The Herald reports:

Genesis Energy is looking at importing coal as it grapples with a tight wholesale electricity market and a shortage of gas.

So banning further gas exploration is a pretty moronic thing to do then, if you care abotu greenhouse gas emissions.

NZX-listed Genesis Energy’s gas- and coal-powered station at Huntly has been using its two generating units, known as Rankines, to make up the shortfall.

The units can run on gas or coal, but the gas shortage, caused by an outage on the offshore Pohukura production platform, means they have been running on the latter.

Chief executive Marc England said current constraints faced by the market were “exceptional” and should serve as a reminder to the Government, which has stopped issuing offshore oil and gas exploration permits to show its commitment to action on climate change, as to the importance of gas.

“We are close to pushing the button on some coal imports because we need to keep our stocks up at Huntly so that we can keep the lights on,” he told the Herald.

Natural gas has around half the impact coal does on greenhouse gas emissions. Yet the Government has banned further exploration of it, meaning we will import coal.

Stats NZ reports:

The consumers price index (CPI) increased 1.9 percent in the September 2018 year, driven by higher petrol prices, Stats NZ said today.

This follows a 1.5 percent annual inflation rate for the June 2018 year. For the September 2018 quarter, the inflation rate was 0.9 percent.

“Petrol prices increased 19 percent in the September 2018 year,” prices senior manager Paul Pascoe said. “This is the highest annual increase since June 2011.” …

A 3.5 cents per litre nationwide increase in petrol tax was introduced on 30 September. The effects of this price increase will be seen in the December 2018 quarter.

So the excise tax increase not yet taken into account.

1.9% inflation isn’t too bad. But if it starts to exceed 2%, then the Reserve Bank might look towards hiking interest rates, which will hit home owners.

Stuff reports:

Germany’s Angela Merkel has announced that she will step down as head of her conservative party in December after 18 years and won’t seek a fifth term as chancellor in 2021, launching a leadership transition in Europe’s biggest economy.

Merkel has led her conservative Christian Democratic Union since 2000 and Germany since 2005. She put Germany – and Europe – on track toward a new political era after voters punished Germany’s governing parties in a state election Sunday, the latest in a string of woes to hit her fourth-term federal administration.

Merkel has been the stability in Europe for so long. In total she will do 21 years as party leader and 16 years as Chancellor.

Her biggest mistake was the opening of the borders to allow unrestricted refugee flows. It was a humanitarian gesture but has generated a huge backlash.

The longest serving German Chancellors have been:

1. Prince Otto von Bismarck (19 years)
2. Helmut Kohl (16 years)
3. Konrad Adenauer (14 years)
4. Adolf Hitler (12 years)

So Merkel will end up between Kohl and Adenauer for longevity.

Huff Post reports:

The rise of right-wing movements and parties across the globe took a giant and dangerous leap forward Sunday when far-right candidate Jair Bolsonaro won Brazil’s presidential election. …

His victory will put Brazil, the fourth-largest democracy in the world and the largest in Latin America, in the hands of a far-right figure who has expressed little appreciation for democratic governance and has consistently aimed violent rhetoric at black Brazilians, LGBTQ people, women and indigenous people. 

Bolsonaro was stabbed during a campaign event in September and spent much of the election’s final two months campaigning from a hospital bed.

He will now take the reins of a beleaguered and discontented country. Over the last four years, Brazil has experienced a deep economic recession that it has struggled to escape, a sharp uptick in violent crime that has resulted in 60,000 homicides annually, and a widespread political corruption probe that has implicated hundreds of politicians from across the political spectrum.

Here’s the Parole Board decision on Karel Sroubek or Jan Antolik. Extracts:

• evident however on his own admissions to the Board at the hearing before us that he was at that time associating with criminal elements in the Czech Republic
• has continued to do so is evident from his index offending which involved him being in contact with somebody that he had known in the Czech Republic (and we bear in mind that he left that country some 11 years ago now) who he says persuaded him to become involved in importing ecstasy through his importing business.
• admits to having associated with members of the Hells Angels gang
• his responses were self-exculpatory, evasive, long-winded and ultimately in our view in many respects manifestly untruthful

Basically he was a criminal in the Czech Republic, he carried on being a criminal here, working with his criminal mates back home. He is associated with the Hells Angels and is a liar.

