One News Poll
May 30th, 2010 at 6:30 pm by David FarrarI’ve blogged at Curiablog, the results of the One News Colmar Brunton Poll.
National is below 50% for the first time, but none of the 5% drop went to Labour.
There’s a lot of lives issues at the moment – budget, mining, ETS, Kiwibank talk etc. I suspect some are pushing support one way, and some the other.
May 30th, 2010 at 6:43 pm
National’s loss is the gain of the party with their hand out for more (Maori), and the party with their hand on our freedom (Greens). NZ really is a basketcase.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 6:52 pm
ACT might as well fold their tent. Haven’t even got as much support as NZF with Winston dead and buried years ago. You’re just not resonating guys, when you should be. Something is very wrong there and it don’t look like its ever going to be fixed.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 6:53 pm
The Greens seems to been the main beneficeries of the Nats vacillation on mining issues. And I do not see the Govt. getting any credit for pushing the ETS scheme. While the imposition of the ETS tax may seem worthy to a few it does not go far enough for the Greens and too far for the moderates. Labour is leaving this well alone, knowing that this could well be the petard on which Nick Smith hoists the Govt.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 6:59 pm
Goff to be rolled by Xmas?
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:01 pm
Goff to be rolled by Xmas?
barby at mallards next weekend…
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:06 pm
ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:11 pm
@Redbaiter: Regarding ACT. They have the wrong leader and have made poor choices around what they feel are resonant issues.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:15 pm
No wonder the Labour Party are so bloody angry – Mr Irrelevant is now close to the margin of error on 6% support in preferred PM stakes – can it get worse – hell I am sure Billy English rated much higher than that.
Is there anything that Labour have not tried that might work? (like new exciting policy rather than a Cullen rerun?)
I expect a drop for Labour (and rise for the Nats ) in the next set of polling on the back of Mr Irrelevant and Gollum doing what they can to destroy Jon Key (H-fee 3 coming up?)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:24 pm
The way key is behaving regarding ETS, Smacking and a few other things I hope they drop big time to give them the shock they deserve.
But, don’t want any other party to take up the slack
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:24 pm
This is only going to get worse for the Nat’s, this poll will not include the effects of the ETS yet, just wait until we are all forking out more and more for no reason at all, the Nat’s popularity will drop like a stone.
They (the Nat’s) are lucky that Labour are in such a mess, it is a pity really as NZ needs a strong opposition and one that would force Key and the rest of the National Socialists back to the right.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:24 pm
“There’s a lot of lives issues at the moment – budget, mining, ETS, Kiwibank talk etc”
the ‘etc’ is their caving in on everthing maori amongst the Nat voters I talk to
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:26 pm
The occasional rise in Green Party support is when the high comes down enough for the base to adequately complete a survey.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:49 pm
ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS ETS
oh, and the ETS is shite too.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 7:52 pm
why dont we all get together and form a political party for 2011…BB can be the PM..
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:18 pm
That’s a bad result for National. Really bad, actually.
They’ve just played the government’s trump card. The budget was the Ace, the winner. There won’t be a bigger one this year.
National will have the numbers in 2011, as long as the opposition is weak. But relying on Labour failure is not exactly an inspiring re-election strategy.
What else have they got?
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:21 pm
I reckon just a protest party that would never take power if it won a seat or enough votes for a list MP.
For people who don’t want to vote for any of the present idiots but want to have their voice heard.
Kinda like being a Jedi in the census.
500 members is all you need to register. Think we could find 500 disgruntled ex National voters?
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:34 pm
ACT have set themselves up as economically radical but socially conservative. Who does that appeal to? Maybe the old and rich — but that’s a pretty small voting base.
If they dropped the social conservatism, they could start appealing to young voters. There’s a lot of people in uni, or recently out of it, that like the social views of, say, the Greens, but not their trade and taxation policies. ACT could pick up those votes — if they were willing to be a bit more open-minded.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:35 pm
does anyone else think the honeymoon is over yet…?
and that little act-ite/rand-ite cult…?
