Just another hard left organisation

You might think the name “School Strike 4 Climate” would suggest an organisation is focused on galvanising students on the issue of climate change. But alas, they have morphed into just another hard left activist group.

No doubt soon they will also demand massive tax increases, abolishing prisons etc.

History should be prioritised

The Herald reports:

If you were one of the people to hold the role of New Zealand prime minister since 1984, one of the more unusual parts of your calendar would have been pencilling time to speak to an oral historian from the Alexander Turnbull Library’s Political Diaries project.

This routine, described by former prime minister John Key as “cathartic”, will become a thing of the past thanks to the library deciding to wrap the project up following the 2023 election.

Interviews for the project could last just a few minutes, or go for much, much longer. Prime ministers would unburden themselves of the day-to-day challenges of governing. But there was a catch. Unlike interviews with news media, destined for immediate consumption and the rapid metabolism of the 24-hour news cycle, Political Diaries interviews have never been released – at least not without significant restriction.

Not a second of the 1500 hours of interviews with 115 different participants, including prime ministers, party leaders, and significant MPs over 40 years has been made available to the wider public.

These interviews are a treasure trove for future historians. They’ll all be released eventually and will form a priceless unique commentary on major political events.

It is a real shame they are no longer seen as a priority by the National Library.

Biden as bad as Trump on WTO and trade

I blogged in 2018:

The WTO dispute resolution system is vital. It is what allows global trade agreements to be enforced. What the US is doing doesn’t just affect countries trading with the US, but every WTO member.

If the US cripples the appellate body, then (for example) Australia could once again start blocking our apples on spurious grounds. And it would be impossible for us to get a binding ruling preventing them from doing so.

This was in response to Trump refusing to allow the US to vote for more members of the appellate body, which means it would be inquorate and there could be no final determinations. What the USG was doing was especially bad as it harms the entire rules based system.

I assume that Biden would have returned the WTO appeals board to a quorum, but alas it seems he is just as protectionist as Trump and is continuing to cripple the WTO. Basically the US wants to be exempt from adverse decisions, so long as they claim what they are doing is justified on national security grounds.

So it is rather depressing that it is now the bipartisan policy of the United States that the WTO and the rules based trade system should be crippled. Time to set up a new WTO without them!

General Debate 06 April 2024

Haimona Gray on Maori media

Haimona Gray writes:

This is how I feel about Māori media – if Māori were only informed by Māori media they would be intellectually starved to the point of mind rot.  

They would also have to listen to a lot of white men telling them what’s good for Maori. For them, but really for ’them’.

These shows exist to make left-wing pakeha feel good about themselves for tuning in. They do this by pitching shows directly at an audience that wants loud voices who will play the notes they expect to hear. 

In a ‘Te Ao with Moana’ panel debate on “who sets the election narrative”, the panel of four people was half pakeha men. 

This week’s ‘Te Ao’ episode covered the Treaty Principles Bill. To discuss it they brought on former Treaty Negotiations Minister Chris Finlayson (pakeha man, but hugely respected in Māoridom), Matthew Hooton (pakeha man), Max Harris (pakeha man), and Heather Came (pakeha woman).  

This is a show on Māori Television, which receives public funding to produce Māori focused content. This is also a show where host Moana Maniapoto asked (pakeha) NZ Herald senior writer Simon Wilson “is the media just talking to itself?”

I would answer with a resounding “yes, you are, and you’re choosing to do so by prioritising ideology over Māori voices you or your audience might not agree with.”

They are not alone there.

Re: News – the most recent of Radio NZ’s expensive failed experiments in youth news – announced it was partnering with M9 for a Māori TED-style series. This would include nine Māori leaders discussing the role of Te Tiriti in the future of Aotearoa. 

These nine guests included a current Māori Party MP, a former Māori Party MP, the son of a current Māori Party MP, a former head of Greenpeace who was forced to resign as Human Rights Commissioner for disparaging Police, and an anti-dairy farming activist. 

Do you see a pattern? More specifically, do you see how this contributes to a racist idea of Māori as a hivemind? 