The PM says she backs her Minister’s decision to grant him permanent residency in NZ. She also won’t say why but at best we can guess they believe his story that he would be at risk from police officers if sent back to the Czech Republic.

Considering the Parole Board has concluded he is a liar, have they considered that his entire story is a lie? That he left the Czech Republic to avoid prosecution there?

The Czech Republic is in the EU. It isn’t North Korea or Iran. It is a first world country. His story is self serving, and I bet you the Government has just accepted his word, rather than verified his claims.

The Minister should take note of the Parole Board’s conclusion that he is a liar and a risk to the public, and deport him once he is out of prison rather than grant his permament residency through special dispensation.

One of the debates around the proposed e-voting trial for nine local government elections next year is whether allowing e-voting over the Internet increases turnout. In some cases it hasn’t, in a couple it has. But overseas comparisons are less useful than a NZ comparison, and as it happens we have some very strong data on what an option to cast your vote via the Internet does to turnout.

For the 2014 and 2017 general elections the Electoral Commission has allowed overseas voters to cast their vote via the Internet. Basically they take a photo or scan of their completed ballot paper and upload it via the EC website.

So what has this option done to the number of overseas votes in general elections?

So around 20,000 overseas votes in 2011 and 60,000 in 2017. That is a huge change.

But maybe it is just more people everywhere voted in these elections. So let’s look at overseas voters as a percentage of total turnout.

So the proportion of overseas voters has gone from just under 1% to almost 2.5%.

But is this because overseas voters are using the Internet option? Maybe they’re faxing their votes in. Let’s look at the breakdown for each MMP election.

So very obvious it is the additional option of voting via the Internet that has led to the increase. Also it doesn’t seem to be at the expense of those voting in person at an overseas post. In fact they have increased since 2011 also.  It is fax and postal that is dying off.

To me this means that there isn’t a case to have e-voting available domestically for parliamentary elections. We have high turnout for these, and most NZers are close to a polling place.

But local body elections only have an option of postal voting or popping into a council office. The evidence from overseas voting for our last two general elections suggests that an Internet option could well lead to significant increase in turnout.

And that of course is what a trial is about. We’ll be able to see if turnout increases for those Councils that offer this option.

Internet voting has risks of course. But this data also show potentially considerable benefits. The challenge is to maximise the benefits and minimise the risks.

The Herald reported:

In the middle of the moment were a young couple, Derryn Jayne and Fletcher Ross, the proud owners of a new four-bedroom KiwiBuild home on Regiment Way costing $649,000.

“It feels amazing, it feels like we have won the Lotto,” said Jayne, who at 25 and about to graduate as a doctor, was thrilled at winning a ballot for one of the first 18 KiwiBuild homes at McLennan Park.

Jayne and her 24-year-old partner Ross, an online marketer, were on the verge of giving up hope of getting on the property ladder in Auckland before “getting lucky” with KiwiBuild.

“Not many people can say their first home is a brand new one,” said 24-year-old Ross, whose home, smelling of fresh paint and carpet, was opened to inspection by the media and photos with the Prime Minister.

Jayne is right. It is like winning Lotto. Every month a few lucky families will get a house at a discounted price, subsidized by taxpayers. It won’t be the most needy families that get them, just those who win the ballot.

Not taking anything away from Jayne and Ross, who got lucky. Good on them.

But let’s look at their circumstances and consider whether they are the most needy family for a subsidized four bedroom house.

• Aged mid 20s,
• Double income, both with potentially high income jobs
• No kids
• Has traveled to NYC, New Jersey, Paris, Berlin, Hawaii, Samoa, Rome, Venice, Netherlands, Munich, Athens, Santorini, London, Ibiza and Dubronvik all by the age of 24!

Again good on them for their great luck. But Kiwibuild is going to cost billions of dollars and should subsidised housing go towards the most needy, or just be done like Lotto?