(snigger/snort..!..)
phil(whoar.co.nz)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:40 pm
does act still have 500 financial members..?
are they ineligible..if they haven’t..?
phil(whoar.co.nz)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:41 pm
And here comes The Philip, to bestow upon this gracious few the benefits of his wisdom.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:53 pm
What sort of degree doesn’t he have again Durf?
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:56 pm
National are still looking good to be in government but its looking much more likely that ACT won’t be in the coalition. When ACT + Nat gets below 61- then they will need Maori Party support to pass everything. If they get to the point where MP + Nat is below 61 then it really gets difficult for Key. Seems like the Greens are gaining ground in every country at the moment. They will likely hold the balance of power in the Australian Senate by the end of this year.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 8:57 pm
A Master of Blarts in Needle Efficiency and Wireless Hijacking.
The 1920s are back, it seems. Communism has never been in such vogue.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:00 pm
yeah…’it’s time’ for the greens…
the act-ite/rand-ite-cult…however…
..is toast…
phil(whoar.co.nz)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:05 pm
“yeah…’it’s time’ for the greens…
the act-ite/rand-ite-cult…however…
..is toast…”
No need to worry then folks, the idiot in need of a village has spoken.
The Greens are history now that they have been given the Ure kiss of death.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:05 pm
And lo, The Philip did descend amongst the weary, tired, hungry masses of Farrar’s Kingdom, and did enlighten them on the status of politics relative to one measly opinion poll, and there was much rejoicing and speedballs.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:06 pm
the swing/non-ideological voters looked to labor…they sucked..
..now they have looked to national..who have also sucked…
..and who have just proven themselves as being the rich wankers/bosses-party..
..who want to sell off the family silver..
..and dig big holes in our national parks..
w.t.f..!..eh..?
..they will now turn to the greens…
..they are increasingly a voice of sanity…
..in the disconnected/irrelevant-madness/mindless point-scoring that passes for political dialogue/debate..
..in the two main parties…
phil(whoar.co.nz)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:09 pm
Jeeeeeeeziz, Philip, that must be some quality hashish. Stop hogging it!
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:12 pm
“ACT have set themselves up as economically radical but socially conservative. Who does that appeal to? Maybe the old and rich — but that’s a pretty small voting base.
If they dropped the social conservatism, they could start appealing to young voters. There’s a lot of people in uni, or recently out of it, that like the social views of, say, the Greens, but not their trade and taxation policies. ACT could pick up those votes — if they were willing to be a bit more open-minded.”
“Yes ACT could be far more socially liberal in their approach.Its probably that the older MP’s are very weary of the response they could get from the grizzeled old conservatives still smelling uo the place.But the future is the young…and the young are liberal….theyt want drug legalisation,an end to bigoted anti gay inequality before the law re marriage etc and the ACT ones are classical liberal,understanding that with personal freedom comes persoanal responsibility…something most other youngsters still treat with horror.
ACT may need a fresh blooding in the ranks….arise the David Seymours,Mike Collins’s Peter Macaffery’s,Helen Simpson’s et el who can put ACT on an even keel in both the social and economic spheres…
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:12 pm
The implication being that they were and on occasion still are a voice of insanity?
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:14 pm
You can take the nutcases (Bradford, Granny Fitz) out of the Greens but you can’t take the Green out of the nutcases.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:31 pm
c’mon ..!..you idiots…
even hooten at that capitalism-debate the other night…( i must get around to finishing that review of it..)
..agreed that no..we cannot get infinite profits from finite sources…
..and these are increasingly mainstream thinking..
..and you rape/pillage/mine/sell-everything lot…
..are the luddite-’weirdos’…
..eh..?
phil(whoar.co.nz)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:36 pm
A problem that can be solved but putting every one of you Communist fuckwits in chains and putting you in the mines.