While I’ll never condone celebrating people losing their jobs, I’m not sure we as taxpayer dollars were getting any value from a media outlet so aggressively slanted and one which sees this as a balanced coverage of Māori thought.

An argument given to me by the hosts and producers of these shows is “well we can’t find different voices” and “there aren’t a lot of Māori who can speak eloquently about politics who aren’t affiliated to a political party on the left – we must have you on!” 

Spoiler alert: they never do. 

Diversity in everything except thought!

While James’ maiden speech was correctly lauded for its eloquence, his most powerful message was that there isn’t just one way to be Māori. 

He talked about how he is from “simple straightforward people”, and that his father had never set foot on the North Island. 

This is the real reason why James, who was long known about and rated highly by political dorks like myself – He is not the son of a current Māori Party MP. Not the heir to a Māori political dynasty like the Henare’s or Harawira’s or Jackson’s. 

He does not owe his place in life to whānau connections, and therefore he is not on the radar of those who gate keep these shows and use their influence to advocate for their own politics and a Māoridom weighed down by nepotism. 

In his speech James said, “members opposite do not own Māori.”

This is the issue facing Māori media – they have become so narrowly focused, so beholden to nepotistic practices, so ‘jobs for the bros’ it doesn’t matter if the bros aren’t Māori and/or if the show is publicly funded to be. 

They can’t see how this is hurting Māoridom, that we are metaphorically starving our youth while feeding others to the point of creating a slovenly elite that’s so out of touch it would rather hear pakeha voices in Māori spaces than Māori who may challenge them. 

Just because most Māori vote centre-left doesn’t mean all Māori do. And the current Cabinet is over one third Māori.

This is the issue – who gets to be Māori in the media is so deeply gate kept that the Māori experience is filtered through a lens so coloured by political bias and privilege that it bears no resemblance to the real views of many Māori. 

This wouldn’t be a problem if there was a diversity of opinions shown, but the regularity of Simon Wilson or Martyn Bradbury appearances highlight the sad reality that these are media pitching a singular point of view. One that is not Māori, just aristocratic. 

That’s the way these gatekeepers want to keep it. 

A challenge for the Māori media.

A former Labor staffer becomes Australian Governor-General

Anthony Albanese has appointed Samantha Mostyn as Governor-General.

Mostyn has a credible track record in business and the community but she is also a former Labor staffer.

She has worked for Labor MPs Paul Keating, Michael Lee and Bob Collins. To my mind that is not very compatible with the role of Governor-General.

Two excellent Reserve Bank appointments

Nicola Willis announced:

Economists Carl Hansen and Professor Prasanna Gai have been appointed to the Reserve Bank Monetary Policy Committee, Finance Minister Nicola Willis announced today.

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is the independent decision-making body that sets the Official Cash Rate which determines interest rates. 

Carl Hansen, the executive director of Capital Strategic Advisors, replaces Peter Harris who retires from the MPC at the end of March. 

Professor Gai, the Professor of Macroeconomics at the University of Auckland and Head of the Departments of Economics, Accounting & Finance, and Property, replaces Caroline Saunders who is retiring at the end of June. 

Nicola Willis says Carl Hansen and Professor Gai are both highly-qualified and have been appointed on the recommendation of the Reserve Bank’s board on the basis of their professional knowledge, skills and experience, including in the areas of economics and monetary policy.

Two excellent appointments. I don’t know Professor Gai but he has excellent pedigree – a PhD from Oxford, 13 years at the Bank of England, a stint Advising the Bank of Canada and a monetary policy reviewer for the RBNZ.

I do know Carl Hansen. He was a very highly regarded Chief Executive of the Electricity Authority, but also has previously worked for the Reserve Bank for six years, where he worked on liquidity management policy and macroeconomic modelling.

It might seem a no brainer to be appointing people with monetary policy experience to the Monetary Policy Committee, but this has not been the case in the past.

Very disappointed the Kermadecs sanctuary has been abandoned

Radio NZ report:

Sir John Key’s dream of a vast ocean sanctuary around the Kermadec Islands has finally died, with work on legislation scrapped by the coalition government.

The proposal was announced in 2015 by the then-prime minister to great international fanfare but quickly ran into opposition. A backlash from fishing companies and iwi bodies saw it put on ice and ongoing opposition from the Māori Party and New Zealand First also prevented progress.

In a statement on Thursday, Fisheries Minister and NZ First MP Shane Jones said all work on the proposal would be stopped and the legislation removed from Parliament’s to-do list.

This is very disappointing. The legislation for this was supported by all 120 MPs at first reading. But then Te Pati Maori objected to it, and it stalled as they tried to get agreement. Then at the 2017 election, NZ First went with Labour partly because they would promise not to push through the sanctuary.

And now it is officially dead.

The proposed sanctuary would have been one of the largest in the world. It wouldn’t actually have negatively impacted fishing as marine sanctuaries allow fish populations to grow, and they move into non sanctuary areas. Also the level of commercial fishing in the Kermadecs was minuscule – an average of $109,000 a year.

If it was put to a vote in Parliament there would be over 100 MPs in favour. But both Te Pati Māori and NZ First have successfully blocked it and now killed it.

Vandals should be prosecuted

1 News reported:

Police are treating the vandalism of a rainbow pedestrian crossing on Auckland’s Karangahape Rd this morning as a “hate crime” and have carried out a search of a property in the city’s south.

White paint was spread across the design, which depicts the LGBTTQIA+ flag.

The incident was reported to police at around 3.20am.

The people who painted over the crossing are vandals, and should face consequences for it. Your political beliefs do not give you the right to vandalise either pedestrian crossings or displays at Te Papa.

But it is curious that when retailers fine it impossible to get police to investigate thefts, even with video footage, when shoplifters are ignored until media reports, when many crimes take months to be actioned, the Policer treat painting a pedestrian crossing as so high priority they have the search warrants out within hours.

General Debate 05 April 2024

Which govt departments have grown the most?

There has been a 34% increase over six years in the size of the public service, in terms of EFTS. But not all agencies have grown by the same proportion. Here are the 10 with the largest relative increases between 2017 and 2023.

  1. Pacific Peoples 269%
  2. Environment 189%
  3. Transport 101%
  4. MBIE 87%
  5. Statistics 85%
  6. Women 78%
  7. Public Service Cmsn 74%
  8. Culture & Heritage 68%
  9. Defence 65%
  10. Education 64%

So 10 departments have had staff increases of greater than 64%. Amazing

By absolute growth we have:

  1. MBIE 2,917
  2. Social Development 2,277
  3. Education 1,679
  4. Oranga Tamariki 1,340
  5. MPI 1,300
  6. Justice 1,122
  7. Corrections 1,073
  8. Statistics 779
  9. Environment 661
  10. Internal Affairs 597

I Nearly Agreed with the PPTA – and then I didn’t

Recently the PPTA begged parents to be far more supportive of teachers and schools re the skyrocketing rates of “stand-downs” in NZ schools ( stand downs up 18% 2023 to 22,000). I agree to a significant degree that parenting is a huge factor in the behaviours of students – or at least those turning up – in our schools. I do not believing parenting skills have declined by 18% so something else must be going on.

Today the PPTA were in the news again. This time bagging David Seymour for suggesting parents might be fined for absent kids and that children with a sniffle should come to school. I happen to agree that both of those proposals have problematic aspects.

But then … PPTA President Abercrombie … outlined all kinds of family based reasons for kids not attending school.

The PPTA need to realise and take responsibility for their own actions:

  • strikes.
  • paid union meetings.
  • moaning about teaching as a job.
  • negotiating more teacher only days.
  • having a nationwide collective contract that does not recognise the need to incentivize schools and regions that really struggle to staff well.
  • they have actively worked against school choice – including pretty much putting all of their resources from 2011 – 2017 opposing 11 small Charter Schools (including spending millions of their members subs on this).

Where President Abercrombie really lost the small part of my brain I allocate to the PPTA is that he neither took any responsibility for the creation of the attendance crises … nor did he propose the two most obvious effective solutions:

  • the improvement of teacher quality.
  • the improvement of school quality (including a clear purpose for being there and highly credible qualifications pathways).