I blogged yesterday on how Iain Lees-Galloway has granted permanent residency to a prisoner (Jan Antolik) who was due to be deported when released. Well his full record is worth looking at. Here it is:

1. 2003: Entered NZ with a false passport
2. 2010: Arrested with two Hells Angels on aggravated robbery and blackmail charges. Guilt not proven beyond reasonable doubt.
3. 2011: Found guilty of using false passport and giving false details to Immigration officials
4. 2011: Arrested as part of Operation Ark, a covert investigation into Ecstasy-like pills.
5. 2012: Discharged without conviction on false identity charges
6. 2014: Convicted of manufacturing Class-C drug from Operation Ark arrest. Conviction overturned but Crown abandons second trial
7. 2014: Arrested importing 5kg of MDMA, a Class-B controlled drug, used in Ecstasy.
8. 2016: Convicted of importing MDMA and jailed for five years and nine months

It is bad enough that he has been granted permanent residency, but even worse the Minister won’t explain why.

by John Stringer. MPs & Scandals. Can you name them? Answers 5pm.

The Washington Post reports:

A gunman killed 11 people at a Pittsburgh synagogue during Saturday-morning services in what the Anti-Defamation League called “likely the deadliest attack on the Jewish community in the history of the United States.”

Law enforcement officials said Robert Bowers — a 46-year-old man with a history of making virulently anti-Semitic statements online — was taken into custody after a gun battle with police and is expected to face federal hate crime charges.

“Justice in this case will be swift and it will be severe,” said Scott W. Brady, the U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Pennsylvania. Brady said Bowers could be charged sometime Saturday for what he called a “terrible and unspeakable act of hate.”

Authorities described a rampage at the Tree of Life synagogue, the city’s oldest Jewish congregation, that was stunning in its savagery.

“This is the most horrific crime scene I’ve seen in 22 years with the Federal Bureau of Investigation,” said Robert Allan Jones, Special Agent in Charge of the FBI’s Pittsburgh field office. “Members of the Tree of Life synagogue conducting a peaceful service in their place of worship were brutally murdered by a gunman targeting them simply because of their faith.”

It is a terrible thing to imagine. Once again Jews are being slaughtered due to ant-semitism.

The account that appeared to belong to Bowers was rife with bigoted messaging. His biography on the site read “jews are the children of satan” and his background photo was a radar gun reading “1488,” a popular white supremacist symbol.

So sad such people exist.

Stuff reports:

A convicted drug smuggler has been handed an unprecedented get-out-of-jail card: instead of being deported after serving his prison sentence, the Government has granted him New Zealand residency.

Minister of Immigration Ian Lees-Galloway has made a special decision to grant the 37-year-old Czech national residency, even though he came to New Zealand on a false passport and is now serving time in Auckland South prison for importing drugs with a street value of $375,000.

So he came here on a false passport, is in prison for his criminal offending and good old Labour says hey let’s make him a permanent resident because we need more criminals in NZ.

Karel Sroubek​ fled to New Zealand with a friend’s passport in 2003. He claimed he was on the run from corrupt cops after witnessing a murder. Under the name Jan Antolik he built a new life as a businessman, a representative-level kickboxer, and a Hells Angels associate.

When the law caught up with him, he admitted his criminal ties in the Czech Republic – but he seemed unable to escape old habits with several brushes with NZ Police over the past 15 years.

Sroubek has faced several charges, relating to drugs and robbery. But was either acquitted or had his convictions overturned – until he was found guilty of using his drink importation business as a front to smuggle 5kg of MDMA, which is used to make the drug Ecstasy. He was jailed for five years and nine months.

He was refused parole last month: Parole Board panel convenor Judge Phil Gittos said he gave “evasive, long-winded and … in many respects manifestly untruthful” responses.

So the Parole Board says this guy is a liar, but Lees-Galloway says he’s an upstanding chap we should give residency to.

