including Theodore Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, and Margaret Sanger. Eventually, other scientists—notably, in England—exposed the shoddy research and assumptions of the eugenicists, but not before the involuntary sterilization or castration of more than 35,000 Americans. Even after Hitler used eugenics to justify killing millions, the Left didn’t lose its interest in controlling human breeding.

Eugenicist thinking was revived by scientists convinced that the human species had exceeded the “carrying capacity” of its ecosystem. The most prominent was Paul Ehrlich, whose scientific specialty was the study of butterflies. Undeterred by his ignorance of agriculture and economics, he published confident predictions of imminent global famine in The Population Bomb (1968). Agricultural economists dismissed his ideas, but the press reverently quoted Ehrlich and other academics who claimed to have scientifically determined that the Earth was “overpopulated.” In the journal Science, ecologist Garrett Hardin argued that “freedom to breed will bring ruin to all.” Ehrlich, who, at one point, advocated supplying American helicopters and doctors to a proposed program of compulsory sterilization in India, joined with physicist John Holdren in arguing that the U.S. Constitution would permit population control, including limits on family size and forced abortions. Ehrlich and Holdren calmly analyzed the merits of various technologies, such as adding sterilants to public drinking water, and called for a “planetary regime” to control population and natural resources around the world.

Their ideas went nowhere in the United States, but they inspired one of the worst human rights violations of the twentieth century, in China: the one-child policy, resulting in coerced abortion and female infanticide. China struggles today with a dangerously small number of workers to support its aging population. The intellectual godfathers of this atrocity, had they been conservatives, surely would have been ostracized. But even after his predictions turned out to be wildly wrong, Ehrlich went on collecting honors.

And Ehrlich still insists he was right on pretty much everything, when in fact he has been proven wrong on almost everything. He predicted the death of sea life by 1980, the UK would face starvation by 2000, India could not support more than 200 million people, a billion death toll from starvation etc etc. For being wrong on pretty much everything he has been given no less than 17 honours and awards.

Lord Ashcroft on Trump’s victory

Lord Ashcroft conducted 32 focus groups in seven marginal US states and also did a poll of 30,000 votes. What did he find:

Trump negatives

  • No filter
  • Offensive remarks
  • Bad behaviour
  • Little policy detail

Clinton negatives

  • A politician
  • Embodiment of the establishment
  • No change of direction
  • Scripted and insincere
  • Entitlement: Her turn
  • Shady, corrupt or worse

So what were their positives:

Clinton positives

  • Experienced
  • Well-prepared and articulate

Trump positives

  • Change
  • Not a politician
  • Businessman – does deals, gets things done
  • Rich – independent
  • Not politically correct

You can see why Trump won, as the mood wanted change.

 

Will PPTA’s Roberts stand for Labour?

Stuff reports:

Labour leader Andrew Little has ruled out running in New Plymouth in this year’s election, leaving it wide open for outgoing teacher union president and Taranaki high school teacher, Angela Roberts.

After four years at the helm of the Post-Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Roberts is packing up the last of the boxes and clearing her Wellington desk as she prepares to return to her job as an economics teacher at rural Stratford High School.

There has been speculation as Roberts tenure draws to an end that she might be head-hunted to run in New Plymouth, which was the most marginal seat in the country when National MP Jonathan Young won it in 2008.

“I’d consider it – it’s a fabulous electorate and I grew up there,” she said.

Little has spoken with Roberts about running – both New Plymouth and Whanganui, the electorate she lives in, have been thrown up as possibilities.

Labour is desperately short of unionists in its caucus, so of course they need more.

The minimum wage under National

National has just announced the minimum wage will go from $15.25 to $15.75 on 1st of April. Many on the left will say this is miserly and National is a neoliberal oppressive poor hating Government.

So I thought I would point out how the minimum wage has moved from 1 April 2008 to 1 April 2017.

  • Hourly rate – from $12.00 to $15.75 – a 31.3% increase
  • Gross Annual FT minimum wage – from $25,029 to $32,850 – an increase of $7,821 or 31.3%
  • Net (after tax/ACC) Annual FT minimum wage – from $19,798 to 27,684 – an increase of $7,886 or 39.8%
  • CPI (inflation) gone from 1044 to 1218 (estimate) – an increase of just 16.7% (includes GST increase)
  • Real Net Annual FT minimum wage – from $23,097 to $27,684 – an increase of $4,587 or 19.9%

So a FT worker on the minimum wage has 20% higher spending power than nine years ago. That awful oppressive poor hating National Government.

French Socialist Party voting itself into oblivion

The Guardian reports:

Benoît Hamon, the staunchly leftwing outsider who wants to introduce a universal basic income, legalise cannabis and tax robots has topped the poll in the first round of the French Socialist primary race to choose a presidential candidate. He will face the pro-business former prime minister Manuel Valls in a final-round clash between the party’s warring leftwing and free-market factions. …

Hamon, 49, a Socialist MP in Yvelines outside Paris, was the youngest and furthest left of the candidates in the Socialist primary. He wants to reduce the working week from 35 to 32 hours, levy a tax on robots and provide a monthly universal basic income for 18 to 25-year-olds which will then be extended to all.

This helps explain why the Socialist Party is currently in 5th place in the polls.

Dom Post has a good idea

The Dom Post editorial:

Today is Wellington Anniversary Day, when we celebrate the arrival of the first settler ship in New Zealand. Probably not many Wellingtonians actually know that this is the occasion for their day off. And thereby hangs a tale and a political argument.

The Aurora landed at Wellington Harbour (then called Port Nicholson) with 148 emigrants and 21 crew aboard on 22 January 1840. Nowadays Wellington Anniversary Day is celebrated on the Monday nearest to 29 January. We’re not entirely sure why.

The point is that this is an arbitrary sort of anniversary which remains obscure to most of the people who observe it. In a way it comes as a bit of a nuisance as well: it arrives just when most of us are starting to get used to being back at work after the summer break. …

There is no national public holiday between Queen’s Birthday (June 5) and Labour Day (23 October).

So we don’t get a national holiday during most of the long dark winter months. We have to wait till well into spring for a break.

What we need is a holiday in the depths of winter, when everyone is fed up and needs an excuse for a knees-up. We should have, in other words, a holiday somewhere about the end of July.

By then we are cold and sick of everything.

The best way of making the reform would be simply to abolish all those meaningless anniversary days and switch them to, say, July 26. Wellington would give away its nice-but-unnecessary summer holiday in exchange for a desperately-needed feast in the dark time of the year.

Sounds a good plan to me.