Knowing the NZ school system as I do … at least half of the high schools I would really struggle to recommend without caveats. At least 100 of our 460 high schools I would simply steer people away from.

If they actually want to make a difference the PPTA need to have a very big look in the mirror.

ps – good to see many voting with their feet – good to see that families are discovering the efficacy of online learning. (NB – no longer involved in Mt Hobson Academy but there fees are incredibly reasonable – as opposed to what was mentioned. They are brilliantly staffed and great curriculum).

Alwyn Poole
Innovative Education Consultants
www.innovativeeducation.co.nz
alwynpoole.substack.com
www.linkedin.com/in/alwyn-poole-16b02151/
www.wood2water.co.nz
www.russellinfo.co.nz

DIA should be congratulated for pro-active good service

The Herald reports:

Internal Affairs Minister Brooke van Velden is making inquiries after a high-ranking public servant messaged musician Fred Again about a Wellington DJ who needed to fast-track her passport so she could play a gig with him overseas. …

“I get emails every day from people when they need some form of assistance or there’s an issue or a problem.”

Robertson had no involvement with decisions on Hills’ passport.

“We did our job, and we do that job for urgent passport applications hundreds of times per week,” she said.

“There’s nothing particularly unusual about it.

“People have all manner of needs that are met. A really important part of our job . . . is to respond to the needs. Not everyone has three days’ warning.”

The Government passports website notes that people who need to travel urgently in less than three working days have an avenue to sort their urgent travel, by making the application then calling the passports office straight away.

“It is a really important part of our job.

“Our responsiveness is something we pride ourselves on . . . it doesn’t matter who you are, if you have an urgent need and we can meet that need, we will help everyone.”

I think this has had scrutiny because of the former Government’s decisions to prioritise DJs over pregnant mums for getting into NZ. But this is not the case here (if what has been stated is true).

The DIA passport system is one of the best online services in NZ and the world. You can do it all online, and even without urgency often get your passport within a few days. When it is flagged as urgent, they often have managed it within 24 hours. I know several families whose holidays were saved by DIA being so focused.

So the DJ wasn’t getting special treatment here. All that happened was a son of a DIA official told their mum about it, and she passed it onto the passports team (this was on top of the official application, not in lieu of).

I think DIA should be congratulated for being pro-active in helping someone who had an opportunity of a lifetime, and making it happen.

Why do the media cover staff cuts but not massive staff increases?

Newshub reports:

A union is slamming Government spending cuts that will see the size of the Ministry for Pacific Peoples slashed by 40 percent as “brutal”, saying it’ll hit Pasifika communities hard.

The Public Service Association (PSA) said in a statement on Thursday that the ministry had told staff it was seeking voluntary redundancies.

The PSA said the ministry would cut 63 of 156 positions, of which 31 are vacant. It would look to redeploy and reassign staff.

So this would reduce the size of the ministry to 93 staff. Now in 2017 it had 37 FTE. So in just six years it had increased almost 400% and even after this reduction is 93 staff, that will still be 150% higher than in 2017. If current staff are not all FT, might be slightly less but still massively more than six years ago.

A good media report would include this information. It might even look at what better outcomes eventuated from increasing MPP staffing by 400% and whether this represented value for money. I won’t hold my breath.

Roy Morgan poll March 2024

The March 2024 Roy Morgan is out.

Party Vote

Seats

Governments

Direction

  • Right 35.0% (-6.5% from Feb 24)
  • Wrong 54.0% (+10.5%)
  • Net -19.0% (-17.0%)

General Debate 04 April 2024

One warning sign in four years!

Radio NZ report:

Only one warning sign has been installed next to speed cameras four years after a government directive was issued.

The AA criticised the lack of signs aimed at reducing speeds and tickets.

The previous government in 2019 announced a “no surprises” approach to speed cameras to warn drivers to go slowly through high-risk areas.

The signs are to say “safety camera operating” next to fixed cameras.

Four years later only one of the 60 fixed speed camera spots has a warning sign.

This is astonishing. After four years, they have only put one sign up. These are not houses, they are signs.

All that had to be done was 60 identical signs to be ordered, and then contractors hired to place them next to roads.