The Washington Post reports:

A lone fingerprint and a set of misspellings helped point FBI agents to a Florida man with a long criminal record now charged with mailing homemade bombs to prominent critics of President Trump — a politically charged case that has roiled the run-up to next month’s congressional elections.

Cesar Sayoc, 56, a former pizza deliveryman, strip-club worker and virulently partisan supporter of the president, was arrested Friday and charged with a string of crimes in connection with the homemade pipe bombs sent this week to former president Barack Obama, former secretary of state Hillary Clinton and others.

What he tried to do was terrible. He should be sent to prison for a very very long time. It’s fortunate that no one was actually killed. It would have been very easy for not just one of his targets to be killed, but postal staff, or family members etc.

It is a good reminder that no good comes from one side of politics trying to portray the other side as evil. Civility is a good thing, and we are fortunate we have that in NZ.

The Daily Mail report:

The European Court of Human Rights has ruled a woman convicted by an Austrian court of calling the Prophet Mohammed a paedophile did not have her freedom of speech rights infringed. 

The woman, named only as Mrs. S, 47, from Vienna, was said to have held two seminars in which she discussed the marriage between the Prophet Mohammad and a six-year old girl, Aisha.

According to scripture the marriage was consumated when Aisha was just nine years old, leading Mrs S. to say to her class Mohammad ‘liked to do it with children’.

She also reportedly said ‘… A 56-year-old and a six-year-old? … What do we call it, if it is not paedophilia?’

So she wasn’t chanting this outside a mosque. She was giving a lecture. And what happened?

Mrs S. was later convicted in February 2011 by the Vienna Regional Criminal Court for disparaging religious doctrines and ordered her to pay a fine of 480 euros plus legal fees.

Has anyone ever been convicted under these laws for saying something insensitive about Jesus Christ? Bet you no.

After having her case thrown out by both the Vienna Court of Appeal and Austria’s Supreme Court, the European Court of Human rights backed the courts’ decision to convict Mrs S. on Thursday.

The ECHR found there had been no violation of Article 10 (freedom of expression) of the European Convention on Human Rights.

In a statement on Thursday the ECHR said: ‘The Court found in particular that the domestic courts comprehensively assessed the wider context of the applicant’s statements and carefully balanced her right to freedom of expression with the right of others to have their religious feelings protected, and served the legitimate aim of preserving religious peace in Austria.’

So the ECHR says the right not to have hurt feelings about your religion outweighs your right to speak truthfully about a religious figure.

If you want to know what a majority in the UK voted for Brexit, it is stuff like this.

Luckily in the US such a law as Austria has would be unconstitutional.

The Herald reports:

One of the tasks of the Government’s Small Business Council is to advise the Government on whether the Small Business Council should continue, which amounts to a classic Yes, Minister scenario, according to National.

The primary role of the 13-member Small Business Council, announced by Small Business Minister Stuart Nash in early August, is to develop a strategy to drive improvement and innovation in the sector.

It has a fixed term of one year to deliver results. With monthly meetings and an estimated cost of $135,000, that works out to more than $11,000 of tax-payer funding per meeting.

The council is made up of business leaders from the private sector including The Icehouse, Xero and Fonterra, Chamber of Commerce heads, tax experts and academics.

In response to questions from National, Nash said the council would report back in July 2019 with a “Small Business Strategy, advice on a segmented definition of small business, advice on the potential establishment of a small business institute and a recommendation on whether the Small Business Council should continue to exist, and if so, what its ongoing form and function should be”.

Let’s see if we can guess the answer. Yes we should continue, and we’ll need more money.

FINAL Heritage Week. Answers #9 Gay people.

Alan TURING. Genuius WW2 Bletchley Park Enigma codebreaker, chemically castrated for homosexuality, inventor of computer.

Colin MOYLE. NZ MP, ‘The Moyle Affair.”

Oscar WILDE, Irish Poet, imprisoned for sodomy with minors after his disastrous defamation trial vs Marquess of Queensberry (boxing rules). His lover Lord Alfred Douglas coined the famous phrase, “The Love that dare not speak it’s name.”

Peter HUDSON, NZ chef duo with David Halls.

