This poll is actually quite disappointing.
After the “brain-fart energy policy release” by Labour and the Greens, I was expecting Labour’s support to have almost halved. No such luck.
I expect they, on the other hand, would be quite heartened by this.
By that, I mean that they have not really been very badly punished by what was a very risky policy-release.
They will almost certainly make up this lost support by the time the election rolls around.
+6% for National is pretty good really, given that the first asset partial sale is going through at the moment. I suspect they’d be pretty happy. But I think DPF’s caution is right – one poll is not a trend.
Crikey … and will the authors at the Standard feature this poll result?
A couple of weeks ago they (and other hard-left commentators) were crowing about the ascendancy of a combined Labour and Muppet coalition having more combined seats than National and would then govern.
Wonder if they now might view the handling of the NZ Power issue differently now that both Labour & Muppets went down 6 points? The “handling” which saw both Shearer and Norman go MIA, Hughes revealing his puppet master strings, Parker’s lack of economic wisdom etc.
Roy Morgan simply adds up the percentages of the right and left and concludes that the communists and hippies out number National and their useless partners. But this is a pleasing result as the gap between National and the communist Labour is now 10%. We need to now wait and see the results of One News and 3 News Polls which I guess will be another month away.
An encouraging result. And I will personally enjoy a satisfied grin that this exactly matches my predictions.
Even given the volatility of the Roy Morgan poll a 12% overall shift is quite large. The best case for the left is that their NZ Power announcement has had no influence on voters at all. Much more likely they have shed some votes, and the question now is just how many.
Polling took place between the 15th and 28th of April (14 days). The NZ Power announcement was made on 18 April, the 4th day of polling. Effectively, around 75% of polling will have been done AFTER Labour and the Greens released their supposed circuit-breaking power policy.
This is a dreadful result for the Left. The MRP sale ends tomorrow, and interest has been strong, despite the Labour/Green attempt to nobble it. This is a victory for Key and National.
Very subdued at The Standard in contrast to celebrations after the last poll. It is a kick in the guts for NZ Power, they should have been hoping to at least hold on to the last poll gains (which seemed a bit of a sharp move their way).
Regarding labours power restructuring : many labour voters will have seen huge power price increases and it is only natural to believe power privatisation has been a failure.
There is probably an element of truth in that too, as power prices have not fallen similarly to phone calls. But, you really would expect a similar fall if the power industry was in such a mess before the reforms.
Again we see the pollster trying to influence outcomes. having got every poll about ACT Party wrong they can claim no credibility especially a poll prediction that has ACT on 0 seats despite the people of Epsom knowing that the only reason John Key is PM and not phil Goff is because they voted for the ACT candidate. Any National supporter that didn’t vote for the ACT candidate has a head of rocks. Any National voyer that does nt vote ACT candidate in 2014 is likewise stupid.
NZ First should have seats in the prediction because below 5%
More nonsense from Curiablog.
I very much doubt this poll is accurate. I’ve not met anyone who has said they will vote National in about 18 months.
Haha very hilarious. Mind you that is basically what the odious prick known as ‘Colonic Arsewiper’ said over on the SUB-standard before the 2011 election. Crowing about how many Liarbore Party memberships he had sold in Dunedin, he also mentioned that he didn’t know of ANYONE who was going to vote for the evil National Party.
Result: MP Clare Curran had her majority slashed in the traditional Labour stronghold of Dunedin South and National pulled off a MASSIVE UPSET by winning the party vote in the working class electorate.
Smells like a set up poll to help with the asset sales.
Smells like Labour policies are shit, Labour candidates are shit; another 6 % of the public just realised this, and they are not impressed.
Wait, this can’t be right, the Ministry of Love said We are at war With Eurasia and East Asia, and they said Labour knows how to run 14 power companies better than the companies themselves. And they said everybody likes Labour, so that MUST be true, therefore this poll MUST be false.
I am a longtime left voter but 2013 labour and Greens are just idiots, I can’t support them.
This is the fourth poll to show an increase for the Conservatives, along with TV1, TV3, and Fairfax. Definitely a good trend for New Zealand’s 5th highest polling party, with more support than half of the parties in parliament.
Its the massive swing with around 50% of KB,s conservonutters pledging to vote for colan.
The resulting impact catapults his party over the margin of error.
And proving without doubt that KB,s conservonutters are a massive force in New Zealand politics.
If surge continues unabated they may proudly represent all of 1% of Parliament within the next two election cycles.
Go conlyn and the conservatives.
Ah yes, reddy, when you don’t like polls, just claim that they are inaccurate. Science, shmience.
With all the concern from the resident conservonutters, I can’t help getting the feeling they pray that this scientific poll of only 800+ respondents is horrendously inaccurate in respect of minority parties.
Rogue polls exist only if its a minor party on the right. The time cant be far away when we see the first signs of panic invitations for cups of tea with Colin. I hope he sticks with the program and tells these spineless progs who worship blandness and mediocrity to take a running jump.