Did the Minister’s office ask for progress reports? Were timelines set? Who was responsible?

Previous police minister Ginny Andersen said in a statement the signs were not a top priority when she was in the role compared to police recruitment, gang crime and youth crime.

So the former Minister is saying that they just did nothing.

Another fact checker fail

Sky News reports:

Entrepreneur Dick Smith has doubled down on his attack on the ABC, as he revealed his intentions to sue the national broadcaster over a flawed fact-check on nuclear power.

Mr Smith urged Australia “go nuclear now” in an interview with Sydney’s 2GB radio last week, claiming a country could not run “entirely on renewables”, however his statement was put under the microscope by RMIT ABC Fact Check.

The disgraced fact-checking unit claimed Mr Smith’s statement was incorrect, citing Nepal as a country where 100 per cent renewable output was possible – a glaring error as Nepal is highly reliant on the debilitating burning of bio-fuel.

The error is the latest in a string of high-profile gaffes from RMIT fact checkers with Mr Smith revealing on Sky News Australia he is set to seek legal action against the public broadcaster for “damaging my name”.

The businessman said he was set to do something he had never done before, after the ABC allegedly refused to correct its fact check. 

The so called fact checker conflated electricity with energy. This makes a huge difference. Yes 98% of electricity is from hydro but many places don’t even have electricity. If you take all energy into account, then hydro only accounts for 5% of Nepal’s energy, with biofuels making up 67%, oil 19% and coal 8%.

Segregation on campus?

This is a very interesting development. First how do they determine eligibility? Is it based on DNA or skin colour?

What is someone is a Fijian Indian. Are they allowed in as they are Fijian or are they banned as they are Indian?

Who are Maori and Pasifika lumped in together? Why are African students not allowed in, if it is about skin colour? Why do they assume all Pasifika would want to be lumped in together, rather than have separate study areas for say Tongan students and Samoan students?

Note that this is different to students voluntarily forming clubs based on mutual interest, or gender, ethnicity and religion and being given a room for their use. This is about the university mandating certain study areas are reserved on the basis of ethnicity

Incidentally the 2022 participation rates for tertiary education was 10.4% for Europeans, 15.7% for Māori, 15.5% for Pasifika and 11.5% for Asians.

I wonder if the next logical step from having segregated study rooms is segregated tutorials and lectures?

General Debate 03 April 2024

Hipkins admits Labour’s 2017 manifesto was a lie

The Herald reports:

Labour leader Chris Hipkins admits his party’s Auckland light rail and KiwiBuild policies were “undeliverable” when proposed ahead of the 2017 election.

These were their two most well known promises. They achieved 2% of one and 0% of the other. And Hipkins is admitting that basically they knew they were undeliverable.

“Auckland light rail and KiwiBuild were massive commitments, and the reality is they were too ambitious to do from Opposition. We shouldn’t have gone into the campaign promising those two things.”

But you did. And why should we think your 2026 promises will be any different?

The operating model should precede the decision

The Herald reports:

The chief executive of the sprawling, partially amalgamated polytechnic and training institute Te Pūkenga (the New Zealand Institute of Skills and Technology) left the organisation in January with a golden handshake.

After all, the experiment in centralising vocational education and training has not been cheap for taxpayers. There was a $121 million appropriation in Budget 2020 to establish the entity; another $40m appropriation for investment in buildings in Budget 2022, and in last year’s Budget there was a concessionary Crown loan of $220m (bearing no interest), to pay to integrate IT systems.

Not all of that money has been spent, but at least part of any that’s left over is likely to be used to fund the coming disaggregation into constituent parts.

And, of course, the Crown otherwise pays the bulk of the entity’s revenue through such measures as enrolment-based transfers under the “unified funding system”.

It’s worth noting that Winder has been paid a considerable $640,000 a year to lead the organisation for the last 18 months through some pretty lacklustre performance.

Indeed, by many measures, the centralising experiment has been an abject failure. In the bloodless parlance of a 2023 Treasury report, “the benefits from the establishment of Te Pūkenga have yet to be fully realised”.

The Auditor-General was more bald, when, this time last year, he said he was concerned over the lack of progress Te Pūkenga had made on a financial strategy and on finalising its operating model.

On January 1, 2023, the agency failed to meet “minimum viable product” benchmarks, and it still hadn’t met this bare minimum standard in June, when the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet’s “Implementation Unit” provided a stocktake to then Minister of Finance, Grant Robertson.

The fault doesn’t so much lie with the four Chief Executives, as with the former Minister Chris Hipkins. A key aspect I have bolded is there was no operating model.

What does that mean you might wonder? Well at its most basic it is working out what functions would be done centrally, and what would be done locally by existing polytechnics. This is something that should have been investigated and decided prior to any decision on merging them. It would have identified whether or not the merger would save or cost money, and be practical.

Instead what happened is the Minister ignored the advice of officials, and insisted on a full merger, despite the lack of an operating model for it. It was basically let’s just do it, and hope it works.

A backfiring campaign

Stuff reports:

The Dutch city had just launched a campaign targeting what it perceived as ‘party tourists’, including those who may attend stag and hen parties. But it seems the publicity has had the opposite effect, and interest in his business, The Stag Company, has suddenly soared. …

The questions on Amsterdam Rules range from “Would you like to explore the city with a drink or a spliff/joint in your hand?”, “what famous Dutch products would you like to try? Cocaine?” to “would you like a guided tour among sex workers windows?”

Another asks if visitors are in town for a stag do and anyone answering in the affirmative is told bluntly: “That’s going to be a hassle, it is forbidden to organise stag parties in Amsterdam.”

LOL. Banned stag dos

Those who “fail” the quiz are told: “Too bad … Considering your preferences, Amsterdam may not offer the experience you’re looking for.”

But the Municipality of Amsterdam has been called out for “spreading misinformation” as stag and hen groups are not actually banned, although certain large events like pub crawls are forbidden in parts of the city.

Matt Mavir, managing director at Last Night of Freedom, called the campaign “heavy handed” and “embarrassing”.

“To make a claim that stag parties are ‘forbidden’ in Amsterdam is factually wrong, and doesn’t stand up to any real scrutiny – how would any such ban, if it existed, ever be enforced?

“It’s spreading misinformation as part of an ongoing, sensationalist campaign to make groups of UK tourists feel unwelcome in the city.”

And achieving the opposite!

This is why we need spending cuts

The complex and bloated Executive

The NZ Initiative has published a research note comparing our Executive Government to others.

They note:

  • We have 44% more Ministers, 282% more portfolios and 156% more departments than countries of similar size
  • NZ has 41 departments
  • NZ has 27 crown agencies
  • NZ has 74 ministerial portfolios and 22 associate portfolios

NZ stands out like a sore thumb.

Back in 2011 I blogged a solution to this:

My future state sector would be:

  1. Ministry of Internal Security – Crown law, Corrections, SIS, Justice, SFO, Police
  2. Ministry for environment – Environment, epa, Conservation, Biosecurity
  3. Dept of Administrative Affairs – dia, LINZ, Building & Housing, Customs, Stats
  4. Ministry for Economic Development – Labour, MAF, MED, Fisheries, MORST, Transport
  5. DPMC – DPMC, SSC
  6. Education – Education, ERO, TEC
  7. Ministry of External Relations & Security – GCSB, Defence, MFAT,  NZDF
  8. Treasury – Treasury
  9. Incomes – IRD, WINZ
  10. Culture – Culture & Heritage, Nat Lib, Archives, NZ on Air
  11. Health – Health
  12. Social Policy – Pacific Island Affairs, MSD, cyf, Youth Development, Community Sector, Senior Citizens, Families, Women’s Affairs, TPK
  13. Parliament – Parl Serv, Min Serv, Office of Clerk, PCO

This means you could have a cabinet of 12. The Speaker looks after Parliament, and one minister per major agency. One could have associate ministers outside cabinet who get delegated some of the specialist areas within an overall portfolio.

To match the Cabinet of 12, I would have 12 sector wide CEOs. They would be responsible for the entire sector and sit over individual agency CEOs. So you have clear accountability in each sector with one Cabinet Minister in charge and one CEO.