Louisa WALL, NZ MP, gay marriage bill.

Truman CAPOTE, American author and critic.

J Edgar Hoover, Head of FBI.

Tim Barnett, NZ MP, prostitution reform bill.

David Halls, NZ Chef duo with Peter Hudson.

The Herald reports:

Trade Minister David Parker has been unable to secure an exemption from US steel and aluminium import taxes but says his officials will continue lobbying New Zealand’s case.

But Parker was not sounding optimistic about their chances of winning US trade officials over, telling the Herald “the longer it goes on without being resolved, the less confident we would be” of securing an exemption.

Parker spent the better part of this week in Washington DC “advancing New Zealand’s interests in reform of the World Trade Organisation (WTO)” as well as advocating for an exemption to US tariffs on steel and aluminium.

The tariffs were imposed in March this year – soon after, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern wrote a letter to US President Donald Trump pleading New Zealand’s case for an exemption.

Speaking from Ottawa, Parker said he had presented a “strong case” for New Zealand receiving an exemption but was not able to reach an agreement.

If things develop into a full trade war, then things will be much more serious for us.

But Parker said this was not a surprise, given trade officials advised him before his trip it would be unlikely the issue would be solved through face-to-face meetings.

“[This is] because no one else has been able to – be it [Japanese] Prime Minister Shinzō Abe, the Europeans or Mexico.”

This is misleading. Quite a few countries have gained exemptions. They include Japan, Thailand, Germany, the UK, Sweden and South Korea.

The Herald reports:

A bill that will establish a commission to focus on possible miscarriages of justice will be considered by a committee of MPs after passing its first reading in Parliament today.

Justice Minister Andrew Little’s bill, which passed without the support of the National Party, will establish a Criminal Cases Review Commission (CCRC).

“This bill is an important commitment by this coalition Government to provide a much-needed safety valve to our criminal justice system,” Little said.

“The CCRC will focus on miscarriages of justice and is a direct response to concerns by many New Zealanders over wrongful convictions such as Teina Pora,” he said in a statement.

The CCRC will be an independent body to review convictions and sentences where there is a suspected miscarriage of justice.

It will be able to refer cases back to the appeal courts but will not determine guilt or innocence. It will replace the referral power currently exercised by the Governor-General under section 406 of the Crimes Act 1961.

I’m disappointed National voted against this bill. I think the proposed commission is a good idea and far superior to the status quo where a Government department reviews potential miscarriages of justice.

The Law Commission has proposed three options for future abortion law. They are:

• Under Model A there would be no statutory test that must be satisfied before an abortion could be performed. The decision whether to have an abortion would be made by the woman concerned in consultation with her health practitioner.
• Under Model B there would be a statutory test. The health practitioner who intends to perform an abortion would need to be satisfied that the abortion is appropriate in the circumstances, having regard to the woman’s physical and mental health and wellbeing.
• Under Model C, there would be no statutory test until 22 weeks of a pregnancy. After 22 weeks, the health practitioner who intends to perform an abortion would need to be satisfied that the abortion is appropriate in the circumstances, having regard to the woman’s physical and mental health and wellbeing.

Model B looks pretty close to the status quo, except you don’t need to go to two doctors.

Model C looks preferable, at this stage to me. Effectively it gives a pregnant woman a right to have an abortion up to 22 weeks, but after 22 weeks (when a birth may be viable) it restricts abortion.  Having an abortion at say 35 weeks should only occur, in my opinion, when there is danger to the mother or fetus.

Adrienne Stone writes in The Conversation:

It goes without saying – or at least it ought to – that freedom of speech should be a core value of universities. …

Because of this responsibility, universities should be guided by four fundamental free speech principles.

1. Unorthodox ideas should be welcomed and offensive ideas must be tolerated

2. Protest is crucial to the proper exercise of free speech rights on campus and should be permitted and facilitated

3. The university must protect the pursuit of knowledge

4. The university’s intellectual climate must be inclusive

They seem like good principles. Why not have a charter like this here.

It’s Heritage Week IV. Do You Know Your Nation?

by John Stringer.