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:52 pm
i’m not a ‘communist’…
i’m a communalist …
..there is a world of difference…
phil(whoar.co.nz)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:54 pm
So you won’t put a gun to my head when I refuse to join your collective?
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:54 pm
“…and there was much rejoicing and speedballs…”
that’s quite funny/clever..
(what a surprise..!..)
phil(whoar.co.nz)
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 9:56 pm
i’m a communalist …
phool will take money off everyone.
Thanks phool
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 10:12 pm
“None of the 5% went to Labour”
Praise God, the public hasn’t forgotten the Electoral Finance Bill.
And Liarbour said they lost because of light bulbs.
They slap our faces with their condescension
Vote:May 30th, 2010 at 10:21 pm
Actually the National Socialists are doing very well if you add the Liarbore ratings to their total. And you mos well, there is sweet fuck all difference between the two. The NS gives tax cuts, Liarbore would increase them, as I said no difference.
Vote:May 31st, 2010 at 7:26 am
The political price of the dreadful ETS, the tax grab Key and Smith are still pursuing against all advice to the contrary. What will it take for Key to change his mind?
Quite timely, an article by Phil O’Reilly on today’s DomPost about business disquiet on the ETS.
Vote:May 31st, 2010 at 8:37 am
Is Key planning to kill national by suiciding on a corbon neutral sword? He dumps the ETS or we dump him, it really is that simple.
He can read the writting on the wall and do the smart thing of he he can Clarks game and tell what we think in the hope he can manipulate us. Worked out well for he in the end didn’t it.
Vote:May 31st, 2010 at 8:55 am
“He dumps the ETS or we dump him (Key)..”
Tell me how. I’m itching to contribute to the demise of this lying, two-faced, dishonest and spineless Prime Minister.
Vote:May 31st, 2010 at 2:27 pm
I remember the almost unanimous opinion of commentators and media that ACT wouldn’t survive the last election – just remind me how much a bet of $100 that Act would return with multiple MPs would have enriched me? The ETS like the smacking legislation, is and will continue to disaffect some National voters as will economic progress that improves certainty and some tangible or at least hope of a tangible benefit. Presently the jury is out and polls are like overheard excerpts of comments from the jury room which may be relevant to some degree, however Key would be wise to reflect on the benefits of possibly being right on ets but out of office against being wrong and in office, or even explaining to taxpayers the reasons in detail why an ETS is a good thing when it appears virtually nobody else is choosing his route. If you cannot convince electors they will eventually remove you – as NZ and the UK have already demonstrated that government are thrown out not elected – electors in Europe, the States and Japan also appear to leaning this way and the Senate elections will give Obama a signal which he will ignore at his peril.First term most governments are to some extent learning how/when to act so it is a waste if they do not have a second term in which to utilize skills acquired.
Vote:May 31st, 2010 at 3:51 pm
Let the GST hike and ETS kick in and the Nats will see more lost support. They did not remedy the smacking nonsense as many expected them to do. It should be a winter of discontent ,but then we are a nation of sheep!
Vote:May 31st, 2010 at 5:24 pm
it’s funny how we talk about political parties .. The Nats (torries), Labour, The Greens Act etc .. I don’t see them as a philosophy as such.
Vote:I try and understand what they stand for, BUT at the forefront of my little mind is the personnel within the party.
There are many pretty sharp MPs in National along with a few time wasters.
There are a few sharp MPs in Labour along with many time wasters
The Greens, oh dear me. Can you imagine Turei or Norman as Deputy PM’s or in any high ranking position .. god forbid.
Act is a one man Party as is NZ 1st when it returns and of course United Future and Mayor Andertons farcical “lot”.
The Maori (sorry for the missing macron) are only interested in it’s racial policies.
NZ have only one choice at the moment .. a rule alone National Party, what is the alternative?
May 31st, 2010 at 6:59 pm
5.5% unaccounted for, I wonder what New Zealand First got in that poll?
Vote: